Tearsheet

Ferrari (RACE)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $397.79 | Market Cap: $70.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Ferrari (RACE)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $397.79
Market Cap: $70.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 35x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 45x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

RACE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Ferrari's (RACE) stock moved by approximately -8.6% between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025:

1. Conservative 2030 Financial Targets: Ferrari's Capital Markets Day on October 9, 2025, revealed long-term financial projections for 2030 that fell short of analyst expectations, contributing to a negative market reaction. The company's target of at least €2.75 billion in EBIT by 2030 implied a 6% compound annual growth rate, notably lower than the 10% anticipated from its 2022 projections.

2. Revised Electric Vehicle (EV) Strategy: During the same Capital Markets Day, Ferrari announced a scaled-back commitment to electrification, reducing its target for fully electric vehicles in its lineup by 2030 from 40% to 20%. This conservative shift disappointed investors who were anticipating a more aggressive strategy towards EVs and was a primary driver of skepticism.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RACE Return40%13%-17%59%26%-4%155%
Peers Return-0%28%-25%7%-38%-24%-52%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RACE Win Rate67%42%33%67%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate22%38%23%43%32%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RACE Max Drawdown-22%-18%-34%0%-2%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-2%-28%-7%-43%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: F, HMC, GGR, AIIO, CJET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRACES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven302 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven165 days120 days

Compare to F, HMC, GGR, AIIO, CJET


In The Past

Ferrari's stock fell -38.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2021. A -38.7% loss requires a 63.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Ferrari (RACE)

Better Bets than Ferrari (RACE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RACE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.8%-7.8%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.0%-1.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.3%-4.3%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ferrari

Financials

RACEFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameFerrari Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Price405.3812.8829.003.730.572.448.30
Mkt Cap72.251.338.40.1--44.8
Rev LTM7,080189,58821,523,834305--98,334
Op Inc LTM2,0663,619909,022-89--2,842
FCF LTM1,35511,897-258,128-108--623
FCF 3Y Avg1,0157,96721,873-112--4,491
CFO LTM2,32520,426589,3220--11,376
CFO 3Y Avg1,96816,306730,99310--9,137

Growth & Margins

RACEFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameFerrari Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Rev Chg LTM9.5%3.7%-0.4%-10.5%--1.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.1%7.8%11.5%-8.8%--9.7%
Rev Chg Q7.4%9.4%-1.9%-8.7%--2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%2.3%-0.5%-2.0%--0.6%
Op Mgn LTM29.2%1.9%4.2%-29.2%--3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.7%5.5%-43.9%--2.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.3%-0.3%1.7%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM32.8%10.8%2.7%0.0%--6.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg30.3%8.9%3.7%3.2%--6.3%
FCF/Rev LTM19.1%6.3%-1.2%-35.4%--2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.5%4.3%0.3%-32.8%--2.3%

Valuation

RACEFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameFerrari Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
Mkt Cap72.251.338.40.1--44.8
P/S10.20.30.00.2--0.2
P/EBIT34.87.90.0-0.5--4.0
P/E45.110.90.1-0.4--5.5
P/CFO31.12.50.1516.0--16.8
Total Yield2.3%12.7%2,501.3%-238.9%--7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%800.5%0.0%--1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.4%17.2%-32.7%-1,335.8%---15.6%
D/E0.03.20.07.6--1.6
Net D/E0.02.4-126.15.9--1.2

Returns

RACEFHMCGGRAIIOCJETMedian
NameFerrari Ford Mot.Honda Mo.Gogoro Robo.ai Chijet M. 
1M Rtn1.6%9.3%-5.9%-12.2%-61.2%-76.3%-9.1%
3M Rtn-12.5%13.7%-14.7%-47.9%--98.6%-14.7%
6M Rtn-18.5%22.8%-0.9%-31.0%--98.8%-18.5%
12M Rtn-5.2%25.6%12.3%-61.0%--98.7%-5.2%
3Y Rtn91.4%16.8%24.0%-94.5%--20.4%
1M Excs Rtn1.5%9.2%-6.0%-12.4%-61.3%-76.4%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-18.1%8.4%-18.9%-49.9%--102.6%-18.9%
6M Excs Rtn-30.4%10.9%-12.8%-42.9%--110.6%-30.4%
12M Excs Rtn-18.6%13.1%0.7%-73.0%--110.3%-18.6%
3Y Excs Rtn25.9%-52.2%-42.8%-162.8%---47.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment5,970    
Cars and spare parts 4,3213,5732,8352,926
Engines 155189151198
Other 1207884104
Sponsorship, commercial and brand 499431390538
Total5,9705,0954,2713,4603,767


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,166,223
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-14.9%
Average Daily Volume834,284
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.80
Basic Shares Quantity178,148,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024221202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023222202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022224202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110220226-K 9/30/2022
630202280220226-K 6/30/2022
331202250420226-K 3/31/2022
12312021225202220-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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