Tearsheet

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67 | Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67
Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PTGX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) experienced significant developments in its pipeline and financial standing around the specified time frame, leading to notable stock movements.

1. Positive Clinical Trial Results for Key Programs: Protagonist Therapeutics announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 VERIFY study of rusfertide for polycythemia vera (PV) in March 2025. The study met its primary endpoint, showing a significantly higher proportion of clinical responders on rusfertide compared to placebo, and all four key secondary endpoints were also met. Rusfertide was generally well tolerated with no new safety findings. Additionally, in October and September 2025, the company presented significant clinical data for icotrokinra in plaque psoriasis and ulcerative colitis. Icotrokinra demonstrated superior efficacy compared to deucravacitinib in Phase 3 ICONIC-ADVANCE studies for plaque psoriasis, showing sustained skin clearance. For ulcerative colitis, Phase 2b ANTHEM-UC study data showed the study met its primary endpoint with all once-daily dose groups achieving clinical response, with the 400 mg dose achieving a 63.5% clinical response versus 27% placebo. These strong clinical results for both rusfertide and icotrokinra likely contributed to increased investor confidence.

2. Regulatory Submissions and Breakthrough Designations: Protagonist Therapeutics made significant progress on the regulatory front. In July 2025, a New Drug Application (NDA) for icotrokinra for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis was submitted to the U.S. FDA, followed by a European Medicines Agency (EMA) application in September 2025. Furthermore, rusfertide was granted breakthrough designation for patients with polycythemia vera. An NDA filing for rusfertide was also anticipated by year-end 2025. These regulatory milestones signal the potential for market approval and commercialization, which are critical drivers for biotech stock performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PTGX Return186%70%-68%110%68%119%1101%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PTGX Win Rate50%83%17%67%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PTGX Max Drawdown-23%-36%-79%-1%-5%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPTGXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven603.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1001 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven392.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven358 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Protagonist Therapeutics's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 603.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Better Bets than Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PTGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Protagonist Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PTGXVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price86.07463.13-1.07-11.0748.57
Mkt Cap5.5118.4----61.9
Rev LTM20911,723---0209
Op Inc LTM19-92----93-92
FCF LTM643,337----6064
FCF 3Y Avg582,064----1,061
CFO LTM653,718----6065
CFO 3Y Avg592,419----1,239

Growth & Margins

PTGXVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-35.4%10.3%-----12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q0.8%11.0%----5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.7%----1.3%
Op Mgn LTM9.1%-0.8%----4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%1.0%-----0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM31.3%31.7%----31.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM30.5%28.5%----29.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

PTGXVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap5.5118.4----61.9
P/S20.28.5----14.4
P/EBIT222.922.4----122.7
P/E92.327.2----59.8
P/CFO64.726.9----45.8
Total Yield1.1%3.7%----2.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%2.3%----0.8%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

PTGXVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn13.3%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Rtn48.1%16.8%---12.5%16.8%
6M Rtn67.0%3.9%----35.5%
12M Rtn108.7%1.3%----55.0%
3Y Rtn966.5%44.1%----505.3%
1M Excs Rtn13.4%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn39.1%11.3%---4.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn52.3%-10.8%----20.7%
12M Excs Rtn83.0%-14.6%----34.2%
3Y Excs Rtn996.6%-25.9%----485.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need   290
Total   290


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need358248348  
Total358248348  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,582,326
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.1%
Average Daily Volume954,588
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.85
Basic Shares Quantity63,772,332
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021