Tearsheet

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $83.665 | Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $83.665
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 279x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 116x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 279x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 116x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PTGX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Regulatory Submissions for Icotrokinra for Psoriasis.

Protagonist Therapeutics submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) to the U.S. FDA in July 2025 for icotrokinra in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis, followed by an EMA submission in September 2025. These regulatory milestones for the partnered asset with Johnson & Johnson signal progress towards commercialization. 2. Rusfertide Receives FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation and Anticipated NDA Filing.

The U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation for rusfertide on August 25, 2025, which is expected to accelerate its review timeline. Furthermore, a New Drug Application (NDA) filing for rusfertide by partner Takeda is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PTGX Return186%70%-68%110%68%116%1081%
Peers Return-15%-9%-6%-3%-3%-17%-44%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PTGX Win Rate50%83%17%67%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate18%15%23%31%22%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PTGX Max Drawdown-23%-36%-79%-1%-5%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-13%-14%-15%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPTGXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven603.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1001 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven392.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven358 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, APM, BBOT, GDTC, HIND


In The Past

Protagonist Therapeutics's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 603.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Better Bets than Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PTGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.9%-8.9%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.2%-31.2%-31.2%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-7.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.9%-8.9%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.2%-31.2%-31.2%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-7.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Protagonist Therapeutics

Financials

PTGXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Price83.24434.521.4212.381.924.938.66
Mkt Cap5.3111.1----58.2
Rev LTM20911,723-0--209
Op Inc LTM19-92--93---92
FCF LTM643,337--60--64
FCF 3Y Avg582,064----1,061
CFO LTM653,718--60--65
CFO 3Y Avg592,419----1,239

Growth & Margins

PTGXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Rev Chg LTM-35.4%10.3%-----12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q0.8%11.0%----5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%2.7%----1.3%
Op Mgn LTM9.1%-0.8%----4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%1.0%-----0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM31.3%31.7%----31.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM30.5%28.5%----29.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

PTGXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
Mkt Cap5.3111.1----58.2
P/S25.49.5----17.4
P/EBIT279.324.9----152.1
P/E115.630.2----72.9
P/CFO81.129.9----55.5
Total Yield0.9%3.3%----2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%2.3%----0.8%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

PTGXVRTXAPMBBOTGDTCHINDMedian
NameProtagon.Vertex P.Aptorum BridgeBi.CytoMed .Vyome  
1M Rtn8.2%5.4%-10.7%12.8%-14.7%-7.0%-0.8%
3M Rtn51.4%11.3%-2.7%23.9%7.6%-11.3%
6M Rtn87.4%0.0%44.9%--17.6%-22.5%
12M Rtn95.1%-12.1%18.3%--13.5%-3.1%
3Y Rtn901.7%42.0%-77.6%---42.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.2%5.5%-10.5%2.6%-15.7%-8.5%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn44.0%6.2%-2.3%11.8%2.2%-69.2%4.2%
6M Excs Rtn73.6%-13.8%31.0%--31.5%-8.6%
12M Excs Rtn66.7%-25.7%-2.2%--31.9%--13.9%
3Y Excs Rtn899.5%-34.2%-154.2%----34.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need   290
Total   290


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need358248348  
Total358248348  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,465,729
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-13.4%
Average Daily Volume976,387
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.60
Basic Shares Quantity63,772,332
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-0.3%  
8/6/2025-5.4%5.3%12.4%
5/6/20252.6%5.4%28.1%
2/21/20250.7%-5.6%36.8%
11/7/2024-2.9%-13.8%-14.9%
8/6/20241.2%13.4%16.8%
5/7/20245.1%14.8%31.9%
2/27/20242.8%4.6%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121112
# Negative898
Median Positive3.7%5.4%14.6%
Median Negative-2.5%-8.4%-10.9%
Max Positive9.2%14.8%36.8%
Max Negative-6.2%-13.8%-24.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More