Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67 | Market Cap: $5.6 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67Market Cap: $5.6 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.4%, Dist 3Y High is -4.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PTGX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) experienced significant developments in its pipeline and financial standing around the specified time frame, leading to notable stock movements.
1. Positive Clinical Trial Results for Key Programs: Protagonist Therapeutics announced positive topline results from the Phase 3 VERIFY study of rusfertide for polycythemia vera (PV) in March 2025. The study met its primary endpoint, showing a significantly higher proportion of clinical responders on rusfertide compared to placebo, and all four key secondary endpoints were also met. Rusfertide was generally well tolerated with no new safety findings. Additionally, in October and September 2025, the company presented significant clinical data for icotrokinra in plaque psoriasis and ulcerative colitis. Icotrokinra demonstrated superior efficacy compared to deucravacitinib in Phase 3 ICONIC-ADVANCE studies for plaque psoriasis, showing sustained skin clearance. For ulcerative colitis, Phase 2b ANTHEM-UC study data showed the study met its primary endpoint with all once-daily dose groups achieving clinical response, with the 400 mg dose achieving a 63.5% clinical response versus 27% placebo. These strong clinical results for both rusfertide and icotrokinra likely contributed to increased investor confidence.
2. Regulatory Submissions and Breakthrough Designations: Protagonist Therapeutics made significant progress on the regulatory front. In July 2025, a New Drug Application (NDA) for icotrokinra for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis was submitted to the U.S. FDA, followed by a European Medicines Agency (EMA) application in September 2025. Furthermore, rusfertide was granted breakthrough designation for patients with polycythemia vera. An NDA filing for rusfertide was also anticipated by year-end 2025. These regulatory milestones signal the potential for market approval and commercialization, which are critical drivers for biotech stock performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PTGX Return | 186% | 70% | -68% | 110% | 68% | 119% | 1101% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -1% | -7% | -13% | -25% | 2% | -34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PTGX Win Rate | 50% | 83% | 17% | 67% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 29% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 15% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PTGX Max Drawdown | -23% | -36% | -79% | -1% | -5% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -10% | -17% | -24% | -25% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PTGX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 603.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1001 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -79.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 392.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 358 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT
In The Past
Protagonist Therapeutics's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 603.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PTGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Protagonist Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 61.9 |
| Rev LTM | 209 |
| Op Inc LTM | -92 |
| FCF LTM | 64 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,061 |
| CFO LTM | 65 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,239 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -12.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 31.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 29.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 61.9 |
| P/S | 14.4 |
| P/EBIT | 122.7 |
| P/E | 59.8 |
| P/CFO | 45.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 55.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 505.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 34.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 485.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need | 29 | 0 | |||
| Total | 29 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need | 358 | 248 | 348 | ||
| Total | 358 | 248 | 348 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |