Tearsheet

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.05 | Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.05
Market Cap: $5.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
4  Key risks
PTGX key risks include [1] its total dependence on successful clinical outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead candidates like rusfertide, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 223x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 65x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 92x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -35%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
7 Key risks
PTGX key risks include [1] its total dependence on successful clinical outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead candidates like rusfertide, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PTGX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) experienced a significant stock movement of 51.3% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments in its clinical pipeline and market sentiment. 1. Potential Acquisition by Johnson & Johnson. Reports emerged in October 2025 of a potential acquisition of Protagonist Therapeutics by Johnson & Johnson, which notably led to a 30% increase in PTGX shares on October 10, 2025. 2. Rusfertide FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation and Upcoming NDA Filing. In August 2025, rusfertide, a hepcidin mimetic for polycythemia vera (PV), received Breakthrough Therapy Designation from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). This was followed by the expectation of a U.S. New Drug Application (NDA) filing for rusfertide by year-end 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PTGX Return186%70%-68%110%68%137%1198%
Peers Return12%23%27%13%7%30%174%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PTGX Win Rate50%83%17%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%53%65%52%50%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PTGX Max Drawdown-23%-36%-79%-1%-5%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-6%-6%-14%-5%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, LLY, ABBV, JNJ, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPTGXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven603.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,001 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven392.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven358 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

Protagonist Therapeutics's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 603.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Better Bets than Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PTGX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Protagonist Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PTGXMRKLLYABBVJNJAMGNMedian
NameProtagon.Merck Eli LillyAbbVie Johnson .Amgen  
Mkt Price89.3499.181,041.79224.31210.33326.01217.32
Mkt Cap5.7247.5935.4396.8506.5175.4322.1
Rev LTM20964,23553,25859,64492,14935,97156,451
Op Inc LTM1922,39122,88214,36624,1468,67118,378
FCF LTM6413,049-5019,68418,67911,53912,294
FCF 3Y Avg5813,685-15620,01217,8149,06711,376
CFO LTM6517,06510,93820,86024,20413,12615,096
CFO 3Y Avg5917,5067,23020,96223,20910,32213,914

Growth & Margins

PTGXMRKLLYABBVJNJAMGNMedian
NameProtagon.Merck Eli LillyAbbVie Johnson .Amgen  
Rev Chg LTM-35.4%1.7%36.8%7.4%5.1%10.6%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%23.4%1.2%6.1%11.2%6.1%
Rev Chg Q0.8%3.7%37.6%9.1%6.8%12.4%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%1.0%8.7%2.3%1.7%3.0%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.1%34.9%43.0%24.1%26.2%24.1%25.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.7%35.6%27.0%26.4%25.4%26.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.4%3.7%1.8%0.6%1.7%0.6%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM31.3%26.6%20.5%35.0%26.3%36.5%28.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-28.2%17.8%37.0%26.4%32.7%28.2%
FCF/Rev LTM30.5%20.3%-0.1%33.0%20.3%32.1%25.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-22.0%0.5%35.3%20.3%28.8%22.0%

Valuation

PTGXMRKLLYABBVJNJAMGNMedian
NameProtagon.Merck Eli LillyAbbVie Johnson .Amgen  
Mkt Cap5.7247.5935.4396.8506.5175.4322.1
P/S20.23.312.96.94.84.25.9
P/EBIT222.99.138.690.213.813.726.2
P/E92.311.049.6171.517.821.735.7
P/CFO64.712.362.619.618.411.619.0
Total Yield1.1%13.0%2.7%3.4%8.4%7.9%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.9%0.7%2.8%2.7%3.3%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%5.5%0.1%6.2%4.4%5.9%4.9%
D/E0.00.20.10.20.10.40.1
Net D/E-0.10.10.10.20.10.30.1

Returns

PTGXMRKLLYABBVJNJAMGNMedian
NameProtagon.Merck Eli LillyAbbVie Johnson .Amgen  
1M Rtn5.4%7.7%2.0%-4.1%6.1%-4.6%3.7%
3M Rtn50.9%23.3%37.3%2.3%19.5%19.5%21.4%
6M Rtn65.7%27.4%33.2%22.9%41.5%14.3%30.3%
12M Rtn119.6%2.8%34.8%32.4%48.1%26.6%33.6%
3Y Rtn821.0%-0.5%196.4%56.0%31.2%34.2%45.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%7.0%1.2%-4.9%5.3%-5.3%2.9%
3M Excs Rtn42.4%21.3%35.4%0.4%20.2%17.7%20.8%
6M Excs Rtn53.3%15.0%20.8%10.5%29.1%1.9%17.9%
12M Excs Rtn106.4%-9.4%21.9%22.8%36.8%13.3%22.4%
3Y Excs Rtn974.0%-68.0%122.1%-17.0%-38.9%-38.8%-27.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need   290
Total   290


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery and development of innovative medicines in areas of unmet medical need358248348  
Total358248348  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,883,017
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.4%
Average Daily Volume832,587
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.07
Basic Shares Quantity63,772,332
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-0.3%4.3%11.0%
8/6/2025-5.4%5.3%12.4%
5/6/20252.6%5.4%28.1%
2/21/20250.7%-5.6%36.8%
11/7/2024-2.9%-13.8%-14.9%
8/6/20241.2%13.4%16.8%
5/7/20245.1%14.8%31.9%
2/27/20242.8%4.6%-3.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121213
# Negative887
Median Positive3.7%5.3%12.4%
Median Negative-2.5%-8.4%-10.9%
Max Positive9.2%14.8%36.8%
Max Negative-6.2%-13.8%-24.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021