Prothena (PRTA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.47 | Market Cap: $509.8 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Prothena (PRTA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.47Market Cap: $509.8 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% | ||
| Key risksPRTA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its narrowed pipeline of high-risk neurodegenerative candidates following the Phase 3 failure of its former lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58% |
| Key risksPRTA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its narrowed pipeline of high-risk neurodegenerative candidates following the Phase 3 failure of its former lead candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PRTA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Prothena (PRTA) experienced a stock movement, including a decline of over 15% in the ten days leading up to December 17, 2025. Several key factors likely contributed to this movement:
1. Disappointing Update on PRX012 for Alzheimer's Disease: In late August 2025, Prothena reported results from the Phase 1 ASCENT clinical program for its wholly-owned Alzheimer's candidate, PRX012. While the drug showed amyloid plaque reduction, it was associated with higher rates of ARIA-E, a known side effect, prompting the company to seek partnerships for its advancement rather than pursuing it solely. This news likely dampened investor enthusiasm for a key pipeline asset.
2. Continued Financial Underperformance: Prothena reported ongoing net losses in its second-quarter (August 4, 2025) and third-quarter (November 6, 2025) financial results. Notably, the third-quarter revenue missed analyst estimates. These consistent negative financial results likely fueled investor concerns about the company's profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PRTA Return | -24% | 311% | 22% | -40% | -62% | -30% | -38% |
| Peers Return | 80% | 0% | 15% | 9% | -4% | 45% | 216% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PRTA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 25% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 47% | 55% | 47% | 38% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PRTA Max Drawdown | -52% | -8% | -54% | -46% | -67% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -24% | -24% | -25% | -26% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BIIB, LLY, ALNY, IONS, DNLI. See PRTA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PRTA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 331 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -89.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 883.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 735 days | 120 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Prothena's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/23/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PRTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Prothena
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 124.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,089 |
| Op Inc LTM | 21 |
| FCF LTM | -119 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -150 |
| CFO LTM | 39 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -17 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 37.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.8 |
| P/S | 12.9 |
| P/EBIT | 3.6 |
| P/E | 5.4 |
| P/CFO | 2.8 |
| Total Yield | -1.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -55.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% |
| 8/4/2025 | 1.3% | 10.5% | 20.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 4.6% | -5.4% | -26.1% |
| 2/20/2025 | 2.0% | -0.8% | -15.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -0.7% | -19.1% | -20.4% |
| 8/8/2024 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| 5/8/2024 | -4.5% | -2.8% | -8.3% |
| 2/15/2024 | -1.8% | -4.6% | -12.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -5.0% | -16.0% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 51.0% | 93.8% |
| Max Negative | -8.3% | -19.1% | -26.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | EcoR1 Capital, LLC | 5062025 | Sell | 8.36 | 3,317,938 | 27,744,929 | 69,123,978 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |