Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%
5   Key risks
PRTA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its narrowed pipeline of high-risk neurodegenerative candidates following the Phase 3 failure of its former lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -61%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -118%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1886%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -91%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1595%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1597%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 823%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -58%
8 Key risks
PRTA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its narrowed pipeline of high-risk neurodegenerative candidates following the Phase 3 failure of its former lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRTA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Prothena (PRTA) experienced a stock movement, including a decline of over 15% in the ten days leading up to December 17, 2025. Several key factors likely contributed to this movement:

1. Disappointing Update on PRX012 for Alzheimer's Disease: In late August 2025, Prothena reported results from the Phase 1 ASCENT clinical program for its wholly-owned Alzheimer's candidate, PRX012. While the drug showed amyloid plaque reduction, it was associated with higher rates of ARIA-E, a known side effect, prompting the company to seek partnerships for its advancement rather than pursuing it solely. This news likely dampened investor enthusiasm for a key pipeline asset.

2. Continued Financial Underperformance: Prothena reported ongoing net losses in its second-quarter (August 4, 2025) and third-quarter (November 6, 2025) financial results. Notably, the third-quarter revenue missed analyst estimates. These consistent negative financial results likely fueled investor concerns about the company's profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRTA Return-24%311%22%-40%-62%-30%-38%
Peers Return80%0%15%9%-4%45%216%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRTA Win Rate58%58%50%42%25%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%47%55%47%38%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRTA Max Drawdown-52%-8%-54%-46%-67%-67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-24%-24%-25%-26%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BIIB, LLY, ALNY, IONS, DNLI. See PRTA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPRTAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven247.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven109.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven331 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-89.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven883.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven735 days120 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Prothena's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/23/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prothena (PRTA)

Better Bets than Prothena (PRTA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Prothena

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRTABIIBLLYALNYIONSDNLIMedian
NameProthena Biogen Eli LillyAlnylam .Ionis Ph.Denali T. 
Mkt Price9.43172.101,041.79392.1077.0816.81124.59
Mkt Cap0.525.2935.451.512.32.918.8
Rev LTM1210,06653,2583,21096702,089
Op Inc LTM-2222,49222,882265-278-54821
FCF LTM-1882,262-50221-309-412-119
FCF 3Y Avg-1441,686-15657-420-378-150
CFO LTM-1882,45410,938266-247-39839
CFO 3Y Avg-1431,9807,230108-380-364-17

Growth & Margins

PRTABIIBLLYALNYIONSDNLIMedian
NameProthena Biogen Eli LillyAlnylam .Ionis Ph.Denali T. 
Rev Chg LTM-91.2%4.8%36.8%53.2%20.4%-20.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg846.2%-0.9%23.4%51.4%7.1%-23.4%
Rev Chg Q149.0%2.8%37.6%149.3%17.1%-37.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.0%0.7%8.7%30.4%2.4%-8.7%
Op Mgn LTM-1,885.7%24.8%43.0%8.2%-28.8%-8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-697.2%22.5%35.6%-7.1%-55.1%--7.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM522.2%0.7%1.8%15.6%-0.5%-1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,595.5%24.4%20.5%8.3%-25.5%-8.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-590.9%20.0%17.8%3.7%-52.4%-3.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,597.0%22.5%-0.1%6.9%-32.0%--0.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-592.2%17.0%0.5%1.3%-57.4%-0.5%

Valuation

PRTABIIBLLYALNYIONSDNLIMedian
NameProthena Biogen Eli LillyAlnylam .Ionis Ph.Denali T. 
Mkt Cap0.525.2935.451.512.32.918.8
P/S44.62.012.918.710.8-12.9
P/EBIT-2.49.538.6460.0-60.0-4.63.6
P/E-1.912.849.61,375.9-40.8-5.05.4
P/CFO-2.88.462.6225.5-42.3-6.32.8
Total Yield-53.4%7.8%2.7%0.1%-2.5%-19.9%-1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.8%6.7%0.1%0.0%-6.0%-12.1%-3.0%
D/E0.00.30.10.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.60.10.1-0.0-0.1-0.3-0.0

Returns

PRTABIIBLLYALNYIONSDNLIMedian
NameProthena Biogen Eli LillyAlnylam .Ionis Ph.Denali T. 
1M Rtn-8.0%4.5%2.0%-14.9%5.2%-3.2%-0.6%
3M Rtn17.0%18.8%37.3%-13.2%26.0%28.7%22.4%
6M Rtn64.0%36.0%33.2%25.5%108.3%19.3%34.6%
12M Rtn-32.8%14.2%34.8%59.0%104.6%-27.6%24.5%
3Y Rtn-83.4%-39.6%196.4%65.5%99.4%-41.4%12.9%
1M Excs Rtn-8.7%3.8%1.2%-15.6%4.5%-4.0%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn13.9%18.3%35.4%-14.6%23.5%26.2%20.9%
6M Excs Rtn51.6%23.6%20.8%13.2%95.9%6.9%22.2%
12M Excs Rtn-37.3%3.6%21.9%48.7%99.5%-37.9%12.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-153.1%-109.2%122.1%-2.2%33.0%-112.0%-55.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Discovery and development of novel therapies to treat diseases caused by protein dysregulation91 2011
Collaboration revenue 14  
Revenue from license and intellectual property 40  
Total91542011


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,639,338
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.4%
Average Daily Volume514,550
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.02
Basic Shares Quantity53,830,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20254.8%1.0%2.4%
8/4/20251.3%10.5%20.9%
5/8/20254.6%-5.4%-26.1%
2/20/20252.0%-0.8%-15.0%
11/12/2024-0.7%-19.1%-20.4%
8/8/20244.4%6.0%3.7%
5/8/2024-4.5%-2.8%-8.3%
2/15/2024-1.8%-4.6%-12.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111010
# Negative131414
Median Positive4.4%4.4%6.0%
Median Negative-4.4%-5.0%-16.0%
Max Positive12.0%51.0%93.8%
Max Negative-8.3%-19.1%-26.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0EcoR1 Capital, LLC5062025Sell8.363,317,93827,744,92969,123,978Form