Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 304x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.77, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Healthcare Operations & Efficiency. Themes include Health Data Analytics, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Healthcare Operations & Efficiency. Themes include Health Data Analytics, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.77, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
7 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.9%
8 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 304x
9 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3%
10 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PINC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 32.6% movement in Premier (PINC) stock between approximately July 31, 2025, and November 25, 2025: 1. Premier, Inc. entered a definitive agreement on September 23, 2025, to be acquired by an affiliate of Patient Square Capital for $28.25 per share in cash, valuing the company at approximately $2.6 billion. This acquisition offer represented a 10% premium to Premier's closing price on September 19, 2025, and a 23.8% premium to its 60-day volume-weighted average price as of September 5, significantly boosting the stock price.

2. Premier reported strong fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter earnings on August 19, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted revenue of $262.86 million, exceeding the consensus estimate by 8.43%, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, which was a 35.29% beat over the $0.34 consensus. This performance was largely driven by a strong showing in its Supply Chain Services segment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PINC Return-6%20%-13%-34%-1%37%-12%
Peers Return39%-3%-36%36%-6%-26%-18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PINC Win Rate50%75%42%50%33%70% 
Peers Win Rate53%46%38%60%40%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PINC Max Drawdown-28%-6%-24%-44%-17%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-14%-50%-17%-32%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XPO, GATX, IAC, FIVN, BMBL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPINCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven513 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to XPO, GATX, IAC, FIVN, BMBL


In The Past

Premier's stock fell -54.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -54.1% loss requires a 117.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Premier (PINC)

Better Bets than Premier (PINC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PINC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-17.8%-17.8%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.9%6.9%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-33.5%-33.5%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-7.0%
PINC_10312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312023PINCPremierDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.0%-2.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-17.8%-17.8%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.9%6.9%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-33.5%-33.5%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
27.1%27.1%-7.0%
PINC_10312023_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312023PINCPremierDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.9%10.0%-2.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Premier

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PINCXPOGATXIACFIVNBMBLMedian
NamePremier XPO GATX IAC Five9 Bumble  
Mkt Price28.26133.80156.5833.2219.073.4730.74
Mkt Cap2.315.85.62.61.50.42.5
Rev LTM1,0058,0671,7053,6541,1271,0031,416
Op Inc LTM-97065218813215152
FCF LTM26523271065127174203
FCF 3Y Avg279-20660211395164139
CFO LTM350949710135192186271
CFO 3Y Avg361808602196149183279

Growth & Margins

PINCXPOGATXIACFIVNBMBLMedian
NamePremier XPO GATX IAC Five9 Bumble  
Rev Chg LTM-9.9%-0.3%10.7%23.5%12.5%-7.4%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.2%38.4%10.3%-7.7%14.9%5.4%7.8%
Rev Chg Q-3.3%2.8%8.4%-8.1%8.2%-10.0%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%0.7%2.0%-1.4%2.0%-2.7%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-0.9%8.8%30.6%2.4%1.2%21.5%5.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.5%8.0%29.2%-2.4%-5.6%13.6%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%0.1%-0.6%-0.7%2.8%1.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM34.8%11.8%41.6%3.7%17.1%18.5%17.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.4%10.1%39.2%5.7%14.7%17.6%16.2%
FCF/Rev LTM26.4%2.9%41.6%1.8%11.3%17.3%14.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.6%-2.6%39.2%3.7%9.5%15.9%12.7%

Valuation

PINCXPOGATXIACFIVNBMBLMedian
NamePremier XPO GATX IAC Five9 Bumble  
Mkt Cap2.315.85.62.61.50.42.5
P/S2.32.03.30.71.30.41.6
P/EBIT304.323.78.6-14.730.6-1.816.2
P/E-70.847.618.0-11.747.3-1.98.0
P/CFO6.716.67.919.67.72.07.8
Total Yield1.8%2.1%5.6%-8.6%2.1%-52.8%1.9%
Dividend Yield3.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.0%-1.8%12.4%2.9%4.0%18.5%8.0%
D/E0.10.31.60.50.51.60.5
Net D/E0.10.21.50.20.10.80.2

Returns

PINCXPOGATXIACFIVNBMBLMedian
NamePremier XPO GATX IAC Five9 Bumble  
1M Rtn0.5%6.4%-2.9%-2.1%-19.1%-41.0%-2.5%
3M Rtn10.0%-0.6%-4.7%-6.9%-28.6%-45.9%-5.8%
6M Rtn24.7%14.4%9.3%-8.5%-28.3%-39.3%0.4%
12M Rtn28.5%-10.2%-1.7%-31.5%-52.7%-57.6%-20.8%
3Y Rtn-5.1%255.4%47.4%-30.7%-68.6%-84.3%-17.9%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%7.7%-1.6%-0.8%-17.8%-39.7%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn5.6%-5.5%-8.4%-11.3%-30.3%-49.9%-9.9%
6M Excs Rtn11.6%-0.6%-6.5%-23.8%-43.7%-55.1%-15.1%
12M Excs Rtn18.7%-22.0%-10.3%-43.7%-63.1%-68.5%-32.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.5%196.5%-20.2%-99.7%-136.9%-155.1%-85.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Supply Chain Services1,6291,3171,4061,5501,484
Performance Services9871,2091,0551,044931
Corporate785845896929538
Eliminations0-0-00-4
Total3,4013,3713,3573,5232,949


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,540,507
Short Interest: % Change Since 1015202525.5%
Average Daily Volume837,925
Days-to-Cover Short Interest13.77
Basic Shares Quantity82,548,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.0%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20250.0%0.1% 
8/20/20250.1%3.6%1.6%
5/7/20250.8%-2.6%0.1%
2/5/20250.5%-3.1%-7.1%
11/6/2024-1.1%-0.9%-6.6%
8/21/2024-0.1%-1.2%-0.0%
5/8/20240.8%1.4%-3.2%
2/7/2024-1.1%0.9%1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101211
# Negative131112
Median Positive0.5%1.3%1.6%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.8%-5.9%
Max Positive1.1%3.6%14.2%
Max Negative-3.3%-4.8%-7.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025819202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024821202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023823202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022816202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021201202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Brailo AndyChief Commercial Officer9042025Sell25.796,521168,1772,564,738Form
1Bigalke John T. 9042025Sell25.791,13729,323710,153Form
2Klatsky David LGeneral Counsel8272025Sell25.851,31934,0962,438,456Form
3Bigalke John T. 6052025Sell23.031,13726,185660,339Form
4Boudreau Helen M 6022025Sell22.882,00045,760427,124Form