Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 15%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.08
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.08

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PFBC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results provide information about Preferred Bank (PFBC) for the period including August 2025 to December 2025. This includes earnings announcements, dividend declarations, analyst reports, and discussions about interest rate expectations and their impact on regional banks. While an exact 1.9% stock movement isn't explicitly detailed as a single event, several factors within this timeframe could contribute to such a fluctuation. Here are the key points for why the stock might have moved around 1.9% for the approximate time period from 8/31/2025 to today (December 4, 2025), based on the provided search results: **1. Preferred Bank reported record third-quarter results on October 20, 2025.** This announcement could have positively influenced investor sentiment, potentially leading to an upward movement in the stock price. **2. On November 14, 2025, an analysis indicated that Preferred Bank (PFBC) might be well-poised for a surge due to solid earnings estimate revisions.** This report highlighted that analysts were optimistic about the company's earnings prospects, with estimates increasing for both the current quarter and the full year, and noted that PFBC shares had already added 8.6% over the preceding four weeks. **3. Preferred Bank declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.75 per share on September 17, 2025.** Consistent dividend payments and declarations often provide a sense of stability and attractiveness to investors, which can support the stock price. **4. Hopes for interest rate cuts, following comments from New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, shifted the investment narrative for regional banks like Preferred Bank.** This improved sentiment, particularly around November 21, 2025, provided a boost to regional banks which had been under pressure from high interest rates and commercial real estate concerns. **5. Preferred Bank's second-quarter 2025 earnings, reported on July 21, 2025, exceeded forecasts with an EPS of $2.52, leading to a pre-market stock increase of 2.58%.** While slightly before the requested period, the positive momentum from strong Q2 results could have carried into August and influenced subsequent movements as the market continued to digest the information and look towards future performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PFBC Return-13%46%6%2%23%13%90%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PFBC Win Rate58%67%42%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PFBC Max Drawdown-52%-4%-9%-40%-6%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPFBCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven872 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3278.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Preferred Bank's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/4/2022. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Better Bets than Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PFBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Preferred Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PFBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price95.4011.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap1.20.30.2--84.20.7
Rev LTM2802696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM165-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg163-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM166-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg164-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

PFBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-1.7%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%11.0%
Rev Chg Q1.6%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM59.2%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg57.3%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM58.9%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg56.8%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

PFBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap1.20.30.2--84.20.7
P/S3.91.12.7--7.43.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.64.911.6--28.810.1
P/CFO6.6-0.67.9--16.87.2
Total Yield15.1%20.2%13.5%--3.5%14.3%
Dividend Yield3.5%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.5%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.32.60.2--0.00.3
Net D/E-0.41.8-4.5---0.4-0.4

Returns

PFBCNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn4.9%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn2.1%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn17.3%10.7%29.3%--46.1%23.3%
12M Rtn5.1%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%18.8%
3Y Rtn42.5%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%25.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.9%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn2.6%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%8.6%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%6.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-29.7%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-45.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment296257194180171
Total296257194180171


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment150129   
Total150129   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment6,659    
Total6,659    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity952,387
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.9%
Average Daily Volume63,175
Days-to-Cover Short Interest15.08
Basic Shares Quantity12,569,107
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120021231200610-K 12/31/2002