Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%
Key risks
PFBC key risks include [1] a heavy concentration in California commercial real estate lending, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.75
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -15%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.75
8 Key risks
PFBC key risks include [1] a heavy concentration in California commercial real estate lending, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PFBC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for Preferred Bank (PFBC) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, lies in the future. As I cannot access future information, I am unable to provide the key points for why the stock moved by 7.2% during that specific, future period. Therefore, no key points can be highlighted.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PFBC Return-13%46%6%2%23%23%106%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PFBC Win Rate58%67%42%42%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PFBC Max Drawdown-52%-4%-9%-40%-6%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPFBCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven872 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3278.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE


In The Past

Preferred Bank's stock fell -45.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/4/2022. A -45.7% loss requires a 84.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Better Bets than Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PFBC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Preferred Bank

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PFBCNEWTATLOCBCCBKHYNEMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Central .Commerci.Hoyne Ba. 
Mkt Price100.4012.2323.2723.4025.3213.7023.34
Mkt Cap1.20.30.2---0.3
Rev LTM28326963-891489
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM121-52019-36-219
FCF 3Y Avg151-22916---16
CFO LTM121-51920-38-120
CFO 3Y Avg153-22818---18

Growth & Margins

PFBCNEWTATLOCBCCBKHYNEMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Central .Commerci.Hoyne Ba. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%21.8%18.0%---18.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.9%31.6%0.3%---7.9%
Rev Chg Q3.7%20.7%22.9%-6.3%37.1%20.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%4.7%5.2%-1.5%7.8%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM42.9%-193.4%31.5%-42.8%-10.8%31.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg52.6%-91.8%31.1%---31.1%
FCF/Rev LTM42.7%-193.4%30.8%-40.5%-15.9%30.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg52.1%-91.9%27.1%---27.1%

Valuation

PFBCNEWTATLOCBCCBKHYNEMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Central .Commerci.Hoyne Ba. 
Mkt Cap1.20.30.2---0.3
P/S4.41.23.3---3.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E9.65.312.9---9.6
P/CFO10.2-0.610.4---10.2
Total Yield13.5%18.9%11.2%---13.5%
Dividend Yield3.1%0.0%3.4%---3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg15.5%-76.1%9.5%---9.5%
D/E0.32.40.1---0.3
Net D/E-0.31.7-1.4----0.3

Returns

PFBCNEWTATLOCBCCBKHYNEMedian
NamePreferre.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Central .Commerci.Hoyne Ba. 
1M Rtn10.7%27.3%12.1%1.9%6.1%-10.7%
3M Rtn8.2%1.2%13.4%---8.2%
6M Rtn25.5%21.8%38.2%---25.5%
12M Rtn21.0%2.9%47.6%---21.0%
3Y Rtn49.8%-12.7%15.7%---15.7%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%23.1%9.2%-2.2%-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn7.7%-0.2%11.8%---7.7%
6M Excs Rtn6.2%5.1%20.4%---6.2%
12M Excs Rtn1.1%-13.8%34.0%---1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.9%-91.7%-53.2%----53.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment293254194180171
Total293254194180171


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity942,615
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume73,936
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.75
Basic Shares Quantity12,384,924
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120021231200610-K 12/31/2002