Omnicell (OMCL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $39.6 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology
Omnicell (OMCL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $39.6Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Technology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OMCL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Omnicell (OMCL) for the approximate time period from late 2024 to October 2025, the stock's movement was influenced by several key factors.
1. Omnicell's Q1 2025 Earnings and Revised Guidance with Tariff Impacts. The company's stock experienced a significant drop of over 15% following its Q1 2025 earnings report on May 6, 2025, despite exceeding analyst estimates for adjusted EPS and revenue. This decline was primarily driven by management's discussion of "new headwinds," including anticipated "tariff impacts" and a subsequent reduction in forward guidance for the year.
2. Q4 2024 Earnings Beat Followed by Weak Guidance. In February 2025, Omnicell reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and revenue. However, the stock tumbled 4.7% in after-hours trading due to a disappointing outlook provided for the first quarter and the full year 2025, which suggested a cautious near-term future for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMCL Return | 47% | 50% | -72% | -25% | 18% | -11% | -52% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 0% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 38% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMCL Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 18% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMCL Max Drawdown | -32% | -2% | -74% | -42% | -32% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -3% | -2% | -4% | -3% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BDX, CAH, CARL, HTFL, OMNI. See OMCL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMCL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 528.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 353.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2068 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BDX, CAH, CARL, HTFL, OMNI
In The Past
Omnicell's stock fell -84.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -84.1% loss requires a 528.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Omnicell Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return | ||
| OMCL Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Omnicell Earnings Notes | |||
| Omnicell Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 18.3% in 2024 and -37.3% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Omnicell (OMCL) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicell (OMCL) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicell (OMCL) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicell (OMCL) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Omnicell Market Price | Market Price | ||
| Omnicell vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Omnicell Vulnerable To Downside Risk If Acquisition Talks Fail | December 16th, 2020 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OMCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.0% | 10.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.9% | 6.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Omnicell
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 47.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,178 |
| Op Inc LTM | 17 |
| FCF LTM | 94 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,488 |
| CFO LTM | 153 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,001 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 47.4 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 19.8 |
| P/E | 31.2 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -17.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 12.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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