Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.8%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, AI in Healthcare Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -31%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 81x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 70x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OMCL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Omnicell (OMCL) for the approximate time period from late 2024 to October 2025, the stock's movement was influenced by several key factors.

1. Omnicell's Q1 2025 Earnings and Revised Guidance with Tariff Impacts. The company's stock experienced a significant drop of over 15% following its Q1 2025 earnings report on May 6, 2025, despite exceeding analyst estimates for adjusted EPS and revenue. This decline was primarily driven by management's discussion of "new headwinds," including anticipated "tariff impacts" and a subsequent reduction in forward guidance for the year.

2. Q4 2024 Earnings Beat Followed by Weak Guidance. In February 2025, Omnicell reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2024 earnings and revenue. However, the stock tumbled 4.7% in after-hours trading due to a disappointing outlook provided for the first quarter and the full year 2025, which suggested a cautious near-term future for the company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OMCL Return47%50%-72%-25%18%-11%-52%
Peers Return1%0%12%6%3%12%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OMCL Win Rate58%58%25%50%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate18%18%25%22%18%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OMCL Max Drawdown-32%-2%-74%-42%-32%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-9%-3%-2%-4%-3%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BDX, CAH, CARL, HTFL, OMNI. See OMCL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOMCLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven528.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven353.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2068 days1480 days

Compare to BDX, CAH, CARL, HTFL, OMNI


In The Past

Omnicell's stock fell -84.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -84.1% loss requires a 528.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Omnicell (OMCL)

Better Bets than Omnicell (OMCL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OMCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Omnicell

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OMCLBDXCAHCARLHTFLOMNIMedian
NameOmnicell Becton D.Cardinal.Carlsmed HeartFlowOmnigeni. 
Mkt Price39.61193.76199.1914.4128.93-39.61
Mkt Cap1.855.647.4---47.4
Rev LTM1,17821,386222,57833139-1,178
Op Inc LTM172,9552,322-24-61-17
FCF LTM942,5501,850-30-90-94
FCF 3Y Avg1262,5042,488---2,488
CFO LTM1533,2542,397-29-85-153
CFO 3Y Avg1833,2783,001---3,001

Growth & Margins

OMCLBDXCAHCARLHTFLOMNIMedian
NameOmnicell Becton D.Cardinal.Carlsmed HeartFlowOmnigeni. 
Rev Chg LTM10.7%7.9%-1.9%---7.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%4.1%7.3%---4.1%
Rev Chg Q10.0%10.4%0.5%---10.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%2.5%0.1%---2.5%
Op Mgn LTM1.5%13.8%1.0%-71.4%-44.4%-1.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.0%13.3%1.0%---1.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.9%0.0%---0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%15.2%1.1%-86.4%-61.5%-1.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%16.3%1.4%---16.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%11.9%0.8%-88.9%-65.0%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%12.4%1.1%---11.0%

Valuation

OMCLBDXCAHCARLHTFLOMNIMedian
NameOmnicell Becton D.Cardinal.Carlsmed HeartFlowOmnigeni. 
Mkt Cap1.855.647.4---47.4
P/S1.22.30.2---1.2
P/EBIT80.919.816.1---19.8
P/E69.631.223.9---31.2
P/CFO9.015.215.6---15.2
Total Yield1.4%5.6%5.5%---5.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.4%1.3%---1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%4.1%9.2%---6.9%
D/E0.10.40.2---0.2
Net D/E0.00.40.1---0.1

Returns

OMCLBDXCAHCARLHTFLOMNIMedian
NameOmnicell Becton D.Cardinal.Carlsmed HeartFlowOmnigeni. 
1M Rtn14.8%8.2%2.0%16.6%-14.6%-8.2%
3M Rtn19.6%1.9%33.8%11.6%-15.1%-11.6%
6M Rtn28.3%14.6%30.1%---28.3%
12M Rtn-13.7%-10.7%61.3%----10.7%
3Y Rtn-19.9%-17.1%165.5%----17.1%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%7.0%0.7%15.3%-15.9%-7.0%
3M Excs Rtn17.6%-4.5%27.8%7.3%-12.7%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn12.9%-0.9%14.6%---12.9%
12M Excs Rtn-30.2%-24.6%51.6%----24.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.8%-88.6%95.0%----88.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Connected devices, software licenses, and other624828739560574
Technical services226207207202194
Software as a Service (SaaS) and Expert Services2131861135443
Consumables8575737686
Total1,1471,2961,132892897


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,180,285
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.9%
Average Daily Volume416,156
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.24
Basic Shares Quantity45,540,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021