Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 5.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
  Key risks
OGN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden threatening its financial stability, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 5.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Oncology Treatments, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -139%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
7 Key risks
OGN key risks include [1] a substantial debt burden threatening its financial stability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Improper Sales Practices and Executive Changes. Organon announced in late October 2025 that an independent internal investigation uncovered improper sales practices related to Nexplanon sales to U.S. wholesalers. This led to the resignation of the CEO and Chief Commercial Officer, with an interim CEO being appointed, and remediation efforts, including enhanced controls, were initiated. The most significant financial impact of these practices was anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025.

2. Downward Revision of Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance. On November 10, 2025, Organon lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $6.200 billion to $6.250 billion. The company also reduced its Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to approximately 31.0%. This revised outlook signaled a weaker financial performance projection for the year, despite beating Q3 earnings per share estimates.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OGN Return-4%-45%10%-52%
Peers Return10%28%11%7%13%19%124%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OGN Win Rate43%50%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate53%53%57%47%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OGN Max Drawdown-22%-58%-4%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-12%-16%-23%-5%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VTRS, PFE, ABBV, AMGN, LLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven259.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to JAZZ, ACT, ALKS, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Organon's stock fell -72.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/2/2022. A -72.2% loss requires a 259.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Organon (OGN)

Better Bets than Organon (OGN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Organon

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OGNVTRSPFEABBVAMGNLLYMedian
NameOrganon Viatris Pfizer AbbVie Amgen Eli Lilly 
Mkt Price6.9911.7025.04224.31326.011,041.79124.67
Mkt Cap2.813.6142.4396.8175.4935.4158.9
Rev LTM6,30114,12462,78659,64435,97153,25844,615
Op Inc LTM1,3055215,41714,3668,67122,88211,518
FCF LTM5661,59910,37619,68411,539-505,988
FCF 3Y Avg5451,8388,92720,0129,067-1565,383
CFO LTM9491,98313,07720,86013,12610,93812,008
CFO 3Y Avg8552,29712,12720,96210,3227,2308,776

Growth & Margins

OGNVTRSPFEABBVAMGNLLYMedian
NameOrganon Viatris Pfizer AbbVie Amgen Eli Lilly 
Rev Chg LTM-1.7%-6.1%3.9%7.4%10.6%36.8%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%-5.5%-13.2%1.2%11.2%23.4%0.6%
Rev Chg Q1.3%0.2%-5.9%9.1%12.4%37.6%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%0.1%-1.6%2.3%3.0%8.7%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM20.7%0.4%24.6%24.1%24.1%43.0%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.7%3.5%19.4%27.0%25.4%35.6%23.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.6%1.8%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM15.1%14.0%20.8%35.0%36.5%20.5%20.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.6%15.4%18.9%37.0%32.7%17.8%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.0%11.3%16.5%33.0%32.1%-0.1%13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%12.3%13.9%35.3%28.8%0.5%13.1%

Valuation

OGNVTRSPFEABBVAMGNLLYMedian
NameOrganon Viatris Pfizer AbbVie Amgen Eli Lilly 
Mkt Cap2.813.6142.4396.8175.4935.4158.9
P/S0.40.82.36.94.212.93.3
P/EBIT--3.412.290.213.738.613.7
P/E5.5-3.114.7171.521.749.618.2
P/CFO2.95.811.119.611.662.611.3
Total Yield23.7%-27.1%13.5%3.4%7.9%2.7%5.7%
Dividend Yield5.7%4.9%6.7%2.8%3.3%0.7%4.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.9%5.5%6.2%5.9%0.1%5.9%
D/E-1.30.40.20.40.10.4
Net D/E-1.20.30.20.30.10.3

Returns

OGNVTRSPFEABBVAMGNLLYMedian
NameOrganon Viatris Pfizer AbbVie Amgen Eli Lilly 
1M Rtn-8.6%11.0%-0.2%-4.1%-4.6%2.0%-2.2%
3M Rtn-32.9%23.0%5.9%2.3%19.5%37.3%12.7%
6M Rtn-28.9%36.5%8.5%22.9%14.3%33.2%18.6%
12M Rtn-51.5%-2.3%1.6%32.4%26.6%34.8%14.1%
3Y Rtn-70.5%22.5%-42.1%56.0%34.2%196.4%28.3%
1M Excs Rtn-9.4%10.3%-0.9%-4.9%-5.3%1.2%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-36.8%18.7%4.2%0.4%17.7%35.4%10.9%
6M Excs Rtn-41.3%24.1%-3.8%10.5%1.9%20.8%6.2%
12M Excs Rtn-64.2%-13.7%-6.1%22.8%13.3%21.9%3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.1%-47.9%-111.3%-17.0%-38.8%122.1%-43.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Nexplanon/Implanon NXT830   
Atozet519   
Other440146  
Singulair404   
Zetia322   
Cozaar/Hyzaar281   
Renflexis278   
Other Non-Opioid Pain, Bone and Dermatology275   
Nasonex266   
Follistim AQ262   
Arcoxia257   
Dulera194   
NuvaRing176   
Fosamax159   
Ontruzant155   
Other Women's Health147   
Other Cardiovascular139   
Clarinex136   
Marvelon/Mercilon134   
Vytorin129   
Propecia125   
Ganirelix Acetate Injection110   
Proscar97   
Diprospan91   
Brenzys73   
Rosuzet70   
Other Respiratory64   
Hadlima44   
Aybintio43   
Jada43   
Emgality/Rayvow0   
Vtama0   
Biosimilars 481424330
Established Brands 3,8744,2684,647
Women’s Health 1,6731,6121,555
Total6,2636,1746,3046,532


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,230,867
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume4,983,692
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.26
Basic Shares Quantity259,975,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202513.7%11.4%6.2%
8/5/2025-13.1%-6.8%1.9%
5/1/2025-26.9%-32.3%-28.5%
2/13/202511.0%6.7%6.1%
10/31/20244.7%-11.9%-9.9%
8/6/2024-7.6%-3.6%11.6%
5/2/20243.6%8.2%14.8%
2/15/202413.8%13.4%13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive979
# Negative9119
Median Positive9.0%8.2%11.6%
Median Negative-9.2%-8.9%-16.1%
Max Positive13.8%13.4%14.8%
Max Negative-26.9%-32.3%-28.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021321202210-K 12/31/2021