Tearsheet

Nova (NVMI)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $288.55 | Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Nova (NVMI)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $288.55
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 29%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, and Cloud Computing. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NVMI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Nova (NVMI) stock moved by 9.2% during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025: 1. Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Miss Led to Stock Decline.

Nova reported record quarterly revenue of $224.6 million for the third quarter of 2025, a 25% increase year-over-year; however, this figure fell short of analyst expectations of $226.6 million, triggering a significant negative reaction and an approximately 9% drop in pre-market trading. 2. Convertible Senior Notes Offering Raised Dilution Concerns.

The company's announcement of a proposed private offering, and subsequent pricing, of an upsized $650 million in 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 sparked an immediate 9% drop in the stock due to market concerns about potential dilution.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NVMI Return87%108%-44%68%43%46%658%
Peers Return65%57%-38%64%1%48%295%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NVMI Win Rate75%83%33%67%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%37%62%47%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NVMI Max Drawdown-29%-1%-53%0%-6%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-3%-51%-3%-11%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNVMIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven463 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven332 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven674.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven237 days1480 days

Compare to LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER, ENTG


In The Past

Nova's stock fell -52.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -52.8% loss requires a 111.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nova (NVMI)

Better Bets than Nova (NVMI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NVMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nova

Financials

NVMILRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameNova Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Mkt Price286.78147.46228.711,133.70167.4474.79198.07
Mkt Cap8.6186.5182.5149.426.611.488.0
Rev LTM85319,59228,61312,5242,8603,2237,873
Op Inc LTM2486,4668,6235,2315394122,885
FCF LTM2305,5505,8233,8734573312,165
FCF 3Y Avg1784,9646,4573,4134272201,920
CFO LTM2546,3847,7054,2486756802,464
CFO 3Y Avg1985,5317,7883,7376116072,174

Growth & Margins

NVMILRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameNova Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Rev Chg LTM39.4%25.7%6.6%22.1%4.5%0.6%14.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.5%4.0%4.4%8.7%-4.3%3.8%4.2%
Rev Chg Q25.5%27.7%7.7%13.0%4.3%-0.1%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%6.3%1.9%3.0%1.1%-0.0%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM29.1%33.0%30.1%41.8%18.8%12.8%29.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg27.2%30.2%29.4%38.9%19.4%13.6%28.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%1.0%0.5%0.5%-0.4%-0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM29.8%32.6%26.9%33.9%23.6%21.1%28.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.6%32.5%28.5%34.0%22.0%18.2%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM27.0%28.3%20.4%30.9%16.0%10.3%23.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.6%29.3%23.7%31.1%15.4%6.8%25.1%

Valuation

NVMILRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameNova Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
Mkt Cap8.6186.5182.5149.426.611.488.0
P/S10.19.56.411.99.33.59.4
P/EBIT34.627.819.928.950.622.028.4
P/E35.032.126.735.359.939.435.1
P/CFO33.829.223.735.239.316.731.5
Total Yield2.9%3.7%4.5%3.5%2.0%2.8%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.3%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%4.4%4.4%3.6%2.2%1.5%3.4%
D/E0.10.00.00.00.00.30.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.00.3-0.0

Returns

NVMILRCXAMATKLACTERENTGMedian
NameNova Lam Rese.Applied .KLA Teradyne Entegris  
1M Rtn-13.3%4.2%1.7%2.6%21.2%-17.7%2.1%
3M Rtn10.1%49.4%39.9%28.6%51.8%-4.5%34.2%
6M Rtn50.8%76.7%38.6%44.6%106.0%-0.8%47.7%
12M Rtn60.5%112.7%36.8%86.6%64.0%-23.1%62.3%
3Y Rtn232.3%233.9%124.5%210.2%82.6%3.3%167.4%
1M Excs Rtn-13.4%4.1%1.5%2.5%21.1%-17.8%2.0%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%43.2%36.9%25.6%47.4%-11.0%31.2%
6M Excs Rtn38.9%64.8%26.7%32.7%94.2%-12.7%35.8%
12M Excs Rtn39.9%90.3%14.9%66.4%46.7%-40.0%43.3%
3Y Excs Rtn158.6%145.5%55.7%149.5%13.1%-67.3%100.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Products405464337209167
Services113107796058
Total518571416269225


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,330,917
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-6.3%
Average Daily Volume288,300
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.62
Basic Shares Quantity29,936,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202590220256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024220202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023220202420-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022228202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021301202220-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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