Teradyne (TER)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $200.21 | Market Cap: $31.8 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Teradyne (TER)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $200.21Market Cap: $31.8 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Factory Automation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TER Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Teradyne (TER) experienced significant upward movement, rising by 65.3% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This substantial increase can be attributed to several key factors within the semiconductor test and robotics industries.
1. Strong Performance in AI-Related Semiconductor Testing: Teradyne has seen robust demand for its semiconductor test equipment, particularly in areas related to Artificial Intelligence (AI). Its Titan HP system, designed for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) validation, experienced a 350% year-over-year surge in shipments in late 2024, capturing 45% of the AI chip testing market. This growth is a direct response to the industry's shift toward AI and high-performance computing chips, which require sophisticated testing solutions. Teradyne's Q3 2025 financial results notably highlighted revenue growth of 18% and a 49% increase in non-GAAP EPS, primarily driven by heightened demand for semiconductor tests related to AI applications. The company's strategic focus on AI compute and related memory is expected to continue driving growth.
2. Positive Financial Results and Outlook: Teradyne consistently surpassed analyst expectations in its recent earnings reports. For instance, Q4 2024 revenues were $753 million, up 12% from Q4 2023, and Q4 2024 non-GAAP EPS was $0.95, beating estimates. The company projected strong Q4 2025 revenue exceeding market expectations, with an estimated range of $920 million to $1 billion, significantly higher than the consensus. Additionally, Teradyne beat Q2 2025 forecasts with EPS of $0.57 versus $0.54 expected, and revenue of $652 million against a $649.52 million forecast, leading to a 20.02% stock surge post-earnings. The company anticipates year-over-year revenue acceleration in 2025, driven by improving conditions in its test businesses.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TER Return | 77% | 37% | -46% | 25% | 17% | 51% | 186% |
| Peers Return | 29% | 29% | -21% | 39% | 2% | 31% | 142% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TER Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 52% | 30% | 48% | 38% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TER Max Drawdown | -35% | -13% | -56% | -5% | -12% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -5% | -37% | -7% | -11% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KEYS, FORM, NVEC, Q, LRCX. See TER Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TER | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1111 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 212 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 516.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 818 days | 1480 days |
Compare to KEYS, FORM, NVEC, Q, LRCX
In The Past
Teradyne's stock fell -57.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -57.7% loss requires a 136.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TER. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302025 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 135.0% | 156.8% | -0.6% |
| 11302022 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | -0.9% | -11.2% |
| 04302022 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.8% | -13.0% | -32.2% |
| 12312018 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 56.3% | 118.9% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302025 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 135.0% | 156.8% | -0.6% |
| 11302022 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | -0.9% | -11.2% |
| 04302022 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.8% | -13.0% | -32.2% |
| 12312018 | TER | Teradyne | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 56.3% | 118.9% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Teradyne
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductor Test | 1,957 | 2,081 | 2,642 | 2,260 | 1,553 |
| Robotics | 375 | 403 | 376 | 280 | 298 |
| All Other | 344 | ||||
| Corporate And Eliminations | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
| System Test | 469 | 468 | 410 | 287 | |
| Wireless Test | 202 | 217 | 173 | 157 | |
| Total | 2,676 | 3,155 | 3,703 | 3,121 | 2,295 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductor Test | 1,389 | 1,383 | 1,246 | 1,070 | 785 |
| Corporate And Eliminations | 1,170 | 1,193 | 1,584 | 1,624 | 1,102 |
| Robotics | 737 | 666 | 701 | 713 | 672 |
| All Other | 191 | ||||
| System Test | 166 | 171 | 138 | 131 | |
| Wireless Test | 94 | 108 | 106 | 97 | |
| Total | 3,487 | 3,501 | 3,809 | 3,652 | 2,787 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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