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NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $183.61 | Market Cap: $4.5 Tril
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $183.61
Market Cap: $4.5 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 59%
Key risks
NVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, CFO LTM is 83 Bil, FCF LTM is 77 Bil
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 65%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 59%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, CFO LTM is 83 Bil, FCF LTM is 77 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Automation & Robotics, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 24x
6 Key risks
NVDA key risks include [1] U.S. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NVDA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining NVIDIA's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 Fiscal 2026 Financial Results. NVIDIA reported record revenue of $57.0 billion for the third quarter, which ended October 26, 2025, marking a 62% increase year-over-year. Data Center revenue also hit a record $51.2 billion, up 66% year-over-year. These results significantly surpassed analyst expectations.

2. Optimistic Q4 Fiscal 2026 Revenue Guidance. Following the strong Q3 performance, NVIDIA provided an upbeat outlook for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, projecting revenue of $65.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. This robust forecast signaled continued growth and instilled confidence in the company's future performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.0% change in NVDA stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)183.60183.690.05%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)165218.00187142.0013.27%
Net Income Margin (%)52.41%53.01%1.13%
P/E Multiple51.6645.05-12.80%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24366.0024327.000.16%
Cumulative Contribution0.05%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA0.0% 
Market (SPY)2.7%63.2%
Sector (XLK)2.7%80.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.4% change in NVDA stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 26.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)144.15183.6927.43%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)148515.00187142.0026.01%
Net Income Margin (%)51.69%53.01%2.54%
P/E Multiple45.8945.05-1.84%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24441.0024327.000.47%
Cumulative Contribution27.42%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA27.4% 
Market (SPY)14.4%58.8%
Sector (XLK)19.7%79.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.4% change in NVDA stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 65.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)134.66183.6936.41%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)113269.00187142.0065.22%
Net Income Margin (%)55.69%53.01%-4.81%
P/E Multiple52.3845.05-14.00%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24533.0024327.000.84%
Cumulative Contribution36.40%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA36.4% 
Market (SPY)16.9%73.4%
Sector (XLK)23.8%86.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1109.2% change in NVDA stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 555.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)15.19183.691109.22%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)28566.00187142.00555.12%
Net Income Margin (%)20.85%53.01%154.19%
P/E Multiple63.3245.05-28.86%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)24830.0024327.002.03%
Cumulative Contribution1108.72%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
NVDA276.4% 
Market (SPY)47.7%67.5%
Sector (XLK)52.9%81.7%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NVDA Return122%125%-50%239%171%35%2991%
Peers Return57%45%-42%85%25%40%329%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NVDA Win Rate75%58%42%75%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%38%65%53%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NVDA Max Drawdown-16%-11%-62%-2%-4%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-12%-49%-4%-20%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMD, INTC, AVGO, QCOM, MRVL. See NVDA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNVDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven417 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven570.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,731 days1,480 days

Compare to AMD, MU, STX, WDC, AMBA

In The Past

NVIDIA's stock fell -66.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -66.4% loss requires a 197.3% gain to breakeven.

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About NVIDIA (NVDA)

NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and internationally. The company's Graphics segment offers GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; vGPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems; and Omniverse software for building 3D designs and virtual worlds. Its Compute & Networking segment provides Data Center platforms and systems for AI, HPC, and accelerated computing; Mellanox networking and interconnect solutions; automotive AI Cockpit, autonomous driving development agreements, and autonomous vehicle solutions; cryptocurrency mining processors; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms; and NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software. The company's products are used in gaming, professional visualization, datacenter, and automotive markets. NVIDIA Corporation sells its products to original equipment manufacturers, original device manufacturers, system builders, add-in board manufacturers, retailers/distributors, independent software vendors, Internet and cloud service providers, automotive manufacturers and tier-1 automotive suppliers, mapping companies, start-ups, and other ecosystem participants. It has a strategic collaboration with Kroger Co. NVIDIA Corporation was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe NVIDIA:

  • Qualcomm for AI chips
  • Microsoft for AI computing
  • Caterpillar for AI infrastructure

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • GPUs (Graphics Processing Units): Processors designed to accelerate graphics rendering, parallel computation, and AI workloads across gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and automotive applications.
  • CUDA Platform: A parallel computing platform and programming model that enables developers to use NVIDIA GPUs for general-purpose computing.
  • NVIDIA AI Enterprise: An end-to-end cloud-native software suite optimized for developing and deploying AI and data science applications.
  • NVIDIA Omniverse: A platform for connecting and building 3D tools and applications based on Universal Scene Description (USD) for virtual world simulation and design collaboration.
  • NVIDIA Networking: High-performance InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions, including network adapters, switches, and software, for data centers and supercomputing.
  • NVIDIA DRIVE: A comprehensive AI platform that includes hardware and software for autonomous vehicles, robotics, and intelligent transportation systems.
  • NVIDIA Jetson: A series of embedded computing boards and modules designed for AI and machine learning applications at the edge, ideal for robotics and IoT devices.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NVIDIA (symbol: NVDA) sells primarily to other companies (B2B), providing its graphics processing units (GPUs) and related platforms to various industries for integration into their products, services, and infrastructure. These direct customers then deploy NVIDIA technology in their own offerings for their end-users or internal operations.

Its major customers include, but are not limited to:

  • Microsoft (MSFT): A leading cloud service provider (Azure) utilizing NVIDIA GPUs extensively for AI and high-performance computing services offered to businesses and developers.
  • Amazon (AMZN): Through Amazon Web Services (AWS), it provides a wide range of GPU-accelerated instances powered by NVIDIA technology for cloud computing workloads.
  • Google (GOOGL): Its Google Cloud platform deploys NVIDIA GPUs for AI training, inference, and various cloud computing services for its global customer base.
  • Meta Platforms (META): A significant buyer of NVIDIA GPUs for its internal AI research and infrastructure, including the training of large language models and other advanced AI applications.
  • Oracle (ORCL): Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) has made substantial investments in NVIDIA's data center GPUs to power its enterprise cloud offerings, particularly for AI and HPC.
  • Dell Technologies (DELL): Integrates NVIDIA GPUs into its servers, workstations, and gaming PCs (e.g., Alienware brand) that are sold to businesses and consumers.
  • Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE): Offers servers and high-performance computing systems featuring NVIDIA GPUs for enterprise and scientific applications globally.
  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI): A prominent manufacturer of servers and storage solutions, known for heavily integrating NVIDIA GPUs into its systems for AI and data center applications.
  • Lenovo Group (0992.HK): Incorporates NVIDIA GPUs into its personal computers, professional workstations, and data center products, serving both business and individual customers.
  • Mercedes-Benz Group AG (MBG.DE): A key automotive partner utilizing NVIDIA's DRIVE platform for software-defined vehicles and advanced autonomous driving capabilities in its production cars.

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  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM)
  • SK Hynix Inc. (HKMYY)
  • Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. (SSNLF)
  • Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)
  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX)
  • Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Jensen Huang, Founder, President and CEO

Jensen Huang co-founded NVIDIA in 1993 and has served as its President and CEO since its inception. Prior to founding NVIDIA, he worked as a microprocessor designer at Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and as a director at LSI Logic Corporation.

Colette Kress, EVP and Chief Financial Officer

Colette Kress has been the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at NVIDIA since 2013. Before joining NVIDIA, she held senior finance positions at Cisco, serving as Senior Vice President and CFO of the Business Technology and Operations Finance organization, and spent 13 years at Microsoft, including a role as CFO of the Server and Tools division. She began her career at Texas Instruments.

Chris A. Malachowsky, Founder & NVIDIA Fellow

Chris A. Malachowsky co-founded NVIDIA in 1993. He has overseen various areas within the company, including IT, operations, and product engineering, and currently focuses on developing NVIDIA's core technologies as an NVIDIA Fellow and senior technology executive. Previously, he held engineering and technical leadership roles at HP and Sun Microsystems.

Jay Puri, EVP, Worldwide Field Operations

Jay Puri is the Executive Vice President of Worldwide Field Operations at NVIDIA, responsible for the company's global sales and field operations. Before joining NVIDIA in 2005, Puri spent over two decades in sales, marketing, and management at Sun Microsystems, where he was a Senior Vice President of its Asia-Pacific Group. He also held roles at Hewlett-Packard, Booz Allen, and Texas Instruments.

Debora Shoquist, EVP, Operations

Debora Shoquist serves as the Executive Vice President of Operations, overseeing NVIDIA's global operations, including supply chain management, logistics, and procurement. She joined the company in 2007 and has been instrumental in scaling NVIDIA's manufacturing and operational efficiency.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to NVIDIA's business:
  1. Geopolitical and Regulatory Risks

    NVIDIA faces significant challenges due to geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, which impact its ability to operate in key markets. U.S. export controls and restrictions on advanced AI chips limit NVIDIA's sales to China, a crucial market, leading to substantial revenue losses and forcing costly supply chain diversification. China, in turn, has initiated antitrust probes and imposed bans on certain NVIDIA chips, viewing its technology as critical for national security.

  2. Intensifying Competition

    The company is experiencing increasing competition in the AI accelerator market. Rival chipmakers such as AMD (with its MI300 series) and Intel (with Gaudi) are actively developing and promoting their own AI chip solutions, which are projected to erode NVIDIA's dominant market share. Furthermore, major hyperscale cloud providers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft are designing and deploying their own custom AI chips, optimized for cost and specific inference workloads, thereby potentially reducing their reliance on NVIDIA's GPUs.

  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Constraints

    Despite robust demand for its AI chips, NVIDIA has consistently faced difficulties in meeting orders due to persistent supply chain disruptions and manufacturing bottlenecks. Critical advanced packaging processes at its primary supplier, TSMC, have struggled to scale, leading to delayed deliveries for products like the Blackwell series AI chips. These constraints raise concerns about NVIDIA's capacity to adapt and scale production to match the rapidly expanding AI market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Increased competition in the AI accelerator market, particularly from AMD's Instinct MI300X series, which has demonstrated competitive performance in certain AI workloads and is gaining adoption among major hyperscale cloud providers like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle.
  • The development and deployment of custom in-house AI accelerator chips by major hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., Google's TPUs, Amazon's Inferentia and Trainium, Microsoft's Maia 100, and Meta's MTIA). These initiatives aim to reduce their reliance on external vendors like NVIDIA, optimize for their specific software stacks and workloads, and potentially lower costs, thereby reducing NVIDIA's total addressable market within these critical customers over time.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NVIDIA (NVDA) operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Data Center (AI and Accelerated Computing): This segment, encompassing GPUs like the NVIDIA A and H series, DGX systems, and software platforms such as CUDA and AI Enterprise, is NVIDIA's largest revenue generator. The global data center GPU market was valued at approximately USD 16.94 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach about USD 192.68 billion by 2034, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 27.52% from 2025 to 2034. More broadly, the global data center market size was estimated at USD 242.72 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 584.86 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global data center market at USD 319.53 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 987.68 billion by 2035. NVIDIA itself estimates its long-term opportunity in the data center market to be $300 billion.
  • Gaming: NVIDIA's GeForce GTX and RTX series GPUs cater to the gaming market. The global gaming GPU market size was estimated at USD 4.89 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 20.98 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 33.84%. Other estimates suggest the global gaming GPU market was valued at USD 78.15 billion in 2024, growing to USD 219.48 billion by 2035, and another at USD 72.3 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 405.58 billion by 2033. NVIDIA holds a dominant position in the gaming GPU market, with a 92% market share in Q1 2025.
  • Automotive (AI and Autonomous Vehicles): NVIDIA's offerings in this sector include the Tegra series and the NVIDIA Drive platform (Drive PX, Drive Thor, Orin), providing AI solutions for autonomous driving. The global automotive artificial intelligence (AI) market is estimated at USD 4.71 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to approximately USD 48.59 billion by 2034. Another report values the global AI in automotive market size at USD 4.8 billion in 2024, with an estimated CAGR of 42.8% between 2025 and 2034. North America dominated the automotive AI market in 2024, with the U.S. market size for automotive AI projected to be around USD 7.68 billion by 2034, up from USD 820 million in 2025. NVIDIA is targeting approximately $5 billion in automotive revenue for fiscal year 2026.
  • Professional Visualization: This segment focuses on professional workstations, design, and content creation, utilizing Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs. NVIDIA's Professional Visualization segment generated $511 million in revenue in January 2025 and experienced a 10% increase in 2025. The global data visualization tools market was valued at USD 7.77 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 15.57 billion by 2033. Furthermore, the global visualization and 3D rendering software market was valued at US$ 3.38 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to nearly US$ 14.50 billion by 2030. North America holds a dominant share in the global visualization and 3D rendering software market. NVIDIA has a market share of 24.55% in the 3D rendering market.

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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Dominance in AI Data Centers and Accelerated Computing: NVIDIA's position as the leading provider of GPUs and full-stack solutions for artificial intelligence and accelerated computing is a primary driver of future revenue. The company is experiencing robust demand for its Hopper architecture and the rapid ramp-up of its new Blackwell platform, which is central to the ongoing "AI race." Industry forecasts suggest that global AI data center demand will surge significantly by 2030, creating a multi-trillion-dollar market opportunity for NVIDIA as enterprises and cloud providers aggressively invest in AI infrastructure for training and inference workloads.
  • Expansion in the Automotive and Robotics Markets: NVIDIA's automotive division has shown substantial year-over-year revenue growth, driven by advancements in self-driving technology and AI applications in vehicles. The company's full-stack NVIDIA DRIVE AV software platform is in full production, and initial shipments of the DRIVE AGX Thor system-on-a-chip are underway, leading to increased adoption by major automakers. Furthermore, the emerging market for industrial AI and robotics, coupled with surging investments in physical AI, is expected to contribute significantly to future revenue, with the autonomous machine market presenting a long-term opportunity of $300 billion.
  • Robust Software and Platform Ecosystem (including Omniverse): NVIDIA's comprehensive software and platform strategy, including its Omniverse platform, is a key competitive advantage and a significant accelerator of revenue growth. This ecosystem, comprising vast software libraries and development tools, simplifies customer implementations and enables NVIDIA to penetrate multiple vertical markets simultaneously. The company anticipates its AI enterprise full-year revenue to more than double, with annualizing software service and support revenue projected to exceed $2 billion, demonstrating the increasing monetization of its software offerings.
  • Continuous Innovation with New Product Cycles: The ongoing introduction of new and more powerful GPU architectures, such as the Blackwell platform and future designs, is critical for maintaining NVIDIA's leadership in AI and high-performance computing. These new product cycles drive upgrades and expand the total addressable market by offering enhanced performance, lower costs, and improved energy efficiency for developing and running complex AI models. The rapid ramp-up of these new architectures ensures NVIDIA stays at the forefront of technological advancements, capturing new demand in evolving markets.
  • Growth in Professional Visualization and AI PCs: While not as large as the data center segment, the professional visualization market continues to be a growth area for NVIDIA, with recent revenue increases and the introduction of new RTX PRO Blackwell GPUs. Additionally, the gaming segment, particularly with the integration of AI technologies, is contributing to revenue growth through the adoption of GeForce RTX GPUs for gaming, creative applications, and new AI PCs featuring Microsoft's Copilot+ capabilities. These segments benefit from the broader demand for powerful graphics processing and AI capabilities in end-user devices and professional workstations.

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Share Repurchases

  • NVIDIA's board approved an additional $60 billion share repurchase authorization on August 26, 2025, which has no expiration date. This authorization follows previous programs, bringing the total authorized for future repurchases to nearly $75 billion (combining the new $60 billion with approximately $15 billion remaining from prior authorizations).
  • In fiscal year 2025, NVIDIA repurchased $34.0 billion of its common stock.
  • During the first half of fiscal 2026, the company returned $24.3 billion to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and cash dividends.

Share Issuance

  • NVIDIA's shares outstanding have shown a decline over the past year, with 24.532 billion shares outstanding for the quarter ending July 31, 2025, representing a 1.27% decrease year-over-year, indicating that share repurchases have outweighed shares issued.
  • As of January 26, 2025, 274 million shares were eligible for issuance under the 2007 Equity Incentive Plan, and an additional 1.4 billion shares were available for future grants.

Outbound Investments

  • NVIDIA has made significant strategic investments, including a $5 billion investment in Intel for unified GPU-CPU infrastructure and a co-acquisition of Aligned Data Centers with Microsoft and BlackRock in October 2025.
  • The company pledged a $100 billion commitment to OpenAI, with funds primarily intended for OpenAI to lease NVIDIA chips over future years.
  • NVIDIA invested up to $2 billion in xAI's $20 billion capital raise in October 2025, largely to facilitate xAI's procurement of NVIDIA AI processors, and made acquisitions such as Run:ai for $700 million and OctoAI for $250 million in 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • NVIDIA's latest twelve months (TTM) capital expenditures as of July 2025 amounted to approximately $5.012 billion.
  • For fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures were $3.24 billion, primarily focused on expanding Blackwell accelerator production and AI infrastructure.
  • Future capital expenditures are projected to average $7.891 billion over the next five fiscal years, with an expected $6.514 billion for the upcoming fiscal year, driven by accelerating AI infrastructure buildouts and data center expansion.

Better Bets than NVIDIA (NVDA)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NVDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
16.1%16.1%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.0%12.0%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.8%7.8%0.0%
NVDA_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022NVDANVIDIAMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
189.5%239.0%-2.4%
NVDA_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-3.6%179.3%-25.9%
NVDA_12312018_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE12312018NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
24.7%76.9%-4.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NVIDIA

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Price183.69214.9536.37341.45174.2284.80178.95
Mkt Cap4,468.6349.5164.21,616.1187.872.6268.7
Rev LTM187,14232,02753,43963,88744,2847,79348,862
Op Inc LTM110,1222,999-10426,07512,3941,1477,696
FCF LTM77,3245,448-8,41826,91412,8201,5779,134
FCF 3Y Avg50,4622,775-11,22721,32011,2771,2807,026
CFO LTM83,1596,4088,57427,53714,0121,89111,293
CFO 3Y Avg53,6523,46110,95721,86112,5041,59311,731

Growth & Margins

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Rev Chg LTM65.2%31.8%-1.5%23.9%13.7%45.0%27.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg91.6%12.9%-7.6%25.2%1.2%12.3%12.6%
Rev Chg Q62.5%35.6%2.8%28.2%10.0%36.8%31.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.3%8.2%0.7%6.6%2.4%7.7%7.2%
Op Mgn LTM58.8%9.4%-0.2%40.8%28.0%14.7%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg55.8%4.9%-3.7%38.6%25.9%-1.2%15.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%1.1%8.1%1.8%-0.2%8.7%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM44.4%20.0%16.0%43.1%31.6%24.3%28.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg46.2%12.4%20.5%44.1%31.5%25.8%28.7%
FCF/Rev LTM41.3%17.0%-15.8%42.1%28.9%20.2%24.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg43.4%9.8%-20.9%43.0%28.4%20.7%24.5%

Valuation

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
Mkt Cap4,468.6349.5164.21,616.1187.872.6268.7
P/S23.910.93.125.34.29.310.1
P/EBIT38.4113.957.462.314.123.647.9
P/E45.0105.7829.269.933.929.357.5
P/CFO53.754.519.158.713.438.446.1
Total Yield2.2%0.9%0.1%1.4%5.0%3.7%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.7%1.2%-9.1%3.1%7.0%2.1%1.9%
D/E0.00.00.30.00.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.10.00.00.00.0

Returns

NVDAAMDINTCAVGOQCOMMRVLMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Intel Broadcom Qualcomm Marvell . 
1M Rtn2.7%5.5%5.4%0.6%7.2%9.5%5.5%
3M Rtn0.0%34.5%26.5%1.0%3.2%12.3%7.8%
6M Rtn27.4%65.9%71.6%35.0%15.0%20.0%31.2%
12M Rtn36.4%80.3%86.3%56.5%16.5%-24.0%46.4%
3Y Rtn1,109.2%233.2%44.6%546.5%68.3%130.8%182.0%
1M Excs Rtn-3.5%-0.9%3.0%-6.6%4.5%5.4%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-0.4%30.3%20.6%-2.4%-0.0%10.4%5.2%
6M Excs Rtn11.3%42.4%48.4%17.0%0.2%0.0%14.2%
12M Excs Rtn25.4%59.9%71.3%37.3%-0.8%-36.3%31.4%
3Y Excs Rtn908.1%146.5%-37.6%468.8%-16.7%37.9%92.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Compute & Networking47,40515,06811,0466,8413,279
Graphics13,51711,90615,8689,8347,639
All Other00   
Total60,92226,97426,91416,67510,918


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Compute & Networking32,0165,0834,5982,548751
Graphics5,8464,5528,4924,6123,267
All Other-4,890-5,411-3,049-2,628-1,172
Total32,9724,22410,0414,5322,846


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$183.69 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4,475.8 
First Trading Date01/22/1999 
Distance from 52W High-11.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$185.66$157.90
DMA Trendupindeterminate
Distance from DMA-1.1%16.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility36.9%49.7%
Downside Capture191.59209.92
Upside Capture167.86209.90
Correlation (SPY)62.9%73.4%
NVDA Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.001.851.941.781.842.10
Up Beta2.021.320.831.071.692.03
Down Beta3.231.951.742.011.641.88
Up Capture79%174%235%238%441%6771%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days8203270132413
Down Capture230%202%228%170%145%111%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11213055116336

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of NVDA With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 NVDASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return40.9%21.7%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility49.6%27.8%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio0.850.690.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 86.1%72.9%0.0%25.0%19.5%30.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of NVDA With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 NVDASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return69.1%19.4%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility52.1%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio1.200.710.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 81.5%69.7%6.5%12.6%30.6%30.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of NVDA With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 NVDASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return72.4%22.4%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility49.8%24.2%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio1.290.850.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 76.2%65.3%2.0%17.1%33.5%21.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity232,898,275
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.8%
Average Daily Volume241,685,988
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity24,327,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/2025-3.2%-3.4% 
8/27/2025-0.8%-5.5%-1.9%
5/28/20253.2%5.3%17.0%
2/26/2025-8.5%-10.6%-15.1%
11/20/20240.5%-7.2%-7.7%
8/28/2024-6.4%-14.6%-3.3%
5/22/20249.3%16.4%24.4%
2/21/202416.4%15.1%35.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141410
# Negative101014
Median Positive4.6%9.0%19.1%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.4%-5.0%
Max Positive24.4%30.2%35.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.6%-29.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251119202510-Q 10/26/2025
7312025827202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025528202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025226202510-K 1/26/2025
103120241120202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024529202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024221202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023828202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023224202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221118202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022527202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/30/2022