Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $186.35 | Market Cap: $91.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers
Marsh & McLennan Companies (MMC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $186.35Market Cap: $91.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Insurance Brokers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% | Key risksMMC key risks include [1] protecting vast amounts of sensitive client data from sophisticated cyber threats and third-party vulnerabilities, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Sustainable Finance, AI in Financial Services, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 5.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Sustainable Finance, AI in Financial Services, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56% |
| Key risksMMC key risks include [1] protecting vast amounts of sensitive client data from sophisticated cyber threats and third-party vulnerabilities, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MMC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Multiple Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions.
Throughout the period, several financial analysts lowered their ratings and price targets for Marsh & McLennan Companies. For example, on November 3, 2025, B of A Securities downgraded MMC to 'Underperform' and significantly reduced its price target from $243.00 USD to $181.00 USD, while TD Cowen also reduced its target. Similarly, on October 20, 2025, BMO Capital lowered its price target, and on December 4, 2025, Citigroup also decreased its price target. These adjustments reflect a more cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
2. Concerns Over Organic Growth Underperformance.
BMO Capital cited concerns about Marsh & McLennan's organic growth underperformance relative to its industry peers when lowering its price target on October 20, 2025. Earlier in the year, slower organic growth in Q1 2025 had already led to a dip in shares, indicating an ongoing investor apprehension regarding the company's core growth trajectory.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MMC Return | 7% | 51% | -3% | 16% | 14% | -10% | 84% |
| Peers Return | � | 41% | -7% | 16% | 26% | -9% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MMC Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 59% | 67% | 40% | 55% | 70% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MMC Max Drawdown | -31% | -8% | -16% | -7% | 0% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -7% | -22% | -9% | -5% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AON, AJG, WTW, BRO, ACN. See MMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MMC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,156 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AON, TRV, AJG, MET, AIG
In The Past
Marsh & McLennan Companies's stock fell -19.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -19.2% loss requires a 23.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Marsh & McLennan Companies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 262.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 77.7 |
| Rev LTM | 15,029 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,568 |
| FCF LTM | 2,404 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,464 |
| CFO LTM | 2,600 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,666 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 77.7 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 15.3 |
| P/E | 26.1 |
| P/CFO | 21.9 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 29.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -43.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk and Insurance Services | 14,089 | 12,645 | 12,085 | 10,337 | 9,599 |
| Consulting | 8,709 | 8,139 | 7,789 | 6,976 | 7,143 |
| Corporate/Eliminations | -62 | -64 | -54 | -89 | -90 |
| Total | 22,736 | 20,720 | 19,820 | 17,224 | 16,652 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk and Insurance Services | 3,945 | 3,089 | 3,080 | 2,346 | 1,833 |
| Consulting | 1,666 | 1,553 | 1,504 | 994 | 1,210 |
| Corporate/Eliminations | -329 | -362 | -272 | -274 | -366 |
| Total | 5,282 | 4,280 | 4,312 | 3,066 | 2,677 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/16/2025 | -8.5% | -7.1% | -9.8% |
| 7/17/2025 | -0.4% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
| 4/17/2025 | -4.9% | -5.3% | 0.0% |
| 1/30/2025 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 8.9% |
| 10/17/2024 | -0.4% | -1.9% | -2.8% |
| 7/18/2024 | -1.5% | -1.4% | 0.6% |
| 4/18/2024 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 5.8% |
| 1/25/2024 | -3.8% | -2.4% | 2.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 18 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -1.9% | -6.5% |
| Max Positive | 4.3% | 6.4% | 13.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -7.1% | -12.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10162025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7172025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4172025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10172024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7182024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4182024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10192023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7202023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4202023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10202022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7212022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4212022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Insurance Brokers Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |