Tearsheet

Brown & Brown (BRO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $80.685 | Market Cap: $26.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers

Brown & Brown (BRO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $80.685
Market Cap: $26.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Insurance Brokers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 23x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
5 Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to provide an explanation for a -16.7% stock movement during this period, as the event has not yet occurred. However, based on information available as of December 2025, there have been several developments concerning Brown & Brown (BRO) that have influenced its stock performance and outlook. Here are some key points related to Brown & Brown's recent performance and analyst sentiment:

1. Downgrades and Price Target Reductions by Analysts: Several firms have downgraded Brown & Brown and reduced their price targets in late 2025. BofA Securities downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral, lowering its price target from $135 to $97 due to softening rates and macroeconomic uncertainties. Morgan Stanley and Barclays also reduced their price targets on BRO in November 2025, citing weak pricing trends and a slowdown in the property and casualty markets. Raymond James lowered its price target to $90.00, while Goldman Sachs adjusted its target from $105.00 to $90.00 following lighter-than-expected organic growth in Q3 2025.

2. Moderating Organic Growth Projections: Mizuho initiated coverage on Brown & Brown in December 2025 with a Neutral rating, projecting moderating organic growth of 4% for 2026-2027. This is attributed to slower property and casualty pricing, reduced economic growth, and lower flood revenues in the first half of 2026 due to a benign 2025 storm season.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRO Return21%49%-18%26%44%-20%114%
Peers Return3%8%30%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRO Win Rate58%67%33%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate75%45%52%73%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRO Max Drawdown-20%-9%-24%-6%-2%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-10%-2%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AJG, MMC, AON, WTW, RYAN. See BRO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven388 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1428 days1480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Brown & Brown's stock fell -27.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -27.4% loss requires a 37.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brown & Brown (BRO)

Better Bets than Brown & Brown (BRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.5%1.5%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.5%1.5%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brown & Brown

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Price80.62250.90186.36352.03329.8453.07218.63
Mkt Cap26.779.591.575.932.36.854.1
Rev LTM5,34413,03026,45317,0289,8072,96311,418
Op Inc LTM1,4712,6826,1464,4542,268-2,682
FCF LTM1,2991,7674,8253,0401,3815721,574
FCF 3Y Avg1,0841,9724,0572,9561,1764761,574
CFO LTM1,3671,9165,0873,2841,6036401,760
CFO 3Y Avg1,1572,1334,3983,1991,4125191,773

Growth & Margins

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%15.6%10.5%14.1%-0.0%24.3%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.3%15.3%8.3%11.1%3.5%21.1%13.2%
Rev Chg Q34.2%19.9%11.5%7.4%-0.0%24.8%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%4.5%2.5%1.6%-0.0%5.3%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM27.5%20.6%23.2%26.2%23.1%-23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.0%19.5%23.1%27.1%21.0%-23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%0.6%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.6%14.7%19.2%19.3%16.3%21.6%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%19.1%18.1%21.5%14.6%21.3%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM24.3%13.6%18.2%17.9%14.1%19.3%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.2%17.7%16.7%19.9%12.2%19.6%18.6%

Valuation

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Cap26.779.591.575.932.36.854.1
P/S5.86.13.74.53.52.44.1
P/EBIT19.7-15.318.011.413.515.3
P/E31.149.624.028.316.0104.229.7
P/CFO22.741.519.523.421.111.321.9
Total Yield3.8%2.4%5.8%4.3%7.0%1.8%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.4%1.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%-4.0%4.1%4.1%6.9%4.1%
D/E0.3-0.20.20.20.50.2
Net D/E0.2-0.20.10.10.50.2

Returns

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
1M Rtn-0.1%-3.0%3.0%0.6%3.5%-6.2%0.2%
3M Rtn-12.4%-14.0%-5.2%-1.5%-0.5%-0.4%-3.3%
6M Rtn-25.3%-20.5%-12.3%0.8%11.5%-20.1%-16.2%
12M Rtn-21.4%-10.5%-11.2%-1.1%7.4%-18.3%-10.9%
3Y Rtn48.1%38.4%18.0%20.7%42.6%34.7%36.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%-3.7%2.3%-0.2%2.8%-7.0%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-13.4%-16.6%-5.9%-1.3%-1.6%-1.2%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-37.7%-32.9%-24.7%-11.6%-0.9%-32.4%-28.6%
12M Excs Rtn-33.2%-22.1%-23.0%-12.8%-4.0%-32.0%-22.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.7%-35.3%-55.8%-51.2%-28.5%-34.2%-34.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Retail2,5082,0841,7681,473
Programs1,173860702611
Wholesale Brokerage541453403353
Other354-13
Services 172179174
Total4,2573,5733,0512,613


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,774,321
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.0%
Average Daily Volume2,147,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.02
Basic Shares Quantity331,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-6.1%-11.1%-8.1%
7/28/2025-10.4%-9.6%-6.2%
4/28/2025-6.0%-3.9%-3.4%
1/27/2025-2.6%-2.1%6.6%
10/28/20241.6%2.0%9.9%
7/22/20245.2%5.9%10.6%
4/22/20240.5%-1.2%9.1%
1/23/2024-1.7%-0.8%6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8914
# Negative14138
Median Positive2.9%3.0%6.7%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.9%-3.5%
Max Positive7.2%9.5%12.1%
Max Negative-10.4%-11.1%-14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024722202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KRUMP PAUL J 8082025Buy93.312,678249,884499,488Form
1Masojada Bronislaw Edmund 8072025Buy91.441,00091,440457,200Form