Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
4 Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -17.1% movement in Brown & Brown (BRO) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:

1. Brown & Brown experienced a significant slowdown in organic revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025, with organic revenue increasing by 3.5% compared to 9.5% in the same period last year.

2. Several prominent analyst firms downgraded Brown & Brown's stock and/or reduced their price targets during this period. This included BofA Securities downgrading the stock from Buy to Neutral and reducing its price target, and Goldman Sachs lowering its price target due to lighter-than-expected organic growth and decelerating Q4 guidance.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRO Return21%49%-18%26%44%-20%114%
Peers Return3%8%30%-6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRO Win Rate58%67%33%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate75%45%52%73%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRO Max Drawdown-20%-9%-24%-6%-2%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-10%-2%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AJG, MMC, AON, WTW, RYAN. See BRO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven388 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,428 days1,480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Brown & Brown's stock fell -27.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -27.4% loss requires a 37.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brown & Brown (BRO)

Better Bets than Brown & Brown (BRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brown & Brown

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Price80.18253.39184.70350.04332.5652.87219.04
Mkt Cap26.565.090.775.532.66.848.8
Rev LTM5,34413,03026,45317,0289,8072,96311,418
Op Inc LTM1,4712,6826,1464,4542,268-2,682
FCF LTM1,2991,7674,8253,0401,3815721,574
FCF 3Y Avg1,0841,9724,0572,9561,1764761,574
CFO LTM1,3671,9165,0873,2841,6036401,760
CFO 3Y Avg1,1572,1334,3983,1991,4125191,773

Growth & Margins

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%15.6%10.5%14.1%-0.0%24.3%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.3%15.3%8.3%11.1%3.5%21.1%13.2%
Rev Chg Q34.2%19.9%11.5%7.4%-0.0%24.8%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%4.5%2.5%1.6%-0.0%5.3%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM27.5%20.6%23.2%26.2%23.1%-23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.0%19.5%23.1%27.1%21.0%-23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%0.6%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.6%14.7%19.2%19.3%16.3%21.6%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%19.1%18.1%21.5%14.6%21.3%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM24.3%13.6%18.2%17.9%14.1%19.3%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.2%17.7%16.7%19.9%12.2%19.6%18.6%

Valuation

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Cap26.565.090.775.532.66.848.8
P/S5.05.03.44.43.32.33.9
P/EBIT16.825.014.117.711.012.615.4
P/E26.640.622.027.815.497.827.2
P/CFO19.433.917.823.020.310.619.9
Total Yield4.4%2.9%6.4%4.4%7.3%1.9%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.5%1.8%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%3.2%4.0%4.1%4.1%6.9%4.1%
D/E0.30.20.20.20.20.50.2
Net D/E0.30.20.20.10.10.50.2

Returns

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
1M Rtn1.7%2.1%4.3%1.7%4.8%-5.6%1.9%
3M Rtn-12.4%-15.2%-5.7%-0.1%-1.0%-0.6%-3.3%
6M Rtn-25.9%-20.5%-13.8%-0.9%11.9%-21.1%-17.1%
12M Rtn-21.1%-8.4%-10.8%-0.2%8.1%-15.6%-9.6%
3Y Rtn47.3%39.4%17.2%20.4%44.2%32.3%35.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%-0.7%1.4%-1.2%1.9%-8.5%-1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%-17.4%-7.9%-2.9%-3.7%-3.8%-5.9%
6M Excs Rtn-40.9%-34.9%-28.4%-15.8%-3.3%-36.1%-31.6%
12M Excs Rtn-34.7%-22.6%-24.9%-14.6%-4.6%-31.6%-23.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.5%-36.1%-59.0%-53.9%-30.3%-39.9%-38.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Retail2,5082,0841,7681,473
Programs1,173860702611
Wholesale Brokerage541453403353
Other354-13
Services 172179174
Total4,2573,5733,0512,613


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,774,321
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.0%
Average Daily Volume2,147,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.02
Basic Shares Quantity331,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-6.1%-11.1%-8.1%
7/28/2025-10.4%-9.6%-6.2%
4/28/2025-6.0%-3.9%-3.4%
1/27/2025-2.6%-2.1%6.6%
10/28/20241.6%2.0%9.9%
7/22/20245.2%5.9%10.6%
4/22/20240.5%-1.2%9.1%
1/23/2024-1.7%-0.8%6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8914
# Negative14138
Median Positive2.9%3.0%6.7%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.9%-3.5%
Max Positive7.2%9.5%12.1%
Max Negative-10.4%-11.1%-14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024722202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KRUMP PAUL J 8082025Buy93.312,678249,884499,488Form
1Masojada Bronislaw Edmund 8072025Buy91.441,00091,440457,200Form