Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Barclays Significantly Lowered Price Target: In late November 2025, Barclays notably reduced its price target for Brown & Brown (BRO) from $102 to $84.

2. Morgan Stanley Revised Price Target Downward: Morgan Stanley also contributed to the negative sentiment by lowering its price target for BRO to $85 from $95 in mid-November 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRO Return21%49%-18%26%44%-21%111%
Peers Return-10%39%13%5%25%9%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRO Win Rate58%67%33%58%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%63%58%60%65%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRO Max Drawdown-20%-9%-24%-6%-2%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-2%-10%-21%-1%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU. See BRO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven388 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1428 days1480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, HIG, PRU


In The Past

Brown & Brown's stock fell -27.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -27.4% loss requires a 37.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brown & Brown (BRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brown & Brown

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROTRVMETAIGHIGPRUMedian
NameBrown & .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Growth & Margins

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NameBrown & .Traveler.MetLife American.Hartford.Prudenti. 
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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,462,470
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.5%
Average Daily Volume2,926,539
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.58
Basic Shares Quantity331,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024722202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KRUMP PAUL J 8082025Buy93.312,678249,884499,488Form
1Masojada Bronislaw Edmund 8072025Buy91.441,00091,440457,200Form