Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Risk Management. Themes include Specialty Insurance Solutions, Employee Benefits & Human Capital Risk, and Climate & Catastrophe Resilience.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
4 Key risks
BRO key risks include [1] an acquisition-dependent growth strategy that has significantly increased financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 21, 2025, Brown & Brown (BRO) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, with key contributing factors including a dip in organic revenue growth, widespread analyst downgrades, and a softening insurance market.

1. Softer Organic Revenue Growth in Q3 2025: Brown & Brown's third-quarter 2025 earnings report, released on October 27, 2025, showed a significant dip in organic revenue growth to 3.5% from 9.5% in the same period of the previous year. This, coupled with a 3.0% decrease in net income attributable to the company and a drop in income before taxes margin to 19.4%, likely disappointed investors despite overall revenue and adjusted EPS exceeding expectations. Goldman Sachs specifically lowered its price target due to lighter-than-expected organic growth.

2. Widespread Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions: A series of negative adjustments from financial analysts contributed to the stock's downward pressure. During the period, B of A Securities downgraded BRO from 'Buy' to 'Neutral' and significantly lowered its price target on November 3, 2025. This was followed by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintaining an 'Underperform' rating with a reduced price target on November 4, 2025, and both Morgan Stanley and Barclays maintaining 'Equal-Weight' ratings while lowering their respective price targets on November 17 and November 20, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BRO Return21%49%-18%26%44%-20%114%
Peers Return3%8%30%-6%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BRO Win Rate58%67%33%58%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate75%45%52%73%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BRO Max Drawdown-20%-9%-24%-6%-2%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-10%-2%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AJG, MMC, AON, WTW, RYAN. See BRO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-27.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven439 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven388 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,428 days1,480 days

Compare to TRV, MET, AIG, PRU, HIG


In The Past

Brown & Brown's stock fell -27.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/7/2022. A -27.4% loss requires a 37.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brown & Brown (BRO)

Better Bets than Brown & Brown (BRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.0%2.0%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.8%-4.8%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.1%-12.1%-12.1%
BRO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025BROBrown & BrownDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.6%0.6%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brown & Brown

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Price80.18253.39184.70350.04332.5652.87219.04
Mkt Cap26.565.090.775.532.66.848.8
Rev LTM5,34413,03026,45317,0289,8072,96311,418
Op Inc LTM1,4712,6826,1464,4542,268-2,682
FCF LTM1,2991,7674,8253,0401,3815721,574
FCF 3Y Avg1,0841,9724,0572,9561,1764761,574
CFO LTM1,3671,9165,0873,2841,6036401,760
CFO 3Y Avg1,1572,1334,3983,1991,4125191,773

Growth & Margins

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%15.6%10.5%14.1%-0.0%24.3%14.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.3%15.3%8.3%11.1%3.5%21.1%13.2%
Rev Chg Q34.2%19.9%11.5%7.4%-0.0%24.8%15.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.0%4.5%2.5%1.6%-0.0%5.3%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM27.5%20.6%23.2%26.2%23.1%-23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.0%19.5%23.1%27.1%21.0%-23.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.5%-0.3%0.5%0.6%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM25.6%14.7%19.2%19.3%16.3%21.6%19.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.8%19.1%18.1%21.5%14.6%21.3%20.2%
FCF/Rev LTM24.3%13.6%18.2%17.9%14.1%19.3%18.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.2%17.7%16.7%19.9%12.2%19.6%18.6%

Valuation

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
Mkt Cap26.565.090.775.532.66.848.8
P/S5.05.03.44.43.32.33.9
P/EBIT16.825.014.117.711.012.615.4
P/E26.640.622.027.815.497.827.2
P/CFO19.433.917.823.020.310.619.9
Total Yield4.4%2.9%6.4%4.4%7.3%1.9%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.5%1.8%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.1%3.2%4.0%4.1%4.1%6.9%4.1%
D/E0.30.20.20.20.20.50.2
Net D/E0.30.20.20.10.10.50.2

Returns

BROAJGMMCAONWTWRYANMedian
NameBrown & .Arthur J.Marsh & .Aon Willis T.Ryan Spe. 
1M Rtn0.7%2.7%3.2%1.2%5.6%-6.9%2.0%
3M Rtn-12.4%-15.2%-5.7%-0.1%-1.0%-0.6%-3.3%
6M Rtn-25.9%-20.5%-13.8%-0.9%11.9%-21.1%-17.1%
12M Rtn-21.6%-9.7%-11.4%-1.5%5.9%-16.8%-10.5%
3Y Rtn43.5%37.5%15.2%18.3%41.9%29.9%33.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.2%-0.7%1.4%-1.2%1.9%-8.5%-1.0%
3M Excs Rtn-15.3%-17.4%-7.9%-2.9%-3.7%-3.8%-5.9%
6M Excs Rtn-40.9%-34.9%-28.4%-15.8%-3.3%-36.1%-31.6%
12M Excs Rtn-34.7%-22.6%-24.9%-14.6%-4.6%-31.6%-23.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.5%-36.1%-59.0%-53.9%-30.3%-39.9%-38.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Retail2,5082,0841,7681,473
Programs1,173860702611
Wholesale Brokerage541453403353
Other354-13
Services 172179174
Total4,2573,5733,0512,613


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,774,321
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.0%
Average Daily Volume2,147,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.02
Basic Shares Quantity331,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-6.1%-11.1%-8.1%
7/28/2025-10.4%-9.6%-6.2%
4/28/2025-6.0%-3.9%-3.4%
1/27/2025-2.6%-2.1%6.6%
10/28/20241.6%2.0%9.9%
7/22/20245.2%5.9%10.6%
4/22/20240.5%-1.2%9.1%
1/23/2024-1.7%-0.8%6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8914
# Negative14138
Median Positive2.9%3.0%6.7%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.9%-3.5%
Max Positive7.2%9.5%12.1%
Max Negative-10.4%-11.1%-14.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025428202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024722202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KRUMP PAUL J 8082025Buy93.312,678249,884499,488Form
1Masojada Bronislaw Edmund 8072025Buy91.441,00091,440457,200Form