Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, AI in Financial Services, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, AI in Financial Services, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that may explain a negative movement in Aon's stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:



1. Bearish Trend and Moving Averages: Aon's stock exhibited a bearish trend in 2025, consistently trading below its 200-day moving average since April and its 50-day moving average since mid-September, indicating ongoing downward pressure.

2. Revenue Miss in Q4 2024: Although adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of 2024 surpassed expectations, the total revenue of $4.15 billion fell short of analyst estimates of $4.21 billion when reported on January 31, 2025. This could have contributed to negative investor sentiment carrying into the subsequent quarters of 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AON Return-43%1%-2%24%-3%70%
Peers Return-1%45%11%10%23%1%118%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AON Win Rate62%67%42%50%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate58%67%57%62%65%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AON Max Drawdown--4%-17%-5%-5%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-12%-16%-1%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MMC, AJG, MET, AIG, HIG. See AON Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven94 days148 days

Compare to MMC, AJG, MET, AIG, HIG


In The Past

Aon's stock fell -25.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/11/2022. A -25.5% loss requires a 34.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aon (AON)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
AON_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AONAonQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.6%13.8%-13.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
AON_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AONAonQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.6%13.8%-13.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aon

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AONMMCAJGMETAIGHIGMedian
NameAon Marsh & .Arthur J.MetLife American.Hartford. 
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Growth & Margins

AONMMCAJGMETAIGHIGMedian
NameAon Marsh & .Arthur J.MetLife American.Hartford. 
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Valuation

AONMMCAJGMETAIGHIGMedian
NameAon Marsh & .Arthur J.MetLife American.Hartford. 
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Returns

AONMMCAJGMETAIGHIGMedian
NameAon Marsh & .Arthur J.MetLife American.Hartford. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Risk Capital9,524    
Human Capital3,864    
Corporate/Eliminations-12-17-19-17-14
Commercial Risk Solutions 6,7156,6355,8614,673
Health Solutions 2,2242,1542,0671,667
Reinsurance Solutions 2,1901,9971,8141,686
Wealth Solutions 1,3671,4261,341 
Data and Analytic Services    1,184
Retirement Solutions    1,817
Total13,37612,47912,19311,06611,013


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Risk Capital2,946    
Human Capital1,097    
Corporate/Eliminations-258    
Total3,785    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,937,191
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.9%
Average Daily Volume1,181,767
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.64
Basic Shares Quantity215,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021