Aon (AON)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $312.06 | Market Cap: $66.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Insurance Brokers
Aon (AON)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $312.06Market Cap: $66.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Insurance Brokers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.2% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.7 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, AI in Financial Services, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Key risksAON key risks include [1] cyberattacks and data breaches that could compromise its brand as a trusted manager of sensitive client information and [2] a failure to attract and retain the top talent that is the foundation of its professional services model. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 5.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.5 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, AI in Financial Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Key risksAON key risks include [1] cyberattacks and data breaches that could compromise its brand as a trusted manager of sensitive client information and [2] a failure to attract and retain the top talent that is the foundation of its professional services model. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Aon's fourth-quarter 2025 revenue missed analyst expectations.
The company reported revenue of $4.3 billion for the fourth quarter of 2025 on January 30, 2026, falling short of analyst estimates of $4.42 billion.
2. Several analysts lowered Aon's price targets amid cautious sector sentiment.
In April 2026, multiple analyst firms trimmed their price targets for Aon; for instance, Wells Fargo reduced its target from $443.00 to $402.00, and Barclays lowered its target from $381.00 to $372.00. This contributed to a more cautious near-term sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.3% change in AON stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 347.98 | 312.06 | -10.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,028 | 17,486 | 2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.0% | 22.5% | 41.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.6 | 17.0 | -38.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 216 | 214 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AON | -10.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -3.7% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.8% change in AON stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 338.32 | 312.06 | -7.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,028 | 17,486 | 2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.0% | 22.5% | 41.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.8 | 17.0 | -36.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 216 | 214 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.8% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AON | -7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -0.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | -1.4% | 36.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.1% change in AON stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 350.85 | 312.06 | -11.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,357 | 17,486 | 6.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 15.6% | 22.5% | 44.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.8 | 17.0 | -43.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 216 | 214 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.1% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AON | -11.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.6% | 38.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.6% change in AON stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 317.07 | 312.06 | -1.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,680 | 17,486 | 37.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.6% | 22.5% | 9.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.0 | 17.0 | -32.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 206 | 214 | -3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AON | -1.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 22.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 61.9% | 41.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AON Return | 43% | 1% | -2% | 24% | -1% | -11% | 55% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 7% | 17% | 36% | -14% | -27% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AON Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 48% | 48% | 67% | 48% | 8% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AON Max Drawdown | -4% | -17% | -5% | -5% | -9% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -18% | -13% | -1% | -20% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WTW, AJG, BRO, RYAN, ERIE. See AON Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AON | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 305 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -14.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Aon's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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In The Past
Aon's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Aon (AON)
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- Aon is like a Deloitte or PwC, but dedicated to advising companies on their risk management, employee health plans, and retirement programs.
- Aon is like a major corporate law firm (such as Skadden Arps or Latham & Watkins), but focused on providing specialized solutions for companies' risk, health, and retirement challenges.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Commercial Risk Solutions: Provides retail brokerage, cyber, and global risk consulting services, alongside captives management to help clients manage commercial risks.
- Health Solutions: Offers health and benefits brokerage services and operates healthcare exchanges for client employees.
- Reinsurance Solutions: Delivers treaty and facultative reinsurance, insurance-linked securities, and advisory services for capital raising, restructuring, and M&A within the insurance sector.
- Wealth Solutions (Retirement & Investment): Offers strategic design, actuarial, and risk management consulting for retirement programs, plus advice on investment programs for various plan types.
- CoverWallet: A digital platform providing insurance solutions primarily to small and medium-sized businesses.
- Affinity Programs: Develops and manages specialized insurance programs for groups and organizations.
- Aon Inpoint: Provides advisory and consulting services specifically to insurance companies and reinsurers.
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Greg Case, President and Chief Executive Officer
Greg Case joined Aon in 2005. Before his tenure at Aon, he spent 17 years at McKinsey & Company, where he led the Global Insurance and Financial Services Practice and served on the Governing Shareholder Council. Prior to McKinsey, he worked for the investment banking firm Piper, Jaffray and Hopwood, as well as the Federal Reserve Bank. Case holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and has been recognized by the Harvard Business Review as one of the top 100 best-performing CEOs in the world multiple times.
Edmund Reese, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Edmund Reese was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Aon, effective July 29, 2024. He brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience from large public companies in the financial services, payments, and technology sectors. Before joining Aon, Reese served as CFO of Broadridge Financial Solutions since 2020. His previous experience includes roles at American Express, where he was Senior Vice President and CFO of its Global Consumer Services Group, and other financial leadership positions. He also held CFO roles at Merrill Lynch's U.S. Advisory Group and Citigroup Smith Barney's Corporate Client Group and Stock Plan Services. Reese earned an MBA from The Wharton School.
Lori Goltermann, Vice Chair
Lori Goltermann was elevated to serve as Vice Chair of Aon, effective March 31, 2026. She has been with Aon for over three decades, during which she has transformed the insurance and professional services industry. Prior to her current role, Goltermann served as Aon's CEO of Regions and North America and as CEO of the U.S. Commercial Risk and Health Solutions businesses. Her experience also includes leading the U.S. Health Solutions practice and the Private Equity Mergers & Acquisitions Practice within Aon.
Anne Corona, CEO of North America
Anne Corona was appointed CEO of North America, effective March 10, 2026. She has more than 25 years of experience at Aon, previously serving as CEO of Enterprise Clients and Global Chief Commercial Officer. Her earlier roles include CEO of Asia Pacific and president of Aon's Financial Services Group.
Farheen Dam, CEO of Enterprise Clients and Chief Client Officer
Farheen Dam was appointed CEO of Enterprise Clients and Chief Client Officer, effective March 10, 2026. She joined Aon in 2022 and possesses extensive leadership experience in healthcare and human capital. Before her current appointment, Dam served as the North America Health Solutions Leader for Aon, responsible for the growth, strategy, and execution of the Health and Benefits business.
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The key risks to Aon's business are:
- Cyber Attack or Data Breach: As a professional services firm heavily reliant on technology and data, Aon faces a significant and consistently top-ranked threat from cyber attacks and data breaches. This risk is not only a concern for Aon's own operations but also a primary challenge for its clients, directly impacting Aon's core business of providing risk management solutions.
- Geopolitical Volatility: Geopolitical instability has emerged as a major and increasingly interconnected risk, impacting global trade, supply chains, and regulatory environments, with tangible consequences for both Aon's clients and its own international operations. This dynamic environment requires Aon to adapt its services and strategies to navigate shifting alliances and potential disruptions.
- Intense Competition and Talent Retention: Aon operates in a highly competitive global market alongside major professional services firms such as Marsh & McLennan Companies and Willis Towers Watson. Maintaining market share requires continuous innovation and differentiation. Furthermore, attracting and retaining top talent is a critical and ongoing challenge for Aon, as human capital and specialized expertise are fundamental to delivering its professional services in risk, retirement, and health solutions, especially with evolving workforce dynamics and the integration of AI.
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Aon plc (AON) operates in several large addressable markets globally, providing advice and solutions focused on risk, retirement, and health.
Commercial Risk Solutions
- Commercial Insurance: The global commercial insurance market was valued at approximately USD 1,030.91 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2,166.15 billion by 2034. North America holds a significant share of this market.
- Cyber Insurance: The global cyber insurance market size was estimated at USD 26.25 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 223.47 billion by 2034. North America is the dominant region, accounting for 36.4% of the global market in 2025. Other estimates place the global market at USD 16 billion to USD 20 billion in 2025, with a forecast of USD 30 billion to USD 50 billion by 2030.
- Global Risk Consulting: The global market for risk management consulting services was estimated at USD 139.78 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 231.82 billion by 2032. Another report valued the global risk consulting market at approximately USD 125.4 billion by the end of 2025, with a projection to reach USD 224.315 billion by 2033. North America accounted for nearly 38% of global consulting engagements in 2024.
Health Solutions
- Health & Benefits Brokerages (Employee Benefits Consulting): The global employee benefits strategy and consulting market is valued at USD 4.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to more than double to USD 10.5 billion by 2035. Another source estimates the global benefits consulting service market to be approximately USD 3.86 billion in 2025, growing to about USD 6.98 billion by 2034. North America dominates this market, contributing 50% of the total adoption.
- Healthcare Exchanges (Health Insurance Exchange): The global health insurance exchange market was valued at approximately USD 2.7 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5.3 trillion by 2033. The market in North America holds the largest revenue share.
Reinsurance Solutions
- Reinsurance: The global reinsurance market size was valued at USD 621.39 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1403.7 billion by 2034. Another estimate valued the global reinsurance market at USD 711.75 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 2,000.08 billion by 2034. North America contributed over 44% of the revenue share in 2024.
Wealth Solutions
- Retirement Programs & Actuarial Services: The global actuarial services market was valued at USD 24.75 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 38.69 billion by 2035. The US actuarial services market leads globally, holding over 35% of the market share. The global retirement planning market was approximately USD 127.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 198.6 billion by 2032. In the U.S., total retirement plan assets under management among Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) rose to USD 7.96 trillion in 2025.
- Investment Programs (Investment Consulting / Financial Consulting): The global investment consulting service market has a current valuation of USD 91.52 billion, projected to reach USD 158.52 billion by 2032. The broader global financial consulting market was valued at USD 200 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by 2033.
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Aon plc (symbol: AON) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market opportunities:
- Execution of the "Aon United" Strategy and Client-Centric Approach: Aon's overarching "Aon United" strategy is central to its growth. This approach focuses on addressing complex client needs at the intersection of Risk Capital and Human Capital, putting clients at the center of its service delivery and leveraging the firm's global capabilities to provide integrated solutions. This strategy is anticipated to drive sustainable, profitable growth.
- Sustainable Organic Revenue Growth driven by New Business and Client Retention: Aon consistently guides for mid-single-digit or greater organic revenue growth. This growth is largely fueled by winning new business, maintaining high client retention rates, and benefiting from positive market impacts across its core segments, including Commercial Risk, Reinsurance, Health, and Wealth Solutions.
- Strategic Investments and Expansion in High-Growth Solutions and Markets: The company is making strategic investments in areas identified for high growth. This includes leveraging opportunities in the data center market, which is seen as a "generational" and "robust and dynamic growth opportunity." Additionally, Aon is expanding its presence in specific geographic markets such as North America, EMEA, and Latin America, and focusing on the middle market, partly through contributions from acquisitions like NFP. Growth in specialized areas like insurance-linked securities and facultative placements within its Reinsurance Solutions segment also contributes to this expansion.
- Operational Leverage from Aon Business Services (ABS): While primarily aimed at driving efficiency and margin expansion, the Aon Business Services (ABS) platform is crucial for creating the capacity to fund growth investments. By standardizing operations and integrating platforms, ABS provides scale benefits and operating leverage, indirectly supporting future revenue growth by enabling further strategic initiatives and innovation.
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Share Repurchases
- In February 2022, Aon authorized an additional $7.5 billion in share repurchases, increasing the total authorization to approximately $9.2 billion, including $1.7 billion remaining from an existing program as of December 31, 2021.
- Aon repurchased $3.5 billion worth of shares in 2021.
- The company returned $1.6 billion in capital to shareholders in 2025, with $1 billion allocated to share repurchases, and plans to repurchase at least $1 billion in shares in 2026.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, shareholders approved an amendment to the Aon plc 2011 Incentive Plan, which increased the maximum number of Class A Ordinary Shares available for issuance under the plan by 3,800,000 shares.
Outbound Investments
- Aon agreed to acquire NFP, a middle-market provider of risk, benefits, wealth, and retirement plan advisory services, for $13.4 billion in December 2023, with the acquisition completed in April 2024.
- In November 2024, Aon acquired UK-based insurance broker Griffiths & Armour for $418 million (or $455 million), with the deal completing in January 2025, aimed at expanding its regional presence in the UK and Ireland.
- Aon divested a majority of NFP's wealth business for an estimated $2.7 billion (expected $2.2 billion after-tax cash proceeds) one year after acquiring NFP.
Capital Expenditures
- Aon reported capital expenditures of $137 million in 2021, $196 million in 2022, $252 million in 2023, $218 million in 2024, and $263 million in 2025.
- For 2026, capital expenditures are estimated to be $271.3 million.
- A significant focus of capital expenditures includes investments in risk solutions, particularly for data centers, which represent a generational growth opportunity.
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | HOMB | Home BancShares | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | HBAN | Huntington Bancshares | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| 03312026 | NP | Neptune Insurance | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | JKHY | Jack Henry & Associates | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -4.0% |
| 02132026 | AON | Aon | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -3.4% | -3.4% | -3.4% |
| 02292024 | AON | Aon | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 30.5% | -12.5% |
| 05312022 | AON | Aon | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 12.7% | -9.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 207.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 21.0 |
| Rev LTM | 8,078 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,521 |
| FCF LTM | 1,567 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,259 |
| CFO LTM | 1,800 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,496 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 11.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 21.0 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 12.5 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 18.4 |
| P/CFO | 13.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -10.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -39.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -32.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -70.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -84.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Capital | 10,517 | 9,524 | |||
| Human Capital | 5,209 | 3,864 | |||
| Corporate/Eliminations | -28 | -12 | -17 | -19 | -17 |
| Commercial Risk Solutions | 6,715 | 6,635 | 5,861 | ||
| Health Solutions | 2,224 | 2,154 | 2,067 | ||
| Reinsurance Solutions | 2,190 | 1,997 | 1,814 | ||
| Wealth Solutions | 1,367 | 1,426 | 1,341 | ||
| Total | 15,698 | 13,376 | 12,479 | 12,193 | 11,066 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk Capital | 3,292 | 2,946 | |||
| Human Capital | 1,143 | 1,097 | |||
| Corporate/Eliminations | -600 | -258 | |||
| Total | 3,835 | 3,785 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $312.07 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 67.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/07/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -16.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $322.93 | $342.05 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.4% | -8.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 27.4% | 23.7% |
| Downside Capture | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Upside Capture | 33.11 | 3.59 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 0.1% | 6.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.02 | -0.01 | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| Up Beta | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.18 | -0.04 | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| Down Beta | -6.63 | -0.56 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.35 |
| Up Capture | 27% | 6% | -10% | -1% | 4% | 7% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 35 | 66 | 128 | 395 |
| Down Capture | 299% | 36% | -1% | -0% | 24% | 57% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 29 | 58 | 123 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | -11.9% | 23.7% | -0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 4.3% | 14.5% | 0.07 | 38.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.1% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 6.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 26.9% | 1.30 | -20.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.6% | 18.0% | 2.14 | -14.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.70 | 18.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -22.4% | 41.7% | -0.50 | 3.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | 5.0% | 23.0% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 18.6% | 0.35 | 51.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 43.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.9% | 0.96 | -1.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.5% | 19.1% | 0.58 | 3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 42.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.5% | 56.0% | 0.36 | 18.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AON | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | 7.6% | 24.2% | 0.49 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.4% | 22.2% | 0.52 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 47.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 45.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.1% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 17.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/1/2026 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 1/30/2026 | 2.0% | 0.3% | -1.3% |
| 10/31/2025 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% |
| 7/25/2025 | 4.6% | -0.3% | 5.4% |
| 4/25/2025 | -8.0% | -3.5% | -2.1% |
| 1/31/2025 | -0.4% | 3.6% | 10.2% |
| 10/25/2024 | 5.2% | 2.8% | 8.4% |
| 7/26/2024 | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 3.7% | 8.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -3.5% | -4.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.3% | -9.7% | -11.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/26/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/1/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Organic Revenue Growth | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 5.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Margin Expansion | 0.7% | 0.75% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.75% for 2026 |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS Impact (Foreign Currency) | 0.44 | 12.8% | Raised | Guidance: 0.39 for 2026 | |||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS Impact (Foreign Currency) | 0 | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/30/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Foreign Currency Impact on EPS | 0.36 | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Organic Revenue Growth | 5.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Margin Expansion | 0.7% | 0.75% | 0.8% | Higher New | |||
| 2026 Foreign Currency Impact on EPS | 0.39 | Higher New | Actual: 0 for 2025 | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeidel, Darren | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 329.72 | 4,300 | 1,417,784 | 5,260,339 | Form |
| 2 | Zeidel, Darren | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 2192026 | 325.79 | 5,040 | 1,641,982 | 6,598,583 | Form |
| 3 | Knight, Lester B | Family Partnership | Buy | 2122026 | 319.24 | 4,000 | 1,276,956 | 45,651,191 | Form | |
| 4 | Zeidel, Darren | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11072025 | 344.52 | 8,800 | 3,031,818 | 6,977,717 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Insurance Brokers Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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