Tearsheet

Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.37 | Market Cap: $152.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.37
Market Cap: $152.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Microbiome Therapeutics Development, and Infectious Disease Microbiome Therapies.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
3   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2086%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Microbiome Therapeutics Development, and Infectious Disease Microbiome Therapies.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2086%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MCRB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Seres Therapeutics (MCRB) experienced a stock movement of approximately -7.9% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors:

1. Workforce Reduction and Cash Runway Concerns: On September 23, 2025, Seres Therapeutics announced a workforce reduction of approximately 25%, with some actions effective as early as August 2025. This move was implemented to reduce operating costs and extend the company's cash runway into the second quarter of 2026, signaling financial pressures and a need for cost-saving measures.

2. Ongoing Need for Capital to Advance SER-155: Despite receiving constructive feedback from the FDA on its Phase 2 study protocol for SER-155, Seres Therapeutics continued to actively seek capital and other resources to fund the advancement of this key pipeline candidate. This highlighted a persistent funding gap for a critical therapeutic program.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MCRB Return610%-66%-33%-75%-41%0%-76%
Peers Return1%8%-9%4%-11%9%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MCRB Win Rate42%50%50%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%50%55%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MCRB Max Drawdown-23%-78%-68%-83%-61%-98% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-10%-23%-19%-26%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See MCRB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMCRBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3001.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven10 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-86.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven639.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven423 days120 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Seres Therapeutics's stock fell -96.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.8% loss requires a 3001.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)

Better Bets than Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MCRB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Seres Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MCRBACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameSeres Th.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Price17.4438.6129.5363.2913.9624.1926.86
Mkt Cap0.25.74.93.51.91.12.7
Rev LTM01,2251,5211,3494,2827171,287
Op Inc LTM-103-35919439360194
FCF LTM-23704491191271124231
FCF 3Y Avg-105672353103235149192
CFO LTM-23704541251376141313
CFO 3Y Avg-101672397150339165252

Growth & Margins

MCRBACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameSeres Th.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%1.1%8.6%-2.5%3.1%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%12.1%9.9%-0.8%3.1%3.9%
Rev Chg Q-0.6%4.2%12.5%-4.1%6.5%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%1.1%3.0%-1.0%1.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM--23.6%14.4%9.2%8.4%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--24.7%8.3%6.5%11.1%9.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---1.3%1.0%-0.4%-1.4%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-57.5%35.6%18.6%8.8%19.7%19.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-56.6%25.9%11.6%7.6%23.8%23.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-57.5%32.3%14.2%6.3%17.3%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-56.6%23.1%7.9%5.3%21.6%21.6%

Valuation

MCRBACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameSeres Th.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Cap0.25.74.93.51.91.12.7
P/S-4.63.32.10.71.62.1
P/EBIT-3.96.312.2-20.811.619.99.0
P/E31.28.614.6-13.2-59.552.911.6
P/CFO-7.38.09.211.48.28.08.1
Total Yield3.2%13.8%6.8%-7.6%-0.4%1.9%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1,026.9%12.9%7.4%3.6%6.5%16.0%7.0%
D/E0.50.10.00.21.20.40.3
Net D/E0.2-0.3-0.2-0.11.00.20.1

Returns

MCRBACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameSeres Th.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
1M Rtn14.4%8.1%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%8.6%
3M Rtn-5.7%2.8%-1.6%11.8%-38.8%-11.0%-3.6%
6M Rtn144.6%12.7%-6.4%42.3%-45.0%-10.3%3.2%
12M Rtn-0.5%11.7%0.2%22.6%-48.1%45.0%5.9%
3Y Rtn-87.8%71.4%21.8%13.6%-50.4%-48.8%-17.6%
1M Excs Rtn14.5%8.2%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-12.6%-4.2%-3.2%3.5%-44.1%-14.8%-8.4%
6M Excs Rtn129.9%-2.0%-21.1%27.6%-59.7%-25.1%-11.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.6%-1.4%-11.8%7.0%-61.9%29.5%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-160.4%1.3%-40.3%-52.0%-122.8%-123.4%-87.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment359    
Total359    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity925,479
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.0%
Average Daily Volume96,640
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.58
Basic Shares Quantity8,758,692
Short % of Basic Shares10.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021