Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.37 | Market Cap: $152.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Seres Therapeutics (MCRB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.37Market Cap: $152.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Microbiome Therapeutics Development, and Infectious Disease Microbiome Therapies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2086% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Microbiome Therapeutics Development, and Infectious Disease Microbiome Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 31x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 2086% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MCRB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Seres Therapeutics (MCRB) experienced a stock movement of approximately -7.9% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, influenced by several key factors:
1. Workforce Reduction and Cash Runway Concerns: On September 23, 2025, Seres Therapeutics announced a workforce reduction of approximately 25%, with some actions effective as early as August 2025. This move was implemented to reduce operating costs and extend the company's cash runway into the second quarter of 2026, signaling financial pressures and a need for cost-saving measures.
2. Ongoing Need for Capital to Advance SER-155: Despite receiving constructive feedback from the FDA on its Phase 2 study protocol for SER-155, Seres Therapeutics continued to actively seek capital and other resources to fund the advancement of this key pipeline candidate. This highlighted a persistent funding gap for a critical therapeutic program.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCRB Return | 610% | -66% | -33% | -75% | -41% | 0% | -76% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 8% | -9% | 4% | -11% | 9% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCRB Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCRB Max Drawdown | -23% | -78% | -68% | -83% | -61% | -98% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -10% | -23% | -19% | -26% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See MCRB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCRB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3001.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 639.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 120 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Seres Therapeutics's stock fell -96.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -96.8% loss requires a 3001.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MCRB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Seres Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,287 |
| Op Inc LTM | 194 |
| FCF LTM | 231 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 192 |
| CFO LTM | 313 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 252 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | 11.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 2.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -17.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3072023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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