Mercedes-Benz (MBGAF)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0 | Market Cap: $0Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Mercedes-Benz (MBGAF)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $0Market Cap: $0Sector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 18% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 21 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 273.35 | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 21 Bil, FCF LTM is 12 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Freight. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 89% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.9% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 273.35 |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MBGAF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Performance in Electric and Top-End Vehicle Segments: Mercedes-Benz reported robust growth in its strategic segments during Q3 2025, with pure electric vehicle sales increasing by 22% quarter-over-quarter and 9% year-over-year. Additionally, sales of high-end models saw a 10% year-over-year increase, signaling strong demand for luxury and sustainable mobility solutions.
2. Commencement of Share Repurchase Program: The company announced plans to initiate a share repurchase program worth up to €2 billion, reflecting confidence in its financial position and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MBGAF Return | 34% | 34% | |||||
| Peers Return | 2% | 8% | -7% | -2% | -22% | -30% | -45% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MBGAF Win Rate | |||||||
| Peers Win Rate | 10% | 13% | 7% | 15% | 20% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MBGAF Max Drawdown | |||||||
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -1% | -9% | -5% | -24% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VWAGY, AIIO, CJET, EMPD, LOBO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MBGAF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 160 days | 464 days |
Compare to VWAGY, AIIO, CJET, EMPD, LOBO
In The Past
Mercedes-Benz's stock fell -29.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/16/2023. A -29.1% loss requires a 41.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MBGAF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mercedes-Benz
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 3.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 60.9 |
| Rev LTM | 136,974 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,746 |
| FCF LTM | -15 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -23 |
| CFO LTM | 15,395 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 16,062 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 60.9 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.0 |
| P/E | 9.1 |
| P/CFO | 3.4 |
| Total Yield | 11.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| D/E | 2.3 |
| Net D/E | 1.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -42.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -35.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -25.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 6.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -42.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -33.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -47.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -36.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes-Benz Cars | 112,756 | 111,601 | 96,712 | ||
| Mercedes-Benz Mobility | 25,571 | 26,954 | 27,941 | 27,699 | 28,646 |
| Mercedes-Benz Vans | 20,288 | 17,217 | 14,735 | ||
| Reconciliation | -6,225 | -5,755 | -5,495 | 28,034 | -7,227 |
| Mercedes-Benz Cars & Vans | 98,576 | 106,897 | |||
| Revenue from discontinued operations | -32,531 | ||||
| Daimler Trucks & Buses | 44,429 | ||||
| Total | 152,390 | 150,017 | 133,893 | 121,778 | 172,745 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes-Benz Mobility | 145,057 | 142,524 | 146,196 | 161,265 | 174,821 |
| Mercedes-Benz Cars | 93,435 | 91,908 | 86,495 | ||
| Unallocated financial instruments (including liquidity) and assets from pensions and similar obligations | 22,196 | 23,685 | 26,415 | 27,963 | 23,833 |
| Mercedes-Benz Vans | 10,486 | 10,036 | 9,418 | ||
| Reconciliation | -8,152 | -8,138 | -8,693 | 5,149 | -18,684 |
| Mercedes-Benz Cars & Vans | 91,360 | 94,490 | |||
| Daimler Trucks & Buses | 27,978 | ||||
| Total | 263,022 | 260,015 | 259,831 | 285,737 | 302,438 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 3312010 | 4272010 | 6-K 3/31/2010 |
| 12312009 | 3032010 | 20-F 12/31/2009 |
| 9302009 | 10272009 | 6-K 9/30/2009 |
| 6302009 | 7292009 | 6-K 6/30/2009 |
| 3312009 | 4282009 | 6-K 3/30/2009 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
