Life360 (LIF)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $39.97 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Life360 (LIF)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $39.97Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, and Connected Lifestyles. Themes include Identity Management, and Family Safety & Location Services. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -33% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.69, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 368x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Key risksLIF key risks include [1] eroding user trust from its history of selling location data, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, and Connected Lifestyles. Themes include Identity Management, and Family Safety & Location Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -33% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.69, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 368x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Key risksLIF key risks include [1] eroding user trust from its history of selling location data, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Lowered User Growth Outlook and Technical Issues in Q1 2026.
Life360 lowered its fiscal 2026 Monthly Active User (MAU) growth outlook to 17-20% from a prior target of approximately 20%, citing technical issues during the peak first-quarter marketing window that suppressed new Android user registrations. This resulted in Q1 MAUs of 97.8 million, falling approximately 1% below consensus estimates of 98.9 million.
2. Profitability Concerns Amidst Margin Compression and Rising Operating Expenses.
Despite a 38% year-over-year increase in Q1 2026 revenue to $143.1 million, the company experienced a decline in gross margin to 77% from 81% in the prior-year period. Operating expenses also significantly outpaced revenue growth, increasing by 46% year-over-year, leading to investor focus on the company's path to sustainable profitability.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.1% change in LIF stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -85.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 57.29 | 40.03 | -30.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 459 | 529 | 15.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 28.2% | 336.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 150.1 | 21.5 | -85.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 78 | 80 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIF | -30.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 48.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.3% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -59.4% change in LIF stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -92.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 98.71 | 40.03 | -59.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 427 | 529 | 23.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 28.2% | 337.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 275.0 | 21.5 | -92.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 77 | 80 | -4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -59.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIF | -59.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 40.2% |
| Sector (XLK) | 19.1% | 43.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.7% change in LIF stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 42.90 | 40.03 | -6.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 371 | 529 | 42.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.7 | 6.1 | -29.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 80 | -6.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIF | -6.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.5% | 39.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 71.1% | 43.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.6% | 48.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 141.8% | 48.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LIF Return | - | - | - | 53% | 55% | -38% | 47% |
| Peers Return | 38% | -32% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 18% | 199% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LIF Win Rate | - | - | - | 71% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 28% | 69% | 61% | 67% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LIF Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -46% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -38% | -14% | -16% | -30% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AAPL, GOOGL, GRMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LIF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -14.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Life360's stock fell -34.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | LIF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Life360's stock fell -34.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 51.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Life360 (LIF)
AI Analysis | Feedback
It's like Apple's 'Find My' app, but specifically designed for families with additional safety and communication features.
Think of it as 'OnStar for families'.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Life360 Mobile Application: A mobile application designed for families that provides services for communication, driving safety, and location sharing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Life360 (LIF) primarily sells its mobile application directly to individual consumers rather than to other businesses. The company's major customers can be categorized as:
-
Families with Dependent Children and Teenagers: This category includes parents who utilize the Life360 app to track the location of their children, monitor their driving habits for safety, and ensure their well-being and coordination for school, activities, and social events.
-
Multi-Generational Families: This segment consists of families who wish to stay connected and aware of the location of elderly parents or other adult family members, providing peace of mind and an added layer of safety in case of emergencies or for general coordination.
-
Families Requiring Coordination and Safety Monitoring: This category encompasses families with active lifestyles or those living in different locations who need a reliable tool for communication, trip planning, and ensuring the safety and timely arrival of all family members during daily routines, travel, or group activities.
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- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
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Lauren Antonoff, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director
Lauren Antonoff joined Life360 in 2023 as Chief Operating Officer before being named CEO in August 2025. Prior to Life360, she served as President and SVP at GoDaddy, where she led its small business segment. Antonoff also spent nearly 20 years at Microsoft, where she was instrumental in building and scaling products like SharePoint and Office, and founded the Step Up Program to support the advancement of women in leadership. She also served on the Board and Compensation Committee of SurveyMonkey (Momentive) through its acquisition by STG.
Russell Burke, Chief Financial Officer
Russell Burke is the Chief Financial Officer of Life360, a role he assumed in May 2020. He is responsible for the company's financial strategy, infrastructure, reporting, and investor relations. Burke has extensive experience across both U.S. and Australian markets, having led finance teams at Sony Music, Mandalay Media, and Magic Leap. He also served as Chief Executive Officer of Weight Watchers Australia and New Zealand. His background includes scaling global consumer and digital media companies through high-growth phases and operational transformation, and he has experience with both public and private companies.
Chris Hulls, Executive Chairman
Chris Hulls is the Co-founder of Life360 and serves as the Executive Chairman of its Board of Directors. He previously served as CEO for nearly two decades, leading Life360 from its inception. Hulls was inspired to launch Life360 after Hurricane Katrina, deferring his spot at Harvard Business School to do so. He is also an angel investor in or an advisor to several technology companies, including Tile, Credible, Ring, Automatic, Honk, and Zendrive. Hulls is a U.S. Air Force veteran who served in Afghanistan.
Alex Haro, Co-founder and Non-Executive Director
Alex Haro is a Co-founder of Life360 and has served on its Board of Directors since 2010. He previously held key leadership roles at Life360, including Chief Technology Officer and President, where he helped scale the platform. A serial entrepreneur and technologist, Haro is also the Co-founder, CEO, and Executive Chairman of Hubble Network Inc., a startup focused on building a global satellite network for Bluetooth devices. He worked on Orbited, an open-source project for real-time browser communication, prior to Life360. Haro has founded 3 companies, including Life360 and Hubble, and is an angel investor. Forbes recognized him in the '30 Under 30' list for Consumer Technology in 2015.
James Selby, Chief Revenue Officer
James Selby is the Chief Revenue Officer at Life360, responsible for driving growth across subscriptions, ads, and devices. He previously served as the company's Chief Product Officer. Before joining Life360, Selby was VP and Head of Product at Tile, where he contributed to the company's expansion into smart tracking devices and app-based services.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Life360 (LIF) faces several key business risks:
- Regulatory and Privacy Concerns: As a platform that handles sensitive location data, Life360 is exposed to significant risks related to data privacy, security, and complex consumer protection regulations. Concerns over data usage and privacy, particularly involving children and minors, could erode user trust and engagement, and changes in laws or negative legal outcomes could impact operations and brand reputation. The broader category of location tracking has already seen negative media attention due to privacy issues, which has impacted growth.
- Intense Market Competition: Life360 operates in a highly competitive market characterized by low switching costs for consumers. The company faces competition from direct rivals in family safety and location sharing, as well as indirect competition from larger technology companies like Apple, Google, and Snapchat, which offer similar built-in location tracking functionalities. Competitors with greater resources or innovative offerings could potentially diminish Life360's market share.
- Dependence on Third-Party Platforms and Suppliers: Life360's business model relies heavily on third-party platforms for revenue transactions, such as app stores, and a sole contract manufacturer for its hardware devices (e.g., Tile and Jiobit). Any changes in the terms of these third-party platforms or disruptions in the manufacturing process could adversely affect the company's operations and financial condition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Life360 is the increasing integration and advancement of family safety, location sharing, and driving safety features by Apple and Google directly into their mobile operating systems and device ecosystems. These native platform capabilities, such as Apple's "Find My" and Family Sharing, and Google's "Family Link" and built-in location services, offer functionalities that directly overlap with Life360's core offerings. As these features become more robust, widely adopted, and often available for free, they could reduce the perceived need for a dedicated, subscription-based application like Life360, potentially eroding its market share and pricing power.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Life360's main products and services are substantial across several categories.-
Family Safety and Tracking Applications:
- Globally, the family safety apps market was valued at approximately USD 3.89 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 9.76 billion by 2032, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 12.25%.
- Another estimate for the global family tracking app market indicates it was valued at USD 5.4 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 11.8 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 10.5%.
- In North America, the family safety apps market was valued at USD 823.04 million in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 2.06 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 12.3%.
- The U.S. family safety apps market alone has a current market size of USD 1.2 billion and is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.5%.
-
Mobile Location Tracking Applications:
- Globally, the mobile location tracking app market is valued at approximately USD 5 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from 2025 to 2033, surpassing USD 15 billion.
-
Driving Safety Applications:
- The global road safety app market was estimated at USD 2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of approximately 20%.
-
Life360's Overall Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- Life360's global total addressable market is estimated at approximately USD 6.8 billion annually, covering projected family safety, elderly care, and pet monitoring.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Life360, Inc. (LIF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Growth in Subscribers and User Base: Life360 is focused on expanding its global Monthly Active Users (MAUs) and converting them into Paying Circles. The company achieved a record 76.9 million MAUs in Q3 2024, a 32% year-over-year increase, and reported a record net addition of 159,000 paying circles, reaching nearly 2.2 million. For 2024, MAUs increased 30% to 79.6 million, and Paying Circles grew by 25%. Life360 aims to reach 150 million MAUs and exceed $1 billion in annual revenue. This growth is fueled by organic referrals and enhanced product experiences.
- Increased Average Revenue Per Paying Circle (ARPPC) and Price Optimization: The company is enhancing monetization from its existing user base by increasing its Average Revenue Per Paying Circle (ARPPC). This has been supported by price adjustments and product mix changes. For instance, Q4 2024 saw international ARPPC increase by 42% year-over-year due to price increases for legacy subscribers and the introduction of Dual Tier pricing. In Q4 2025, a 6% higher ARPPC contributed to subscription revenue growth.
- International Expansion: Expanding its footprint in international markets is a significant driver. International MAUs increased 46% and international Paying Circles grew 33% in 2024, highlighting strong performance outside the U.S. Analysts have also shown interest in the cadence of international growth.
- Scaling Advertising and Data Partnerships: Life360 is actively growing its "other revenue" segment, which primarily consists of advertising and data partnerships. This segment demonstrated strong growth, with other revenue increasing 82% year-on-year to $16.9 million in Q3 2025, and $24.2 million in Q4 2025, up 86% year-over-year. The company expects advertiser demand to scale with new formats and higher engagement.
- Product Innovation and Ecosystem Expansion: Continuous product development and strategic integrations contribute to revenue growth. Life360 views AI as a lever for growth and accelerating product development. The company has also integrated Tile tracking devices, which serve as an important funnel into its subscription ecosystem. Additionally, the acquisition of Nativo was completed in January 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Issuance
- Life360 issued $275.0 million aggregate principal amount of 0.00% convertible senior notes due 2030 in June 2025, with net proceeds of approximately $265.2 million.
- In 2025, the company recorded $93.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of common stock in a U.S. initial public offering.
- The number of outstanding shares increased from 51.21 million in 2021 to 77.73 million in 2025.
Inbound Investments
- Life360's cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash grew significantly from $160.5 million at year-end 2024 to $495.8 million at year-end 2025, primarily due to operating cash flow and net proceeds from the June 2025 convertible notes offering.
- The company received $275.4 million related to the June 2025 convertible notes.
Outbound Investments
- Life360 completed the acquisition of Nativo, an advertising technology company, in January 2026, aiming to create a full-stack ad platform and expand off-site reach.
- A $25.0 million investment was made in Aura convertible notes, which partially offset the increase in cash from the 2025 convertible notes offering.
- Strategic acquisitions over recent years include Tile (late 2021), Jiobit, and FANTIX, to expand into adjacent markets.
Capital Expenditures
- Annual capital expenditures were $2.221 million in 2023, $5.132 million in 2024, and $7.51 million in 2025.
- Capital expenditures for the period ending September 30, 2025, were $1.839 million, representing an 89.98% increase from the same period in the prior year.
- In Q3 2025, $1.8 million was used in investing activities for internally developed software and construction in progress.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LIF.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ADSK | Autodesk | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BSY | Bentley Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BL | BlackLine | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 3.2% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 272.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 2,260.7 |
| Rev LTM | 214,981 |
| Op Inc LTM | 70,052 |
| FCF LTM | 32,940 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 35,407 |
| CFO LTM | 70,985 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 60,840 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 19.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 19.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 25.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 29.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 28.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2,260.7 |
| P/S | 8.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 32.2 |
| P/EBIT | 27.2 |
| P/E | 27.9 |
| P/CFO | 29.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 109.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 32.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.03 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/06/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -63.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $41.99 | $68.09 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -4.7% | -41.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 74.2% | 65.6% |
| Downside Capture | 451.94 | 324.26 |
| Upside Capture | 233.13 | 179.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 50.2% | 38.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.90 | 2.88 | 2.72 | 2.49 | 2.22 | -0.09 |
| Up Beta | 2.49 | 2.39 | 2.38 | 2.34 | 2.22 | -0.08 |
| Down Beta | 2.10 | -0.44 | -0.14 | 0.52 | 1.38 | -0.05 |
| Up Capture | 334% | 352% | 341% | 249% | 376% | 234% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 32 | 58 | 133 | 253 |
| Down Capture | 1673% | 392% | 333% | 258% | 183% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 117 | 218 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIF | -34.9% | 65.6% | -0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 54.0% | 20.6% | 1.99 | 41.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.8% | 12.1% | 1.67 | 38.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.8% | 1.16 | 13.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.5% | 18.6% | 1.80 | -11.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.59 | 9.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 22.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIF | 8.0% | 63.0% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.3% | 24.8% | 0.79 | 48.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 48.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | 3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 22.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.3% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 21.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIF | 3.9% | 63.0% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.1% | 24.4% | 0.93 | 48.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 48.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 22.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 21.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/11/2026 | -10.8% | -8.8% | |
| 1/22/2026 | 24.2% | 7.5% | -14.3% |
| 11/10/2025 | -22.0% | -25.2% | -26.0% |
| 8/11/2025 | 13.3% | 18.3% | 29.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | -8.2% | -13.5% | -9.6% |
| 8/8/2024 | 9.1% | 13.4% | 5.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 13.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% |
| Median Negative | -10.8% | -13.5% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 24.2% | 18.3% | 29.6% |
| Max Negative | -22.0% | -25.2% | -26.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 MAU Growth | 17.0% | 18.5% | 20.0% | -7.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 650.00 Mil | 667.50 Mil | 685.00 Mil | 1.1% | Raised | Guidance: 660.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Subscription Revenue | 470.00 Mil | 472.50 Mil | 475.00 Mil | 1.6% | Raised | Guidance: 465.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Hardware Revenue | 40.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 45.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Advertising Revenue | 98.00 Mil | 106.50 Mil | 115.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Other Revenue | 42.00 Mil | 43.50 Mil | 45.00 Mil | -71.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 150.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 130.00 Mil | 135.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 133.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/2/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 640.00 Mil | 660.00 Mil | 680.00 Mil | 37.6% | Higher New | Actual: 479.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Subscription Revenue | 460.00 Mil | 465.00 Mil | 470.00 Mil | 26.7% | Higher New | Actual: 367.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Other Revenue | 140.00 Mil | 150.00 Mil | 160.00 Mil | 132.6% | Higher New | Actual: 64.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Hardware Revenue | 40.00 Mil | 45.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | -6.2% | Lower New | Actual: 48.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 128.00 Mil | 133.00 Mil | 138.00 Mil | 54.6% | Higher New | Actual: 86.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Global MAU Growth | 20.0% | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prober, Charles J | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 40.44 | 7,930 | 320,689 | 4,264,641 | Form | |
| 2 | Coghlan, John Philip | Held by the John Coghlan Living Trust | Sell | 5052026 | 44.16 | 4,000 | 176,625 | 1,432,033 | Form | |
| 3 | Hulls, Chris | Direct | Sell | 4202026 | 45.51 | 16,105 | 732,939 | 18,195,308 | Form | |
| 4 | Antonoff, Lauren | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 4202026 | 45.23 | 2,716 | 122,847 | 14,011,704 | Form |
| 5 | Prober, Charles J | Direct | Sell | 4152026 | 37.27 | 7,930 | 295,551 | 3,930,345 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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