Tearsheet

Disc Medicine (IRON)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $80.44 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Disc Medicine (IRON)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $80.44
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Rare Disease Therapeutics.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -204 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
3   Key risks
IRON key risks include [1] uncertainty over achieving positive clinical trial results and securing regulatory approval for its pipeline candidates, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Rare Disease Therapeutics.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -204 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
6 Key risks
IRON key risks include [1] uncertainty over achieving positive clinical trial results and securing regulatory approval for its pipeline candidates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IRON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

**1. Bitopertin NDA Submission and FDA Commissioner's National Priority Voucher (CNPV) Award**

Disc Medicine's stock experienced a significant uplift following the submission of its New Drug Application (NDA) for bitopertin to treat erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) in late September 2025. This was further bolstered by the company receiving the FDA Commissioner's National Priority Voucher (CNPV) in October 2025, which is intended to shorten the FDA's review period to 1-2 months, accelerating the potential approval timeline to late 2025 or early 2026. **2. Positive Initial Data from RALLY-MF Phase 2 Trial**

In December 2025, Disc Medicine presented positive initial data from its RALLY-MF Phase 2 trial of DISC-0974 in patients with myelofibrosis (MF) and anemia at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting. The data demonstrated consistent and substantial decreases in hepcidin, leading to iron mobilization, and showed durable benefits on hemoglobin and transfusion burden, which positively impacted investor sentiment. **3. Strong Financial Position and Extended Cash Runway**

The company reported a robust financial position with approximately $616 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of the third quarter of 2025 (reported November 6, 2025). This, combined with proceeds from a public offering in October 2025, extended the projected cash runway into 2029, providing financial stability and confidence in the company's ability to fund ongoing and future clinical programs. **4. Concerns and Subsequent Analyst Reassurance Regarding Bitopertin FDA Approval**

Although Disc Medicine's shares experienced a temporary decline of approximately 12% in December 2025 after a media report raised concerns about the accelerated FDA approval timeline for bitopertin, analysts from firms like Jefferies, BMO Capital, and TD Cowen quickly dismissed these concerns as an "overreaction." They reiterated strong buy ratings and price targets, citing bitopertin's robust efficacy and safety data, helping to mitigate the negative impact and restore investor confidence. **5. Insider Selling Exceeding USD 5 Million**

On October 8, 2025, Director Kevin Bitterman engaged in an insider transaction, selling shares valued at approximately $5.08 million. This significant insider selling event, exceeding the $5 million threshold, could have introduced some downward pressure or caution among investors during the specified period. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.9% change in IRON stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)62.3980.4328.91%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35.0235.18-0.44%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IRON28.9% 
Market (SPY)4.4%20.3%
Sector (XLV)14.2%17.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 49.2% change in IRON stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)53.9180.4349.18%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)33.3235.18-5.56%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IRON49.2% 
Market (SPY)14.0%18.5%
Sector (XLV)16.9%17.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.7% change in IRON stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)65.0180.4323.72%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)29.9435.18-17.51%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IRON23.7% 
Market (SPY)15.8%48.0%
Sector (XLV)13.3%43.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 73.0% change in IRON stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)46.5080.4372.97%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.000.00�
P/S Multiple∞∞�
Shares Outstanding (Mil)0.9635.18-3563.24%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
IRON38.4% 
Market (SPY)48.9%30.5%
Sector (XLV)18.8%29.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IRON Return�-74%-77%190%10%26%-76%
Peers Return32%-10%6%6%0%56%106%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IRON Win Rate75%42%50%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%52%53%52%47%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IRON Max Drawdown�-78%-77%-10%-54%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-41%-28%-31%-27%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTGX, INCY, MRK, IONS, FGEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIRONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2908.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-14.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven17.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO

In The Past

Disc Medicine's stock fell -96.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -96.7% loss requires a 2908.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Disc Medicine (IRON)

Gemini Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage precision medicine company, engages in developing various therapeutic compounds for treating genetically defined age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Its lead candidate is GEM103, a recombinant form of the human complement factor H protein to treat dry AMD patients. The company also develops GEM307 for treatment of systemic diseases. Gemini Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Disc Medicine (IRON):

  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals for blood disorders: Like Vertex, which built its success by developing novel therapies for cystic fibrosis, Disc Medicine is a clinical-stage biotech focused on pioneering treatments for serious hematologic (blood) diseases.
  • Alexion Pharmaceuticals for hematologic diseases: Similar to how Alexion specialized in developing life-changing therapies for rare diseases, Disc Medicine is dedicated to creating innovative treatments for patients with underserved blood disorders.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Bitopertin: An investigational oral drug designed to decrease heme biosynthesis by inhibiting glycine transporter 1 (GlyT1), in development for erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) and X-linked protoporphyria (XLP).
  • DIM1212: A novel investigational hepcidin mimetic designed to reduce serum iron levels, in development for myelofibrosis and other iron loading conditions.
  • MWTX-003: An investigational anti-transferrin receptor 2 (TfR2) antibody, being developed to address iron overload in conditions like polycythemia vera.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Disc Medicine (symbol: IRON) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for serious hematologic diseases.

As of its current stage, Disc Medicine does not have any commercially approved products on the market. Therefore, the company does not generate revenue from product sales and consequently does not have major commercial customers in the traditional sense.

The conditions described in your request, concerning selling primarily to other companies or individuals, are not applicable to Disc Medicine at this time, as its primary focus is on research and development and clinical trials rather than commercial sales.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

John D. Quisel, J.D., Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer, President and Director

John Quisel is the CEO of Disc Medicine. Previously, he spent over thirteen years at Acceleron Pharma, helping to build the company from a private startup to a public biotech. Acceleron Pharma was acquired by Merck & Co. for over $11 billion in 2021. At Acceleron, he served in various roles including General Counsel, Senior Vice President of Corporate Development, and Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer. He also led the in-licensing of sotatercept from Bristol-Myers Squibb and contributed to negotiating the collaboration agreement for luspatercept.

Jean M. Franchi, CPA Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Jean Franchi is an experienced CFO with over 30 years of finance leadership expertise at both public and private biotechnology companies. She was appointed CFO of Disc Medicine in February 2024. Most recently, she was the Chief Financial Officer of Replimune, where she helped raise over $750 million through various financings. Prior to Replimune, she served as Chief Financial Officer for Merrimack Pharmaceuticals, Dimension Therapeutics (which was acquired by Ultragenyx), and Good Start Genetics. Ms. Franchi spent 16 years at Genzyme, where she held roles including Senior Vice President of Finance for all nine business units and Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance, playing a significant role in its approximately $20.1 billion sale to Sanofi.

Jonathan Yu, M.B.A. Chief Operating Officer

Jonathan Yu serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Disc Medicine.

Dr. William Jacob Savage, M.D., Ph.D. Chief Medical Officer

Dr. William Jacob Savage is the Chief Medical Officer at Disc Medicine.

Dr. Rahul Rajan Kaushik, Ph.D. Chief Technical Officer

Dr. Rahul Rajan Kaushik is the Chief Technical Officer at Disc Medicine, overseeing Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls (CMC) functions. He has over two decades of experience at top biotechnology companies, including serving as Senior Vice President of Technical Operations at FibroGen and holding leadership roles at Nektar Therapeutics and Amgen. His experience includes successful development and regulatory approvals for commercial products such as Repatha® and Amgevita®.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Disc Medicine's business (NASDAQ: IRON) are primarily associated with its status as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company.

  1. Clinical and Regulatory Uncertainty: Disc Medicine's success hinges on the favorable outcomes of its ongoing clinical trials and its ability to secure regulatory approvals for its pipeline candidates, such as bitopertin, DISC-0974, and DISC-3405. There is an inherent risk that clinical trials may not yield positive results, could uncover significant adverse events not observed previously, or that regulatory bodies may demand further trials or impose stringent labeling restrictions, which could delay or prevent market approval.
  2. Financial Dependence and Shareholder Dilution: As a pre-revenue company with a history of significant net losses, Disc Medicine relies heavily on external financing, including equity raises and strategic partnerships, to fund its extensive research and development efforts and operational costs. This ongoing need for capital exposes the company to the risk of further dilution for its existing shareholders.
  3. Competition: The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by intense competition. Even if Disc Medicine successfully brings its therapies to market, they may encounter significant competition from established treatments or new therapeutic options developed by other companies, potentially affecting market share and profitability despite any perceived first-mover advantages in rare disease indications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

One clear emerging threat for Disc Medicine is Merck's sotatercept (Winrevair) for Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (PAH). Sotatercept is an activin receptor type IIA-Fc fusion protein that modulates BMP signaling, a pathway relevant to Disc Medicine's DISC-3405 program for PAH. Sotatercept demonstrated significant efficacy in its Phase 3 STELLAR trial and received FDA approval in March 2024. The approval of a highly effective therapy that modulates a similar biological pathway sets a new standard of care and could significantly impact the competitive landscape for DISC-3405, similar to how a disruptive product can threaten an incumbent or an aspiring entrant in a market.

Another clear emerging threat is Geron's imetelstat for myelofibrosis-associated anemia. Geron has reported positive Phase 3 results for imetelstat in lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and has submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA. While the immediate focus is MDS, imetelstat is also being investigated in myelofibrosis (MF) and has the potential to significantly impact the treatment landscape for anemia associated with myelofibrosis, which is a key target indication for Disc Medicine's DISC-0974 program. The advanced stage of development and NDA submission for a related indication make imetelstat a tangible, near-term competitive threat in the broader hematologic anemia space.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Disc Medicine (symbol: IRON) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel treatments for serious hematologic diseases. The addressable markets for their main product candidates are as follows:

Bitopertin

  • Erythropoietic Protoporphyria (EPP) and X-linked Protoporphyria (XLP): The U.S. patient population for EPP/XLP is estimated to be around 14,000, with approximately 6,000 patients recently engaging with healthcare providers. The global erythropoietic protoporphyria drugs market was valued at approximately USD 591 million in 2022 and is projected to reach around USD 941.96 million by 2030. Bitopertin itself is anticipated to be a "billion-dollar opportunity", with Morgan Stanley projecting risk-adjusted peak sales of $1.23 billion in 2035.
  • Diamond-Blackfan Anemia (DBA): The global market size for Diamond-Blackfan Anemia Syndrome therapeutics was valued at US$ 3.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 5.5 billion by 2033. Another estimate for the global DBA therapeutics market indicates a value of USD 5,200 million in 2025, projected to reach USD 7,860 million by 2035. In 2023, the total market size for DBA across the seven major markets (7MM - United States, EU4, UK, and Japan) was USD 1.56 million, with the United States representing about 70% of the diagnosed cases in these regions.

DISC-0974

  • Anemia of Myelofibrosis (MF): The U.S. market opportunity for MF anemia is estimated at $5.5 billion, based on approximately 22,000 U.S. patients. Raymond James models DISC-0974 sales in MF anemia at approximately $400 million by 2035 in the U.S.
  • Anemia of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD): Revenue for DISC-0974 in this indication is expected to reach an annual total of $85 million by 2039 in the U.S.
  • Anemia in Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD): null

DISC-3405

  • Polycythemia Vera (PV): null
  • Sickle Cell Disease (SCD): null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Disc Medicine (NASDAQ: IRON) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with several key pipeline assets expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years as they advance towards potential commercialization. Currently, the company reports no revenue as it is in the development phase.

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Commercialization of Bitopertin in Erythropoietic Protoporphyria (EPP) and X-linked Protoporphyria (XLP): Disc Medicine submitted a New Drug Application (NDA) for accelerated approval of bitopertin in EPP on September 29, 2025, with a potential U.S. approval and launch anticipated in late 2025 or early 2026. This accelerated pathway, supported by an FDA Commissioner's National Priority Voucher, is expected to shorten the review period. Analysts project significant annual revenue from bitopertin in EPP, with estimates ranging from $1.2 to $1.5 billion from this indication alone if approved and adopted by a patient population of approximately 10,000 worldwide. The company is also exploring its potential in X-linked protoporphyria (XLP).
  2. Advancement and Potential Launch of DISC-0974 for Anemia of Myelofibrosis (MF) and Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD): DISC-0974 is considered a significant pipeline growth driver. Initial data from a Phase 2 study of DISC-0974 in anemia of myelofibrosis is expected in December 2025. Raymond James models DISC-0974 sales in MF anemia to reach approximately $400 million by 2035, with an estimated launch in 2028, and a potential for peak sales to approach $1 billion or more in myelofibrosis alone in an optimistic scenario. The company is also developing DISC-0974 for anemia in non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (NDD-CKD), with multiple dose data from its Phase 1b study expected in Q4 2025.
  3. Progression of DISC-3405 in Polycythemia Vera (PV) and Sickle Cell Disease (SCD): Disc Medicine is advancing DISC-3405, an iron homeostasis program, deeper into development. A Phase 2 study of DISC-3405 for polycythemia vera has been initiated, with initial data anticipated in 2026. Additionally, the company initiated a Phase 1b study of DISC-3405 in sickle cell disease in October 2025, representing an expansion into another indication. These programs are viewed as important drivers of Disc Medicine's future growth.
  4. Expansion into Additional Hematologic Indications: Beyond the lead programs, Disc Medicine plans to continue exploring the potential role of its therapeutic candidates, such as hepcidin modulators, in additional hematologic indications. This strategy of expanding the applications for its iron homeostasis portfolio could unlock further revenue streams in the longer term.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Disc Medicine priced an upsized public offering in October 2025, valued at approximately $250 million, expecting to receive about $225 million in gross proceeds to support bitopertin commercialization, R&D, and working capital.
  • In January 2025, the company raised approximately $225.5 million in gross proceeds through an upsized public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, designated for research, clinical development, and bitopertin commercialization.
  • In October 2025, Disc Medicine announced a proposed public offering of $220.0 million in common stock and pre-funded warrants, with $200.0 million of shares offered by the company to fund commercialization efforts, R&D, and general corporate purposes.

Inbound Investments

  • Disc Medicine secured $200 million in non-dilutive debt financing in January 2025, with an initial $30 million tranche drawn and subsequent tranches contingent on achieving defined milestones.
  • The company partnered with the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) to expand its pipeline into new indications, including Diamond-Blackfan anemia (DBA).

Outbound Investments

  • In 2021, Disc Medicine acquired the global license for bitopertin from Roche.
  • The company in-licensed DISC-3405 (formerly MWTX-003) from Mabwell Therapeutics, Inc., initiating a Phase 1 clinical trial in October 2023.
  • Disc Medicine in-licensed DISC-0998, a preclinical anti-hemojuvelin monoclonal antibody, from AbbVie.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on advancing the company's portfolio, particularly through increased research and development (R&D) expenses.
  • R&D expenses for the third quarter of 2025 were $50.3 million.
  • A significant portion of capital is allocated to bitopertin's clinical studies and drug manufacturing, and the advancement of programs like DISC-0974 and DISC-3405.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to IRON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
21.1%21.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.7%-6.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
16.7%16.7%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Disc Medicine

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IRONPTGXINCYMRKIONSFGENMedian
NameDisc Med.Protagon.Incyte Merck Ionis Ph.FibroGen  
Mkt Price80.4388.84100.44106.4580.658.5984.75
Mkt Cap2.85.719.7265.612.90.09.3
Rev LTM02094,81364,2359678588
Op Inc LTM-204191,25622,391-278-38-10
FCF LTM-166641,17213,049-309-1723
FCF 3Y Avg-1055858513,685-420-165-24
CFO LTM-165651,25117,065-247-1724
CFO 3Y Avg-1055966217,506-380-164-23

Growth & Margins

IRONPTGXINCYMRKIONSFGENMedian
NameDisc Med.Protagon.Incyte Merck Ionis Ph.FibroGen  
Rev Chg LTM--35.4%18.1%1.7%20.4%117.5%18.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--13.1%2.9%7.1%4.4%5.7%
Rev Chg Q-0.8%20.0%3.7%17.1%774.8%17.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.0%5.0%1.0%2.4%13.0%2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-9.1%26.1%34.9%-28.8%-458.6%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--13.8%23.7%-55.1%-13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--2.4%4.4%3.7%-0.5%383.1%3.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.3%26.0%26.6%-25.5%-203.8%26.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--15.3%28.2%-52.4%-15.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-30.5%24.4%20.3%-32.0%-206.0%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--13.5%22.0%-57.4%-13.5%

Valuation

IRONPTGXINCYMRKIONSFGENMedian
NameDisc Med.Protagon.Incyte Merck Ionis Ph.FibroGen  
Mkt Cap2.85.719.7265.612.90.09.3
P/S-27.14.14.113.34.24.2
P/EBIT-16.0298.112.411.5-74.0-0.85.4
P/E-15.6123.416.514.0-50.30.27.1
P/CFO-17.286.515.715.6-52.2-2.16.8
Total Yield-6.4%0.8%6.0%10.2%-2.0%620.8%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.2%-0.8%3.9%5.5%-6.0%-6,089.8%-3.4%
D/E0.00.00.00.20.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.1-0.10.1-0.1-3.4-0.1

Returns

IRONPTGXINCYMRKIONSFGENMedian
NameDisc Med.Protagon.Incyte Merck Ionis Ph.FibroGen  
1M Rtn-14.5%1.3%-5.5%6.9%2.7%0.1%0.7%
3M Rtn28.9%34.7%19.3%34.8%26.1%-30.7%27.5%
6M Rtn49.2%63.2%48.7%36.1%101.6%50.4%49.8%
12M Rtn23.7%126.1%43.7%11.1%120.8%-31.1%33.7%
3Y Rtn73.0%780.5%23.5%4.3%111.3%-97.8%48.2%
1M Excs Rtn-17.9%-2.1%-8.8%3.5%-0.7%-3.3%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn23.7%32.4%18.0%33.4%23.1%-34.8%23.4%
6M Excs Rtn35.7%48.0%29.0%24.7%89.9%49.1%41.9%
12M Excs Rtn7.8%97.2%29.0%-4.2%109.5%-31.0%18.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.0%809.9%-56.9%-75.0%30.9%-179.2%-35.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment3682001408
Total3682001408


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$80.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.8 
First Trading Date08/12/2020 
Distance from 52W High-14.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$87.98$62.73
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-8.6%28.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility58.9%51.5%
Downside Capture40.71124.52
Upside Capture151.46127.73
Correlation (SPY)20.4%48.1%
IRON Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.190.860.690.851.251.06
Up Beta0.691.401.620.971.160.95
Down Beta1.530.690.610.041.351.17
Up Capture58%218%175%225%175%154%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days11243976132396
Down Capture-57%-26%-70%30%109%104%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9182449115344

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of IRON With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 IRONSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return27.8%16.4%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility51.3%17.3%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.650.720.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 43.4%48.1%-1.8%14.7%47.9%16.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of IRON With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 IRONSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-23.7%8.6%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility72.4%14.5%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.030.410.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 18.2%21.8%-1.6%2.2%19.9%9.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of IRON With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 IRONSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-22.2%9.8%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility70.7%16.6%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio-0.020.480.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 17.5%20.6%-2.2%2.0%18.3%8.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,464,343
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-4.7%
Average Daily Volume476,471
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.17
Basic Shares Quantity35,178,691
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/20/2025-3.1%-4.8%-0.3%
8/7/2025-3.3%3.6%3.0%
2/27/20250.1%4.5%-3.7%
11/12/2024-5.0%-13.9%-1.0%
8/8/20243.8%9.8%22.0%
3/21/2024-7.5%-8.9%-56.8%
11/9/20231.4%9.8%27.8%
8/11/20231.7%-1.8%7.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive656
# Negative787
Median Positive2.0%4.5%18.6%
Median Negative-3.9%-8.0%-3.7%
Max Positive4.7%9.8%56.9%
Max Negative-7.5%-14.5%-56.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021