Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $79.1 | Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $79.1Market Cap: $12.6 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% | ||
| Key risksIONS key risks include [1] ongoing patent infringement lawsuits with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals and [2] challenges in its strategic transition to independently commercializing its own products. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.2% |
| Key risksIONS key risks include [1] ongoing patent infringement lawsuits with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals and [2] challenges in its strategic transition to independently commercializing its own products. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IONS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the significant stock movement for Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) based on recent developments up to December 2024:
**1. U.S. FDA Approval of TRYNGOLZA™ (olezarsen) for Familial Chylomicronemia Syndrome (FCS).** The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved TRYNGOLZA™ (olezarsen) on December 19, 2024, as an adjunct to diet to reduce triglycerides in adults with familial chylomicronemia syndrome (FCS). This marks Ionis' first independent commercial launch, signifying its transition into a fully integrated commercial-stage biotechnology company.
**2. FDA Acceptance of New Drug Application (NDA) for Donidalorsen for Hereditary Angioedema (HAE).** On November 4, 2024, Ionis Pharmaceuticals announced that the FDA accepted for review the NDA for donidalorsen, an investigational RNA-targeted medicine for the prophylactic treatment of hereditary angioedema (HAE). The FDA set an action date of August 21, 2025, positioning donidalorsen as a potential second independent commercial launch for the company.
**3. Strong Financial Performance in 2024 and Positive Outlook.** Ionis Pharmaceuticals reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024, exceeding its revenue guidance for the year. The company ended 2024 with $2.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, surpassing its revised guidance, which provides a solid financial foundation for continued investments and future launches.
**4. FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Olezarsen in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG).** In December 2024, the U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to olezarsen for severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG). This designation can accelerate the development and review of the drug for a much larger patient population beyond FCS, significantly expanding its market potential.
**5. FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for Zilganersen for Alexander Disease (AxD).** Ionis Pharmaceuticals received Breakthrough Therapy designation from the U.S. FDA for zilganersen, an investigational RNA-targeted medicine for Alexander disease (AxD). This designation, supported by positive topline results from a pivotal trial, highlights the strength and potential of Ionis' neurology pipeline for addressing rare and serious neurological disorders with currently no approved disease-modifying treatments.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IONS Return | -6% | -46% | 24% | 34% | -31% | 122% | 29% |
| Peers Return | 11% | -8% | 18% | -7% | -6% | 52% | 61% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IONS Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 48% | 58% | 43% | 40% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IONS Max Drawdown | -31% | -55% | -2% | -11% | -33% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -24% | -28% | -31% | -23% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, BIIB, VRTX, SRPT, ARWR. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IONS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,378 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ALPS
In The Past
Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 127.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,812 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6 |
| FCF LTM | 189 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -101 |
| CFO LTM | 223 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -19 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -16.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.2 |
| P/S | 10.6 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 4.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.9 |
| Total Yield | 0.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 21.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 33.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 43.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 26.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
Comparison Analyses
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA219407 | DAWNZERA (AUTOINJECTOR) | donidalorsen sodium | solution | 8212025 | 69.1% | 84.0% | 84.0% | 84.0% | 84.0% |
| NDA218614 | TRYNGOLZA (AUTOINJECTOR) | olezarsen sodium | solution | 12192024 | -8.0% | 4.0% | 123.6% | 123.6% | 123.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | 788 | ||||
| Commercial revenue | 303 | 342 | 365 | ||
| Research and development revenue | 284 | 468 | 365 | ||
| Akcea Therapeutics | 489 | ||||
| Elimination of Intercompany Activity | -225 | ||||
| Ionis Core | 859 | ||||
| Total | 788 | 587 | 810 | 729 | 1,123 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | -366 | ||||
| Total | -366 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -2.3% | -0.9% | 12.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| 4/30/2025 | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.2% |
| 2/19/2025 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 4.4% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.6% | -2.7% | -5.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | 3.8% | -5.4% | 0.9% |
| 5/7/2024 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -5.7% |
| 2/21/2024 | -1.8% | 6.9% | -3.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 3.9% | 10.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -4.3% | -7.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.7% | 7.9% | 20.9% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -12.6% | -22.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |