Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.25 | Market Cap: $13.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.25Market Cap: $13.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 129% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.1%, Dist 3Y High is -1.1% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -278 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 129% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -32% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IONS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) experienced significant upward momentum in its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key developments:
1. FDA Approval of DAWNZERA (donidalorsen)
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved DAWNZERA (donidalorsen) on August 21, 2025, as the first and only RNA-targeted prophylactic treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE). This approval, reported on September 3, 2025, marked Ionis' second independent product launch within a year, signaling strong innovation and the potential for increased demand and revenue.
2. Positive Phase 3 Results for Olezarsen in Severe Hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG)
Ionis announced positive topline results from pivotal studies for olezarsen in severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG) on August 21, 2025. These results demonstrated a significant reduction in triglycerides and acute pancreatitis events, positioning olezarsen for a potential supplementary new drug application (sNDA) by the end of 2025. This development is expected to open a much larger market for the drug and drive substantial revenue growth for the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IONS Return | -6% | -46% | 24% | 34% | -31% | 133% | 35% |
| Peers Return | 135% | 15% | -8% | -14% | -6% | -9% | 84% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IONS Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 44% | 48% | 46% | 40% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IONS Max Drawdown | -31% | -55% | -2% | -11% | -33% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -31% | -48% | -37% | -28% | -45% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ACSB. See IONS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IONS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1378 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 308 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ALNY, RARE, SRPT, NTLA, ACSB
In The Past
Ionis Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -59.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.8% loss requires a 149.0% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IONS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ionis Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.45 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 967 |
| Op Inc LTM | -278 |
| FCF LTM | -389 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -420 |
| CFO LTM | -247 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -380 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -28.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -55.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -25.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -52.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -32.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 10.8 |
| P/EBIT | -5.8 |
| P/E | -5.2 |
| P/CFO | -6.7 |
| Total Yield | -14.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 11.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -37.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -69.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | 788 | ||||
| Commercial revenue | 303 | 342 | 365 | ||
| Research and development revenue | 284 | 468 | 365 | ||
| Akcea Therapeutics | 489 | ||||
| Elimination of Intercompany Activity | -225 | ||||
| Ionis Core | 859 | ||||
| Total | 788 | 587 | 810 | 729 | 1,123 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionis operations | -366 | ||||
| Total | -366 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
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