Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INCY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Incyte (INCY) experienced an approximate 20% upward movement in its stock price, driven by several key developments. For instance, the stock closed at $86.17 on October 20, 2025, and rose to $102.04 by December 1, 2025, representing an increase of approximately 18.42%. This surge can be attributed to the following factors:

1. FDA Approval for Opzelura in Pediatric Atopic Dermatitis: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Opzelura® (ruxolitinib) cream 1.5% on September 18, 2025, for the short-term and non-continuous chronic treatment of mild to moderate atopic dermatitis in children aged two years and older.

2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Incyte reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 28, 2025, with its Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.26 significantly beating forecasts by 42.14% and revenue reaching $1.37 billion, surpassing expectations by 9.6%. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $4.23 billion-$4.32 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INCY Return-0%-16%9%-22%10%47%16%
Peers Return111%36%-19%-19%-15%-12%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INCY Win Rate42%50%67%58%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate33%33%19%15%23%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INCY Max Drawdown-28%-27%-10%-35%-18%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12%-2%-27%-29%-23%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ILMN, MRNA, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS. See INCY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINCYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven735 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven16 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven161.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven505.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven365 days1480 days

Compare to ILMN, MRNA, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS


In The Past

Incyte's stock fell -48.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -48.1% loss requires a 92.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Incyte (INCY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to INCY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Incyte

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INCYILMNMRNAACSBAIXCALPSMedian
NameIncyte Illumina Moderna Acesis AIxCryptoALPS  
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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Global discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics3,696    
Milestone and contract revenues 1659520578
Product revenues, net 2,7472,3222,0691,775
Product royalty revenues 483569393306
Total3,6963,3952,9862,6672,159


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,495,529
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume2,723,278
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.49
Basic Shares Quantity195,670,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-K 12/31/2021