Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 7.1%

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%

Key risks
INCY key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration on its lead drug Jakafi ahead of its 2028 patent expiration and [2] a challenging history of setbacks and failures in its clinical development pipeline.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
7 Key risks
INCY key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration on its lead drug Jakafi ahead of its 2028 patent expiration and [2] a challenging history of setbacks and failures in its clinical development pipeline.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (INCY) stock has remained largely at the same level since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Incyte's full-year 2026 revenue guidance fell below analyst expectations, despite a strong Q1 performance.

While Incyte reported robust Q1 2026 results, with revenue of $1.27 billion increasing 20.9% year-over-year and adjusted EPS of $1.81 exceeding estimates by 35.1% and 4.7% respectively, the company's full-year revenue guidance of $4.86 billion at the midpoint was approximately 12.9% below analysts' consensus estimates. This cautious outlook for the remainder of 2026 likely tempered investor enthusiasm.

2. Clinical trial setbacks and competitive efficacy comparisons for key pipeline assets raised concerns.

Incyte's KRAS G12D inhibitor, INCB161734, faced a clinical hold in several European countries (Spain, Italy, Belgium, France) since February 2026 due to a fatal case of pneumonitis and other serious adverse events in its Phase 1 trial, despite a pivotal Phase 3 study (Dawn-03) moving forward for pancreatic cancer. Additionally, while povorcitinib showed positive Phase 3 results in nonsegmental vitiligo, analysts noted its efficacy of 18.9% (F-VASI75 response) did not quite match that of a competitor's drug, AbbVie's Rinvoq, which reported 17% to 19% placebo-adjusted F-VASI75 response, potentially affecting its competitive positioning.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.2% change in INCY stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265112026Change
Stock Price ($)100.07100.320.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,8135,36111.4%
Net Income Margin (%)24.7%26.7%8.1%
P/E Multiple16.514.0-15.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)196199-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution0.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY0.2% 
Market (SPY)3.6%52.3%
Sector (XLV)-7.2%46.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.3% change in INCY stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120255112026Change
Stock Price ($)93.48100.327.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,8135,36111.4%
Net Income Margin (%)24.7%26.7%8.1%
P/E Multiple15.414.0-9.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)196199-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution7.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY7.3% 
Market (SPY)5.5%40.0%
Sector (XLV)-0.0%45.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 60.1% change in INCY stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 5441.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020255112026Change
Stock Price ($)62.66100.3260.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,4135,36121.5%
Net Income Margin (%)0.5%26.7%5441.4%
P/E Multiple570.714.0-97.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)194199-2.8%
Cumulative Contribution60.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY60.1% 
Market (SPY)30.4%34.9%
Sector (XLV)3.6%45.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.8% change in INCY stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 166.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020235112026Change
Stock Price ($)74.41100.3234.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3955,36157.9%
Net Income Margin (%)10.0%26.7%166.1%
P/E Multiple48.614.0-71.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)22319911.7%
Cumulative Contribution34.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
INCY34.8% 
Market (SPY)78.7%28.2%
Sector (XLV)12.6%40.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
INCY Return-16%9%-22%10%43%-0%13%
Peers Return26%13%-7%1%15%3%61%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INCY Win Rate50%67%58%58%75%80% 
Peers Win Rate55%52%40%53%53%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INCY Max Drawdown-27%-10%-35%-18%-20%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-13%-22%-16%-15%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BMY, GILD, AMGN, REGN, PFE. See INCY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/11/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventINCYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven67 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-18.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven44 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven497 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-10.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven30 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven14 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.6%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven11 days105 days

Compare to BMY, GILD, AMGN, REGN, PFE

In The Past

Incyte's stock fell -21.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventINCYS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.2%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven67 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-23.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.4%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven497 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-23.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven14 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-45.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven298 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-32.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven228 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-24.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.2%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven36 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-80.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven415.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven303 days1085 days

Compare to BMY, GILD, AMGN, REGN, PFE

In The Past

Incyte's stock fell -21.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Incyte (INCY)

Incyte Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics in the United States and internationally. The company offers JAKAFI, a drug for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that act as oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Its clinical stage products include ruxolitinib, a steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD); itacitinib, which is in Phase II/III clinical trial to treat naïve chronic GVHD; and pemigatinib for treating bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic. In addition, the company engages in developing Parsaclisib, which is in Phase II clinical trial for follicular lymphoma, marginal zone lymphoma, and mantel cell lymphoma. Additionally, it develops Retifanlimab that is in Phase II clinical trials for MSI-high endometrial cancer, merkel cell carcinoma, and anal cancer, as well as in Phase II clinical trials for patients with non-small cell lung cancer. It has collaboration agreements with Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd.; Eli Lilly and Company; Agenus Inc.; Calithera Biosciences, Inc; MacroGenics, Inc.; Merus N.V.; Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Innovent Biologics, Inc.; Zai Lab Limited; Cellenkos, Inc.; and Nimble Therapeutics, as well as clinical collaborations with MorphoSys AG and Xencor, Inc. to investigate the combination of tafasitamab, plamotamab, and lenalidomide in patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, and relapsed or refractory follicular lymphoma. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies for Incyte:

  • Like a more specialized Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS), focusing on innovative therapies for certain cancers and immune disorders.
  • Gilead Sciences, but with its primary focus on developing advanced treatments for blood cancers and autoimmune conditions rather than antivirals.
  • Think of a focused Amgen, specifically targeting difficult-to-treat cancers and inflammatory conditions with its proprietary drugs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte's major products are proprietary therapeutic drugs:

  • JAKAFI: A drug used for the treatment of myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera.
  • PEMAZYRE: A fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor acting as an oncogenic driver in various liquid and solid tumor types.
  • ICLUSIG: A kinase inhibitor used to treat chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (symbol: INCY) is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes proprietary therapeutics, which are prescription drugs. As such, it sells primarily to other companies within the healthcare supply chain, rather than directly to individual patients. These customers typically include:

  • Pharmaceutical wholesale distributors
  • Retail and mail-order pharmacies
  • Hospitals and clinics

However, the provided background information does not identify specific major customer companies by name that purchase Incyte's commercialized products (e.g., JAKAFI, PEMAZYRE, ICLUSIG) for distribution or direct patient use. The companies listed in the background are primarily collaboration partners for research, development, and co-commercialization efforts, not direct customers for Incyte's currently marketed drugs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Novartis International Pharmaceutical Ltd. (NVS)
  • Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
  • Agenus Inc. (AGEN)
  • Calithera Biosciences, Inc
  • MacroGenics, Inc. (MGNX)
  • Merus N.V. (MRUS)
  • Syros Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SYRS)
  • Innovent Biologics, Inc. (1801.HK)
  • Zai Lab Limited (ZLAB)
  • Cellenkos, Inc.
  • Nimble Therapeutics
  • MorphoSys AG (MOR)
  • Xencor, Inc. (XNCR)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bill Meury, President and Chief Executive Officer

Bill Meury joined Incyte in 2025 as President and Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Directors. He has over three decades of industry experience in organizational strategy, pipeline and commercial execution, and capital allocation. Before Incyte, Mr. Meury was CEO of Anthos Therapeutics, which was acquired by Novartis for $925 million. Prior to Anthos, he served as President and CEO of Karuna Therapeutics, leading its transition into a fully integrated R&D and commercial organization, which later merged with Bristol Myers Squibb in a $14 billion deal. He also served as a Partner at Hildred Capital Management, a private equity firm focused on healthcare. Earlier in his career, he spent more than two decades at Allergan, serving as Chief Commercial Officer, overseeing a global business with $16 billion in revenue and approximately 8,000 employees, until its acquisition by AbbVie.

Thomas Tray, Principal Financial Officer

Thomas Tray was appointed as Incyte's Principal Financial Officer, effective September 16, 2025. He previously served as the Vice President, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer. Mr. Tray joined Incyte Corporation in June 2005 as Manager of External Reporting and has held roles of increasing responsibility since then. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from Mount Saint Mary's University and an Executive MBA in Pharmaceutical Marketing from Saint Joseph's University.

Pablo J. Cagnoni, M.D., President, Head of Research & Development

Dr. Pablo J. Cagnoni joined Incyte in 2023 as President, Head of Research & Development. In this role, he oversees Incyte's research and development efforts across its portfolio in Hematology, Oncology, and Inflammation and Autoimmunity. Prior to Incyte, Dr. Cagnoni served as CEO of Laronde and held leadership roles at Rubius Therapeutics, Tizona Therapeutics, Onyx Pharmaceuticals, and Novartis Oncology.

Steven H. Stein, M.D., Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Steven Stein joined Incyte in 2015 and currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer. As CMO, he is responsible for clinical development, clinical operations, pharmacovigilance, statistics and data management, and regulatory affairs. Before joining Incyte, he worked at Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, most recently as Senior Vice President, U.S. Clinical Development & Medical Affairs for Novartis Oncology.

Richard Hoffman, Executive Vice President and General Counsel

Richard Hoffman joined Incyte in December 2025 as Executive Vice President and General Counsel. He leads the Company's global legal and compliance functions and has over 20 years of experience advising and supporting biopharmaceutical and life science companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Incyte's business:

  1. Jakafi Patent Cliff: Incyte faces a significant risk due to the upcoming patent expiration of its flagship drug, Jakafi (ruxolitinib). Jakafi is a major revenue driver, accounting for a substantial portion of the company's total net product revenue, with some reports indicating it generated almost $4 billion yearly. The generic launch date for Jakafi in the U.S. is estimated around March 22, 2029, with its patents expiring before 2030. Analysts project a dramatic revenue decline, potentially over 50% in the first year, as generic versions enter the market. Incyte is actively planning for a "post-Jakafi era" to manage this loss of exclusivity.

  2. Pipeline Dependence and Clinical Development Risk: To mitigate the impact of the Jakafi patent expiration, Incyte is heavily reliant on the successful development and commercialization of its pipeline products. The company is investing significantly in its late-stage pipeline, with multiple anticipated product launches. However, pipeline execution carries inherent risks, as evidenced by past clinical trial setbacks. The failure of key candidates to achieve regulatory approval or market uptake could severely impact Incyte's ability to offset the revenue decline from Jakafi.

  3. Intense Competition and Regulatory/Pricing Pressures: Incyte operates in the highly competitive biopharmaceutical industry, where it constantly faces the threat of new entrants and existing competitors introducing alternative therapies that could diminish demand for its products. Additionally, the company is subject to stringent regulatory requirements for drug approval and commercialization. There is also an ongoing risk from political and legislative changes, such as efforts to negotiate lower drug prices, which could adversely affect the pricing and profitability of Incyte's products, including Jakafi.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (NASDAQ: INCY) offers a range of proprietary therapeutics with the following addressable market sizes for its main products:

  • JAKAFI (ruxolitinib):
    • For Myelofibrosis: The global myelofibrosis treatment market was valued at approximately USD 2.2 billion in 2024, with projections to increase to USD 5.638 billion in 2034 across the 7 major markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan). The US alone represented nearly USD 1,700 million of this market in 2024.
    • For Polycythemia Vera: The market size for Polycythemia Vera in the 7 major markets (7MM: United States, EU4, UK, and Japan) was approximately USD 1.90 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase during the forecast period (2025-2034). The United States market for Polycythemia Vera was approximately USD 1.44 billion in 2024. The global Polycythemia Vera treatment market was valued at USD 8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 14.8 billion by 2035.
  • PEMAZYRE (pemigatinib):
    • For Cholangiocarcinoma: The global cholangiocarcinoma therapeutics market was estimated at USD 1.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 2.2 billion by 2030. Another report indicates the global market size was USD 583.65 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2.42 billion by 2035. North America is anticipated to hold the largest share of this market, with about 35% by 2035.
  • ICLUSIG:
    • For Chronic Myeloid Leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia: The 7 major chronic myeloid leukemia market was valued at USD 5.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 8.9 billion by 2035. The global chronic myeloid leukemia treatment market was valued at USD 8.6 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach USD 14.3 billion by 2033. North America held a strong lead with over 42% market share in 2023.
  • ruxolitinib for steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host-diseases (GVHD) and itacitinib for naïve chronic GVHD: Null
  • pemigatinib for bladder cancer, myeloproliferative syndrome, and tumor agnostic: Null
  • Parsaclisib:
    • For Follicular Lymphoma: The follicular lymphoma market size in the 7 major markets (7MM) is expected to grow from USD 1,702 million in 2025 to USD 3,081 million in 2036. The United States accounted for the largest market share in the 7MM, with approximately USD 1,000 million in 2024. The global follicular lymphoma drugs market was valued at USD 1.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 3.05 billion by 2032.
    • For Marginal Zone Lymphoma: The marginal zone lymphoma market across the top 7 markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan) reached a value of USD 1.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 3.0 billion by 2035. The global Marginal Zone Lymphoma (MZL) treatment market, estimated at USD 2 billion in 2025, is projected to reach USD 3.8 billion by 2033.
    • For Mantle Cell Lymphoma: The global mantle cell lymphoma therapeutics market size was valued at USD 1.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2.78 billion by 2034. North America is the largest market, accounting for approximately 45% of the global market share. Another source states the global market size was USD 2.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 3.81 billion in 2030.
  • Retifanlimab:
    • For MSI-high endometrial cancer: Null
    • For Merkel Cell Carcinoma: The global Merkel cell carcinoma therapeutics market size was valued at USD 1.97 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 3.71 billion by 2034. North America holds 42% of this market. Another report estimates the global market at USD 3.24 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 4.53 billion by 2033.
    • For Anal Cancer: The global anal cancer market size was valued at USD 928.91 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 1444.76 million in 2033. North America is the most significant global anal cancer market shareholder. The U.S. anal cancer market was valued at USD 0.43 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 0.75 billion by 2032.
    • For Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: The global non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) market was estimated at USD 20.2 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 53.9 billion in 2034. The NSCLC market in the 7 major markets is projected to reach approximately USD 65 billion by 2034. North America is the largest market, with an estimated share of 38.7% in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Incyte (INCY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Continued Growth and Lifecycle Management of Jakafi (ruxolitinib): Jakafi, Incyte's flagship product, is anticipated to maintain strong demand across its approved indications, including myelofibrosis, polycythemia vera, and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). The projected launch of Jakafi XR (extended-release) in mid-2026 is expected to contribute to revenue by facilitating a conversion from the immediate-release version, targeting a 15-20% uptake rate before the loss of exclusivity for the original formulation.
  2. Significant Expansion and International Uptake of Opzelura (ruxolitinib cream): Opzelura is a crucial growth driver for Incyte, particularly in the treatment of vitiligo and atopic dermatitis (AD). The company expects substantial contributions from international launches, especially the anticipated rollout of Opzelura for moderate AD in Europe.
  3. Increasing Contributions from the Broader Hematology and Oncology Portfolio: Incyte's hematology and oncology portfolio, excluding Jakafi, is poised for continued growth. Products such as Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), Monjuvi (tafasitamab-cxix), Zynyz, and Pemazyre are demonstrating strong performance. Niktimvo, a recently launched product, has shown robust uptake, while Monjuvi and Zynyz have experienced growth driven by label expansions. Pemazyre has also received approvals for new indications, further bolstering this segment.
  4. Advancement and Potential New Approvals from the Late-Stage Pipeline, particularly Povorcitinib: Incyte's robust pipeline, with 14 pivotal clinical trials expected by the end of 2026, represents a significant source of future revenue. Povorcitinib, an oral JAK1 inhibitor, is a key late-stage asset with potential for substantial revenue contribution, especially with its NDA submission for hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) in Europe and positive Phase 2 results in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU).

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In May 2024, Incyte's Board of Directors authorized a $2.0 billion share repurchase program.
  • In June 2024, Incyte completed a modified "Dutch Auction" tender offer and a separate agreement to repurchase approximately $2.0 billion of its common stock, representing about 14.8% of outstanding shares.
  • Annual share buybacks by Incyte totaled $2.005 billion in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, Incyte adopted the 2024 Inducement Stock Incentive Plan, reserving 2,000,000 shares of common stock for issuance.
  • Incyte's shares outstanding increased by 0.88% in 2023 from 2022, but then declined by 6.82% in 2024 and 4.67% in 2025, reflecting a net reduction in shares outstanding.

Outbound Investments

  • In February 2024, Incyte acquired exclusive global rights for tafasitamab, subsequently recognizing all revenue from its sales in the United States.

Capital Expenditures

  • Incyte's capital expenditures were $77.83 million in 2022, $32.49 million in 2023, $86.26 million in 2024, and $58.87 million in 2025.
  • Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are $86.42 million.
  • Capital expenditures primarily support the company's significant research and development efforts and the continued investment in its late-stage development assets.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Mkt Price100.3255.67133.52329.59712.7725.81116.92
Mkt Cap20.0113.5165.8178.074.1146.9130.2
Rev LTM5,36148,48329,73437,22014,92063,31433,477
Op Inc LTM1,45013,59111,90110,5683,84315,50811,234
FCF LTM1,42111,90810,2308,5973,7919,4839,040
FCF 3Y Avg83312,5019,3258,8703,5618,6038,736
CFO LTM1,51713,30610,80610,7565,01311,98410,781
CFO 3Y Avg90713,7809,88410,3484,56811,51710,116

Growth & Margins

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM21.5%1.8%3.5%9.1%5.9%1.4%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.7%1.9%3.2%12.5%6.4%-9.2%4.8%
Rev Chg Q20.9%2.6%4.4%5.8%19.0%5.4%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%0.6%1.0%1.3%4.0%1.2%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM540.1%72.7%9.7%41.9%-2.4%3.1%25.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg171.7%21.0%0.1%8.8%-6.3%203.9%14.9%
Op Mgn LTM27.1%28.0%40.0%28.4%25.8%24.5%27.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.1%20.2%36.7%24.6%28.1%17.3%22.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.4%0.3%3.7%-0.1%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM28.3%27.4%36.3%28.9%33.6%18.9%28.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.6%29.2%34.4%30.7%32.6%18.9%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM26.5%24.6%34.4%23.1%25.4%15.0%25.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg18.0%26.5%32.5%26.4%25.5%14.0%25.9%

Valuation

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
Mkt Cap20.0113.5165.8178.074.1146.9130.2
P/S3.72.35.64.85.02.34.3
P/Op Inc13.88.313.916.819.39.513.9
P/EBIT11.39.914.115.114.213.914.0
P/E14.015.618.022.816.819.617.4
P/CFO13.28.515.316.514.812.314.0
Total Yield7.2%10.9%8.0%7.3%6.5%11.8%7.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.5%2.4%2.9%0.5%6.7%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%10.5%7.2%5.2%4.3%5.7%5.5%
D/E0.00.40.10.30.00.40.2
Net D/E-0.20.30.10.3-0.10.30.2

Returns

INCYBMYGILDAMGNREGNPFEMedian
NameIncyte Bristol-.Gilead S.Amgen Regenero.Pfizer  
1M Rtn4.4%-5.0%-3.9%-6.1%-4.8%-2.5%-4.4%
3M Rtn-8.0%-7.4%-11.5%-11.7%-8.5%-3.0%-8.3%
6M Rtn-5.3%20.4%14.4%3.3%9.1%9.4%9.3%
12M Rtn70.1%25.8%41.4%27.9%35.8%23.9%31.8%
3Y Rtn53.7%-6.0%89.1%55.4%-3.6%-16.7%25.0%
1M Excs Rtn-4.3%-13.8%-12.7%-14.8%-13.6%-11.3%-13.1%
3M Excs Rtn-14.4%-13.9%-17.9%-18.1%-15.0%-9.4%-14.7%
6M Excs Rtn-14.9%11.7%-0.8%-4.4%0.2%-1.1%-0.9%
12M Excs Rtn37.1%-6.2%8.8%-5.9%-0.0%-8.4%-3.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.0%-86.8%5.7%-26.4%-87.3%-100.3%-58.9%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Global discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics4,2413,696   
Milestone and contract revenues  16595205
Product revenues, net  2,7472,3222,069
Product royalty revenues  483569393
Total4,2413,6963,3952,9862,667


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Global discovery, development and commercialization of proprietary therapeutics33    
Total33    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$100.32 
Market Cap ($ Bil)20.0 
First Trading Date11/04/1993 
Distance from 52W High-9.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$95.46$94.38
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA5.1%6.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.5%32.4%
Downside Capture0.650.39
Upside Capture68.74118.50
Correlation (SPY)44.8%34.1%
INCY Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.331.101.050.960.900.57
Up Beta1.451.331.471.210.960.46
Down Beta-0.210.820.02-0.030.350.49
Up Capture69%73%95%127%130%36%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days11213365135386
Down Capture293%137%131%116%96%89%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days11223159115363

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY70.6%32.5%1.68-
Sector ETF (XLV)8.6%15.4%0.3443.8%
Equity (SPY)28.1%12.5%1.7834.3%
Gold (GLD)42.9%26.9%1.302.7%
Commodities (DBC)48.6%18.0%2.14-11.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.5%0.7031.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-22.4%41.7%-0.5015.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY4.6%29.2%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLV)4.8%14.6%0.1541.5%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.1%0.5932.1%
Gold (GLD)21.2%17.9%0.961.6%
Commodities (DBC)13.5%19.1%0.58-0.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.0929.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.5%56.0%0.3611.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with INCY
INCY3.2%34.4%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.2%16.5%0.4546.8%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7238.6%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.701.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.5%17.7%0.458.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2426.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.1%66.9%1.078.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-5.2%
Average Daily Volume1.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity199.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/10/2026-8.2%-7.2%-13.2%
10/28/2025-1.5%9.1%13.4%
7/29/202510.3%11.2%19.7%
4/29/20251.5%4.4%9.1%
2/10/2025-7.9%-5.0%-8.2%
10/29/202412.0%15.3%13.9%
7/30/2024-1.2%-9.6%-4.3%
4/30/2024-1.0%2.9%8.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive799
# Negative171515
Median Positive3.4%4.4%8.3%
Median Negative-4.4%-5.1%-8.2%
Max Positive12.0%15.3%19.7%
Max Negative-8.5%-12.7%-18.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/28/202610-Q
12/31/202502/10/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/10/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total net product revenue4.77 Bil4.86 Bil4.94 Bil13.6% Higher NewGuidance: 4.28 Bil for 2025
2026 Jakafi net product revenue3.22 Bil3.25 Bil3.27 Bil6.0% Higher NewGuidance: 3.06 Bil for 2025
2026 Opzelura net product revenue750.00 Mil770.00 Mil790.00 Mil18.5% Higher NewGuidance: 650.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Hematology and Oncology net product revenue800.00 Mil840.00 Mil880.00 Mil49.3% Higher NewGuidance: 562.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Total GAAP R&D and SG&A operating expenses3.50 Bil3.58 Bil3.67 Bil   
2026 Total non-GAAP R&D and SG&A operating expenses3.21 Bil3.29 Bil3.38 Bil   

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net Product Revenue4.23 Bil4.28 Bil4.32 Bil   
2025 Jakafi Net Product Revenue3.05 Bil3.06 Bil3.08 Bil1.2% RaisedGuidance: 3.02 Bil for 2025
2025 Opzelura Net Product Revenue630.00 Mil650.00 Mil670.00 Mil   
2025 Other Oncology Net Product Revenue550.00 Mil562.50 Mil575.00 Mil10.3% RaisedGuidance: 510.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Cagnoni, Pablo JPresident, Global Head of R&DDirectSell421202696.5018,6671,801,36625,349,778Form
2Cagnoni, Pablo JPresident, R&DDirectSell319202694.2418,6671,759,17822,127,552Form
3Cagnoni, Pablo JPresident, R&DDirectSell2232026100.9118,6681,883,78823,693,668Form
4Tray, ThomasPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell12222025100.002,774277,4002,297,300Form
5Tray, ThomasPrincipal Accounting OfficerDirectSell1222202598.2560058,9502,257,097Form

INCY Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

UNDERWEIGHT (Score 3-4)

CONVICTION RATIONALE

The stock receives a low score because it fits the profile of a classic value trap. While statistically inexpensive, the valuation is depressed for a valid reason: a looming, structural patent cliff on its primary asset. The risk-reward is unattractive, with the potential upside from an unproven pipeline not sufficiently compensating for the high-impact risk of execution failure and the erosion of its core business.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Primary: 'Transition / Profit Pivot', Secondary: 'Binary Innovator'

The company's primary challenge is managing the transition from its maturing blockbuster, Jakafi, to a diversified portfolio, focusing on the growth of new products and managing profitability. This aligns with Type F. However, its heavy reliance on the success of late-stage clinical trials for future growth introduces a significant 'Binary Innovator' element (Type D).

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INVESTMENT THESIS
Opzelura/Pipeline Revenue Diversification Ahead of 2028 Jakafi Patent Cliff

The investment thesis is that Incyte can successfully manage the transition from its reliance on Jakafi by rapidly scaling its dermatology franchise (Opzelura) and delivering on key late-stage pipeline assets (e.g., povorcitinib) to create a durable, diversified revenue stream that more than offsets the inevitable Jakafi revenue decline post-2028.

Mechanism: Incyte captures value by commercializing newly approved, patent-protected drugs in high-unmet-need areas. Success is measured by achieving significant sales growth from the non-Jakafi portfolio, which changes the revenue mix, de-risks the company's future earnings, and justifies a valuation multiple re-rating.
Supporting Evidence:
  • The Core Business (ex-Jakafi) Revenue grew at 53% YoY in FY2025, demonstrating successful execution on the diversification strategy.
  • Opzelura, the key near-term growth pillar, saw net product revenue grow 33% YoY in FY2025 to $678 million.
  • The 'Other Hematology/Oncology' portfolio grew 83% YoY to $583 million, driven by new launches like Niktimvo.
  • Management is advancing a broad late-stage pipeline, with 14 pivotal trials expected to be underway by year-end 2026, providing multiple shots on goal for the next blockbuster.
PRIMARY RISK
Jakafi 2028 Patent Cliff and Pipeline Execution Failure

The primary risk is that the late-stage pipeline fails to produce new blockbusters and/or Opzelura's growth decelerates faster than expected. This would create a significant revenue and earnings gap post-2028 that the company cannot fill, leading to a major valuation de-rating as its primary earnings driver faces generic competition.

Mechanism: The thesis breaks if key pipeline assets like povorcitinib fail in Phase 3 trials or if Opzelura's growth stalls due to competition or payer pushback. This would confirm the market's fear that Incyte is a 'melting ice cube' with insufficient growth to offset the loss of its core $3B+ drug.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Jakafi's composition of matter patent expires around 2028, creating a well-defined and significant revenue cliff.
  • Opzelura's growth is already decelerating, with Q4 2025 YoY growth at 28%, down from 35% in the prior two quarters.
  • 2026 guidance for Opzelura implies only a ~15% YoY increase, citing 'price actions to expand formulary coverage' as an offset to volume, suggesting increasing payer pressure.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Threshold Rationale
Opzelura Net Product Revenue Growth YoYGuidance of ~$750M-$790M for FY26 (~15% YoY growth)This is the primary near-term growth driver meant to offset Jakafi. Any significant deviation below the guided growth rate confirms increasing payer pressure and market saturation, heightening the patent cliff risk.
Core Business (ex-Jakafi) Revenue Growth YoY>30% YoYThis metric tracks the success of the overall diversification strategy. This portfolio must maintain a high growth rate to have a chance of closing the gap left by Jakafi post-2028.
Povorcitinib Clinical Trial ReadoutsPositive Phase 3 data in Mid-2026 and Q4 2026As the most significant late-stage pipeline asset, its success or failure is a binary event that will dramatically alter the company's long-term growth trajectory and perception.
Core Investment Debate

Pipeline Execution vs. The Jakafi Patent Cliff

BULL VIEW

The diversification strategy is working. The ex-Jakafi portfolio grew 53% YoY in FY2025, proving Incyte can build new, multi-billion dollar revenue streams before the cliff hits.

CORE TENSION

Can the 'ex-Jakafi' growth portfolio, led by Opzelura and the pipeline, scale fast enough to offset the inevitable revenue collapse of the core Jakafi franchise post-2028?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BEARISH

Opzelura's 2026 guidance implies a YoY growth collapse to ~15% from 33% in FY2025, confirming the bear case of slowing momentum in the key diversification asset.

BEAR VIEW

It's too little, too late. Opzelura's growth is decelerating to ~15% (FY26 guidance), and the pipeline is unproven. The company will fail to fill the multi-billion dollar Jakafi gap.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
Mid-2026
Povorcitinib Phase 3 Vitiligo Data Readout
Watch: Binary Headline: A press release stating the trial successfully met its primary endpoint. This is the single most important pipeline catalyst.
Late April 2026
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Watch: Opzelura YoY growth vs. the full-year guidance of ~15%. Any result below this rate will confirm the deceleration thesis and pressure the stock.
May 29 - June 2, 2026
Tafasitamab First-Line DLBCL Data at ASCO
Watch: Qualitative Headline: Is the full data perceived as 'practice-changing' or merely 'statistically significant,' determining its actual market potential.
Late July / Early August 2026
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Watch: Core Business (ex-Jakafi) Revenue Growth YoY must remain above the >30% threshold to show the diversification strategy has durable momentum.
Q4 2026
Povorcitinib Phase 3 Prurigo Nodularis Data
Watch: Binary Headline: A second successful Phase 3 readout for Povorcitinib would significantly de-risk its profile and expand its potential market.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
Nov 3, 2025
Q3 2025 Earnings
Details: The stock surged following strong Q3 results, which featured robust Opzelura YoY growth of 35% and stable Jakafi performance, confirming the diversification story was on track at the time.
Surged +8.7%
$93.48 -> $101.57
Dec 8, 2025
Hypothetical Pipeline Update
Details: This example illustrates market sensitivity. Even with potentially positive mid-stage pipeline news, the stock can sell off if it's not seen as impactful enough to solve the core thesis risk.
Plummeted 5.7%
$102.52 -> $96.70
Feb 10, 2026
Q4 & FY 2025 Earnings and FY 2026 Guidance
Details: Despite a revenue beat, stock plummeted on a significant Opzelura guidance miss for FY26 (~15% growth vs. 33% in FY25), signaling sharp deceleration in the key growth driver.
Plummeted 8.2%
$109.03 -> $100.05
Mar 12, 2026
FDA Rejects Zynyz Application
Details: The FDA issued a complete response letter for Zynyz in lung cancer due to manufacturing inspection findings at a third-party facility, highlighting supply chain risk.
Fell notably by 2.8%
$94.66 -> $92.03
Apr 21, 2026
Tafasitamab Positive Phase 3 Top-Line Results
Details: Incyte announced the frontMIND study in first-line DLBCL met its primary endpoint. The market reaction was muted ahead of the full data presentation at ASCO.
Muted (-0.7%)
$96.92 -> $96.22
Risk Management
Position Sizing

NORMAL

Diversification Alternatives
How Is The Market Pricing INCY?

Incyte is transitioning from a company heavily reliant on its blockbuster hematology drug, Jakafi, to a diversified biopharmaceutical firm with a significant new growth pillar in dermatology (Opzelura) and a broad late-stage pipeline aimed at offsetting Jakafi's 2028 patent expiration.

Filter all news through the lens of diversifying revenue beyond Jakafi before its 2028 patent cliff.

What will confirm the thesis

Opzelura revenue growth exceeding 30% YoY; Positive Phase 3 data readouts for late-stage pipeline assets like povorcitinib; a successful launch of Jakafi XR; any new drug approvals that build the post-2028 revenue base.

What will damage the thesis

Slowing growth or market share loss for Opzelura or Jakafi; clinical trial failures or delays for key pipeline candidates (e.g., povorcitinib); stronger-than-expected competition from other JAK inhibitors; any negative regulatory updates or patent challenges.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Quarterly fluctuations in royalty revenue; early-stage (Phase 1) pipeline announcements; minor insider stock sales; general market commentary on the biotech sector without specific relevance to Incyte's product cycle.

Repricing Catalyst

The market is focused on the successful commercial ramp-up of Opzelura and the clinical progression of its late-stage pipeline, particularly povorcitinib, as the primary drivers to create a durable revenue stream that can replace the estimated ~$3.2B in annual Jakafi sales expected to be lost to generic competition after 2028.

What INCY Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Earnings Press Release, Feb 10, 2026
Jakafi (Hematology Drug)
$3.1B TTM (57% of Total) · 91% Margin
What It Is

Jakafi (ruxolitinib), a first-in-class JAK1/JAK2 inhibitor for myelofibrosis (a rare blood cancer) and other hematological conditions.

Who Pays & How

Major US drug distributors (identified as Customers A, B, and C in filings, likely AmerisourceBergen, Cardinal Health, and McKesson) purchase the drug for pharmacy fulfillment. Payers (insurers) cover the cost because it is the first FDA-approved and standard-of-care treatment for intermediate/high-risk myelofibrosis, significantly improving patient symptoms.

Per-unit drug sale to distributors.
Competition
Bristol Myers Squibb - Inrebic (fedratinib)
Inrebic offers an alternative JAK2 inhibitor for patients. Other competitors include GSK's Ojjaara and Sobi's Vonjo, which target specific patient subpopulations (e.g., those with anemia).
Jakafi has a significant first-mover advantage, extensive real-world data, and established physician trust as the standard of care since its 2011 approval for myelofibrosis.
Opzelura (Dermatology Cream)
$0.7B TTM (13% of Total) · 91% Margin
What It Is

Opzelura (ruxolitinib) cream, the first and only FDA-approved topical JAK inhibitor for atopic dermatitis (eczema) and nonsegmental vitiligo.

Who Pays & How

Distributors purchase the product for pharmacies. Payers cover the treatment because it is a novel, first-in-class topical therapy for conditions with high unmet need, offering a non-steroidal option for patients.

Per-unit drug sale to distributors.
Competition
Injectable biologics like Sanofi/Regeneron's Dupixent for atopic dermatitis.
Dupixent is an established systemic treatment for moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis with strong efficacy data. Other topical competitors include PDE4 inhibitors (Eucrisa) and calcineurin inhibitors (Protopic).
Opzelura's moat is its unique status as the only topical JAK inhibitor, offering a powerful non-steroidal cream formulation that is preferred by many patients over injections or other ointments. It is also the only FDA-approved treatment for repigmentation in vitiligo.
Other Hematology/Oncology Products
$0.6B TTM (11% of Total) · 91% Margin
What It Is

A portfolio of cancer drugs including Monjuvi (for lymphoma), Zynyz, Pemazyre, Iclusig, and the newly launched Niktimvo ($152M in FY25 sales).

Who Pays & How

Distributors, hospitals, and specialty pharmacies purchase these drugs for patients with various cancers. Payers cover them for approved, often niche, indications where there is a clinical need.

Per-unit drug sale.
Competition
Varies by product. For example, Monjuvi competes with other therapies for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.
Each competing product has a unique profile of efficacy, safety, and established use in specific cancer treatment paradigms.
Incyte's moat for these products comes from targeting specific molecular pathways or patient populations with high unmet needs, secured by patents and regulatory exclusivity.
Royalties & Other Revenue
$0.8B TTM (19% of Total) · 100% Margin
What It Is

Royalty income from out-licensed drugs (e.g., Olumiant partnered with Eli Lilly, Tabrecta with Novartis) and milestone/contract payments.

Who Pays & How

Pharmaceutical partners like Novartis and Eli Lilly pay Incyte a percentage of sales for drugs that Incyte discovered but which the partners commercialize.

Percentage of net sales (royalty) and one-time milestone payments.
Competition
N/A
N/A
Patents on the out-licensed molecules provide a long-term, high-margin revenue stream.
INCY Evolution: Price Return by Era
1991–2010 · Genomics Pioneer to Drug Developer
From Selling Data to Discovering Drugs
Founded in 1991, Incyte initially focused on creating and selling access to a comprehensive genomics database. A pivotal strategic shift occurred in the early 2000s, when the company relocated and retooled its focus to internal drug discovery and development, moving away from genomics services to build a proprietary therapeutic pipeline.
2011–2021 · The Jakafi Era
A One-Product Blockbuster Story Peak price of ~$152 reached in March 2017
This era was defined by the 2011 FDA approval of Jakafi for myelofibrosis, Incyte's first commercial product. Jakafi became a blockbuster, driving massive revenue growth and establishing the company as a major commercial player in hematology-oncology. The company's value became overwhelmingly tied to this single asset's success and label expansions.
2022–Present · Race to Diversify
Life Beyond Jakafi +43% in 2025
Marked by the 2022 launch of Opzelura for vitiligo, this era is characterized by an urgent strategic push to diversify revenue ahead of Jakafi's 2028 patent cliff. The company is now focused on the commercial ramp-up of Opzelura as its second major pillar and advancing a broad late-stage pipeline to fill the impending revenue gap.
Market Is In Wait-and-See Mode
Price structure trend is constructive with some caveats. The regime is supportive but not with full conviction. Relative to SPY: Performance in line with the broader market with no relative edge or drag in current window. Volume and momentum show mild positive lean. The accumulation signals present but not yet dominant. Earnings history is a strong counter-signal. The market has consistently rejected the narrative. This is not noise, but institutional disagreement. NOTE: Structure and earnings history are contradicting each other. The price trend says one thing, and the market reaction to catalysts says another. Treat this with caution and weigh the most recent earnings event heavily.
① Structure
+2
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
+1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-4
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-1 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Uptrend Cooling · -
2 Momentum Mixed
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Neutral Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Mild Accumulation
5 Volatility Normal
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Consistent Pressure
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars