Tearsheet

Hippo (HIPO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.0 | Market Cap: $780.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Hippo (HIPO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.0
Market Cap: $780.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -51%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HIPO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Workforce Reduction and Executive Departures.

In early September 2025, Hippo announced a 10% reduction in its workforce and the departure of its Chief Operating Officer and Chief Technology Officer. These changes likely signaled operational challenges or a strategic shift that investors perceived negatively. 2. Reverse Stock Split Approval.

On September 19, 2025, the company's board approved a 1-for-25 reverse stock split, which led to an immediate 4% decline in the stock price during after-hours trading. Reverse stock splits are often interpreted by the market as a sign of underlying financial weakness or an attempt to meet listing requirements, contributing to negative sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HIPO Return---81%-33%194%16%-56%
Peers Return4%27%11%16%31%12%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HIPO Win Rate-9%17%58%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate60%57%53%62%68%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HIPO Max Drawdown---84%-49%-13%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-6%-11%-14%-1%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHIPOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven5059.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to HIG, FNF, PGR, CB, TRV


In The Past

Hippo's stock fell -98.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -98.1% loss requires a 5059.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hippo (HIPO)

Better Bets than Hippo (HIPO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HIPO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hippo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HIPOHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHippo Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Price30.99133.0458.19227.18295.05284.27180.11
Mkt Cap0.837.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
Rev LTM45027,69213,29782,37658,90048,40938,050
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-125,8656,72716,47213,3219,9858,356
FCF 3Y Avg-474,9226,25012,35013,4098,6827,466
CFO LTM-05,9886,87216,80013,3219,9858,428
CFO 3Y Avg-235,1096,38812,63413,4098,6827,535

Growth & Margins

HIPOHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHippo Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Rev Chg LTM34.5%6.9%7.4%21.5%6.7%6.7%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg58.5%8.6%-0.7%20.0%12.2%10.1%11.2%
Rev Chg Q26.3%6.4%16.8%21.3%8.2%4.8%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.9%1.6%4.0%4.9%2.2%1.2%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-0.1%21.6%51.7%20.4%22.6%20.6%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.1%19.6%51.9%18.0%24.8%19.4%19.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.6%21.2%50.6%20.0%22.6%20.6%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-23.9%18.9%50.8%17.6%24.8%19.4%19.1%

Valuation

HIPOHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHippo Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
Mkt Cap0.837.415.8133.2117.263.750.5
P/S2.01.41.11.91.91.31.6
P/EBIT-8.19.111.78.58.18.5
P/E9.510.514.215.011.610.711.1
P/CFO-2,276.66.32.29.38.46.36.3
Total Yield10.5%11.1%10.6%8.5%10.0%10.2%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%3.6%1.8%1.3%0.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.3%15.8%50.1%10.3%12.9%17.2%14.4%
D/E0.10.10.30.00.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.5-0.5-1.8-0.0-0.2-1.4-0.5

Returns

HIPOHIGFNFPGRCBTRVMedian
NameHippo Hartford.Fidelity.Progress.Chubb Traveler. 
1M Rtn-15.4%7.5%5.1%11.5%6.0%6.2%6.1%
3M Rtn-4.3%0.4%-1.7%-7.9%6.4%3.2%-0.7%
6M Rtn23.4%4.9%9.4%-19.4%1.8%5.4%5.1%
12M Rtn-0.7%12.0%-4.2%-11.7%4.5%10.9%1.9%
3Y Rtn114.6%85.9%75.3%76.6%40.7%58.9%75.9%
1M Excs Rtn-15.4%7.6%5.1%11.6%6.1%6.2%6.2%
3M Excs Rtn-11.2%-6.1%-8.2%-14.1%0.4%-3.2%-7.2%
6M Excs Rtn8.6%-9.9%-5.3%-34.1%-12.9%-9.3%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn-19.8%-3.4%-18.6%-27.3%-10.0%-4.9%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn32.0%16.1%-0.1%7.2%-29.7%-11.1%3.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity583,858
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-18.2%
Average Daily Volume336,700
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.73
Basic Shares Quantity25,183,389
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021