Hartford Insurance (HIG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $138.48 | Market Cap: $38.9 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Hartford Insurance (HIG)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $138.48Market Cap: $38.9 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Property & Casualty Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 16% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2% | Key risksHIG key risks include [1] significant earnings volatility due to escalating catastrophic losses impacting its property and casualty business, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -47% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 6.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.9 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -47% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, CFO LTM is 6.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2% |
| Key risksHIG key risks include [1] significant earnings volatility due to escalating catastrophic losses impacting its property and casualty business, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HIG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the movement of Hartford Insurance (HIG) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Revenue Beat: Hartford reported Q3 2025 revenues of $7.23 billion, reflecting a 7.1% increase year-over-year. This significantly exceeded analysts' expectations by 38.9%, indicating a robust financial performance. The stock was up 3.8% since this reporting around early December 2025.
2. Robust Financial Stance and Growth Prospects: As of mid-December 2025, The Hartford maintained a strong financial position, evidenced by a high GF Score of 92 out of 100, suggesting significant outperformance potential. The company's Growth Rank stood at 10/10, and its Profitability Rank at 8/10, highlighting its strong commitment to business expansion and capacity for generating profit.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HIG Return | -17% | 44% | 12% | 9% | 39% | 28% | 159% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 25% | 14% | 109% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HIG Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 55% | 62% | 63% | 65% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HIG Max Drawdown | -57% | -2% | -11% | -13% | 0% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -4% | -8% | -18% | -0% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, CB, ALL, AIG, CNA. See HIG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HIG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 58 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 365 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2828.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5,621 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ALL, MET, PRU, WRB, CINF
In The Past
Hartford Insurance's stock fell -19.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -19.5% loss requires a 24.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HIG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hartford Insurance
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 173.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 51.3 |
| Rev LTM | 38,050 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 7,250 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,888 |
| CFO LTM | 7,407 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,096 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 19.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 51.3 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.3 |
| P/E | 11.1 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 10.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 61.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Lines | 11,682 | 10,610 | 9,575 | 8,940 | 8,325 |
| Group Benefits | 6,515 | 6,057 | 5,687 | 5,536 | 5,603 |
| Personal Lines | 3,117 | 2,979 | 2,986 | 3,042 | 3,235 |
| Net investment income | 2,305 | 2,177 | 2,313 | 1,846 | 1,951 |
| Hartford Funds | 973 | 1,044 | 1,189 | 989 | 999 |
| Other revenues | 84 | 73 | 81 | 126 | 170 |
| Corporate | 39 | 49 | 50 | 58 | 60 |
| Property & Casualty (P&C) Other Operations | 0 | 0 | 2 | ||
| Net realized losses | -188 | -627 | 509 | -14 | 395 |
| Total | 24,527 | 22,362 | 22,390 | 20,523 | 20,740 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Lines | 2,085 | 1,624 | 1,757 | 856 | 1,192 |
| Group Benefits | 535 | 327 | 249 | 383 | 536 |
| Hartford Funds | 174 | 162 | 217 | 170 | 149 |
| Personal Lines | -39 | 91 | 385 | 718 | 318 |
| Corporate | -121 | -195 | -148 | -222 | |
| Property & Casualty (P&C) Other Operations | -130 | -190 | -95 | -168 | 61 |
| Preferred stock dividends | -21 | -21 | -21 | 21 | |
| Total | 2,504 | 1,798 | 2,344 | 1,716 | 2,277 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Lines | 49,711 | 47,234 | 48,234 | 45,482 | 42,041 |
| Group Benefits | 13,697 | 13,278 | 14,442 | 14,732 | 14,595 |
| Personal Lines | 5,579 | 5,130 | 5,587 | 5,969 | 6,310 |
| Property & Casualty (P&C) Other Operations | 4,235 | 3,897 | 3,792 | 3,505 | 3,560 |
| Corporate | 2,874 | 2,834 | 3,803 | 3,761 | 3,677 |
| Mutual Funds/Hartford Funds | 684 | ||||
| Hartford Funds | 635 | 720 | 662 | 634 | |
| Total | 76,780 | 73,008 | 76,578 | 74,111 | 70,817 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/27/2025 | -1.8% | -0.6% | 10.1% |
| 7/28/2025 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 9.6% |
| 4/24/2025 | -0.4% | 2.2% | 8.1% |
| 1/30/2025 | -2.4% | -0.7% | 5.3% |
| 10/24/2024 | -6.8% | -8.3% | 0.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% |
| 4/25/2024 | -3.8% | -1.6% | 2.2% |
| 2/1/2024 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 9.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 15 | 18 |
| # Negative | 14 | 9 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 3.1% | 7.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -1.6% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 7.1% | 7.1% | 15.1% |
| Max Negative | -6.8% | -8.3% | -9.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10272025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
