Groupon (GRPN)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $10.475 | Market Cap: $426.4 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Groupon (GRPN)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $10.475Market Cap: $426.4 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% | Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Experiential Retail. | Key risksGRPN key risks include [1] a flawed business model that causes high merchant churn, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -55% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -24% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% |
| Key risksGRPN key risks include [1] a flawed business model that causes high merchant churn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Groupon (GRPN) stock has lost about 40% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Q4 2025 Earnings Miss and Conservative 2026 Guidance.
Groupon reported its Q4 2025 earnings on March 10, 2026, announcing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.17, which missed analyst estimates of $0.25. The company's revenue for the quarter also fell short, coming in at $132.7 million against an estimated $140.08 million. This earnings and revenue miss contributed to an 11% pre-market stock decline. Furthermore, Groupon provided 2026 guidance projecting 3% to 5% growth in both billings and revenue, and adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $75 million. This outlook was more moderate than previous expectations and below the Q1 2026 consensus revenue estimate of $124.0 million. Management attributed the Q4 shortfall to a deceleration in the enterprise channel in North America and underperformance in organic and owned marketing channels.
2. Significant Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions.
Following the Q4 2025 results, Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan maintained a "Sell" rating on Groupon on March 12, 2026, and sharply lowered the price target from $17.00 to $10.00, representing a 41.18% decrease. This negative adjustment from a major investment bank signaled decreased confidence in the company's future prospects. Earlier, on November 8, 2025, Wall Street Zen downgraded Groupon from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, and Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d)" rating on December 29, 2025, further reflecting a cautious sentiment among analysts.
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1. Q4 2025 Earnings Miss and Conservative 2026 Guidance.
Groupon reported its Q4 2025 earnings on March 10, 2026, announcing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.17, which missed analyst estimates of $0.25. The company's revenue for the quarter also fell short, coming in at $132.7 million against an estimated $140.08 million. This earnings and revenue miss contributed to an 11% pre-market stock decline. Furthermore, Groupon provided 2026 guidance projecting 3% to 5% growth in both billings and revenue, and adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $75 million. This outlook was more moderate than previous expectations and below the Q1 2026 consensus revenue estimate of $124.0 million. Management attributed the Q4 shortfall to a deceleration in the enterprise channel in North America and underperformance in organic and owned marketing channels.
2. Significant Analyst Downgrades and Price Target Reductions.
Following the Q4 2025 results, Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan maintained a "Sell" rating on Groupon on March 12, 2026, and sharply lowered the price target from $17.00 to $10.00, representing a 41.18% decrease. This negative adjustment from a major investment bank signaled decreased confidence in the company's future prospects. Earlier, on November 8, 2025, Wall Street Zen downgraded Groupon from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, and Weiss Ratings reissued a "sell (d)" rating on December 29, 2025, further reflecting a cautious sentiment among analysts.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -38.1% change in GRPN stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.91 | 10.47 | -38.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 496 | 498 | 0.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 0.9 | -38.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 41 | 41 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -38.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLC) | -6.9% | 28.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -59.9% change in GRPN stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.10 | 10.47 | -59.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 488 | 498 | 2.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.1 | 0.9 | -60.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 41 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -59.9% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -59.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 44.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | -3.3% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.8% change in GRPN stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -3.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.12 | 10.47 | -5.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 500 | 498 | -0.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.9 | -3.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 40 | 41 | -2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.8% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 26.0% |
| Sector (XLC) | 6.2% | 20.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 39.4% change in GRPN stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 153.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.51 | 10.47 | 39.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 674 | 498 | -26.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.9 | 153.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 30 | 41 | -25.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 39.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GRPN | 39.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 22.9% |
| Sector (XLC) | 106.7% | 17.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GRPN Return | -39% | -63% | 50% | -5% | 45% | -37% | -71% |
| Peers Return | 2% | -42% | 47% | -5% | -29% | -17% | -52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GRPN Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 32% | 27% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GRPN Max Drawdown | -49% | -73% | -65% | -37% | -20% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -46% | -9% | -42% | -52% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: YELP, TRIP, EB, TZOO, SEAT. See GRPN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GRPN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2015.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -84.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 544.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 352 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 162.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to YELP, TRIP, EB, TZOO, SEAT
In The Past
Groupon's stock fell -95.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/5/2021. A -95.3% loss requires a 2015.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Groupon (GRPN)
Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. It operates in two segments, North America and International. The company sells goods or services on behalf of third-party merchants; and first-party goods inventory. It serves customers through its mobile applications and websites. The company was formerly known as ThePoint.com, Inc. and changed its name to Groupon, Inc. in October 2008. Groupon, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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```html- Amazon for local deals and experiences.
- Yelp for discounted local services.
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- Third-Party Merchant Deals: A service facilitating the sale of discounted goods and services from various merchants to consumers through its marketplace.
- First-Party Goods Sales: The direct sale of products from Groupon's own inventory to consumers.
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Groupon (GRPN) sells primarily to individuals. The company operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants, selling goods or services to these individual customers through its mobile applications and websites.
The up to three categories of individual customers that Groupon serves include:
- Individuals seeking local services and experiences, such as dining, beauty treatments, fitness classes, and other activities.
- Individuals looking for discounted products and goods across various categories.
- Individuals interested in travel deals, including hotels, flights, and vacation packages.
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Dušan Šenkypl, Chief Executive OfficerDušan Šenkypl joined Groupon as Interim CEO from Pale Fire Capital, Groupon's largest shareholder, and was appointed permanent CEO in May 2024. He co-founded Pale Fire Capital in 2015, where he serves as Chairman and CEO. Pale Fire Capital is an entrepreneurial investment firm with approximately $1 billion in assets under management (AUM) and a private equity portfolio of around 30 B2C and marketplace companies. Prior to Pale Fire, he built several global e-commerce and technology projects, including ePojisteni.cz and NetBrokers Holding, a dominant fintech player, which was acquired by a German media group, Bauer Media, in 2018.
Rana Kashyap, Chief Financial OfficerRana Kashyap joined Groupon in December 2022 as SVP and served in various roles across Finance, Commercial, and Transformation. He was appointed CFO in September 2025. Previously, he spent nine years at investment firm RPD Fund Management as Director of Research. Before that, he held positions at Danaher Corporation, Maini Group, and JPMorgan Chase.
Jiri Ponrt, Chief Operating OfficerJiri Ponrt joined Groupon from Pale Fire Capital, Groupon's largest shareholder. He served as Groupon's CFO from April 2023 and transitioned to the role of Chief Operating Officer in September 2025. At Pale Fire Capital, he served as Group CFO since November 2021 and later as a Partner. Prior to Pale Fire Capital, he was the CFO at Alza.cz for over seven years, one of the largest e-commerce players in Central and Eastern Europe, where he was instrumental in its growth and international expansion, helping to grow the business to an annual turnover of $2 billion. He also spent 15 years at Danone/Nutricia in various financial and commercial roles.
Peter Sulak, Chief Sales OfficerPeter Sulak is responsible for global sales at Groupon. He has held senior leadership roles across Europe and the Middle East, including serving as a COO and an executive board member of a major retail bank. He specializes in business turnarounds and commercial transformations, with experience scaling both B2B and B2C organizations. Before joining Groupon, he was involved in venture building across the MENA region, launching and scaling consumer financial services ventures.
Giovanni Lagasio, SVP, Global OperationsGiovanni Lagasio is an AI, Product, and Operations executive with over a decade of experience transforming large-scale fintech, e-commerce, and technology organizations. He focuses on building intelligent systems that drive growth, resilience, and operational excellence. At Klarna, he led global Product and Operations teams across Fraud, AML, Banking, B2C, and B2B functions.
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Key Risks to Groupon (GRPN)
- Unsustainable Business Model and Intense Competition: Groupon's foundational daily deals model is highly imitable, leading to market saturation and aggressive competition from major tech companies such as Google, Amazon, Yelp, and Tripadvisor. This intense competitive landscape, coupled with customers experiencing "deal fatigue" and merchants struggling to gain loyal, profitable customers from deep discounts, has resulted in declining revenue and merchant churn.
- Poor Financial Health and Profitability Challenges: Groupon has consistently faced significant financial difficulties, including negative revenue growth, ongoing profitability challenges, and an inability to generate sustainable net income. The company has reported negative earnings per share (EPS) and net margins, a high debt-to-equity ratio, and a distressed Altman Z-Score, signaling a heightened risk of financial instability.
- Customer and Merchant Retention Issues: A critical risk stems from difficulties in retaining both customers and merchants. Many merchants report that the deeply discounted deals offered through Groupon do not lead to long-term customer loyalty or profitable repeat business, causing them to discontinue their participation. Simultaneously, customers often demonstrate a lack of loyalty, primarily seeking bargains, which necessitates continuous and costly efforts to attract and retain users.
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- The deepening integration of local commerce features, direct booking capabilities, and promotional tools by major tech platforms (e.g., Google, Amazon, Meta) directly within their ecosystems.
- The increasing sophistication and widespread adoption of direct-to-consumer e-commerce and marketing platforms (e.g., Shopify, Squarespace, Square) that empower small businesses to manage their own deals, loyalty programs, and customer outreach without relying on third-party marketplaces.
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Groupon (GRPN) operates within several addressable markets for its main products and services, primarily focusing on local experiences, services, and travel.
-
The global local experience marketplaces market was valued at approximately USD 20 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 60 billion by 2032.
-
The global experience travel services market was valued at USD 138.00 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 372.93 billion by 2034.
-
The global online on-demand home services market was valued at USD 4.3 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 14.0 billion by 2033. Specifically for North America, this market held a 38.0% share in 2023, equating to approximately USD 1.63 billion.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Groupon (GRPN) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Local Marketplace and High-Margin Offerings: Groupon's core local marketplace, which accounts for approximately 90% of its billings, demonstrated double-digit growth in both North America and international markets in 2025. The company is strategically prioritizing high-margin local deals, including groceries, services, and unique experiences, to diversify its offerings and reduce reliance on broader national campaigns.
- Expansion of Active Customer Base: Groupon saw its global active customers increase to 16.2 million in 2025, marking a rise of over 5% year-over-year, with North America local active customers growing by 12%. This continued focus on attracting and retaining customers, particularly within its local segment, is expected to drive future revenue.
- Leveraging AI and Product Enhancements: The company is transitioning to an "AI-native operating model" and has established an AI Committee to integrate artificial intelligence into its operations and product development. Plans are in place to make inventory discoverable and transactable by AI agents by mid-2026. Additionally, enhancements in product and engineering, including the migration of iOS users in North America to a new, more monetizing mobile app, are aimed at improving user experience and purchase frequency.
- Strengthened Merchant Partnerships and Market Penetration: Groupon is focusing on enhancing its relationships with merchants, evidenced by a 43% increase in merchants generating over $1 million in trailing twelve-month billings. This "hyper-local" approach, coupled with strategic geographic expansion into regions with strong consumer demand, particularly in key international markets, is anticipated to contribute to revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Groupon has an active share repurchase program, with approximately $245 million remaining authorized on its buyback program as of early 2026.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, Groupon undertook a $244 million financing transaction involving the exchange of existing convertible senior notes due in 2026 and 2027 for new 4.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030.
- The new 2030 notes are convertible into cash, shares of common stock, or a combination, at Groupon's discretion, with an initial conversion rate equivalent to approximately $54.04 per share.
Capital Expenditures
- Groupon's capital expenditures were $3.6 million in Q4 2025.
- The company generated positive free cash flow of $49.9 million in 2025, reflecting that capital investments were funded through operating cash flow.
- Management plans to invest in its AI strategy over the coming years, which suggests future capital expenditures will be focused on technological enhancements.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Groupon Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can Groupon Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Groupon (GRPN) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| GRPN Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Is Groupon’s Stock Attractive At $21? | 10/15/2020 | |
| Does Groupon Have Upside Once Pandemic Subsides? | 07/02/2020 | |
| Why A Groupon-Yelp Deal Is A Bad Idea | 09/13/2019 | |
| Groupon’s Presence AI Acquisition Is A Good Deal If It Didn’t Cost More Than $350 Million | 08/29/2019 | |
| Groupon’s Q1 Weakness Likely To Remain In Q2, But The Outlook For The Year Isn’t All Bad | 05/02/2019 |
Trade Ideas
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| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.1% | 22.1% | -3.7% |
| 02062026 | MGNI | Magnite | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.8% |
| 01302026 | RBLX | Roblox | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.4% | 4.4% | -7.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 571 |
| Op Inc LTM | 13 |
| FCF LTM | 50 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 18 |
| CFO LTM | 64 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 37 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | 10.2 |
| P/CFO | 4.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -43.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -44.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | -18.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -40.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -53.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -80.2% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $10.47 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/04/2011 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -72.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $12.85 | $21.44 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -18.5% | -51.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.7% | 73.6% |
| Downside Capture | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| Upside Capture | 189.79 | 116.52 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 40.0% | 26.6% |
GRPN Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.17 | 1.82 | 1.93 | 2.19 | 1.09 | 1.39 |
| Up Beta | 1.48 | 1.69 | 1.55 | 1.92 | 0.71 | 0.61 |
| Down Beta | 0.67 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 2.18 | 0.87 | 1.14 |
| Up Capture | 359% | 110% | 193% | 95% | 211% | 1078% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 15 | 28 | 55 | 120 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 473% | 341% | 310% | 249% | 133% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 26 | 33 | 69 | 126 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRPN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -45.2% | 73.3% | -0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.1% | 18.3% | 0.33 | 21.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 26.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 20.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 14.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 31.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRPN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -28.2% | 87.4% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 8.1% | 20.7% | 0.31 | 27.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 29.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 20.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 13.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GRPN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRPN | -18.9% | 81.5% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 8.7% | 22.4% | 0.47 | 31.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 33.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 14.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 28.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 10.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | -4.3% | -6.7% | |
| 11/6/2025 | -5.0% | -2.1% | -11.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 20.3% | -1.1% | -21.7% |
| 3/11/2025 | 43.1% | 63.1% | 80.1% |
| 11/12/2024 | -27.0% | -21.6% | 4.7% |
| 7/30/2024 | -15.2% | -27.1% | -15.2% |
| 3/15/2024 | -30.7% | -17.3% | -45.0% |
| 11/9/2023 | -34.8% | -30.9% | -14.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 20.3% | 33.5% | 28.7% |
| Median Negative | -11.0% | -17.3% | -15.1% |
| Max Positive | 56.7% | 64.2% | 100.9% |
| Max Negative | -34.8% | -30.9% | -45.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bass, Robert J | Direct | Sell | 8132025 | 31.64 | 3,055 | 96,660 | 3,217,029 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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