Gannett (GCI)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $4.52 | Market Cap: $659.0 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Publishing
Gannett (GCI)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $4.52Market Cap: $659.0 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Publishing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 163% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Media & Publishing. Themes include Digital News Content, Local Digital Advertising, and Subscription Monetization (News). | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Media & Publishing. Themes include Digital News Content, Local Digital Advertising, and Subscription Monetization (News). |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 163% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.4% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
GCI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Gannett (GCI) experienced a 19.4% stock movement between July 31, 2025, and November 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:
1. Stronger-than-Expected Second Quarter 2025 Earnings and Positive Outlook: On July 31, 2025, Gannett reported a significant increase in net income to $78.4 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42, considerably exceeding analysts' consensus estimates. The company also demonstrated sequential improvements in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, alongside growth in digital advertising revenues and ongoing debt reduction efforts. Management's expectation for improved trends in the latter half of the year contributed to positive investor sentiment.
2. Implementation of a $100 Million Cost Reduction Program: During the second quarter earnings announcement, Gannett initiated a substantial cost reduction program, targeting approximately $100 million in annualized expense reductions. These measures include leveraging AI-driven automation, optimizing workflows, and consolidating print facilities, aiming to enhance profit margins and drive EBITDA growth in 2025 and 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GCI Return | -47% | 59% | -62% | 13% | 120% | -10% | -29% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 10% | -23% | 21% | -8% | -14% | -13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GCI Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 25% | 67% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 45% | 30% | 55% | 50% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GCI Max Drawdown | -90% | -6% | -76% | -19% | -15% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -12% | -34% | -8% | -17% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NWSA, SCHL, TNMG, NYT, IAC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GCI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 437.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -90.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 997.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -69.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 222.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3136.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to NWSA, SCHL, TNMG, NYT, IAC
In The Past
Gannett's stock fell -81.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/1/2021. A -81.4% loss requires a 437.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.7% | -18.7% | -18.7% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.6% | -39.6% | -39.6% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.3% | -16.3% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.4% | -14.4% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -18.7% | -18.7% | -18.7% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.6% | -39.6% | -39.6% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -20.0% | -20.0% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -16.3% | -16.3% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.4% | -14.4% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Gannett
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,749 |
| Op Inc LTM | 88 |
| FCF LTM | 65 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 113 |
| CFO LTM | 135 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 196 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.6 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 6.9 |
| P/CFO | 14.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 46.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 27.7% | 24.1% | |
| 7/31/2025 | 4.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | -3.4% | 3.4% | 10.6% |
| 2/20/2025 | -3.7% | -16.5% | -34.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | -19.3% | -9.0% | -10.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | -7.9% | -11.0% | 8.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | 27.0% | 30.3% | 56.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | -10.0% | -5.9% | 2.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 18.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% |
| Median Negative | -7.9% | -10.9% | -19.7% |
| Max Positive | 27.7% | 35.1% | 162.6% |
| Max Negative | -28.3% | -23.1% | -58.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Reed Michael | Chief Executive Officer | 5072025 | Buy | 3.25 | 27,000 | 87,750 | 10,187,846 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |