First Merchants (FRME)
Market Price (10/29/2026): $40.95 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
First Merchants (FRME)
Market Price (10/29/2026): $40.95Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 12% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 26% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9% Key risksFRME key risks include [1] flat revenue growth and net interest margin compression, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 12% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 12% |
| Uninsured deposits are lowUninsured Deposits Ratio %Fraction of deposits that exceed the insurance deposit thresholds. For example, the FDIC protects deposits up to $250K. A high uninsured deposits ratio indicates large accounts and greater potential exposure to bank run risk. is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.9% |
| Key risksFRME key risks include [1] flat revenue growth and net interest margin compression, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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First Merchants (FRME) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Prior Fiscal Quarter's Underperformance Set a Negative Tone.
First Merchants significantly missed analyst expectations for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), reporting diluted earnings per share of $0.74 against a consensus estimate of $1.02, a miss of 27.5%. This "disappointing second-quarter performance" sent shares lower in July 2026 and created a need for a "sharp rebound" in investor confidence for the subsequent quarter. The Q2 results were also impacted by credit costs tied to two commercial loans moved to non-accrual status.
2. Fiscal Q3 2026 Revenue Miss and Sharply Higher Credit Costs.
While First Merchants' diluted earnings per share of $1.09 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ending September 30, 2026) surpassed analyst estimates of $1.04, the company missed revenue expectations. First Merchants reported Q3 2026 revenue of $199.1 million, falling short of Wall Street's consensus estimate of $203.9 million by 2.3%. Concurrently, the company experienced a sharp rise in credit costs during fiscal Q3 2026, which raised concerns despite an increase in net interest margin to 3.44%.
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First Merchants (FRME) stock has lost about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Prior Fiscal Quarter's Underperformance Set a Negative Tone.
First Merchants significantly missed analyst expectations for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), reporting diluted earnings per share of $0.74 against a consensus estimate of $1.02, a miss of 27.5%. This "disappointing second-quarter performance" sent shares lower in July 2026 and created a need for a "sharp rebound" in investor confidence for the subsequent quarter. The Q2 results were also impacted by credit costs tied to two commercial loans moved to non-accrual status.
2. Fiscal Q3 2026 Revenue Miss and Sharply Higher Credit Costs.
While First Merchants' diluted earnings per share of $1.09 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ending September 30, 2026) surpassed analyst estimates of $1.04, the company missed revenue expectations. First Merchants reported Q3 2026 revenue of $199.1 million, falling short of Wall Street's consensus estimate of $203.9 million by 2.3%. Concurrently, the company experienced a sharp rise in credit costs during fiscal Q3 2026, which raised concerns despite an increase in net interest margin to 3.44%.
3. Broader Regional Banking Sector Underperformance.
The regional banking sector, in which First Merchants operates, has generally underperformed in the period leading up to October 2026. Share prices for regional banks were down 5.7% on average over the month preceding October 20, 2026. This indicates a sector-wide headwind that likely contributed to First Merchants' stock decline, despite some regional banks posting robust Q3 earnings with strong commercial loan demand.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.1% change in FRME stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 43.31 | 40.66 | -6.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 660 | 692 | 4.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.1% | 26.9% | -10.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.2 | 13.6 | 2.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 61 | 62 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRME | -6.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.4% | 20.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.7% | 47.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.9% change in FRME stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 38.04 | 40.66 | 6.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 663 | 692 | 4.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.1% | 26.9% | -21.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.6 | 13.6 | 41.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 57 | 62 | -8.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRME | 6.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 14.1% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.9% change in FRME stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 46.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.33 | 40.66 | 11.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 638 | 692 | 8.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 35.4% | 26.9% | -24.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.3 | 13.6 | 46.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 62 | -7.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRME | 11.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 28.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.5% | 59.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 63.7% change in FRME stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 139.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.83 | 40.66 | 63.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 676 | 692 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 38.4% | 26.9% | -29.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.7 | 13.6 | 139.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 59 | 62 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 63.7% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRME | 63.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.9% | 44.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 76.6% | 65.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRME Return | 15% | 1% | -6% | 12% | -3% | 12% | 34% |
| Peers Return | 29% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 28% | 127% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRME Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 60% | 48% | 48% | 56% | 59% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRME Max Drawdown | -23% | -23% | -42% | -15% | -24% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -21% | -41% | -23% | -25% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, CLBK, GCBC, MBBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRME | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.2% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -17.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 287 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 777 days | 105 days |
In The Past
First Merchants's stock fell -22.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | FRME | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 439 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 287 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 777 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -25.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.6% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1726 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 47 days |
In The Past
First Merchants's stock fell -22.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About First Merchants (FRME)
First Merchants Corporation (FRME) is a financial holding company operating primarily through its subsidiary, First Merchants Bank. It functions as a community bank, offering a comprehensive suite of banking services to individuals, businesses, and public entities. Its core activities revolve around accepting various types of deposits, including time, savings, and demand accounts, and providing a wide range of lending solutions.
The company's main products and services encompass consumer, commercial, agri-business, and real estate mortgage loans, catering to diverse client needs. Beyond traditional banking, First Merchants also offers specialized financial services such as personal and corporate trust administration, brokerage, and private wealth management. Additionally, it provides corporate services like letters of credit and repurchase agreements.
First Merchants primarily serves customers across Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan, operating through 109 physical banking locations. The company also extends its reach through modern electronic and mobile delivery channels, ensuring accessibility and convenience for its client base in these Midwestern markets.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe First Merchants (FRME):
- A Midwest version of a major regional bank like PNC.
- Like a smaller, regional Wells Fargo, concentrated in Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, and Michigan.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Deposit Accounts: The bank accepts various types of deposits, including time, savings, and demand deposits from individuals and businesses.
- Lending Services: First Merchants provides a range of loans, including consumer, commercial, agri-business, real estate mortgage, and public finance loans.
- Trust Services: The company offers personal and corporate trust services, managing assets and financial affairs for individuals and businesses.
- Wealth Management & Brokerage Services: This includes private wealth management for high-net-worth clients and brokerage services for investment activities.
- Corporate Banking Services: The bank provides specialized services for businesses such as letters of credit, repurchase agreements, and other corporate financial solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
First Merchants (FRME) is a community bank that provides a wide range of financial services. As a bank, it serves a diverse customer base rather than having a few major customers. Its services are primarily offered to the following categories of customers:
- Individuals and Consumers: This category includes everyday consumers seeking services such as checking and savings accounts, consumer loans, and residential mortgage loans. It also encompasses individuals seeking personal trust services and private wealth management.
- Businesses and Commercial Clients: This category includes small to medium-sized businesses and agricultural enterprises that utilize commercial loans, agri-business loans, corporate trust services, letters of credit, and other corporate banking solutions.
- Public Entities and Governmental Organizations: The company offers public finance services, catering to the financial needs of municipalities, local governments, and other public sector clients.
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Mark K. Hardwick, Chief Executive Officer
Mark K. Hardwick currently serves as the Chief Executive Officer of First Merchants Corporation and First Merchants Bank, a position he assumed in 2021. He joined First Merchants in November 1997 as corporate controller and was promoted to Chief Financial Officer in April 2002. In June 2007, Hardwick took on leadership responsibilities for operations, technology, and risk management, and in 2016, his title expanded to Chief Operating Officer, overseeing finance, operations, technology, risk, legal, and facilities. Prior to joining First Merchants, he was a senior accountant with BKD, LLP in Indianapolis.
Michele M. Kawiecki, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Michele M. Kawiecki serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for First Merchants Corporation and First Merchants Bank, a role she was promoted to in 2021. She began her career with First Merchants in March 2015 as Director of Finance, assuming responsibilities for facilities in 2017. Before joining First Merchants, Kawiecki spent 11 years with UMB Financial Corporation in Kansas City, Missouri, where her roles included Senior Vice President of Capital Management and Assistant Treasurer, Director of Corporate Development and the Enterprise Project Management Office, and Chief Risk Officer. Earlier in her career, she worked as an Audit Manager for PriceWaterhouseCoopers LLP.
Michael J. Stewart, President
Michael J. Stewart is the President of First Merchants Corporation and First Merchants Bank. He joined First Merchants in 2008 and is responsible for leading revenue-generating activities. Prior to his tenure at First Merchants, Stewart held executive roles with National City Bank in Indiana.
Michael Joyce, President, Private Wealth Advisors
Michael Joyce joined First Merchants in 2011, establishing the company's business banking line as its Director of Business Banking, before moving into his current role as President of Private Wealth Advisors in early 2014. Before his time at First Merchants, Michael was Executive Vice President of Retail Banking for PNC in Indiana, and he held executive leadership positions in Wealth Management, Retail, and Business Banking with PNC/National City and Morgan Stanley. He also commented on the merger between First Merchants and Hoosier Trust Company in 2021.
John J. Martin, Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer
John J. Martin is the Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer of First Merchants Corporation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to First Merchants Corporation (FRME) include its sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and broader economic conditions, the intense competition within the banking industry, and the inherent credit risk associated with its loan portfolio.
- Interest Rate Sensitivities and Economic Fluctuations: As a financial institution, First Merchants' profitability is highly susceptible to changes in interest rates. Fluctuations in interest rates directly impact the company's net interest margin, affecting its earnings. Furthermore, the banking industry is inherently linked to the overall economic environment. Economic downturns, market volatility, or unfavorable macroeconomic conditions can negatively affect loan quality and the demand for banking services.
- Competitive Market Landscape: First Merchants operates in a highly competitive banking environment, contending with national, regional, and internet banks, as well as emerging fintech companies. Larger institutions with greater financial resources may offer a broader range of products and services or more competitive pricing, which can challenge First Merchants' ability to attract and retain customers and maintain its market position.
- Credit Risk and Loan Quality: First Merchants is exposed to credit risk, which includes concerns about the quality of its loans. Economic cyclicality and recent acquisitions have brought renewed attention to regional banks' credit risk. There is always a risk that the company's allowances for credit losses may not be sufficient to cover actual losses, and its underwriting practices may not entirely prevent losses within its loan portfolio.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threats to First Merchants (FRME) are:
- The proliferation and increasing market penetration of digital-only banks (neobanks), which offer banking services entirely online or via mobile apps, often with lower fees and more competitive interest rates, directly challenging traditional banks' deposit base and basic lending services.
- The growth of specialized financial technology (fintech) companies that disintermediate traditional banks by focusing on specific services such as online lending (e.g., mortgages, consumer loans) or automated wealth management (robo-advisors), often providing more streamlined, technologically advanced, and potentially lower-cost alternatives.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Repurchases
- First Merchants Corporation authorized a new stock repurchase program on March 18, 2025, allowing for the repurchase of up to 2,927,000 shares, with an aggregate investment limit of $100 million. This program replaced a previous one from January 2021.
- In 2025, the company repurchased 1.2 million shares of its common stock, amounting to $46.9 million.
- As of December 31, 2025, approximately 1.7 million shares remained available for repurchase under the authorization.
Share Issuance
- First Merchants Corporation anticipated issuing approximately 6.1 million shares of its common stock to complete the acquisition of First Savings Financial Group, Inc., which became effective on February 1, 2026. Each share of First Savings common stock was converted into 0.85 share of First Merchants common stock.
Outbound Investments
- First Merchants completed the acquisition of First Savings Financial Group, Inc. on February 1, 2026. This acquisition added approximately $2.4 billion in assets, $1.9 billion in loans, and $1.7 billion in deposits, expanding First Merchants' presence in Southern Indiana and the Louisville MSA.
- In December 2024, First Merchants sold five of its Illinois branches, which included $267.4 million in deposits, to Old Second National Bank.
Peer Outperformance in Regional Banks
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRME | First Merchants | 0.9% | 13.6x | 15.3% | 69.8% | 18.4% | — |
| FBP | First BanCorp | 2.9% | 11.0x | 40.0% | 124.9% | 127.0% | +109pp |
| OFG | OFG Bancorp | 4.5% | 9.8x | 33.2% | 87.4% | 125.4% | +107pp |
| BPOP | Popular | 2.8% | 10.4x | 43.7% | 163.6% | 123.5% | +105pp |
| FNB | F N B | 4.3% | 10.7x | 19.4% | 90.6% | 82.7% | +64pp |
| CATY | Cathay General Bancorp | 2.0% | 12.5x | 42.9% | 111.6% | 77.7% | +59pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 34.8% | 72.3% | 116.9% | SPNT 169% · RGA 140% · RNR 137% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -10.3% | 107.9% | 99.8% | IBKR 386% · SNEX 175% · HOOD 158% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 29.9% | 162.0% | 88.9% | CM 144% · RY 129% · JPM 125% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 16.3% | 54.8% | 80.0% | JXN 510% · UNM 287% · MFC 184% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 41 | 16.7% | 74.7% | 63.3% | TRV 168% · PGR 163% · ACGL 156% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 6.9% | 67.4% | 58.9% | GNW 106% · L 99% · AIZ 89% |
| Regional Banks ← | 265 | 30.6% | 101.4% | 54.9% | CBC 247% · FCNCA 187% · NIC 148% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 3 | 3.6% | 62.9% | 53.2% | BRK-B 87% · VOYA 53% · JEF 35% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | 3.3% | 41.5% | 22.8% | CBOE 161% · VIRT 156% · CME 66% |
| Insurance Brokers | 15 | -1.5% | 9.6% | 17.7% | LIFE 384% · ARX 89% · AJG 67% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 85 | -12.0% | 23.3% | 8.4% | WT 274% · VCTR 251% · AAMI 220% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 2.5% | 82.6% | 5.4% | ENVA 455% · FCFS 122% · AXP 94% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -6.0% | 20.6% | 4.8% | FRHC 166% · EQH 84% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 14 | -53.6% | 28.1% | -1.6% | FNMA 372% · FMCC 318% · ACT 160% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 10.3% | 42.3% | -9.6% | CACC -10% · HASI -23% |
| Mortgage REITs | 34 | -19.4% | -2.7% | -33.7% | RITM 35% · DX 21% · AGNC 12% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | 2.8% | 15.9% | -38.5% | V 98% · MA 89% · CPAY 57% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -49.5% | 20.9% | -60.1% | LPLA 58% · TW 40% · RIOT -48% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 277 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 42 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 31 |
| CFO LTM | 42 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 32 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.66 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/25/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $40.57 | $40.16 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.2% | 1.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 15.9% | 21.9% |
| Downside Capture | 49.27 | 47.94 |
| Upside Capture | 10.42 | 57.54 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 14.3% | 26.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.86 |
| Up Beta | -1.24 | 0.29 | -0.18 | -0.05 | 0.41 | 0.85 |
| Down Beta | 1.32 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.89 |
| Up Capture | 56% | 13% | 39% | 50% | 52% | 62% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 18 | 26 | 65 | 128 | 375 |
| Down Capture | 116% | 91% | 99% | 74% | 69% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 37 | 60 | 123 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRME | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRME | 14.9% | 21.9% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 6.6% | 14.5% | 0.20 | 56.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.7% | 12.7% | 0.72 | 26.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 1.8% | 28.3% | 0.05 | -3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.4% | 20.6% | 1.80 | -29.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 13.9% | -0.05 | 43.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.4% | 43.4% | -0.68 | 3.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRME | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRME | 2.5% | 29.6% | 0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 18.3% | 0.34 | 64.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.56 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 18.9% | 0.74 | -3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.1% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 3.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.6% | 18.9% | -0.08 | 48.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.1% | 51.6% | 0.26 | 15.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRME | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRME | 7.6% | 32.8% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.2% | 22.1% | 0.54 | 71.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 52.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.4% | 0.60 | -6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 49.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.3% | 66.2% | 1.02 | 14.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 10/29/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2026 | 2.2% | 1.8% | |
| 7/22/2026 | -4.3% | -1.1% | -4.1% |
| 4/22/2026 | -1.7% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 1/26/2026 | -0.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.5% | -2.6% | -3.6% |
| 7/23/2025 | -3.7% | -6.3% | -3.8% |
| 4/24/2025 | -2.6% | -1.6% | 2.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 5.0% | 6.8% | 37.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -6.3% | -5.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/21/2026 | 2.2% | 1.8% | |
| 7/22/2026 | -4.3% | -1.1% | -4.1% |
| 4/22/2026 | -1.7% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 1/26/2026 | -0.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.5% | -2.6% | -3.6% |
| 7/23/2025 | -3.7% | -6.3% | -3.8% |
| 4/24/2025 | -2.6% | -1.6% | 2.3% |
| 1/30/2025 | 4.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| 10/24/2024 | -0.7% | 2.9% | 22.4% |
| 7/25/2024 | 2.3% | -4.4% | -5.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | -1.0% | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| 1/25/2024 | -0.1% | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| 10/26/2023 | -1.5% | 5.0% | 12.5% |
| 7/25/2023 | 3.5% | 1.9% | -5.2% |
| 4/25/2023 | -2.7% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| 1/26/2023 | 1.0% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| 10/25/2022 | 0.4% | 1.3% | -0.5% |
| 7/26/2022 | 1.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| 4/26/2022 | -3.4% | -5.6% | -4.3% |
| 1/27/2022 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.3% |
| 10/26/2021 | -5.0% | -2.6% | -1.4% |
| 7/26/2021 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 3.0% |
| 4/22/2021 | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% |
| 1/28/2021 | -2.8% | 5.5% | 12.9% |
| 10/28/2020 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 37.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.7% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 5.0% | 6.8% | 37.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.0% | -6.3% | -5.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/31/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/31/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/01/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/01/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/28/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 10/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluhler, Stephan | Chief Information Officer | Direct | Sell | 8212026 | 43.20 | 4,080 | 176,256 | 937,169 | Form |
| 2 | Myers, Larry W | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 42.00 | 10,000 | 420,000 | 3,769,542 | Form | |
| 3 | Myers, Larry W | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 41.50 | 10,000 | 415,000 | 4,139,666 | Form | |
| 4 | Myers, Larry W | First Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 40.54 | 0 | 16 | 4,449,306 | Form |
| 5 | Myers, Larry W | First Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 41.50 | 5,000 | 207,500 | 4,543,876 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluhler, Stephan | Chief Information Officer | Direct | Sell | 8212026 | 43.20 | 4,080 | 176,256 | 937,169 | Form |
| 2 | Myers, Larry W | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 42.00 | 10,000 | 420,000 | 3,769,542 | Form | |
| 3 | Myers, Larry W | Direct | Sell | 6152026 | 41.50 | 10,000 | 415,000 | 4,139,666 | Form | |
| 4 | Myers, Larry W | First Vice President | Direct | Sell | 5222026 | 40.54 | 0 | 16 | 4,449,306 | Form |
| 5 | Myers, Larry W | First Vice President | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 41.50 | 5,000 | 207,500 | 4,543,876 | Form |
| 6 | Fluhler, Stephan | Chief Information Officer | Direct | Sell | 2122026 | 41.96 | 4,161 | 174,596 | 923,112 | Form |
| 7 | Scurlock, Eva D | Chief Risk Officer | Direct | Sell | 2092026 | 42.29 | 3,227 | 136,470 | 848,470 | Form |
| 8 | Fluhler, Stephan | Chief Information Officer | Direct | Sell | 11042025 | 35.55 | 5,689 | 202,244 | 986,604 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 29, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
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