Tearsheet

Forge Global (FRGE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $44.49 | Market Cap: $593.5 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Forge Global (FRGE)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $44.49
Market Cap: $593.5 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Venture Capital.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -71%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 210%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2842%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1749%
6   Key risks
FRGE key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Equity, and Venture Capital.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -71%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 155%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 210%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 2842%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 1749%
9 Key risks
FRGE key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FRGE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Forge Global (FRGE) experienced a substantial 136% stock increase during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments.

1. Acquisition by Charles Schwab: On November 6, 2025, Charles Schwab announced an agreement to acquire Forge Global for $45 per share, an approximate $660 million deal. This represented a premium of about 170% over Forge's stock price on October 27, 2025, the date when initial sale discussions were disclosed. Forge Global shares surged by 68% following this announcement. The acquisition is expected to close in the first half of 2026.

2. Market Rumors of a Potential Sale: Prior to the official acquisition news, Forge Global confirmed on October 27, 2025, that it was in discussions with multiple parties regarding a potential sale of the company. This confirmation caused its stock to surge by 11.55% that day, closing at $18.55 per share, with an additional 4.31% overnight.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FRGE Return-82%98%-73%218%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FRGE Win Rate40%42%58%8%58% 
Peers Win Rate25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FRGE Max Drawdown-86%-34%-76%-96% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFRGES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3201.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven902 days464 days

Compare to ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE


In The Past

Forge Global's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/30/2022. A -97.0% loss requires a 3201.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Forge Global (FRGE)

Better Bets than Forge Global (FRGE)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FRGE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Forge Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FRGEABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameForge Gl.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Price44.521.6537.2911.0543.791.8924.17
Mkt Cap0.66.13.90.32.8-2.8
Rev LTM93104378-1,31921104
Op Inc LTM-66-1680-5911
FCF LTM-40-107-123-8534
FCF 3Y Avg-42---33-29-29
CFO LTM-40-128-160-959
CFO 3Y Avg-41---65-3-3

Growth & Margins

FRGEABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameForge Gl.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Rev Chg LTM16.4%---22.9%1,558.9%22.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.6%---19.3%332.7%19.3%
Rev Chg Q10.6%111.5%86.8%-22.8%311.8%86.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%48.4%19.9%-5.0%21.4%19.9%
Op Mgn LTM-71.4%-15.6%21.2%-4.5%6.2%4.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-107.4%---1.1%--53.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.3%33.3%2.3%--0.2%-34.5%2.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-42.9%-33.8%-12.1%-41.1%-14.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-52.3%---5.1%--23.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-43.4%-28.4%-9.3%-404.8%-17.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-54.0%---2.2%--25.9%

Valuation

FRGEABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameForge Gl.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Cap0.66.13.90.32.8-2.8
P/S6.458.410.2-2.1-8.3
P/EBIT-9.0-25.9---8.5
P/E-9.537.331.1--29.1-10.8
P/CFO-14.9-30.3-17.7-17.7
Total Yield-10.5%2.7%3.2%--3.4%--0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-154.7%------154.7%
D/E0.0-0.24.0--0.2
Net D/E-0.1--0.1-0.5---0.1

Returns

FRGEABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameForge Gl.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
1M Rtn1.1%-67.3%-11.7%-4.5%-6.5%-14.1%-9.1%
3M Rtn177.7%-78.6%0.3%-55.0%14.8%-69.8%-27.3%
6M Rtn154.5%--93.0%---30.8%
12M Rtn209.8%--93.0%---58.4%
3Y Rtn92.7%--93.0%----0.1%
1M Excs Rtn0.4%-68.1%-12.5%-5.2%-7.2%-14.8%-9.8%
3M Excs Rtn147.6%-79.3%-15.0%-56.2%11.3%-72.0%-35.6%
6M Excs Rtn142.2%--105.3%---18.4%
12M Excs Rtn168.9%--104.0%---32.4%
3Y Excs Rtn49.8%--161.4%----55.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Single segment69  
Custodial administration fees 2920
Marketplace revenue 41108
Transaction-based expenses -0-3
Total6969125


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity364,610
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202566.9%
Average Daily Volume923,228
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity13,341,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20250.0%-0.1% 
7/30/20250.9%44.9%12.9%
3/5/2025-18.0%-31.2%-37.5%
11/6/2024-13.7%-25.9%-19.1%
8/7/20243.8%-4.6%-4.6%
3/26/2024-21.5%-30.6%-27.9%
11/7/2023-0.4%12.1%42.4%
8/8/20232.8%-8.8%-22.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive743
# Negative6910
Median Positive3.8%16.2%24.0%
Median Negative-11.0%-11.2%-19.1%
Max Positive25.1%44.9%42.4%
Max Negative-21.5%-31.2%-37.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023326202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120202142022424B3 12/31/2020