Tearsheet

American Bitcoin (ABTC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $1.655 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

American Bitcoin (ABTC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $1.655
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Bitcoin Investment & Holding, and Bitcoin Mining.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 37x
2  Key risks
ABTC key risks include [1] considerable financial difficulty, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Crypto & Blockchain. Themes include Bitcoin Investment & Holding, and Bitcoin Mining.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 37x
3 Key risks
ABTC key risks include [1] considerable financial difficulty, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ABTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Nasdaq Debut and Initial Price Surge (September 2025)

American Bitcoin (ABTC) began trading on Nasdaq in early September 2025 following an all-stock merger with Gryphon Digital Mining. The company's shares surged nearly 85% on its debut, briefly reaching a $5 billion valuation. 2. Expansion of Bitcoin Mining Operations (September 2025)

In September 2025, American Bitcoin significantly expanded its Bitcoin mining operations, increasing its installed hashrate by 2.4 times, from approximately 10 exahash per second (EH/s) to around 24 EH/s. 3. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance (Reported November 2025)

American Bitcoin reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue increasing by 453% year-over-year to $64.2 million and a shift to a net income of $3.47 million, reversing a prior-year loss. The company also accumulated over 3,000 BTC during the quarter, ending with 3,418 BTC. 4. Significant Stock Plunge and Lock-Up Expiration (Early December 2025)

In early December 2025, American Bitcoin's stock plunged more than 50%, triggering multiple trading halts. This intense volatility was largely attributed to a lock-up expiration that allowed early pre-merger investors to sell previously restricted shares, leading to profit-taking. 5. Continued Bitcoin Accumulation (December 2025)

Despite the recent volatility, American Bitcoin continued to increase its strategic Bitcoin reserve in December 2025, acquiring approximately 416 BTC and bringing its total holdings to about 4,783 BTC by December 8, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABTC Return
Peers Return-3%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABTC Win Rate0% 
Peers Win Rate45%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABTC Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MARA, RIOT, CLSK, HUT, CIFR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ABTC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Bitcoin (ABTC)

Better Bets than American Bitcoin (ABTC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Bitcoin

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABTCMARARIOTCLSKHUTCIFRMedian
NameAmerican.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Hut 8 Cipher M. 
Mkt Price1.659.9412.9111.4840.1614.3612.20
Mkt Cap6.03.74.53.24.25.64.4
Rev LTM104919637766668206653
Op Inc LTM-16-625-324-107403-142-124
FCF LTM--1,323-1,631-1,024-752-522-1,024
FCF 3Y Avg--736-906-794-302-328-736
CFO LTM--891-566-461-104-182-461
CFO 3Y Avg--554-229-237-59-116-229

Growth & Margins

ABTCMARARIOTCLSKHUTCIFRMedian
NameAmerican.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Hut 8 Cipher M. 
Rev Chg LTM-53.5%103.6%102.2%88.7%35.4%88.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-82.7%37.8%87.8%135.5%-85.3%
Rev Chg Q111.5%91.7%112.6%150.5%279.5%197.5%131.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM48.4%15.1%17.6%21.3%21.4%30.0%21.3%
Op Mgn LTM-15.6%-68.0%-50.8%-14.0%60.3%-68.7%-33.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--57.8%-80.1%-34.8%35.9%-65.1%-57.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM33.3%7.5%18.4%2.5%0.9%25.0%12.9%
CFO/Rev LTM--97.0%-88.8%-60.2%-15.5%-88.4%-88.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--98.4%-42.8%-44.0%-20.6%-75.2%-44.0%
FCF/Rev LTM--144.0%-256.0%-133.6%-112.5%-252.7%-144.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--123.8%-207.0%-199.5%-61.5%-204.0%-199.5%

Valuation

ABTCMARARIOTCLSKHUTCIFRMedian
NameAmerican.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Hut 8 Cipher M. 
Mkt Cap6.03.74.53.24.25.64.4
P/S58.27.410.34.25.523.98.9
P/EBIT-5.635.77.89.8-72.77.8
P/E37.27.340.18.917.9-70.013.4
P/CFO--7.6-11.6-7.0-35.5-27.1-11.6
Total Yield2.7%13.6%2.5%11.2%5.6%-1.4%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--18.1%-26.4%-41.8%--18.9%-22.7%
D/E-0.50.10.30.10.20.2
Net D/E-0.40.1-0.10.1-0.00.1

Returns

ABTCMARARIOTCLSKHUTCIFRMedian
NameAmerican.MARA Riot Pla.Cleanspa.Hut 8 Cipher M. 
1M Rtn-67.4%-13.7%-7.0%8.2%6.5%0.0%-3.5%
3M Rtn-78.6%-42.7%-26.7%0.3%6.3%16.0%-13.2%
6M Rtn--31.4%29.9%25.1%135.8%276.8%29.9%
12M Rtn--59.6%-7.6%-7.1%35.6%98.5%-7.1%
3Y Rtn-156.1%239.9%507.4%-2,292.5%373.6%
1M Excs Rtn-68.2%-14.4%-7.7%7.5%5.8%-0.7%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-79.4%-47.6%-27.6%-16.1%6.1%19.8%-21.8%
6M Excs Rtn--43.8%17.6%12.7%123.4%264.4%17.6%
12M Excs Rtn--67.4%-11.6%-15.6%35.9%123.1%-11.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.5%141.5%330.7%-1,784.5%236.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single segment6566
Total6566


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,671,657
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202532.8%
Average Daily Volume3,386,050
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.27
Basic Shares Quantity899,354,931
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/14/20252.5%-3.4% 
4/1/2025   
11/13/2024   
8/14/2024   
4/1/2024   
3/24/2023   
11/14/2022   
8/10/2022   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive100
# Negative141515
Median Positive2.5%  
Median Negative -3.4% 
Max Positive2.5%  
Max Negative -3.4% 

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
123120247222025S-4/A 12/31/2024

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Tolhurst Daniel George5232025Sell1.308,13910,548795,102Form
1Tolhurst Daniel George5222025Sell1.30474,339615,692806,894Form
2Tolhurst Daniel George5212025Sell1.451,981,2332,866,8441,585,887Form
3Tolhurst Daniel George5202025Sell1.34329,257441,5344,126,547Form
4Vaiopoulos Demetrios1152025Buy0.3948,41218,88118,881Form