Tearsheet

Gemini Space Station (GEMI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.81 | Market Cap: $-
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Gemini Space Station (GEMI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $10.81
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GEMI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the stock movement of Gemini Space Station (GEMI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Initial Public Offering (IPO) and Debut Volatility

Gemini Space Station launched its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on September 12, 2025, with shares initially priced at $28 and surging as high as $40 on its Nasdaq debut before settling around $35, a 24% increase on the first day. The strong demand exceeded initial pricing expectations, but the stock quickly retreated from its peak in the days following its debut, signaling significant volatility.

2. Significant Financial Losses Reported

The company's financial disclosures revealed a substantial net loss of $282.5 million in the first half of 2025, a dramatic increase from the prior year, on revenues of $68.6 million. This deteriorating financial performance raised concerns among investors and contributed to the stock's post-IPO decline, as market sentiment shifted to prioritize profitability over growth narratives for crypto firms.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GEMI Return------ 
Peers Return-1%0%0%0%0%-19%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GEMI Win Rate-----0% 
Peers Win Rate2%0%0%0%0%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GEMI Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%0%0%0%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

GEMI has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Gemini Space Station (GEMI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopicDate
0ARTICLES  
1What’s New With Gemini Space Station Stock? October 20th, 2025
2Gemini Space Station Stock: Buy Or Fear? September 23rd, 2025
Title
0DASHBOARDS

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GEMI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gemini Space Station

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GEMIABTCFIGRMIAXSTKEMedian
NameGemini S.American.Figure T.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Price10.762.3935.3844.732.6510.76
Mkt Cap------
Rev LTM---1,25521638
Op Inc LTM---58130
FCF LTM---7-85-39
FCF 3Y Avg---15-29-7
CFO LTM---49-920
CFO 3Y Avg---48-322

Growth & Margins

GEMIABTCFIGRMIAXSTKEMedian
NameGemini S.American.Figure T.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Rev Chg LTM---19.6%1,558.9%789.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg---16.7%332.7%174.7%
Rev Chg Q---22.9%311.8%167.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM---5.1%21.4%13.3%
Op Mgn LTM---4.7%6.2%5.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---1.3%-1.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM---2.9%-34.5%-15.8%
CFO/Rev LTM---3.9%-41.1%-18.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---4.1%-4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM---0.5%-404.8%-202.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---1.1%-1.1%

Valuation

GEMIABTCFIGRMIAXSTKEMedian
NameGemini S.American.Figure T.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Cap------
P/S------
P/EBIT------
P/E------
P/CFO------
Total Yield------
Dividend Yield------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg------
D/E------
Net D/E------

Returns

GEMIABTCFIGRMIAXSTKEMedian
NameGemini S.American.Figure T.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
1M Rtn-39.5%-51.4%-15.4%-1.8%-14.8%-15.4%
3M Rtn--70.3%-93.3%26.4%--70.3%
6M Rtn---93.3%---93.3%
12M Rtn---93.3%---93.3%
3Y Rtn---93.3%---93.3%
1M Excs Rtn-39.5%-51.4%-15.4%-1.7%-14.8%-15.4%
3M Excs Rtn--68.1%-98.7%20.7%--68.1%
6M Excs Rtn---108.0%---108.0%
12M Excs Rtn---106.9%---106.9%
3Y Excs Rtn---166.1%---166.1%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,327,201
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.2%
Average Daily Volume2,475,194
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.15

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120248152025S-1 12/31/2024