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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.995 | Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.995
Market Cap: $3.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 187x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
2   Key risks
FOLD key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its key therapy Galafold and a limited pipeline, Show more.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 187x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
6 Key risks
FOLD key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its key therapy Galafold and a limited pipeline, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FOLD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) experienced a significant stock movement of 44.9% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. Strong Sales Performance of Marketed Products: The company's lead drug, Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease, continued to show solid uptake and demand, with sales increasing around 12% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, generating $371.5 million. Additionally, Pombiliti (cipaglucosidase alfa) + Opfolda (miglustat), a two-component therapy for late-onset Pompe disease, saw a steady launch and momentum, with sales reaching $77.5 million in the first nine months of 2025, reflecting 61.5% year-over-year growth. These strong sales performances contributed to investor optimism and the stock's rally.

2. Positive Analyst Coverage and Price Target Revisions: Several financial institutions initiated or raised their price targets and ratings for FOLD during this period. Citigroup initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a $17.00 price target in December 2025. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its price target from $18.00 to $19.00 with an "overweight" rating in November 2025. Goldman Sachs increased its target price from $9.00 to $11.00 in November 2025. Needham upgraded its rating from "Hold" to "Buy" with a $14.00 price target in September 2025. These bullish reports and upgrades indicated confidence in the company's growth prospects and commercial strategies.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FOLD Return137%-50%6%16%-34%16%12%
Peers Return17%2%29%2%-1%-4%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FOLD Win Rate67%42%50%58%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%52%65%52%47%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FOLD Max Drawdown-32%-62%-46%-18%-36%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-23%-18%-24%-17%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BMRN, SRPT, VRTX, REGN, ALNY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFOLDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven283.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven36 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven373 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven436.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,074 days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Amicus Therapeutics's stock fell -73.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -73.9% loss requires a 283.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)

Better Bets than Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FOLD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Amicus Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FOLDBMRNSRPTVRTXREGNALNYMedian
NameAmicus T.BioMarin.Sarepta .Vertex P.Regenero.Alnylam . 
Mkt Price11.0051.8021.14449.52749.79392.10221.95
Mkt Cap3.49.92.1114.977.751.530.7
Rev LTM5993,0942,41411,72314,2483,2103,152
Op Inc LTM35615-86-923,807265150
FCF LTM10826-3893,3373,881221524
FCF 3Y Avg-61386-4952,0643,85357221
CFO LTM13914-2453,7185,071266590
CFO 3Y Avg-56489-3792,4194,848108299

Growth & Margins

FOLDBMRNSRPTVRTXREGNALNYMedian
NameAmicus T.BioMarin.Sarepta .Vertex P.Regenero.Alnylam . 
Rev Chg LTM21.3%12.4%47.1%10.3%2.9%53.2%16.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg23.0%15.5%40.6%10.5%1.4%51.4%19.3%
Rev Chg Q19.5%4.1%-14.5%11.0%0.9%149.3%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%1.0%-2.7%2.7%0.2%30.4%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%19.9%-3.6%-0.8%26.7%8.2%7.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.0%13.5%-11.6%26.2%30.0%-7.1%3.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%-5.4%-3.5%1.0%-0.9%15.6%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.2%29.5%-10.1%31.7%35.6%8.3%18.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.8%16.9%-26.8%23.1%35.4%3.7%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%26.7%-16.1%28.5%27.2%6.9%16.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.1%13.0%-33.7%19.8%28.2%1.3%7.1%

Valuation

FOLDBMRNSRPTVRTXREGNALNYMedian
NameAmicus T.BioMarin.Sarepta .Vertex P.Regenero.Alnylam . 
Mkt Cap3.49.92.1114.977.751.530.7
P/S4.13.40.88.54.118.74.1
P/EBIT47.015.1-8.422.411.2460.018.8
P/E-172.920.0-7.127.212.71,375.916.4
P/CFO187.311.4-7.926.911.5225.519.2
Total Yield-0.6%5.0%-14.1%3.7%8.3%0.1%1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.7%3.5%-10.0%2.3%4.9%0.0%1.2%
D/E0.20.10.60.00.00.00.1
Net D/E0.1-0.10.2-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

FOLDBMRNSRPTVRTXREGNALNYMedian
NameAmicus T.BioMarin.Sarepta .Vertex P.Regenero.Alnylam . 
1M Rtn16.8%-4.9%20.5%3.6%6.5%-14.9%5.0%
3M Rtn38.0%-4.7%24.0%16.1%28.2%-13.2%20.0%
6M Rtn92.0%-6.2%1.8%0.2%46.4%25.5%13.7%
12M Rtn11.2%-22.9%-83.2%-4.2%1.9%59.0%-1.2%
3Y Rtn-10.1%-52.3%-82.9%47.5%4.3%65.5%-2.9%
1M Excs Rtn16.0%-5.6%19.8%2.8%5.7%-15.6%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn28.4%-7.4%12.8%14.8%24.0%-14.6%13.8%
6M Excs Rtn79.6%-18.6%-10.6%-12.1%34.0%13.2%1.3%
12M Excs Rtn6.4%-32.6%-94.0%-14.1%-8.0%48.7%-11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-78.6%-119.7%-151.0%-25.4%-66.9%-2.2%-72.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Galafold ® sales388329   
Pombiliti ® + Opfolda ® sales120   
Net product sales  306261182
Total399329306261182


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,305,562
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.0%
Average Daily Volume5,195,632
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.72
Basic Shares Quantity308,468,423
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20251.5%1.6%12.3%
7/31/2025-2.3%13.1%24.8%
5/1/2025-13.0%-20.7%-21.0%
2/19/2025-2.9%-7.5%-6.6%
11/6/2024-4.3%-10.6%-16.9%
8/8/202413.2%15.0%16.5%
5/9/2024-6.5%-4.7%-0.9%
2/28/2024-6.5%-3.6%-14.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101114
# Negative141310
Median Positive2.8%8.6%12.0%
Median Negative-3.8%-7.5%-13.4%
Max Positive13.2%22.8%34.4%
Max Negative-13.0%-20.7%-25.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021