Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $14.25 | Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
Market Price (12/27/2025): $14.25Market Cap: $4.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 85x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 339x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 140% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 137% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% | ||
| Key risksFOLD key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its key therapy Galafold and a limited pipeline, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.9% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 85x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 339x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 140% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 137% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.5% |
| Key risksFOLD key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its key therapy Galafold and a limited pipeline, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting the movement of Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 27, 2025:
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<b>1. BioMarin Pharmaceutical's Acquisition Offer:</b> On December 19, 2025, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire Amicus Therapeutics for $14.50 per share in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $4.8 billion. This offer represented a 33% premium to Amicus's closing price the day prior, leading to a significant jump in Amicus's stock value.
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<b>2. Strong 2024 Financial Performance and Positive 2025 Outlook:</b> Amicus Therapeutics reported preliminary and then full-year 2024 total revenue of $528.3 million, marking a substantial 32-33% year-over-year increase. The company also projected continued robust growth for 2025, anticipating total revenue growth of 17-24% at constant exchange rates and expecting to achieve positive GAAP net income in the second half of 2025.
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<b>3. Robust Growth of Key Commercial Products:</b> The company demonstrated strong performance across its main commercial products. Galafold (migalastat) net product sales in 2024 reached $458.1 million, an 18-19% increase year-over-year, driven by growing patient demand for Fabry disease treatment. Pombiliti + Opfolda for Pompe disease, in its first full year of commercial launch, achieved $70.2-70.3 million in net product sales for 2024, with a projected 65-85% revenue growth for 2025.
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<b>4. Resolution of Galafold Patent Litigation:</b> Amicus Therapeutics reached a settlement in its patent litigation with Aurobindo Pharma and Lupin Ltd., allowing generic versions of Galafold to be marketed in the U.S. starting January 30, 2037. This resolution provides extended U.S. market exclusivity for Galafold, securing a significant revenue stream for the long term.
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<b>5. Expansion of Pombiliti + Opfolda Market Access and Recognition:</b> The company made significant strides in expanding the market for Pombiliti + Opfolda by securing multiple pricing and reimbursement agreements in late 2024 and early 2025 across several countries, including Italy, Sweden, Switzerland, and the Czech Republic. Additionally, Pombiliti + Opfolda received the 2024 New Treatment Award at the WORLDSymposium.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 72.9% change in FOLD stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 65.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9262025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.24 | 14.25 | 72.94% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 571.16 | 598.70 | 4.82% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.45 | 7.34 | 65.10% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 308.25 | 308.47 | -0.07% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 72.94% |
Market Drivers
9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOLD | 72.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 15.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 15.2% | 11.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 140.3% change in FOLD stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 118.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6272025 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.93 | 14.25 | 140.30% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 543.14 | 598.70 | 10.23% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.36 | 7.34 | 118.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 307.69 | 308.47 | -0.25% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 140.30% |
Market Drivers
6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOLD | 140.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 15.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.0% | 21.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 45.9% change in FOLD stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 21.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12262024 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.77 | 14.25 | 45.85% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 493.67 | 598.70 | 21.28% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.03 | 7.34 | 21.76% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 304.69 | 308.47 | -1.24% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 45.83% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOLD | 45.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 26.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.3% | 38.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.6% change in FOLD stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 85.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12272022 | 12262025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.53 | 14.25 | 23.59% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 323.29 | 598.70 | 85.19% |
| P/S Multiple | 10.32 | 7.34 | -28.82% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 289.22 | 308.47 | -6.65% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.04% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOLD | -1.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 18.2% | 35.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FOLD Return | 137% | -50% | 6% | 16% | -34% | 51% | 46% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FOLD Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FOLD Max Drawdown | -32% | -62% | -46% | -18% | -36% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FOLD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 283.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 373 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 436.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,074 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Amicus Therapeutics's stock fell -73.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -73.9% loss requires a 283.0% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Amicus is like BioMarin Pharmaceutical, but specializing in treatments for rare lysosomal storage disorders.
- Amicus is like Sarepta Therapeutics, but focusing on a range of rare lysosomal storage diseases with gene therapies and other advanced treatments.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Galafold (migalastat): An oral precision medicine for the treatment of Fabry disease in adults and adolescents aged 12 years and older with a confirmed amenable GLA mutation.
- AT-GAA (cipaglucosidase alfa and miglustat): A two-component therapy, consisting of an enzyme replacement therapy and an enzyme stabilizer, for the treatment of Pompe disease.
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Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) - Major Customers
Amicus Therapeutics is a biotechnology company focused on the development and commercialization of medicines for people living with rare diseases. As is typical for pharmaceutical companies, Amicus Therapeutics primarily sells its products to other companies, which then distribute and dispense the treatments to patients, rather than selling directly to individuals.
Their commercialization strategy involves selling to a limited number of specialty distributors, specialty pharmacies, hospitals, and clinics across various global markets.
According to Amicus Therapeutics' annual report (10-K filing for the year ended December 31, 2023), the company does have significant customer concentration, indicating "major customers" in terms of revenue. Specifically, their filing states:
- Three customers individually accounted for 42% of Amicus Therapeutics' consolidated gross product sales for the year ended December 31, 2023.
- These three customers also individually accounted for 64% of their consolidated accounts receivable as of December 31, 2023.
However, Amicus Therapeutics does not disclose the specific names of these major customers in their public filings. This practice is common in the pharmaceutical industry due to competitive and proprietary reasons.
Based on Amicus Therapeutics' described sales channels and typical industry distribution models for specialized rare disease treatments, these undisclosed major customers are highly likely to be large pharmaceutical wholesalers, specialty distributors, significant specialty pharmacy chains, or major hospital systems that procure and distribute their products. While not confirmed as Amicus Therapeutics' specific major customers, prominent pharmaceutical wholesalers in the U.S. market often include:
- AmerisourceBergen (NYSE: ABC)
- Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH)
- McKesson Corporation (NYSE: MCK)
It is important to reiterate that Amicus Therapeutics has not publicly identified the specific names of its major customers.
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- Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
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Bradley L. Campbell President and Chief Executive Officer
Bradley L. Campbell joined Amicus Therapeutics in 2006, serving as President & Chief Operating Officer before being appointed President and Chief Executive Officer. Prior to Amicus, he held various commercial and business development roles at Genzyme and Bristol-Myers Squibb. He began his career as an analyst at Marakon, a global management consulting firm. Mr. Campbell also served on the board of Progenics Pharmaceuticals from 2016 until its acquisition by Lantheus Holdings in 2020.
Simon Harford Chief Financial Officer
Simon Harford joined Amicus Therapeutics as Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. His previous experience includes serving as Chief Financial Officer of Boston-based biotech Albireo Pharma Inc. and Chief Financial Officer at PAREXEL International Corporation. He also held leadership positions at GlaxoSmithKline plc and Eli Lilly and Company.
John F. Crowley Chairman Emeritus
John F. Crowley is the Founder and Executive Chairman Emeritus of Amicus Therapeutics, having served as its CEO from 2005 to 2022. His involvement in biotechnology began after two of his children were diagnosed with Pompe disease. In his quest for a cure, he co-founded Novazyme Pharmaceuticals, a biotech startup. Novazyme was acquired by Genzyme Corporation in 2001, where Mr. Crowley continued to lead drug development for Pompe disease as Senior Vice President. He also founded Orexigen Therapeutics in 2003.
Jeffrey P. Castelli Chief Development Officer
Jeffrey P. Castelli joined Amicus Therapeutics in July 2005 and currently serves as Chief Development Officer, and also holds the title of Chief Portfolio Officer and Head of Gene Therapy. He has over 20 years of experience in the biotech and orphan drug industry, focusing on rare disease research and development. Prior to Amicus, he worked as a healthcare strategy consultant at Health Advances LLC and in business development at Neose Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Hung Do Chief Science Officer
Hung Do, Ph.D., joined Amicus Therapeutics in December 2013 and became Chief Science Officer in July 2015. He previously co-founded and served as Chief Scientific Officer of Callidus Biopharma, a privately-held biologics company, which was acquired by Amicus Therapeutics in November 2013. Before founding Callidus, Dr. Do headed early discovery research at Amicus and worked at Genzyme and Novazyme, focusing on lysosomal diseases and enzyme replacement therapies.
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Key Risks to Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD)
Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily stemming from its concentrated product portfolio, ongoing profitability challenges, and competitive market landscape.- Heavy Reliance on Key Therapies and Pipeline Risk: Amicus Therapeutics exhibits a substantial reliance on a limited number of high-value therapies, notably Galafold. This concentration in its product portfolio and the absence of a deep pipeline present a considerable risk. Should any of these primary drugs encounter issues such as new competition, unforeseen safety concerns, or shifts in market demand, the company's revenue and overall business stability could be significantly impacted.
- Profitability Challenges and High Leverage: Despite maintaining robust gross margins, Amicus Therapeutics continues to grapple with profitability challenges, reflected in negative pretax and net profit margins. This indicates ongoing operational inefficiencies that impact its ability to convert revenue into net income. Furthermore, the company carries a high level of leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92 and substantial long-term debt of $434 million, signaling potential financial instability and concerns regarding its long-term financial health and ability to generate shareholder returns.
- Competition: Amicus Therapeutics operates in a competitive market, facing headwinds from existing and emerging rivals. Specifically, the company contends with competition from larger pharmaceutical companies, such as Sanofi, which markets Fabrazyme for the treatment of Fabry disease, a key therapeutic area for Amicus. This competitive pressure can affect market share, pricing power, and the overall revenue potential of Amicus's products.
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The primary clear emerging threat to Amicus Therapeutics stems from the advancement of gene therapies for Fabry disease, which is the indication for Amicus's lead commercial product, Galafold (migalastat).
Galafold is an oral chaperone therapy that requires chronic administration. In contrast, gene therapies aim to provide a single, potentially curative treatment by introducing a functional copy of the deficient gene. This represents a fundamental shift in the treatment paradigm from chronic disease management to a potential long-term genetic correction.
Several companies are actively developing gene therapies for Fabry disease, with candidates already in clinical trials. Examples include programs from 4D Molecular Therapeutics (e.g., 4D-310) and Sangamo Therapeutics (e.g., ST-920). If these gene therapy candidates demonstrate favorable efficacy and safety profiles in later-stage clinical development, they could significantly disrupt the market for existing chronic Fabry treatments, including Galafold, by offering a potentially superior, one-time treatment option.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amicus Therapeutics (symbol: FOLD) focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for rare and orphan diseases, primarily lysosomal storage disorders. Their main commercialized products are Galafold (migalastat) for Fabry disease and Pombiliti (cipaglucosidase alfa-atga) + Opfolda (miglustat) for Pompe disease. The addressable markets for these products are as follows:
Galafold (Fabry Disease)
The global addressable market for Fabry disease treatment is estimated to be approximately $2.63 billion USD in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately $3.87 billion USD by 2030. Another estimate places the global market at $2.4 billion USD in 2025, with a projection to reach $5.2 billion USD by 2035. This market size is for the global region. Amicus Therapeutics estimates that approximately 35% to 50% of individuals living with Fabry disease have amenable GLA variants, which Galafold targets. Amicus Therapeutics held approximately 69% of the global market share of treated Fabry patients with amenable mutations at the end of Q3 2025.
Pombiliti + Opfolda (Pompe Disease)
The global addressable market for Pompe disease treatment is estimated to be approximately $1.91 billion USD in 2025 and is forecast to expand to approximately $2.72 billion USD by 2030. This market size is for the global region. Another report indicates the global market was valued at $3.7 billion USD in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately $7.96 billion USD by 2035.
Amicus Therapeutics anticipates surpassing $1 billion in total sales by 2028 from its current commercial business with Galafold and Pombiliti + Opfolda.
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Amicus Therapeutics (symbol: FOLD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key factors:- Continued Growth of Commercial Products (Galafold and Pombiliti + Opfolda): Amicus anticipates sustained strong demand and increased patient starts for its two primary commercial therapies. Galafold, for Fabry disease, is projected to achieve 10-15% revenue growth in 2025. Pombiliti + Opfolda, for Pompe disease, is expected to see even more significant growth, with projections of 50-65% revenue growth in 2025. This growth is driven by continued commercial execution in all markets, new patient starts, and strong compliance. The company aims to increase Galafold's share of treated amenable patients, aspiring to reach 85-90% in most mature markets globally.
- Global Market Expansion and New Reimbursement Agreements: Amicus is actively expanding its global presence by securing new pricing and reimbursement agreements in additional countries. Recent agreements have been established in countries like Italy, Sweden, Switzerland, and the Czech Republic, with first commercial patients anticipated in the first half of 2025. The company also expects new regulatory decisions in Australia, Canada, and Japan in 2025, further broadening its international revenue base. This geographic expansion is seen as a key strategy to increase patient reach and drive sustained long-term revenue growth.
- Increased Patient Identification and Penetration: A significant driver involves finding new patients and improving diagnostic pathways for both Fabry and Pompe diseases. Amicus highlights a larger underdiagnosed and untreated patient population than previously estimated, offering substantial room for growth through increased patient penetration and shortening the pathway to diagnosis. The company's focus is on expanding patient populations for its existing therapies.
- Advancement of Pipeline Candidates (e.g., DMX-200): Amicus is advancing its late-stage pipeline, which includes DMX-200 for Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis (FSGS). Progress in these pipeline assets, with clear regulatory alignment and clinical differentiation in areas of high unmet medical need, is expected to increase the company's prospects for future earnings growth and product diversification beyond its current commercial offerings.
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Share Repurchases
- Amicus Therapeutics conducted approximately $58.0 million in share repurchases between June 2020 and March 2025.
Share Issuance
- In September 2021, Amicus Therapeutics received approximately $200 million through a private investment round from a syndicate of healthcare biotechnology investors as part of the Caritas Therapeutics formation.
- A Post IPO funding round in October 2023 raised $30 million from investors.
Inbound Investments
- Amicus Therapeutics received a private investment of approximately $200 million in September 2021 from a syndicate of healthcare biotechnology investors during the formation of Caritas Therapeutics.
- The company raised $30 million in a Post IPO funding round in October 2023.
Outbound Investments
- Amicus Therapeutics made a $30 million upfront payment to Dimerix for the U.S. commercialization rights to DMX-200.
- The company has licensing deals with the University of Pennsylvania, with potential aggregate outlays of $163 million, and a deal with GSK involving mid-teen royalties in eight territories outside the U.S.
Capital Expenditures
- Amicus Therapeutics' capital expenditures have historically focused on developing its gene therapy pipeline, expanding manufacturing capabilities for its Pompe biologic AT-GAA, and establishing the Amicus Process Science and Gene Therapy Manufacturing facility.
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Peer Comparisons for Amicus Therapeutics
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| BLA761204 | POMBILITI | cipaglucosidase alfa-atga | injectable | 9282023 | 22.4% | -0.7% | -9.7% | -30.5% | 20.2% |
| NDA215211 | OPFOLDA | miglustat | capsule | 9282023 | 22.4% | -0.7% | -9.7% | -30.5% | 20.2% |
| NDA208623 | GALAFOLD | migalastat hydrochloride | capsule | 8102018 | -31.0% | -25.7% | -29.5% | 0.4% | -7.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $14.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 4.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/31/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.92 | $7.79 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 43.6% | 82.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 67.7% | 50.1% |
| Downside Capture | -10.36 | 88.31 |
| Upside Capture | 256.23 | 113.03 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.3% | 26.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.05 | 0.79 | 0.71 | 0.92 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| Up Beta | 0.87 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 1.45 | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| Down Beta | 1.70 | 0.17 | 0.36 | -0.17 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| Up Capture | 211% | 219% | 157% | 195% | 83% | 68% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 31 | 67 | 125 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 40% | 52% | 24% | 72% | 101% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 29 | 53 | 118 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of FOLD With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOLD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 45.4% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 49.8% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.90 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 38.1% | 26.4% | -1.2% | 3.3% | 24.8% | 13.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of FOLD With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOLD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -9.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 50.6% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.01 | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 30.9% | 33.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 30.7% | 17.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of FOLD With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOLD | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 4.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 57.7% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.32 | 0.49 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 42.5% | 41.1% | 1.7% | 13.4% | 29.9% | 13.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLV, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 12.3% |
| 7/31/2025 | -2.3% | 13.1% | 24.8% |
| 5/1/2025 | -13.0% | -20.7% | -21.0% |
| 2/19/2025 | -2.9% | -7.5% | -6.6% |
| 11/6/2024 | -4.3% | -10.6% | -16.9% |
| 8/8/2024 | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| 5/9/2024 | -6.5% | -4.7% | -0.9% |
| 2/28/2024 | -6.5% | -3.6% | -14.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -7.5% | -13.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.2% | 22.8% | 34.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.0% | -20.7% | -25.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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