Sabre (SABR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.605 | Market Cap: $633.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Sabre (SABR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.605Market Cap: $633.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SABR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.9% movement in Sabre (SABR) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Negative Impact from Q2 2025 Earnings Report. Sabre's shares experienced a significant decline of over 30% following its Q2 2025 earnings report on August 7, 2025, as the company missed targets for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, leading to a substantial reduction in its full-year guidance for air distribution volumes, revenue, and EBITDA. This poor performance also led to a 52-week low for the stock and a downgraded price target from Morgan Stanley.
2. Disappointing Q3 2025 Adjusted Earnings and Free Cash Flow. In November 2025, Sabre announced its Q3 2025 results, reporting an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.01, missing analyst expectations. Although revenue slightly surpassed estimates, the reported free cash flow of $13 million was well below the company's guidance of $40-$50 million. This contributed to a further stock price decline of 7-10% immediately after the announcement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SABR Return | -45% | -29% | -28% | -29% | -17% | -56% | -93% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 23% | -11% | 7% | -0% | -4% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SABR Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 55% | 38% | 43% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SABR Max Drawdown | -85% | -39% | -47% | -50% | -57% | -57% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -5% | -28% | -18% | -22% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG. See SABR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SABR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 448.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 598.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 120 days |
Compare to EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG
In The Past
Sabre's stock fell -81.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -81.8% loss requires a 448.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Sabre (SABR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| SABR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Sabre Stock with -13% Return (vs. -27% YTD) [10/4/2024] | Notification | ||
| Sabre vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 26th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 25th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SABR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 04302023 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -15.0% | -28.5% | -52.5% |
| 07312022 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.1% | -33.3% | -50.1% |
| 10312020 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 129.8% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | SABR | Sabre | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 149.7% | -27.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 04302023 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -15.0% | -28.5% | -52.5% |
| 07312022 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.1% | -33.3% | -50.1% |
| 10312020 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 129.8% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | SABR | Sabre | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 149.7% | -27.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sabre
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.61 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| Rev LTM | 3,109 |
| Op Inc LTM | 377 |
| FCF LTM | 82 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 150 |
| CFO LTM | 117 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 243 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.8 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 7.7 |
| P/E | 12.6 |
| P/CFO | 1.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |