Sabre (SABR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.57 | Market Cap: $619.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Sabre (SABR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.57Market Cap: $619.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. | Key risksSABR key risks include [1] significant financial instability, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5% |
| Key risksSABR key risks include [1] significant financial instability, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SABR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining Sabre (SABR)'s stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Significant Q2 2025 Earnings Miss and Stock Plunge
Sabre Corporation reported a notable miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts for the second quarter of 2025, leading to a sharp decline in its stock price. The company's Q2 2025 EPS was -0.02, falling short of the expected 0.01, and revenue came in at $687 million, below the forecasted $718.2 million. This financial shortfall resulted in a dramatic pre-market stock price drop of 40.5% on August 7, 2025.
2. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets
Following the disappointing Q2 2025 performance and a diminished outlook, analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for Sabre. For instance, Morgan Stanley lowered Sabre's price target from $3.50 to $2.25. Additionally, in November 2024, Bernstein downgraded Sabre's rating to "underperform," expressing concerns about the company's concentration in its global distribution system (GDS) business and its substantial debt.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SABR Return | -45% | -29% | -28% | -29% | -17% | -59% | -93% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SABR Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SABR Max Drawdown | -85% | -39% | -47% | -50% | -57% | -59% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG. See SABR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SABR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 448.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -85.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 598.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 120 days |
Compare to EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG
In The Past
Sabre's stock fell -81.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -81.8% loss requires a 448.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Sabre Earnings Notes | |||
| Sabre (SABR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sabre (SABR) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| SABR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Sabre Stock with -13% Return (vs. -27% YTD) [10/4/2024] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 26th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 25th, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 16th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SABR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 04302023 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -15.0% | -28.5% | -52.5% |
| 07312022 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.1% | -33.3% | -50.1% |
| 10312020 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 129.8% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | SABR | Sabre | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 149.7% | -27.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 04302023 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -15.0% | -28.5% | -52.5% |
| 07312022 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 14.1% | -33.3% | -50.1% |
| 10312020 | SABR | Sabre | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 129.8% | 59.2% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | SABR | Sabre | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 149.7% | -27.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sabre
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,109 |
| Op Inc LTM | 377 |
| FCF LTM | 287 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 208 |
| CFO LTM | 339 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 259 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.7 |
| P/E | 16.1 |
| P/CFO | 12.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| D/E | 3.0 |
| Net D/E | 2.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.0% | -7.5% | -18.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -35.7% | -34.3% | -43.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| 2/20/2025 | 22.4% | 22.7% | 1.2% |
| 10/31/2024 | -22.0% | -16.3% | -4.6% |
| 8/1/2024 | -4.4% | -16.0% | -10.5% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.3% | -9.0% | 7.9% |
| 2/15/2024 | -22.4% | -35.6% | -55.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 11 |
| # Negative | 15 | 17 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 8.9% | 22.7% | 16.1% |
| Median Negative | -14.3% | -15.1% | -18.5% |
| Max Positive | 32.5% | 37.9% | 61.7% |
| Max Negative | -35.7% | -35.6% | -68.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |