Tearsheet

Sabre (SABR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.605 | Market Cap: $633.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Sabre (SABR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.605
Market Cap: $633.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 77%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 72%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 492%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SABR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.9% movement in Sabre (SABR) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025: 1. Negative Impact from Q2 2025 Earnings Report. Sabre's shares experienced a significant decline of over 30% following its Q2 2025 earnings report on August 7, 2025, as the company missed targets for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, leading to a substantial reduction in its full-year guidance for air distribution volumes, revenue, and EBITDA. This poor performance also led to a 52-week low for the stock and a downgraded price target from Morgan Stanley.

2. Disappointing Q3 2025 Adjusted Earnings and Free Cash Flow. In November 2025, Sabre announced its Q3 2025 results, reporting an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.01, missing analyst expectations. Although revenue slightly surpassed estimates, the reported free cash flow of $13 million was well below the company's guidance of $40-$50 million. This contributed to a further stock price decline of 7-10% immediately after the announcement.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SABR Return-45%-29%-28%-29%-17%-56%-93%
Peers Return25%23%-11%7%-0%-4%39%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SABR Win Rate42%42%67%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%55%38%43%40%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SABR Max Drawdown-85%-39%-47%-50%-57%-57% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-5%-28%-18%-22%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG. See SABR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSABRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven448.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-85.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven598.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven290 days120 days

Compare to EXLS, MMS, TTEC, AHMA, BKNG


In The Past

Sabre's stock fell -81.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -81.8% loss requires a 448.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sabre (SABR)

Better Bets than Sabre (SABR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SABR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SABR_4302023_Short_Squeeze04302023SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-15.0%-28.5%-52.5%
SABR_7312022_Short_Squeeze07312022SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
14.1%-33.3%-50.1%
SABR_10312020_Short_Squeeze10312020SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
129.8%59.2%0.0%
SABR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020SABRSabreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%149.7%-27.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
SABR_4302023_Short_Squeeze04302023SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-15.0%-28.5%-52.5%
SABR_7312022_Short_Squeeze07312022SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
14.1%-33.3%-50.1%
SABR_10312020_Short_Squeeze10312020SABRSabreSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
129.8%59.2%0.0%
SABR_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020SABRSabreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%149.7%-27.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sabre

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SABREXLSMMSTTECAHMABKNGMedian
NameSabre ExlServi.Maximus TTEC Ambition.Booking  
Mkt Price1.6340.1984.863.6315.045,047.2127.61
Mkt Cap0.66.54.80.2-163.44.8
Rev LTM3,1092,0265,4292,134-26,0393,109
Op Inc LTM37730751784-8,981377
FCF LTM-263287-14482-8,31582
FCF 3Y Avg-11720815021-8,220150
CFO LTM-185339-56117-8,640117
CFO 3Y Avg-3425924374-8,586243

Growth & Margins

SABREXLSMMSTTECAHMABKNGMedian
NameSabre ExlServi.Maximus TTEC Ambition.Booking  
Rev Chg LTM8.8%14.4%3.4%-5.8%-13.0%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.2%15.0%6.0%-3.6%-17.8%9.2%
Rev Chg Q3.5%12.2%2.5%-1.9%-12.7%3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%2.9%0.6%-0.5%-4.1%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM12.1%15.1%9.5%3.9%-34.5%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.3%14.6%8.3%4.7%-31.4%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.1%0.4%-0.2%-1.6%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-5.9%16.7%-1.0%5.5%-33.2%5.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.0%14.3%4.8%3.2%-37.2%4.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-8.5%14.2%-2.6%3.9%-31.9%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.8%11.4%3.0%0.9%-35.6%3.0%

Valuation

SABREXLSMMSTTECAHMABKNGMedian
NameSabre ExlServi.Maximus TTEC Ambition.Booking  
Mkt Cap0.66.54.80.2-163.44.8
P/S0.23.50.70.1-6.70.7
P/EBIT2.621.57.71.6-20.87.7
P/E1.329.312.6-9.1-34.712.6
P/CFO-3.920.9-70.81.4-20.21.4
Total Yield76.6%3.4%9.7%-11.0%-3.6%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.8%0.0%-0.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.0%3.4%2.6%9.4%-6.0%3.4%
D/E5.80.10.46.0-0.10.4
Net D/E4.90.00.45.6-0.00.4

Returns

SABREXLSMMSTTECAHMABKNGMedian
NameSabre ExlServi.Maximus TTEC Ambition.Booking  
1M Rtn-18.9%2.6%2.1%14.5%197.8%0.3%2.4%
3M Rtn-5.8%-7.9%-3.8%-2.2%--9.6%-5.8%
6M Rtn-39.4%-14.3%20.5%-25.5%--8.9%-14.3%
12M Rtn-55.0%-12.6%15.6%-29.2%--2.5%-12.6%
3Y Rtn-73.8%9.5%21.3%-92.2%-145.5%9.5%
1M Excs Rtn-18.9%2.7%2.1%14.5%197.9%0.4%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-10.6%-14.3%-9.1%-10.3%--15.0%-10.6%
6M Excs Rtn-54.1%-29.0%5.8%-40.2%--23.6%-29.0%
12M Excs Rtn-71.9%-26.9%2.2%-43.5%--15.8%-26.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-142.8%-64.8%-42.5%-164.6%-85.1%-64.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Travel Solutions2,6422,3111,5041,1773,723
Hospitality Solutions304255203175293
Eliminations-39-29-17-17-41
Total2,9082,5371,6891,3343,975


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31,763,462
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume7,104,816
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.47
Basic Shares Quantity394,580,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021