Danaos (DAC)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $94.95 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Marine Transportation
Danaos (DAC)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $94.95Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Marine Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 23%, FCF Yield is 11% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 27%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 23%, FCF Yield is 11% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 49% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.9%, Dist 3Y High is -0.9% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
DAC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate 4.7% movement in Danaos (DAC) stock between July 31, 2025, and November 13, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:
1. Danaos reported its Second Quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025, which showed mixed performance. The company's operating revenues increased to $262.2 million, surpassing analysts' expectations of $247.26 million. However, it missed the consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate, reporting $6.36 per share against an expectation of $6.52. Despite the revenue beat, the slight dip in shares following the earnings indicated investor reaction to the lower-than-expected EPS.
2. On September 30, 2025, Danaos announced a significant increase of $304 million to its contracted revenue backlog. This boost included approximately $164 million from forward charter fixtures for four existing vessels and about $140 million from charter fixtures for two newbuilding orders, each with a five-year charter duration. This expansion brought the total contracted cash operating revenues to $3.6 billion, signaling strong future revenue visibility.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DAC Return | 133% | 256% | -27% | 48% | 12% | 22% | 1140% |
| Peers Return | 0% | 53% | 7% | 10% | 117% | 9% | 324% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DAC Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 37% | 42% | 43% | 42% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DAC Max Drawdown | -70% | 0% | -28% | -0% | -5% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -1% | -10% | -17% | -18% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GSL, GNK, PANL, CMDB, HTCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DAC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 245.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -86.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 642.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 464 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1226.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to GSL, GNK, PANL, CMDB, HTCO
In The Past
Danaos's stock fell -51.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2022. A -51.7% loss requires a 107.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DAC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -14.1% |
| 10312025 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -10.2% | -10.2% | -17.5% |
| 10312025 | PLPC | Preformed Line Products | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.8% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -7.1% | -7.1% | -10.5% |
| 10102025 | CARR | Carrier Global | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Danaos
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 655 |
| Op Inc LTM | 209 |
| FCF LTM | 69 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 126 |
| CFO LTM | 252 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 249 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 40.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | 3.5 |
| P/CFO | 5.1 |
| Total Yield | 16.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 32.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 78.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 15.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 4.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5282024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3092023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5172022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |