China Yuchai International (CYD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $35.44 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
China Yuchai International (CYD)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $35.44Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 39%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 34% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 108%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 306% | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Hydrogen Internal Combustion Engines. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 39%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 34% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Hydrogen Internal Combustion Engines. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 108%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 306% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CYD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting the reasons for China Yuchai International's (CYD) stock movement of 57.1% from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Robust First-Half 2025 Financial Performance.
China Yuchai International announced strong unaudited financial results for the first half of 2025 on August 8, 2025. The company reported a 33.9% increase in revenue to RMB 13.8 billion (US$1.9 billion) compared to the first half of 2024, and a 58.9% rise in profit for the period to RMB 534.8 million (US$74.7 million). Basic and diluted earnings per share also saw a significant jump of 65.8% to RMB 9.75 (US$1.36). These figures significantly beat analyst estimates for both revenue and EPS.
2. Substantial Growth in Engine Sales.
A key driver of the improved financial performance was a 29.9% increase in the total number of engines sold, reaching 250,396 units in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. Notably, truck and bus engine unit sales climbed by 38.0% year-over-year, despite a slight decline in the overall commercial vehicle market in China.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CYD Return | 30% | 0% | -50% | 22% | 18% | 285% | 256% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 28% | -25% | 7% | -38% | -24% | -52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CYD Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 22% | 38% | 23% | 43% | 32% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CYD Max Drawdown | -40% | -28% | -51% | -1% | -2% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -2% | -28% | -7% | -43% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: F, HMC, GGR, AIIO, CJET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CYD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 177.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 785 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2424 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 428.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 355 days | 1480 days |
Compare to F, HMC, GGR, AIIO, CJET
In The Past
China Yuchai International's stock fell -63.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/24/2021. A -63.9% loss requires a 177.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can China Yuchai International Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CYD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for China Yuchai International
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| Rev LTM | 104,269 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,263 |
| FCF LTM | -108 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,967 |
| CFO LTM | 20,426 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 16,306 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| P/S | 0.1 |
| P/EBIT | 0.7 |
| P/E | 1.3 |
| P/CFO | 2.5 |
| Total Yield | 25.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -32.7% |
| D/E | 1.6 |
| Net D/E | 1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -14.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -12.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuchai | 18,015 | 15,998 | 21,254 | 20,558 | 17,980 |
| HL Global Enterprises Limited (HLGE) | 31 | 33 | 12 | 24 | 36 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eliminations/ adjustment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 18,046 | 16,031 | 21,266 | 20,581 | 18,016 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuchai | 432 | 355 | 443 | 829 | |
| HL Global Enterprises Limited (HLGE) | 10 | 5 | -7 | 1 | |
| Eliminations/ adjustment | -0 | -0 | -9 | -34 | |
| Corporate | -18 | -24 | -20 | -17 | |
| Total | 423 | 336 | 408 | 779 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuchai | 24,579 | 23,020 | 23,898 | 25,331 | 22,817 |
| Corporate | 2,259 | 2,216 | 2,146 | 2,075 | 2,121 |
| HL Global Enterprises Limited (HLGE) | 424 | 406 | 368 | 392 | 416 |
| Eliminations/ adjustment | -1,504 | -1,504 | -1,507 | -1,507 | -1,500 |
| Total | 25,758 | 24,138 | 24,905 | 26,291 | 23,854 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4252025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4262024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4262023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4222022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8112021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
| 12312020 | 4232021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 6302020 | 8122020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
| 3312020 | 5262020 | 6-K 3/31/2020 |
| 12312019 | 4302020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
| 9302019 | 11132019 | 6-K 9/30/2019 |
| 6302019 | 8132019 | 6-K 6/30/2019 |
| 3312019 | 5102019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
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| FinViz |