Cineverse (CNVS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.49 | Market Cap: $42.3 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Cineverse (CNVS)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.49Market Cap: $42.3 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.0% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.0% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNVS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Disappointing Q1 FY2026 Earnings Report.
Cineverse reported its fiscal first quarter 2026 results on August 14, 2025, for the period ending June 30, 2025. The company missed analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS), reporting -$0.21 against an estimate of -$0.13, and revenue, coming in at $9.13 million versus an expected $10.18 million. This underwhelming financial performance, though announced just prior to the specified period, likely set a negative tone for the stock moving into September 2025.
2. Underperformance of "The Toxic Avenger Unrated" at the Box Office.
The film "The Toxic Avenger Unrated," released on August 29, 2025, did not perform as well as anticipated at the box office. This underperformance led to increased selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, particularly for marketing, which negatively impacted the company's financial results in the subsequent quarter.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNVS Return | -8% | 80% | -67% | -83% | 170% | -34% | -83% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 2% | -22% | 15% | 19% | 2% | 31% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNVS Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 28% | 25% | 33% | 35% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNVS Max Drawdown | -58% | 0% | -67% | -87% | -45% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -10% | -33% | -8% | -6% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNVS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5580.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -87.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 687.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -77.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 352.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG
In The Past
Cineverse's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/20/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5580.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Cineverse Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNVS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cineverse
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 120.7 |
| Rev LTM | 17,612 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,647 |
| FCF LTM | 449 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 479 |
| CFO LTM | 762 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 765 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 120.7 |
| P/S | 5.0 |
| P/EBIT | 50.7 |
| P/E | 97.1 |
| P/CFO | 41.0 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -26.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -70.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 49 | 68 | |||
| Cinema Equipment | 18 | 3 | 13 | ||
| Content & Entertainment | 38 | 28 | 27 | ||
| Corporate | 0 | ||||
| Total | 49 | 68 | 56 | 31 | 39 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -16 | ||||
| Cinema Equipment | 14 | -4 | 2 | ||
| Content & Entertainment | -5 | -4 | -7 | ||
| Corporate | -10 | -5 | 1 | ||
| Total | -16 | -1 | -13 | -4 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -21 | ||||
| Total | -21 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6302025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 7012024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6292023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 7012022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |