Cineverse (CNVS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.11 | Market Cap: $38.9 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment
Cineverse (CNVS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.11Market Cap: $38.9 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Movies & Entertainment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -147% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% | ||
| Key risksCNVS key risks include [1] its niche market strategy facing pressure from vastly larger competitors, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Video Streaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -147% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% |
| Key risksCNVS key risks include [1] its niche market strategy facing pressure from vastly larger competitors, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNVS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Cineverse's Q2 FY2026 Financial Results Missed Analyst Expectations. Cineverse reported its fiscal second-quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025, on November 14, 2025. The company announced an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.31, which was significantly below analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.17. Additionally, the quarterly revenue of $12.36 million fell short of the anticipated $12.66 million.
2. Bearish Technical Signals Indicated a Downward Trend. As of December 11, 2025, Cineverse Corp's stock exhibited a bearish overall moving average trend, with four negative signals and no positive signals. The mid-term trend was particularly concerning, with the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA_20) falling below the 60-day Simple Moving Average (SMA_60), signaling a strong bearish trajectory.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNVS Return | -8% | 80% | -67% | -83% | 170% | -39% | -84% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 46% | 29% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNVS Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | 43% | 45% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNVS Max Drawdown | -58% | 0% | -67% | -87% | -45% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -37% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CURI, GAIA, LVO, PODC, TOON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNVS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5580.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -87.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 687.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -77.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 352.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG
In The Past
Cineverse's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/20/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5580.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cineverse Earnings Notes | ||
| Would You Still Hold Cineverse Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNVS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cineverse
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| Rev LTM | 73 |
| Op Inc LTM | -7 |
| FCF LTM | -1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -4 |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -1 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -10.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -8.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | -12.7 |
| P/E | -19.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | -7.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -13.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -10.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -16.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -28.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 49 | 68 | |||
| Cinema Equipment | 13 | ||||
| Content & Entertainment | 27 | ||||
| Total | 49 | 68 | 39 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -16 | ||||
| Cinema Equipment | 2 | ||||
| Content & Entertainment | -7 | ||||
| Corporate | 1 | ||||
| Total | -16 | -4 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | -21 | ||||
| Total | -21 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/14/2025 | 6.6% | 0.4% | |
| 6/27/2025 | 14.8% | 53.6% | 31.1% |
| 2/13/2025 | -6.7% | -4.2% | -15.8% |
| 11/14/2024 | 23.1% | 42.7% | 34.6% |
| 7/1/2024 | -12.0% | -9.4% | -10.0% |
| 2/14/2024 | -29.8% | -40.4% | -46.8% |
| 11/14/2023 | -0.9% | -8.9% | -0.9% |
| 6/29/2023 | -17.2% | -29.6% | -29.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 10.9% | 42.7% | 24.2% |
| Median Negative | -9.6% | -10.9% | -22.1% |
| Max Positive | 23.1% | 53.6% | 34.6% |
| Max Negative | -30.0% | -40.4% | -46.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 6302025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 7012024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6292023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 7012022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |