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Gaia (GAIA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.29 | Market Cap: $82.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Gaia (GAIA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.29
Market Cap: $82.4 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Video Streaming, and Conscious Media & Wellness Content.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.5%
1   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Video Streaming, and Conscious Media & Wellness Content.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -6.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.5%
3 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GAIA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -42.3% movement in Gaia (GAIA) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: Gaia reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $24.98 million, which fell below analysts' consensus estimates. This revenue shortfall likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Slower Member Growth Due to Price Increases: While a subscription price increase helped boost revenue in Q3 2025, the company also noted that it resulted in slower member acquisition, a critical metric for the long-term health of a subscription-based business.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GAIA Return24%-13%-72%13%66%-24%-57%
Peers Return18%2%-22%15%19%2%31%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GAIA Win Rate58%50%25%50%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate35%28%25%33%35%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GAIA Max Drawdown-39%-18%-76%-11%-3%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-10%-33%-8%-6%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGAIAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven614.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven297.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1118.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to NFLX, ANGX, PSKY, DIS, WMG


In The Past

Gaia's stock fell -86.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/9/2021. A -86.0% loss requires a 614.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Gaia (GAIA)

Better Bets than Gaia (GAIA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GAIA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Gaia

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GAIANFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameGaia Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Mkt Price3.28103.964.4814.67105.7427.8621.27
Mkt Cap0.1441.3--190.251.1120.7
Rev LTM9943,37918628,75694,5356,46917,612
Op Inc LTM-612,643-1012,41013,9748841,647
FCF LTM18,967-6050711,548391449
FCF 3Y Avg-67,256-987,450479479
CFO LTM79,575-5677219,145751762
CFO 3Y Avg37,706-39813,329765765

Growth & Margins

GAIANFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameGaia Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Rev Chg LTM14.8%15.4%-10.6%-1.8%5.0%1.4%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%11.4%--1.1%5.3%3.7%5.3%
Rev Chg Q13.4%17.2%431.0%0.5%2.1%8.7%11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%4.0%61.8%0.1%0.5%2.1%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-6.5%29.1%-54.0%8.4%14.8%13.7%11.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.8%24.4%-4.3%11.9%13.7%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.4%34.9%-0.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%22.1%-29.9%2.7%20.3%11.6%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%20.2%-1.4%14.5%12.2%12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%20.7%-32.3%1.8%12.2%6.0%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.6%19.0%-0.4%8.1%7.7%7.7%

Valuation

GAIANFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameGaia Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
Mkt Cap0.1441.3--190.251.1120.7
P/S1.5117.3--2.47.75.0
P/EBIT-23.3396.8--17.484.150.7
P/E-31.1487.8--19.3168.293.8
P/CFO22.6531.5--11.766.544.6
Total Yield-3.2%0.2%--5.5%1.3%0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.4%0.8%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.6%0.3%--3.8%1.9%1.1%
D/E0.10.0--0.20.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.0--0.20.10.0

Returns

GAIANFLXANGXPSKYDISWMGMedian
NameGaia Netflix Angel St.Paramoun.Walt Dis.Warner M. 
1M Rtn-35.0%-5.5%-32.0%-4.9%-5.7%-9.0%-7.4%
3M Rtn-40.5%-15.2%--2.3%-9.9%-15.4%-15.2%
6M Rtn-37.5%-16.1%---6.4%7.1%-11.3%
12M Rtn-44.6%15.2%---8.4%-11.7%-10.1%
3Y Rtn23.8%224.5%--8.1%-13.2%15.9%
1M Excs Rtn-35.0%-5.5%-32.0%-4.8%-5.7%-9.0%-7.3%
3M Excs Rtn-47.4%-22.7%--5.6%-16.3%-19.9%-19.9%
6M Excs Rtn-52.2%-30.9%---21.2%-7.6%-26.0%
12M Excs Rtn-60.0%3.7%---22.8%-25.8%-24.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-42.6%196.9%---60.5%-81.4%-51.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment8082806754
Total8082806754


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment-5    
Total-5    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment-6    
Total-6    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity331,277
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume43,195
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.67
Basic Shares Quantity25,044,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021