Tearsheet

CompoSecure (CMPO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $20.26 | Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

CompoSecure (CMPO)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $20.26
Market Cap: $2.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, and Digital Asset Custody.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 385%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Digital Payments, and Digital Asset Custody.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 385%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CMPO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: CompoSecure reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $0.29, surpassing the forecast of $0.2505 by 15.77%, and revenues reached $120.9 million, exceeding the anticipated $117.23 million. This robust performance led to a positive market reaction, with the company's stock surging 14.15% in premarket trading.

2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Financial Guidance: Following its strong Q3 2025 results, CompoSecure raised its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting non-GAAP net sales of approximately $463 million, up from $455 million, and pro forma adjusted EBITDA of $165-$170 million, an increase from $158 million. The company also introduced optimistic 2026 financial guidance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CMPO Return-19%-40%10%197%34%
Peers Return35%920%2%-5%14%-2%1401%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CMPO Win Rate100%58%42%58%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate44%50%36%47%44%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CMPO Max Drawdown-23%-47%-4%-13%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-12%-52%-26%-21%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PMTS, OKTA, VRSN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCMPOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-59.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven144.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven612 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-1.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6 days148 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, PH, ITW, GWW


In The Past

CompoSecure's stock fell -59.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -59.1% loss requires a 144.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CompoSecure (CMPO)

Better Bets than CompoSecure (CMPO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CMPO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CompoSecure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CMPOPMTSOKTAVRSNMedian
NameCompoSec.CPI Card Okta VeriSign  
Mkt Price20.2217.6790.18242.0055.20
Mkt Cap2.20.216.222.69.2
Rev LTM1615162,8401,6271,071
Op Inc LTM9521221,10087
FCF LTM22288951,005461
FCF 3Y Avg7128634892353
CFO LTM25479121,033479
CFO 3Y Avg7939655925367

Growth & Margins

CMPOPMTSOKTAVRSNMedian
NameCompoSec.CPI Card Okta VeriSign  
Rev Chg LTM-61.7%12.5%12.1%5.5%8.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-15.3%5.4%18.1%5.2%5.3%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%10.6%11.6%7.3%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-40.0%2.6%2.8%1.8%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM5.6%10.2%4.3%67.6%7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.4%12.8%-8.8%67.5%17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-12.3%-1.2%1.3%-0.3%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM15.7%9.0%32.1%63.5%23.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.6%8.1%25.5%59.6%24.0%
FCF/Rev LTM13.6%5.4%31.5%61.8%22.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.4%5.8%24.6%57.4%22.5%

Valuation

CMPOPMTSOKTAVRSNMedian
NameCompoSec.CPI Card Okta VeriSign  
Mkt Cap2.20.216.222.69.2
P/S13.90.35.716.09.8
P/EBIT-8.83.1-23.23.1
P/E-10.312.083.032.222.1
P/CFO88.43.717.725.321.5
Total Yield-9.7%8.4%1.2%3.4%2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg29.0%13.0%-4.1%13.0%
D/E0.01.9-0.10.1
Net D/E-0.11.8-0.00.0

Returns

CMPOPMTSOKTAVRSNMedian
NameCompoSec.CPI Card Okta VeriSign  
1M Rtn-0.9%35.4%7.4%-4.3%3.3%
3M Rtn4.0%18.7%-0.2%-15.0%1.9%
6M Rtn48.0%-20.9%-7.5%-13.0%-10.3%
12M Rtn22.2%-48.5%10.0%23.7%16.1%
3Y Rtn325.3%-37.5%32.7%22.3%27.5%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%26.3%6.8%-3.0%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn0.4%13.0%-4.0%-18.9%-1.8%
6M Excs Rtn33.8%-35.1%-21.7%-27.3%-24.5%
12M Excs Rtn11.0%-60.2%-4.2%8.6%2.2%
3Y Excs Rtn308.9%-109.3%-27.3%-49.0%-38.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,539,734
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202514.2%
Average Daily Volume954,511
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.80
Basic Shares Quantity110,264,531
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/202521.7%35.1%34.7%
5/12/20253.3%4.1%15.6%
2/10/2025-6.6%-0.7%-32.4%
11/8/2024-10.8%-10.8%2.3%
8/7/202429.2%47.4%57.0%
3/6/202426.0%27.7%46.2%
11/9/2023-9.0%-3.0%-13.3%
8/14/2023-0.3%-3.1%-6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive788
# Negative544
Median Positive13.9%9.5%11.6%
Median Negative-6.6%-3.1%-9.6%
Max Positive29.2%47.4%57.0%
Max Negative-10.8%-10.8%-32.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023312202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021