Tearsheet

Okta (OKTA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.49 | Market Cap: $15.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Okta (OKTA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.49
Market Cap: $15.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 83x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
  Key risks
OKTA key risks include [1] reputational damage from past cybersecurity incidents that have eroded customer trust, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Identity Management, Cloud Security, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Identity Management, Cloud Security, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 83x
5 Key risks
OKTA key risks include [1] reputational damage from past cybersecurity incidents that have eroded customer trust, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OKTA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Okta (OKTA) experienced a stock movement of approximately -4.7% within the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, influenced by several key factors: 1. Okta's stock experienced a significant daily decline of 4.51% on November 4, 2025. This notable one-day movement contributed substantially to the overall negative shift in the stock's performance during the specified timeframe.

2. An initial negative market reaction occurred following the announcement of Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 financial results on December 2, 2025. Despite the company exceeding revenue and earnings per share estimates and raising its full-year guidance, shares "slid 2.5% during early post-market trading." This suggests that while results were strong, market expectations might have been even higher, leading to some profit-taking or a "sell the news" event.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OKTA Return120%-12%-70%32%-13%15%-21%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OKTA Win Rate67%67%25%50%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OKTA Max Drawdown-17%-22%-80%-5%-22%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, SAIL, CRWD, ZS, PANW. See OKTA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOKTAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven548.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven58 days120 days

Compare to MSFT, IBM, SAIL, BMR, BTTC


In The Past

Okta's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 548.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Okta (OKTA)

Better Bets than Okta (OKTA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OKTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Okta

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OKTAMSFTSAILCRWDZSPANWMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftSailPointCrowdStr.Zscaler Palo Alt. 
Mkt Price88.42476.1220.38470.02226.43183.44204.94
Mkt Cap16.23,539.012.3118.147.5138.382.8
Rev LTM2,840293,8121,0174,5652,8339,5573,703
Op Inc LTM122135,937-298-392-1331,265-5
FCF LTM89578,01761,1048483,6911,000
FCF 3Y Avg63471,302-1,0236543,2311,023
CFO LTM912147,039211,4601,0893,9771,275
CFO 3Y Avg655121,384-1,3128453,4281,312

Growth & Margins

OKTAMSFTSAILCRWDZSPANWMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftSailPointCrowdStr.Zscaler Palo Alt. 
Rev Chg LTM12.1%15.6%23.4%22.0%23.2%15.3%18.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.1%13.2%-31.1%32.9%18.1%18.1%
Rev Chg Q11.6%18.4%19.8%22.2%25.5%15.7%19.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%4.3%4.8%5.2%6.0%3.6%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%46.3%-29.3%-8.6%-4.7%13.2%-0.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.8%44.6%-36.0%-4.0%-7.1%10.2%-5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.6%-0.4%0.1%0.1%-0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM32.1%50.0%2.0%32.0%38.5%41.6%35.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.5%47.2%-35.8%36.4%41.1%36.4%
FCF/Rev LTM31.5%26.6%0.6%24.2%29.9%38.6%28.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.6%28.0%-28.0%28.2%38.8%28.0%

Valuation

OKTAMSFTSAILCRWDZSPANWMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftSailPointCrowdStr.Zscaler Palo Alt. 
Mkt Cap16.23,539.012.3118.147.5138.382.8
P/S5.713.112.125.916.814.513.8
P/EBIT-29.6--578.6---274.5
P/E83.036.7-39.2-376.0-1,158.0123.8-1.3
P/CFO17.726.2600.280.943.634.839.2
Total Yield1.2%3.4%-2.6%-0.3%-0.1%0.8%0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%-1.6%--1.9%
D/E-0.0-0.0--0.0
Net D/E--0.0--0.0---0.0

Returns

OKTAMSFTSAILCRWDZSPANWMedian
NameOkta MicrosoftSailPointCrowdStr.Zscaler Palo Alt. 
1M Rtn9.1%-6.2%10.2%-11.3%-23.2%-9.6%-7.9%
3M Rtn-1.8%-6.5%-3.5%5.5%-19.0%-9.7%-5.0%
6M Rtn-10.7%-0.5%-11.2%-3.1%-25.9%-8.2%-9.4%
12M Rtn3.5%5.5%-24.9%13.0%-8.8%5.5%
3Y Rtn30.2%99.2%-321.5%98.3%143.0%99.2%
1M Excs Rtn8.3%-6.9%9.5%-12.0%-24.0%-10.3%-8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-6.9%-7.5%-10.5%-7.8%-23.6%-12.2%-9.2%
6M Excs Rtn-23.1%-12.9%-23.6%-15.5%-38.2%-20.6%-21.8%
12M Excs Rtn-3.2%-3.8%-16.6%3.0%-17.8%-3.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.3%24.6%-228.1%18.3%58.3%24.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment2,263    
Professional services and other 64513933
Subscription 1,7941,249797553
Total2,2631,8581,300835586


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,400,535
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.6%
Average Daily Volume2,053,981
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.12
Basic Shares Quantity176,524,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/2/20255.5%7.2% 
8/26/20251.6%-1.9%-0.4%
5/27/2025-16.2%-17.5%-21.8%
3/3/202524.3%20.7%20.1%
12/3/20245.4%1.3%-1.2%
8/28/2024-17.6%-22.6%-23.4%
5/29/2024-7.8%-8.1%-2.9%
2/28/202422.9%24.7%19.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131310
# Negative111114
Median Positive6.3%7.2%15.6%
Median Negative-8.1%-14.5%-7.8%
Max Positive26.5%24.7%28.2%
Max Negative-33.7%-31.4%-37.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251203202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025827202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025528202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025305202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241204202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024301202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023303202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022307202210-K 1/31/2022