Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -100 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -83%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 120%
4   Key risks
BMEA key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant operating losses, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -33%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -134%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -148%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -100 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -83%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 120%
8 Key risks
BMEA key risks include [1] substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to significant operating losses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BMEA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The -30.8% movement in Biomea Fusion (BMEA) stock between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Public Offerings Leading to Dilution: Biomea Fusion engaged in multiple public offerings during this period, which typically dilute existing shares and can exert downward pressure on the stock price. The company raised approximately $42.8 million in gross proceeds through a public offering in June/July 2025, as reported in its Q2 2025 financial results on August 5, 2025. Furthermore, a proposed public offering of securities was announced on October 6, 2025, and the Q3 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025, noted that approximately $68 million in gross proceeds had been raised through two public offerings, extending the cash runway into the first quarter of 2027.

2. JPMorgan Downgrade: On November 17, 2025, JPMorgan downgraded Biomea Fusion's stock rating from "Neutral" to "Underweight," a significant negative signal from a major financial institution that likely contributed to a stock price decline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BMEA Return13%72%-73%-65%
Peers Return6%26%25%15%3%17%131%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BMEA Win Rate38%42%50%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%62%47%45%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BMEA Max Drawdown-60%-19%-73%-75% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-12%-10%-18%-6%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, VRTX, PFE, MRK, AMGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBMEAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven597.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven333 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Biomea Fusion's stock fell -85.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -85.7% loss requires a 597.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Biomea Fusion (BMEA)

Better Bets than Biomea Fusion (BMEA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Biomea Fusion Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BMEA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Biomea Fusion

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BMEALLYVRTXPFEMRKAMGNMedian
NameBiomea F.Eli LillyVertex P.Pfizer Merck Amgen  
Mkt Price1.351,041.79449.5225.0499.18326.01212.59
Mkt Cap0.1935.4114.9142.4247.5175.4158.9
Rev LTM053,25811,72362,78664,23535,97144,615
Op Inc LTM-10022,882-9215,41722,3918,67112,044
FCF LTM-87-503,33710,37613,04911,5396,857
FCF 3Y Avg-99-1562,0648,92713,6859,0675,495
CFO LTM-8610,9383,71813,07717,06513,12612,008
CFO 3Y Avg-987,2302,41912,12717,50610,3228,776

Growth & Margins

BMEALLYVRTXPFEMRKAMGNMedian
NameBiomea F.Eli LillyVertex P.Pfizer Merck Amgen  
Rev Chg LTM-36.8%10.3%3.9%1.7%10.6%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.4%10.5%-13.2%2.9%11.2%10.5%
Rev Chg Q-37.6%11.0%-5.9%3.7%12.4%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.7%2.7%-1.6%1.0%3.0%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM-43.0%-0.8%24.6%34.9%24.1%24.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.6%26.2%19.4%23.7%25.4%25.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%1.0%-1.4%3.7%0.6%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-20.5%31.7%20.8%26.6%36.5%26.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.8%23.1%18.9%28.2%32.7%23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM--0.1%28.5%16.5%20.3%32.1%20.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%19.8%13.9%22.0%28.8%19.8%

Valuation

BMEALLYVRTXPFEMRKAMGNMedian
NameBiomea F.Eli LillyVertex P.Pfizer Merck Amgen  
Mkt Cap0.1935.4114.9142.4247.5175.4158.9
P/S-12.98.52.33.34.24.2
P/EBIT-1.238.622.412.29.113.713.0
P/E-1.349.627.214.711.021.718.2
P/CFO-1.462.626.911.112.311.611.9
Total Yield-79.2%2.7%3.7%13.5%13.0%7.9%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%6.7%3.9%3.3%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-40.8%0.1%2.3%5.5%5.5%5.9%3.9%
D/E0.10.10.00.40.20.40.1
Net D/E-0.30.1-0.00.30.10.30.1

Returns

BMEALLYVRTXPFEMRKAMGNMedian
NameBiomea F.Eli LillyVertex P.Pfizer Merck Amgen  
1M Rtn16.4%2.0%3.6%-0.2%7.7%-4.6%2.8%
3M Rtn-31.1%37.3%16.1%5.9%23.3%19.5%17.8%
6M Rtn-29.3%33.2%0.2%8.5%27.4%14.3%11.4%
12M Rtn-70.9%34.8%-4.2%1.6%2.8%26.6%2.2%
3Y Rtn-83.3%196.4%47.5%-42.1%-0.5%34.2%16.9%
1M Excs Rtn15.6%1.2%2.8%-0.9%7.0%-5.3%2.0%
3M Excs Rtn-36.4%35.4%14.8%4.2%21.3%17.7%16.2%
6M Excs Rtn-41.7%20.8%-12.1%-3.8%15.0%1.9%-1.0%
12M Excs Rtn-87.1%21.9%-14.1%-6.1%-9.4%13.3%-7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-148.1%122.1%-25.4%-111.3%-68.0%-38.8%-53.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Business of developing small molecule drugs to treat patients with metabolic diseases20012918663
Total20012918663


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,436,211
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.1%
Average Daily Volume1,367,886
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.17
Basic Shares Quantity59,848,325
Short % of Basic Shares14.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20256.3%11.1%-3.2%
8/5/20250.6%4.4%15.8%
3/31/2025-6.6%-5.9%-1.4%
10/29/2024-14.3%-26.1%-41.8%
7/31/20243.2%3.6%36.8%
4/1/2024-16.3%-18.2%-29.8%
10/30/2023-7.6%-16.3%15.3%
7/31/2023-6.7%-17.8%-27.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive775
# Negative9911
Median Positive4.3%11.1%15.8%
Median Negative-6.7%-16.3%-14.8%
Max Positive6.3%69.4%121.2%
Max Negative-16.3%-26.1%-41.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023731202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021