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Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $449.51 | Market Cap: $114.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $449.51
Market Cap: $114.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 27x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  Key risks
VRTX key risks include [1] its overwhelming revenue dependence on its cystic fibrosis (CF) franchise, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.3 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.8%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 27x
6 Key risks
VRTX key risks include [1] its overwhelming revenue dependence on its cystic fibrosis (CF) franchise, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VRTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 15% stock movement for Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) during the period from late August 2025 to mid-December 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported robust Q3 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an 11% year-over-year increase in total revenue to $3.08 billion, with U.S. revenue growing by 15%. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $4.80 surpassed consensus estimates by 4.9%. This strong financial performance, alongside slightly raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance, signaled continued growth and profitability to investors.

2. Significant Pipeline Advancement in Renal Diseases: Vertex made substantial progress in its renal disease pipeline, particularly with povetacicept and inaxaplin. By November 2025, Vertex had completed enrollment in the Phase 3 RAINIER study of povetacicept for IgA Nephropathy (IgAN) and was on track to submit the first module of its Biologics License Application (BLA) to the FDA by the end of 2025 for potential accelerated approval. Additionally, updated Phase 1/2 data for povetacicept presented in November 2025 continued to demonstrate best-in-class potential for IgAN and Primary Membranous Nephropathy (pMN). Enrollment for the interim analysis cohort of the AMPLITUDE Phase 2/3 trial of inaxaplin for APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD) was also completed in September 2025, with potential for accelerated approval if results are supportive.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRTX Return8%-7%32%41%-1%13%108%
Peers Return39%-1%7%6%-11%27%76%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRTX Win Rate67%42%67%58%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%58%50%47%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRTX Max Drawdown-9%-25%0%-2%-3%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-22%-24%-22%-28%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: REGN, BMRN, ALNY, INCY, CRSP. See VRTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven115 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven25 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven178.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven610 days1,480 days

Compare to BIIB, IONS, BMRN, ACAD, ACSB


In The Past

Vertex Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -26.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -26.6% loss requires a 36.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)

Better Bets than Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
VRTX_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
21.9%40.9%-1.9%
VRTX_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%-11.2%-15.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
VRTX_12312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312022VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
21.9%40.9%-1.9%
VRTX_10312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312020VRTXVertex PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%-11.2%-15.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vertex Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VRTXREGNBMRNALNYINCYCRSPMedian
NameVertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Alnylam .Incyte CRISPR T. 
Mkt Price449.52749.7951.80392.1097.6354.74244.87
Mkt Cap114.977.79.951.519.15.035.3
Rev LTM11,72314,2483,0943,2104,813354,012
Op Inc LTM-923,8076152651,256-574440
FCF LTM3,3373,8818262211,172-328999
FCF 3Y Avg2,0643,85338657585-271485
CFO LTM3,7185,0719142661,251-3021,083
CFO 3Y Avg2,4194,848489108662-256575

Growth & Margins

VRTXREGNBMRNALNYINCYCRSPMedian
NameVertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Alnylam .Incyte CRISPR T. 
Rev Chg LTM10.3%2.9%12.4%53.2%18.1%-82.5%11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%1.4%15.5%51.4%13.1%388.5%14.3%
Rev Chg Q11.0%0.9%4.1%149.3%20.0%-11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%0.2%1.0%30.4%5.0%0.0%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-0.8%26.7%19.9%8.2%26.1%-1,641.1%14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg26.2%30.0%13.5%-7.1%13.8%-685.5%13.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%-0.9%-5.4%15.6%4.4%-62.7%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM31.7%35.6%29.5%8.3%26.0%-864.3%27.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%35.4%16.9%3.7%15.3%-374.0%16.1%
FCF/Rev LTM28.5%27.2%26.7%6.9%24.4%-937.6%25.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%28.2%13.0%1.3%13.5%-402.2%13.2%

Valuation

VRTXREGNBMRNALNYINCYCRSPMedian
NameVertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Alnylam .Incyte CRISPR T. 
Mkt Cap114.977.79.951.519.15.035.3
P/S8.54.13.418.73.4142.86.3
P/EBIT22.411.215.1460.010.4-8.713.2
P/E27.212.720.01,375.914.0-10.217.0
P/CFO26.911.511.4225.513.3-16.512.4
Total Yield3.7%8.3%5.0%0.1%7.2%-9.8%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%4.9%3.5%0.0%3.9%-6.2%2.9%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.2-0.3-0.1

Returns

VRTXREGNBMRNALNYINCYCRSPMedian
NameVertex P.Regenero.BioMarin.Alnylam .Incyte CRISPR T. 
1M Rtn3.6%6.5%-4.9%-14.9%-6.3%-1.0%-3.0%
3M Rtn16.1%28.2%-4.7%-13.2%15.1%-7.3%5.2%
6M Rtn0.2%46.4%-6.2%25.5%43.0%23.2%24.4%
12M Rtn-4.2%1.9%-22.9%59.0%40.7%22.7%12.3%
3Y Rtn47.5%4.3%-52.3%65.5%19.0%17.9%18.5%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%5.7%-5.6%-15.6%-7.0%-1.8%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn14.8%24.0%-7.4%-14.6%12.2%-14.4%2.4%
6M Excs Rtn-12.1%34.0%-18.6%13.2%30.6%10.8%12.0%
12M Excs Rtn-14.1%-8.0%-32.6%48.7%31.3%14.0%3.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-25.4%-66.9%-119.7%-2.2%-49.9%-61.2%-55.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
TRIKAFTA/KAFTRIO8,9457,6875,6973,864420
Other product revenues924    
KALYDECO 553684803991
ORKAMBI 5117729081,332
Other revenues 0132
SYMDEKO/SYMKEVI 1804206291,418
Total9,8698,9317,5746,2064,163


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,455,217
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.2%
Average Daily Volume1,393,814
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity255,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-1.0%-1.1%7.4%
8/4/2025-20.6%-20.7%-16.0%
5/5/2025-10.0%-12.2%-10.9%
2/10/2025-3.1%-1.7%5.4%
11/4/20245.7%6.1%-1.9%
8/1/2024-2.2%-7.9%-2.0%
5/6/20241.9%6.8%20.0%
2/5/2024-3.0%-2.4%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121112
# Negative121312
Median Positive2.5%6.1%6.4%
Median Negative-3.1%-2.4%-5.1%
Max Positive9.0%11.9%20.0%
Max Negative-20.6%-20.7%-16.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Atkinson Edward Morrow IIIEVP, Chief Technical Ops. Off.11192025Sell434.582,5001,086,4507,323,542Form