Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $458.54 | Market Cap: $117.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $458.54Market Cap: $117.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VRTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) stock moved by approximately 18.4% from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Vertex Pharmaceuticals reported better-than-anticipated third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025. The company announced revenues of $3.08 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst estimates of $3.04 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) also rose by 9.6% annually to $4.80, exceeding the expected $4.55.
2. Analyst Upgrade and Positive Outlook on Kidney Pipeline. On December 3, 2025, Morgan Stanley upgraded Vertex Pharmaceuticals from an "Equalweight" to an "Overweight" rating, increasing its price target to $516.00 from $438.00. This upgrade was primarily driven by a more favorable view of Vertex's kidney franchise pipeline, particularly the potential of drug candidates povetacicept and inaxaplin, ahead of their Phase 3 clinical trial data expected in 2026.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRTX Return | 8% | -7% | 32% | 41% | -1% | 8% | 98% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -26% | 6% | 29% | -36% | 43% | -6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRTX Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 46% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRTX Max Drawdown | -9% | -25% | 0% | -2% | -3% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -38% | -22% | -14% | -42% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BIIB, IONS, BMRN, ACAD, ACSB. See VRTX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VRTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 115 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 655 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 610 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BIIB, IONS, BMRN, ACAD, ACSB
In The Past
Vertex Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -26.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/25/2021. A -26.6% loss requires a 36.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VRTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 12312022 | VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 21.9% | 40.9% | -1.9% |
| 10312020 | VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | -11.2% | -15.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 12312022 | VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 21.9% | 40.9% | -1.9% |
| 10312020 | VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | -11.2% | -15.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vertex Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Atkinson Edward Morrow III | EVP, Chief Technical Ops. Off. | 11192025 | Sell | 434.58 | 2,500 | 1,086,450 | 7,323,542 | Form |
Industry Resources
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