Tearsheet

Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $21.365 | Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $21.365
Market Cap: $2.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 230x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Sleep Disorder Therapies.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 80%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Sleep Disorder Therapies.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 230x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 123%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AVDL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 14, 2025, Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL) experienced a significant stock movement of 44.7%, driven by several key developments:

1. Avadel Pharmaceuticals surpassed second-quarter 2025 financial forecasts, reporting strong earnings per share and revenue. The company announced its Q2 2025 results on August 21, 2025, with EPS of $0.10 against a forecast of $0.03 and revenue of $68.1 million against an expected $61.4 million. This strong performance, which included achieving net income for the first time, led to a pre-market stock surge of 14.86%.

2. The company announced its acquisition by Alkermes. On October 22, 2025, Avadel entered a definitive agreement for Alkermes to acquire the company for up to $20.00 per share in cash, valuing Avadel at approximately $2.1 billion. This transaction is anticipated to close in the first quarter of 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AVDL Return104%
Peers Return-19%53%-20%4%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AVDL Win Rate25%67% 
Peers Win Rate47%44%64%44%53%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AVDL Max Drawdown-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-22%-40%-15%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JAZZ, HRMY, AXSM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AVDL has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL)

Better Bets than Avadel Pharmaceuticals (AVDL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AVDL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Avadel Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AVDLJAZZHRMYAXSMMedian
NameAvadel P.Jazz Pha.Harmony .Axsome T. 
Mkt Price21.36167.5040.51148.1794.34
Mkt Cap2.110.22.37.44.9
Rev LTM2494,158826561694
Op Inc LTM5454226-195115
FCF LTM201,239297-101158
FCF 3Y Avg-601,069229-12685
CFO LTM351,392298-101166
CFO 3Y Avg-551,274229-12587

Growth & Margins

AVDLJAZZHRMYAXSMMedian
NameAvadel P.Jazz Pha.Harmony .Axsome T. 
Rev Chg LTM79.9%4.1%21.1%65.8%43.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.1%27.4%296.0%27.4%
Rev Chg Q54.9%6.7%28.7%63.2%41.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.4%1.7%6.9%13.4%9.7%
Op Mgn LTM1.8%10.9%27.3%-34.7%6.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-548.2%14.3%29.9%-63.2%-24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-4.1%-1.4%7.3%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%33.5%36.0%-18.0%23.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-469.1%32.0%33.2%-40.3%-4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%29.8%35.9%-18.1%18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-471.1%26.8%33.2%-40.4%-6.8%

Valuation

AVDLJAZZHRMYAXSMMedian
NameAvadel P.Jazz Pha.Harmony .Axsome T. 
Mkt Cap2.110.22.37.44.9
P/S6.01.91.910.83.9
P/EBIT229.7-15.96.5-27.3-4.7
P/E-5,333.7-21.78.5-26.5-24.1
P/CFO42.95.75.3-60.25.5
Total Yield-0.0%-4.6%11.7%-3.8%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.1%12.3%-3.0%12.3%
D/E0.00.70.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.10.4-0.3-0.0-0.0

Returns

AVDLJAZZHRMYAXSMMedian
NameAvadel P.Jazz Pha.Harmony .Axsome T. 
1M Rtn11.0%18.2%18.1%7.8%14.6%
3M Rtn38.7%32.8%25.1%25.1%28.9%
6M Rtn123.2%54.4%22.9%42.3%48.4%
12M Rtn105.6%36.1%25.1%64.5%50.3%
3Y Rtn-6.3%-30.9%85.9%6.3%
1M Excs Rtn11.9%22.9%21.1%5.5%16.5%
3M Excs Rtn37.4%30.6%21.4%23.7%27.1%
6M Excs Rtn109.0%40.1%8.6%28.1%34.1%
12M Excs Rtn100.5%26.3%10.7%36.8%31.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--62.7%-106.1%16.0%-62.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,906,360
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-41.3%
Average Daily Volume2,620,991
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.49
Basic Shares Quantity97,104,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20250.3%-0.4%12.9%
8/7/202514.8%24.1%42.0%
3/3/2025-4.6%0.0%-1.0%
11/12/2024-19.3%-34.3%-36.7%
8/8/2024-2.2%-2.2%-10.0%
3/4/2024   
11/8/2023   
8/9/2023   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive222
# Negative171717
Median Positive7.5%12.0%27.4%
Median Negative-4.6%-2.2%-10.0%
Max Positive14.8%24.1%42.0%
Max Negative-19.3%-34.3%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022329202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Palczuk Linda1222025Buy7.935,00039,640538,311Form
1Thornton Peter J.1142025Buy8.0410,00080,450837,122Form
2Ende Eric J1142025Buy7.8430,000235,2181,637,901Form
3MCHUGH THOMAS SChief Financial Officer12162024Buy10.442,30024,019916,887Form
4MCHUGH THOMAS SChief Financial Officer12122024Buy10.495,00052,432896,596Form