Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 33%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -134%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -70 Mil
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 123%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 33%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATYR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -84.6% stock movement for aTyr Pharma (ATYR) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. The Phase 3 EFZO-FIT™ Study Failed to Meet its Primary Endpoint.

aTyr Pharma announced on September 15, 2025, that its global pivotal Phase 3 EFZO-FIT™ study of efzofitimod in pulmonary sarcoidosis did not achieve its primary endpoint, which was the change from baseline in mean daily oral corticosteroid dose at week 48. This news led to an immediate and significant drop in the stock price, with shares plummeting over 83% on that day.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Reduced Price Targets Followed the Trial Failure.

Following the disappointing Phase 3 results, several financial analysts downgraded aTyr Pharma's stock rating and substantially reduced their price targets, reflecting a significant loss of confidence in the commercial viability of efzofitimod and increased regulatory uncertainty.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATYR Return-7%93%-71%-36%157%-77%-80%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATYR Win Rate42%50%33%33%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATYR Max Drawdown-48%-9%-73%-49%0%-82% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATYRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1024.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven225.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven329 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3050.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-17.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven24 days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

aTyr Pharma's stock fell -91.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/23/2021. A -91.1% loss requires a 1024.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About aTyr Pharma (ATYR)

Better Bets than aTyr Pharma (ATYR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATYR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for aTyr Pharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATYRVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameaTyr Pha.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price0.83457.362.631.1711.5421.937.08
Mkt Cap0.1116.9----58.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-70-92-5--93-70-70
FCF LTM-563,337-6--60-64-56
FCF 3Y Avg-532,064-10----10
CFO LTM-563,718-6--60-64-56
CFO 3Y Avg-512,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

ATYRVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameaTyr Pha.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%10.3%-----44.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ATYRVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameaTyr Pha.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.1116.9----58.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-6.522.4----8.0
P/E-6.927.2----10.2
P/CFO-8.226.9----9.4
Total Yield-14.6%3.7%-----5.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-34.3%2.3%-----16.0%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

ATYRVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameaTyr Pha.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn0.1%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-4.3%
3M Rtn-84.9%15.2%--14.5%-14.5%
6M Rtn-84.5%3.1%-----40.7%
12M Rtn-75.1%-1.4%-----38.3%
3Y Rtn-63.9%44.0%-----9.9%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-91.0%9.7%--10.8%-9.7%
6M Excs Rtn-100.0%-12.4%-----56.2%
12M Excs Rtn-90.1%-15.2%-----52.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.4%-28.7%-----81.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
The discovery and development of our product candidates0100100
Total0100100


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
The discovery and development of our product candidates-50-45   
Total-50-45   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,864,642
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.8%
Average Daily Volume3,920,174
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.62
Basic Shares Quantity90,120,235
Short % of Basic Shares33.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SCHIMMEL PAUL 10092025Buy0.90682,001612,437983,332Form
1Gross Jane A 3172025Buy4.003,75015,00039,000Form