Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 58%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -38 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.5%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARDX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Ardelyx's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, which saw a decline of -9.3%: 1. Significant Stock Price Decline in the Weeks Leading Up to Mid-October 2025.

Ardelyx experienced a substantial drop in its share price, with reports indicating a decline of up to 26% over the 30 days prior to October 11, 2025, and a 25% fall since September 11, 2025. This downturn was largely attributed to an "uninspiring revenue outlook" and "shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects" for the company.

2. Negative Momentum Preceding the Q3 2025 Earnings Report.

In the month leading up to its third-quarter earnings report on October 30, 2025, Ardelyx's stock had declined by approximately 7.5%. While the stock later saw a positive reaction to the strong Q3 results, this preceding negative momentum contributed to the overall downward trend within the specified period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARDX Return-14%-83%159%118%-18%9%-26%
Peers Return1%8%-9%4%-11%9%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARDX Win Rate42%33%58%58%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%50%55%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARDX Max Drawdown-42%-87%-54%-6%-27%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-10%-23%-19%-26%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See ARDX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARDXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-94.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1660.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven574 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven399 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-88.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven800.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Ardelyx's stock fell -94.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2021. A -94.3% loss requires a 1660.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ardelyx (ARDX)

Better Bets than Ardelyx (ARDX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARDX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ardelyx

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARDXACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameArdelyx Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Price5.7738.6129.5363.2913.9624.1926.86
Mkt Cap1.45.74.93.51.91.12.7
Rev LTM3981,2251,5211,3494,2827171,287
Op Inc LTM-38-35919439360194
FCF LTM-55704491191271124231
FCF 3Y Avg-62672353103235149192
CFO LTM-54704541251376141313
CFO 3Y Avg-61672397150339165252

Growth & Margins

ARDXACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameArdelyx Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Rev Chg LTM58.1%2.4%1.1%8.6%-2.5%3.1%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg512.0%3.9%12.1%9.9%-0.8%3.1%6.9%
Rev Chg Q12.3%0.6%4.2%12.5%-4.1%6.5%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%0.2%1.1%3.0%-1.0%1.6%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-9.5%-23.6%14.4%9.2%8.4%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.4%-24.7%8.3%6.5%11.1%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%--1.3%1.0%-0.4%-1.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-13.5%57.5%35.6%18.6%8.8%19.7%19.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-29.4%56.6%25.9%11.6%7.6%23.8%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.9%57.5%32.3%14.2%6.3%17.3%15.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-29.7%56.6%23.1%7.9%5.3%21.6%14.7%

Valuation

ARDXACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameArdelyx Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Cap1.45.74.93.51.91.12.7
P/S3.34.63.32.10.71.62.7
P/EBIT-46.26.312.2-20.811.619.99.0
P/E-23.68.614.6-13.2-59.552.9-2.3
P/CFO-24.98.09.211.48.28.08.1
Total Yield-4.2%13.8%6.8%-7.6%-0.4%1.9%0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.2%12.9%7.4%3.6%6.5%16.0%7.0%
D/E0.20.10.00.21.20.40.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.11.00.2-0.0

Returns

ARDXACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameArdelyx Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
1M Rtn-2.5%8.1%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%3.0%
3M Rtn-11.4%2.8%-1.6%11.8%-38.8%-11.0%-6.3%
6M Rtn56.4%12.7%-6.4%42.3%-45.0%-10.3%3.2%
12M Rtn4.9%11.7%0.2%22.6%-48.1%45.0%8.3%
3Y Rtn211.9%71.4%21.8%13.6%-50.4%-48.8%17.7%
1M Excs Rtn-2.5%8.2%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-17.5%-4.2%-3.2%3.5%-44.1%-14.8%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn41.6%-2.0%-21.1%27.6%-59.7%-25.1%-11.6%
12M Excs Rtn-11.8%-1.4%-11.8%7.0%-61.9%29.5%-6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn153.2%1.3%-40.3%-52.0%-122.8%-123.4%-46.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Product sales, net8316   
Other revenues42    
Collaborative development revenue 0450
Licensing revenue 35514
Product supply revenue 2120
Total124521085


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,568,868
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume3,628,055
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.12
Basic Shares Quantity241,908,407
Short % of Basic Shares7.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021