Arbe Robotics (ARBE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.31 | Market Cap: $147.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Arbe Robotics (ARBE)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $1.31Market Cap: $147.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9351% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Machine Vision. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 272x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -44%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -33% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6344%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6399% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 115% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Machine Vision. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -83%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -138% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9351% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 272x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -44%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -33% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6344%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6399% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -38% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 115% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ARBE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
No information is available for the period from July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025, regarding Arbe Robotics' (ARBE) stock movement of -3.7%. However, the company announced its Q3 2025 financial results on November 17, 2025, which coincided with a decline in the stock price.
Here are key points from the Q3 2025 financial results and related market reactions that may explain recent stock movement:
1. Significant Revenue Miss: Arbe Robotics reported Q3 2025 revenue of $0.3 million, which significantly missed analyst consensus estimates of around $0.63 million, marking a substantial shortfall. This considerable revenue miss appears to be a primary driver of investor disappointment and the subsequent stock decline.
2. Wider Adjusted EBITDA Loss: The adjusted EBITDA loss for Q3 2025 was $9.2 million, which widened from a loss of $8.2 million in Q3 2024. This indicates increasing operational losses, despite a focus on reducing net loss and operating expenses.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ARBE Return | - | -7% | -63% | -36% | -15% | -30% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 142% | 15% | -18% | 9% | -10% | -5% | 112% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ARBE Win Rate | 100% | 33% | 25% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 48% | 37% | 47% | 40% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ARBE Max Drawdown | - | -19% | -67% | -48% | -28% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -6% | -29% | -13% | -24% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MVIS, USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ARBE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 730.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -2.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 148 days |
Compare to MVIS, USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY
In The Past
Arbe Robotics's stock fell -88.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -88.0% loss requires a 730.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Arbe Robotics Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ARBE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Arbe Robotics
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 88.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| Rev LTM | 2,623 |
| Op Inc LTM | 440 |
| FCF LTM | 515 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 456 |
| CFO LTM | 568 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 508 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 23.4 |
| P/S | 6.2 |
| P/EBIT | 20.8 |
| P/E | 28.7 |
| P/CFO | 18.9 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -19.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -31.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5202025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11272024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5172023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3222023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8162022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 12072021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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