Tearsheet

Microvision (MVIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.8821 | Market Cap: $224.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Microvision (MVIS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.8821
Market Cap: $224.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Electronic Equipment & Instruments

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Machine Vision, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -62 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2383%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 112x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -92%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2166%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2182%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -14%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Machine Vision, and Autonomous Driving Technology.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -62 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2383%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 112x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -71%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -92%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2166%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2182%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 83%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35%
10 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MVIS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Microvision (MVIS) experienced a decline of 23.3% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several factors identified during this period:

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: MicroVision reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 11, revealing a revenue of $0.2 million, which significantly fell short of the forecasted $1.13 million, marking a 78.76% miss. This revenue shortfall was a primary driver of negative market reaction, despite a slightly better-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) loss.

2. Continued Unprofitability and Financial Challenges: The company reported a net loss of $14.2 million, or $0.05 per share, for Q3 2025, and is expected to remain unprofitable in the near future. The price-to-sales ratio was approximately 124.63, suggesting investors were paying a premium for sales despite ongoing financial hurdles, and the enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio was around -5.34, highlighting difficulties in generating positive cash flow from operations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MVIS Return647%-7%-53%13%-51%-36%16%
Peers Return13%31%-16%8%39%1%86%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MVIS Win Rate58%50%50%50%25%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%50%28%47%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MVIS Max Drawdown-77%-7%-57%-23%-70%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-5%-28%-13%-11%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACFN, USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMVISS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1352.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-78.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven363.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven516.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven729 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven659.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to ACFN, USBC, ROP, KEYS, TDY


In The Past

Microvision's stock fell -93.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/26/2021. A -93.1% loss requires a 1352.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Microvision (MVIS)

Better Bets than Microvision (MVIS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MVIS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Microvision

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MVISACFNUSBCROPKEYSTDYMedian
NameMicrovis.Acorn En.USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne. 
Mkt Price0.8815.940.82445.89206.61503.96111.28
Mkt Cap0.20.0-48.035.523.623.6
Rev LTM31307,7215,2436,0052,628
Op Inc LTM-623-92,1728891,110446
FCF LTM-562-82,4061,4151,038520
FCF 3Y Avg-621-101,9951,181923462
CFO LTM-562-82,5241,5431,145573
CFO 3Y Avg-601-102,1011,3471,026513

Growth & Margins

MVISACFNUSBCROPKEYSTDYMedian
NameMicrovis.Acorn En.USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne. 
Rev Chg LTM-71.3%51.0%-14.0%4.8%7.4%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg198.8%25.8%-14.1%0.1%3.6%14.1%
Rev Chg Q-91.8%54.9%-14.3%11.1%6.7%11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-40.3%10.5%-3.4%2.6%1.6%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-2,383.0%23.9%-28.1%17.0%18.5%18.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3,301.7%8.2%-28.3%20.2%18.4%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-800.1%3.3%-0.1%0.1%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,166.2%13.4%-32.7%29.4%19.1%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2,431.1%6.0%-30.4%25.5%17.8%17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-2,182.0%13.1%-31.2%27.0%17.3%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2,580.7%5.3%-28.9%22.3%16.0%16.0%

Valuation

MVISACFNUSBCROPKEYSTDYMedian
NameMicrovis.Acorn En.USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne. 
Mkt Cap0.20.0-48.035.523.623.6
P/S112.33.2-6.95.44.65.4
P/EBIT-4.113.1-23.425.625.823.4
P/E-3.25.9-34.251.833.633.6
P/CFO-5.224.0-21.318.324.021.3
Total Yield-30.9%16.9%-3.6%1.9%3.0%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.2%14.5%-3.6%4.3%4.2%4.2%
D/E0.20.0-0.20.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.1-0.20.00.10.0

Returns

MVISACFNUSBCROPKEYSTDYMedian
NameMicrovis.Acorn En.USBC Roper Te.Keysight.Teledyne. 
1M Rtn-23.3%-34.1%-12.8%-0.6%11.0%-2.8%-7.8%
3M Rtn-20.5%-41.7%-5.4%-14.8%25.0%-7.5%-11.1%
6M Rtn-24.6%-10.2%--21.3%28.3%1.2%-10.2%
12M Rtn0.2%-15.2%--20.9%20.8%5.3%0.2%
3Y Rtn-71.3%206.5%-2.2%14.4%18.0%14.4%
1M Excs Rtn-23.3%-34.0%-12.7%-0.6%11.0%-2.7%-7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-25.2%-48.5%4.9%-20.6%18.4%-13.2%-16.9%
6M Excs Rtn-39.3%-24.9%--36.0%13.6%-13.5%-24.9%
12M Excs Rtn-15.5%-28.5%--34.3%7.4%-9.7%-15.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-141.6%103.9%--65.8%-53.8%-50.9%-53.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sale and servicing of lidar hardware and software71   
License and royalty revenue  220
Contract revenue   03
Product revenue   15
Total71239


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity56,317,754
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.5%
Average Daily Volume7,294,442
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.72
Basic Shares Quantity254,658,000
Short % of Basic Shares22.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211108202110-Q 9/30/2021