Alkami Technology (ALKT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $23.275 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Alkami Technology (ALKT)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $23.275Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 75x | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Software as a Service (SaaS). | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0% | |
| Key risksALKT key risks include [1] active regulatory and securities fraud investigations and [2] a heavy customer concentration in the vulnerable regional and community bank sector. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Software as a Service (SaaS). |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.5% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -48 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 75x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0% |
| Key risksALKT key risks include [1] active regulatory and securities fraud investigations and [2] a heavy customer concentration in the vulnerable regional and community bank sector. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate period leading up to December 23, 2025, Alkami Technology (ALKT) experienced negative stock movements, including declines around 9%, primarily influenced by disappointing quarterly financial results and subsequent analyst actions. 1. Alkami Technology's Q2 2025 earnings per share (EPS) significantly missed analyst expectations, falling short by 262.5%.2. The company's Q3 2025 earnings also missed expectations, with both earnings per share and revenue falling below forecasts.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.2% change in ALKT stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -13.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.39 | 23.30 | -8.23% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 385.46 | 412.50 | 7.02% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.81 | 5.89 | -13.46% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103.39 | 104.35 | -0.92% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.24% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALKT | -8.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 22.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 2.7% | 12.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.8% change in ALKT stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -29.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.06 | 23.30 | -19.82% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 355.56 | 412.50 | 16.02% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.37 | 5.89 | -29.60% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102.43 | 104.35 | -1.87% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.85% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALKT | -19.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 34.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 19.7% | 23.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -40.4% change in ALKT stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a -52.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 39.12 | 23.30 | -40.44% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 315.56 | 412.50 | 30.72% |
| P/S Multiple | 12.33 | 5.89 | -52.19% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99.44 | 104.35 | -4.94% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -40.58% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALKT | -40.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 51.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.8% | 46.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 71.1% change in ALKT stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 115.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.62 | 23.30 | 71.07% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 191.17 | 412.50 | 115.78% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.50 | 5.89 | -9.28% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91.18 | 104.35 | -14.44% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 67.51% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ALKT | -4.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 50.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 52.9% | 44.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALKT Return | � | � | -27% | 66% | 51% | -38% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | 17% | 41% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALKT Win Rate | � | 25% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | 36% | 55% | 58% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALKT Max Drawdown | � | � | -50% | -25% | -6% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -22% | -12% | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QTWO, FI, FIS, NCNO, VYX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALKT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 376.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, GLOO, KNRX
In The Past
Alkami Technology's stock fell -79.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -79.0% loss requires a 376.9% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Salesforce for banks and credit unions
- Shopify for digital banking
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Retail Digital Banking: Provides comprehensive online and mobile banking services for individual consumers.
- Business Digital Banking: Offers tailored online and mobile banking services designed for small to medium-sized businesses.
- Digital Account Opening: A solution that streamlines the process for consumers and businesses to open new accounts online.
- Data & Analytics: Tools that provide financial institutions with insights into customer behavior and platform performance.
- Security & Compliance: Integrated features and services ensuring robust data protection and adherence to regulatory standards.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Alkami Technology (ALKT) primarily sells its cloud-based digital banking platform and related services to other companies, specifically financial institutions. Therefore, it operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model, rather than serving individuals directly.
Alkami's customer base consists of various types of financial institutions, including:
- Community Banks
- Regional and Super-Regional Banks
- Credit Unions
According to Alkami's annual filings with the SEC (e.g., their 10-K), no single customer accounts for 10% or more of their total revenue. This indicates that while they serve numerous financial institutions, there isn't one "major customer" in the sense of a dominant revenue contributor.
However, Alkami's platform is utilized by a wide array of financial institutions. Examples of companies that have adopted Alkami's platform include:
- First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: FFIN)
- Cadence Bank (NYSE: CADE)
- UMB Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: UMBF)
- Idaho Central Credit Union (a large credit union, not publicly traded)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
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Alex Shootman, Chief Executive Officer
Alex Shootman has over 20 years of executive leadership experience in scaling enterprise software companies. He served as CEO of Workfront, where he more than doubled revenue over five years, leading to its $1.5 billion acquisition by Adobe in 2020. Prior to Workfront, he was President of Apptio and President of Eloqua, which he helped bring to a successful public offering before its acquisition by Oracle. Shootman has also held executive positions at Vignette, TeleTech, BMC Software, and IBM. He currently acts as an Operating Partner at Sumeru Equity Partners, advising portfolio companies.
Cassandra Hudson, Chief Financial Officer
Cassandra Hudson joined Alkami as CFO effective November 1, 2025, bringing over 20 years of finance leadership experience. Most recently, she was CFO of StackAdapt. Prior to that, she served as CFO at EngageSmart, where she guided the company through its 2021 IPO. Hudson also spent 12 years at Carbonite in various finance leadership roles, ultimately becoming Chief Accounting Officer and Vice President of Finance.
Stephen Bohanon, Founder, Chief Strategy & Product Officer
Stephen Bohanon co-founded Alkami Technology, Inc. in 2009. He oversees the company's product direction, strategy, and sales efforts. Bohanon has an extensive background in financial services, including roles at Catalyst Consulting, Metavante, ACI Worldwide, and Advanced Financial Solutions.
Deep Varma, Chief Technology Officer
Deep Varma joined Alkami in 2023 with over 20 years of Silicon Valley experience in building scalable and reliable distributed systems. He has deep expertise in artificial intelligence, big data, and leading engineering teams. Previously, Varma was CTO of Varo Bank and SVP of Engineering at Zillow, where he led engineering for Trulia. He has also held leadership roles at Yahoo!, ABB, and IBM.
Allison Cerra, Chief Marketing Officer
Allison Cerra joined Alkami in 2021 as Chief Marketing Officer. She is an award-winning marketing executive with over 20 years of experience leading marketing organizations for major technology companies. Before Alkami, Cerra led Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s global field marketing division, transforming it into a digital-first, data-centric organization. She has also held marketing leadership roles at McAfee, Alcatel-Lucent, Frontier Communications, and Verizon.
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Key Risks to Alkami Technology (ALKT)
- Regulatory and Legal Investigations: Alkami Technology is currently facing a regulatory investigation into possible securities law violations and a securities fraud investigation. This is considered a significant immediate risk that could impact trust and valuation in the short term, and potentially distract management.
- Cybersecurity and Data Privacy: A major breach in cybersecurity or data privacy could be catastrophic for Alkami, given that its platform handles sensitive financial data for a large number of financial institutions and millions of users. The company's reliance on third-party providers for its IT systems further accentuates this risk.
- Intense Competition and Concentration in Regional Banks: Alkami operates in a highly competitive digital banking solutions market, facing competition from megabanks, larger fintech companies, and legacy providers. Furthermore, its heavy reliance on regional and community banks exposes the company to risks associated with sector consolidation, macroeconomic slowdowns, or recessions that could affect these institutions, potentially leading to slower sales cycles and reduced revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Alkami Technology (ALKT) provides a cloud-based digital banking platform that includes solutions for retail and business banking, digital account opening, payment security, and data analytics and marketing. For their main products and services, the addressable market sizes are:- The digital banking platform market in the U.S. is expected to reach $20 billion by 2030.
- Globally, the total addressable market (TAM) for digital banking platforms is projected to be $100 billion by 2030.
- Alkami's addressable market in the U.S. includes over 250 million digital users, excluding megabanks.
- The broader worldwide IT spending in financial services is forecasted to reach $775 billion by 2028.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Alkami Technology (ALKT) over the next 2-3 years:- New Client Acquisition: Alkami Technology consistently highlights the acquisition of new financial institutions, including both banks and credit unions, as a primary driver of revenue growth. For example, in Q3 2025, Alkami added 10 new digital banking platform clients. The company also reported onboarding 13 new financial institutions in Q3 2025, including six banks, marking a record achievement. JPMorgan also pointed to Alkami completing a "record number of customers in the third quarter".
- Growth in Registered Users: The expansion of the user base on the Alkami platform directly contributes to revenue. In Q1 2025, Alkami exited the quarter with 20.5 million registered users, an increase of 2.3 million compared to the prior year quarter. By Q3 2025, registered users grew to 21.6 million, an 11% increase from the prior year. Alkami's "live user backlog of 1.7 million" is considered a key leading indicator for future organic Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth.
- Expansion of Products and Services (ARPU Expansion & Cross-selling): Increasing the average revenue per registered user (ARPU) through add-on sales and the adoption of additional products is a significant growth strategy. Revenue per registered user increased by 19% to $20.83 in Q3 2025, and 18% to $19.74 in Q1 2025 compared to the prior-year quarter. This reflects successful cross-selling efforts and greater adoption of additional products. Alkami's add-on sales represented just under 50% of new sales for the year as of Q3 2025.
- Strategic Acquisitions (e.g., MANTL): Acquisitions are expected to be accretive to Alkami's revenue growth. The MANTL acquisition, completed in Q1 2025, is projected to contribute approximately $31.4 million to Alkami's total revenue for the full year 2025, with an expected annual recurring revenue of approximately $60 million by year-end 2025. MANTL is also anticipated to be accretive to Alkami's overall revenue growth and gross margin expansion, and to Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.
- Migration of Financial Institutions from Legacy Systems: Alkami operates in a substantial addressable market, with over 70% of financial institutions still utilizing legacy software. This presents a significant opportunity for Alkami to drive revenue growth by migrating these institutions to its modern digital banking platform. The company is "better positioned with smaller institutions" in this large addressable market.
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Share Issuance
- Alkami Technology's initial public offering (IPO) was priced at $30.00 per share on April 15, 2021.
Inbound Investments
- General Atlantic, along with related entities, purchased shares of Alkami Technology totaling $29.69 million between August 11 and August 13, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Alkami acquired MANTL in Q1 2025, a key strategic development that expanded its product offerings and addressable market.
- The company has a proven ability to leverage acquisitions, citing ACH Alert and Segmint as examples.
Capital Expenditures
- Alkami Technology's capital expenditures were $2.15 million in 2020, $3.70 million in 2021, $4.45 million in 2022, $6.29 million in 2023, and $7.86 million in 2024.
- The company intends to invest to continue to enhance its product suite.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Select ideas related to ALKT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
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Peer Comparisons for Alkami Technology
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,711 |
| Op Inc LTM | 18 |
| FCF LTM | 107 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 75 |
| CFO LTM | 124 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 144 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $23.30 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/14/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -41.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $21.64 | $25.21 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 7.7% | -7.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 35.7% | 46.7% |
| Downside Capture | 68.00 | 157.96 |
| Upside Capture | 17.31 | 82.75 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 21.7% | 51.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.56 | 0.61 | 0.66 | 1.62 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Up Beta | 0.53 | 1.10 | 1.35 | 2.93 | 1.27 | 1.28 |
| Down Beta | 2.76 | 0.89 | 1.09 | 1.61 | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| Up Capture | -17% | -33% | -31% | 47% | 69% | 230% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 29 | 57 | 118 | 377 |
| Down Capture | 47% | 88% | 80% | 177% | 130% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 33 | 67 | 128 | 364 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullReturns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -7.7% | -13.2% | -7.9% |
| 7/30/2025 | -14.8% | -18.2% | -1.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 6.5% | -3.4% | -8.8% |
| 10/30/2024 | -4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | 3.5% | -2.1% | 2.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | -3.3% | -9.0% | -4.8% |
| 11/1/2023 | 10.2% | 21.5% | 29.7% |
| 8/2/2023 | 1.9% | -4.6% | 7.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -9.0% | -4.8% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 21.5% | 29.7% |
| Max Negative | -14.8% | -23.5% | -31.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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