NCR Voyix (VYX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.33 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: IT Consulting & Other Services
NCR Voyix (VYX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $10.33Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: IT Consulting & Other Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% | ||
| Key risksVYX key risks include [1] significant cybersecurity threats evidenced by a past ransomware attack, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Cloud Computing, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 60% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% |
| Key risksVYX key risks include [1] significant cybersecurity threats evidenced by a past ransomware attack, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VYX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The available information from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, primarily details NCR Voyix's (VYX) Q3 2025 earnings reported on November 6, 2025, and other business developments. The stock generally showed positive operational developments and, in some instances, a positive reaction to earnings. However, some reports indicate an overall stock decline since its spin-off and downward pressure following the Q3 earnings despite beating estimates. There is no clear indication of a specific -21.5% drop within this timeframe with associated explanations.
1. NCR Voyix reported strong Q3 2025 financial results on November 6, 2025, exceeding both earnings per share ($0.31 vs. $0.22 estimate) and revenue estimates ($684 million vs. $669.06 million estimate). This performance led to a positive pre-market reaction, with the stock initially surging by 5.86%.
2. Despite beating Q3 earnings estimates, NCR Voyix shares experienced downward pressure in pre-market trading, declining approximately 2.9% following the Q3 2025 earnings release. This market reaction suggests investors may have been focusing on the company's reduced full-year revenue guidance or other forward-looking concerns.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VYX Return | 7% | 7% | -42% | -28% | -18% | -27% | -71% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -25% | 29% | 45% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VYX Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 48% | 38% | 57% | 57% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VYX Max Drawdown | -66% | -12% | -54% | -37% | -35% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -45% | -12% | -16% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORCL, FI, TOST, FOUR, LSPD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VYX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -70.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 234.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 280 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 324.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,432 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GIB, XRX, BAO, GBH, JAJI
In The Past
NCR Voyix's stock fell -70.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -70.1% loss requires a 234.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| NCR Voyix Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can NCR Voyix Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Better Bet Than VYX Stock: Pay Less Than NCR Voyix To Get More From INOD | Actionable | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| NCR Voyix (VYX) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Better Bet Than NCR Voyix Stock: Pay Less To Get More From INOD | August 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VYX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -19.9% | -14.0% | -28.2% |
| 09302022 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 24.1% | 41.9% | -1.9% |
| 03312020 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 24.4% | 114.4% | -8.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.5% | 13.5% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| 10312023 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -19.9% | -14.0% | -28.2% |
| 09302022 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 24.1% | 41.9% | -1.9% |
| 03312020 | VYX | NCR Voyix | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 24.4% | 114.4% | -8.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NCR Voyix
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| Rev LTM | 4,868 |
| Op Inc LTM | 274 |
| FCF LTM | 145 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 273 |
| CFO LTM | 578 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 390 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.6 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 24.1 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -27.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2,177 | 2,182 | 2,231 | 2,080 | 2,217 |
| Restaurants | 886 | 857 | 849 | 684 | 843 |
| Other | 115 | 207 | |||
| Digital Banking | 547 | 513 | |||
| Corporate and Other | 297 | ||||
| Eliminations | -26 | ||||
| Other adjustment | 0 | ||||
| Payments & Network | 675 | ||||
| Self-Service Banking | 2,617 | ||||
| Banking | 3,098 | 3,512 | |||
| Telecommunications and technology (T&T) | 345 | 343 | |||
| Total | 3,178 | 3,793 | 7,156 | 6,207 | 6,915 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | -6.5% | -2.2% | -15.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | -5.5% | -4.1% | 0.4% |
| 5/8/2025 | 16.1% | 24.5% | 29.7% |
| 2/27/2025 | -1.8% | -9.2% | -10.8% |
| 11/7/2024 | -0.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| 8/6/2024 | -6.4% | -3.1% | 2.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | -3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 2/29/2024 | -21.5% | -16.7% | -15.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 15 | 13 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.5% | -5.0% | -11.9% |
| Max Positive | 16.2% | 24.5% | 29.9% |
| Max Negative | -23.2% | -16.7% | -51.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |