Alkermes (ALKS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $28.1 | Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Alkermes (ALKS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $28.1Market Cap: $4.6 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 9.9% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Key risksALKS key risks include [1] declining sales of its core products, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 9.9% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Key risksALKS key risks include [1] declining sales of its core products, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALKS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Alkermes (ALKS) experienced several developments between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, that may have contributed to a stock decline.
**1. Increased Operating Expenses.**
Alkermes reported increased research and development (R&D) expenses of $81.7 million in the third quarter of 2025, up from $59.9 million in the prior year. Additionally, selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses rose to $171.8 million from $150.4 million, driven by higher investments in clinical studies and expansion of the psychiatry field organization and promotional activities.
**2. Year-over-Year Profitability Compression.**
In the third quarter of 2025, Alkermes' GAAP Net Income from continuing operations decreased to $82.8 million, down from $92.8 million in the previous year. Diluted GAAP earnings per share also fell to $0.49 compared to $0.56 in the prior year, attributed to a decline in royalties and the aforementioned increase in R&D and SG&A expenses.
**3. Decline in Manufacturing and Royalty Revenues.**
Manufacturing and royalty revenues for Alkermes decreased year-over-year to $76.8 million in Q3 2025 from $105.1 million, primarily due to the expiration of U.S. INVEGA SUSTENNA royalties in August 2024.
**4. Avadel Acquisition Financing and Financial Flexibility.**
The proposed acquisition of Avadel Pharmaceuticals, while expected to be accretive, will be financed through a combination of cash and new bank debt. This financing strategy could potentially impact the company's financial flexibility in the near term.
**5. Recent Bearish Sentiment and Stock Performance.**
As of December 16, 2025, the overall sentiment for Alkermes' stock was bearish, with only 40% of the last 30 trading days showing gains. Furthermore, the stock price experienced a decline of 5.05% over the ten-day period ending December 17, 2025, including a fall of 0.0713% on December 17, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALKS Return | -2% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 4% | -2% | 48% |
| Peers Return | 85% | 5% | 110% | -4% | -30% | 44% | 297% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALKS Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 55% | 57% | 50% | 38% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALKS Max Drawdown | -36% | -9% | -6% | -10% | -17% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -31% | -27% | -33% | -43% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NBIX, ACAD, BTAI, INDV, JNJ. See ALKS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALKS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 562 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 268 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -74.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 289.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 204.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 952 days | 1480 days |
Compare to IONS, ELAN, TGTX, PRGO, LHI
In The Past
Alkermes's stock fell -33.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/28/2021. A -33.2% loss requires a 49.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALKS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Alkermes
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,348 |
| Op Inc LTM | 397 |
| FCF LTM | 331 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 212 |
| CFO LTM | 380 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 250 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 4.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.0 |
| P/E | 16.2 |
| P/CFO | 16.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing, manufacturing and commercializing medicines designed to address unmet | 1,663 | ||||
| License revenue | 2 | 4 | 1 | 146 | |
| Manufacturing and royalty revenues | 332 | 542 | 484 | 448 | |
| Product sales, net | 778 | 627 | 552 | 524 | |
| Research and development revenue | 0 | 1 | 2 | 53 | |
| Total | 1,663 | 1,112 | 1,174 | 1,039 | 1,171 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of developing, manufacturing and commercializing medicines designed to address unmet | 356 | ||||
| Total | 356 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | -1.1% | -1.4% | -8.8% |
| 7/29/2025 | 3.3% | 1.9% | 10.8% |
| 5/1/2025 | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% |
| 1/13/2025 | 1.0% | 5.0% | 13.8% |
| 10/24/2024 | -3.6% | -5.5% | -0.5% |
| 7/24/2024 | 6.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| 5/1/2024 | -2.2% | 0.2% | -5.4% |
| 2/15/2024 | 16.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.8% | -5.7% | -9.5% |
| Max Positive | 16.3% | 15.4% | 27.0% |
| Max Negative | -12.7% | -14.3% | -27.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4272022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |