ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $22.41 | Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $22.41Market Cap: $3.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x Key risksACAD key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on its two commercialized products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x |
| Key risksACAD key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on its two commercialized products, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Increased Operating Costs.
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals reported a significant miss for its first quarter 2026 earnings on May 6, 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.02, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 (or $0.05) by 54.23% (or 60%). Additionally, revenue of $268.06 million missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $280.92 million by 5%. This decline in profitability was further compounded by increased selling, general, and administrative expenses, which rose to $171 million in Q1 2026 from $126 million in Q1 2025.
2. Regulatory Setback for Trofinetide in Europe.
In early March 2026, Acadia Pharmaceuticals faced a notable regulatory setback when the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) issued a negative opinion for trofinetide, a treatment for Rett Syndrome. The committee expressed concerns regarding the "limited magnitude of the treatment effect and the study's inability to capture all core symptoms." This news introduced uncertainty regarding the drug's potential market expansion in Europe and negatively impacted investor sentiment for the company's pipeline.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.9% change in ACAD stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -37.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.13 | 22.40 | -10.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,047 | 1,095 | 4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.9% | 34.3% | 37.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.2 | 10.2 | -37.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 169 | 171 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ACAD | -10.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 54.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.9% | 57.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.3% change in ACAD stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.70 | 22.40 | -1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,019 | 1,095 | 7.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 21.8% | 34.3% | 57.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.1 | 10.2 | -40.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 168 | 171 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.3% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ACAD | -1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 43.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 0.3% | 54.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.4% change in ACAD stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.60 | 22.40 | 53.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 958 | 1,095 | 14.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.6% | 34.3% | 45.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.7 | 10.2 | -5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 167 | 171 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 53.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ACAD | 53.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 32.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 4.0% | 34.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.0% change in ACAD stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 111.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.33 | 22.40 | 5.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 517 | 1,095 | 111.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.7 | 3.5 | -47.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 162 | 171 | -5.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ACAD | 5.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 28.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.0% | 33.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACAD Return | -56% | -32% | 97% | -41% | 46% | -16% | -58% |
| Peers Return | -42% | 28% | -24% | -21% | 7% | 6% | -49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACAD Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 58% | 44% | 46% | 50% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACAD Max Drawdown | -70% | -44% | 0% | -54% | -23% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -42% | -45% | -38% | -41% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NBIX, AXSM, DNLI, BTAI. See ACAD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACAD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.5% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 335 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 105 days |
In The Past
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | ACAD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -46.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 335 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.8% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -38.0% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.4% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -56.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -26.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.5% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -38.2% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.8% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1493.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1501 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -28.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD):
- A focused biotech, like a specialized Biogen, for developing small molecule drugs for brain and nervous system disorders.
- Think of it as AbbVie's neuroscience division, but exclusively focused on discovering small molecule therapies for challenging brain conditions.
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- NUPLAZID (pimavanserin): A commercialized drug used for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis.
- Pimavanserin (pipeline): In phase 3 development for treating Alzheimer's disease psychosis and negative symptoms of schizophrenia.
- Trofinetide: A novel synthetic analog in phase 3 development for the treatment of Rett syndrome.
- ACP-044: A novel first-in-class non-opioid analgesic in phase 2 development for treating acute and chronic pain.
- ACP-319: A positive allosteric modulator of the muscarinic receptor in phase 1 development for treating schizophrenia and cognition in Alzheimer's.
AI Analysis | Feedback
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) primarily sells its pharmaceutical products to major pharmaceutical wholesalers and distributors. These companies then distribute the drugs to pharmacies, hospitals, and other healthcare providers, who in turn dispense them to individual patients.
The major customers for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals are typically large pharmaceutical wholesale distributors. Based on industry standards, these major distributors are likely to include:
- McKesson Corporation (MCK)
- Cencora (formerly AmerisourceBergen Corporation) (COR)
- Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH)
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- Lonza Group Ltd. (LONN)
- Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
- Catalent Pharma Solutions, LLC (CTLT)
- Bachem AG (BANB)
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Catherine Owen Adams, Chief Executive Officer
Ms. Owen Adams joined Acadia as Chief Executive Officer and a member of its Board of Directors in September 2024. She brings over 25 years of executive-level experience in the pharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Acadia, she served as Senior Vice President and General Manager, U.S., at Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS), where she oversaw a $20 billion commercial business across Oncology, Cardiovascular, and Immunology, managing over 3,000 employees and significant product launches. Before her tenure at BMS, Ms. Owen Adams spent 25 years at Johnson & Johnson (J&J), holding various leadership roles including President, Janssen Immunology U.S. She began her career in R&D and manufacturing at AstraZeneca. Ms. Owen Adams currently serves on the board of directors of Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a publicly held company, and AssistRx, a privately held company.
Mark Schneyer, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Schneyer was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, in December 2021, having joined Acadia in May 2020 as Senior Vice President of Business Development and Chief Business Officer. In his role as CFO, he manages strategic finance, investor relations, accounting, business development, and information technology. Prior to Acadia, Mr. Schneyer was Vice President, Business Development for the Upjohn division at Pfizer Inc., where he spent several years in worldwide business development, leading various strategic transactions including licensing, acquisitions, divestitures, and collaborations. Before Pfizer, he worked as an investment banker at Lazard, advising healthcare sector boards and senior management. He was instrumental in Acadia's acquisition of CerSci Therapeutics in late 2020, which added a Phase 2 pain program to the pipeline.
Thomas Garner, Chief Commercial Officer
Mr. Garner serves as Acadia Pharmaceuticals' Chief Commercial Officer.
Jennifer J. Rhodes, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
Ms. Rhodes joined Acadia in January 2024 as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary. Before Acadia, she held roles at Angion Biomedica Corp., including Executive Vice President, Chief Business Officer, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary. She also served as General Counsel, Corporate Secretary, Chief Compliance Officer, and Chief Business Officer at Adamas Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Earlier in her career, Ms. Rhodes was an attorney with Weil, Gotshal & Manges LLP.
Elizabeth H.Z. Thompson, Ph.D., Head of Research and Development
Dr. Thompson is the Head of Research and Development at Acadia Pharmaceuticals.
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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from its reliance on a limited number of commercialized products and the inherent challenges of drug development in the central nervous system (CNS) disorder space.
- Clinical Trial and Regulatory Risks for Pipeline Candidates: ACADIA's future growth is highly dependent on the successful development and regulatory approval of its pipeline products and the expansion of approved drug indications. The company has a history of clinical development setbacks, including the failure of pimavanserin in Phase 3 trials for negative symptoms of schizophrenia, leading to the discontinuation of further research for this indication. Additionally, pimavanserin faced rejections from the FDA for dementia-related psychosis and Alzheimer's disease psychosis. More recently, Trofinetide (DAYBUE), while approved in the U.S., received a negative opinion from the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) for Rett Syndrome in the European Union, hindering its international expansion prospects. These setbacks highlight the significant and ongoing risk associated with clinical trial outcomes and the stringent regulatory approval process, which can severely impact the company's growth strategy.
- Dependence on Commercial Performance of Key Products: The company's financial stability and future growth are heavily reliant on the commercial success and market acceptance of its two primary marketed products, NUPLAZID (pimavanserin) for Parkinson's disease psychosis and DAYBUE (trofinetide) for Rett syndrome. NUPLAZID, for example, previously accounted for a large portion of the company's sales. Any factors affecting the sales of these drugs, such as increased competition, pricing pressures, changes in payer coverage or patient access, or unforeseen safety concerns, could significantly impact ACADIA's revenue and profitability. NUPLAZID also carries a Boxed Warning regarding an increased risk of death in elderly patients with dementia-related psychosis and a risk of QT prolongation, which requires careful monitoring and prescribing.
- Intense Competition in the CNS Market: ACADIA operates in a highly competitive biopharmaceutical industry where many competitors possess greater resources, more experience in regulatory matters, and stronger pipelines. The CNS disorder market, including areas like Parkinson's disease psychosis, Rett syndrome, and other conditions ACADIA targets, faces competition from existing treatments (including off-label use of other drugs) and new therapies, such as emerging gene therapies. This intense competitive landscape poses a continuous threat to ACADIA's market share, pricing power, and ability to achieve sustained commercial success for its current and future products.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ACAD) develops and commercializes small molecule drugs for central nervous system disorders. The addressable markets for its main products and pipeline assets are as follows:NUPLAZID (pimavanserin) for Parkinson's Disease Psychosis (PDP)
The Parkinson's disease psychosis market across the seven major markets (7MM: United States, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, and Japan) was valued at approximately USD 526.1 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 694.3 million by 2035. The United States alone accounted for nearly USD 627 million of the Parkinson's disease psychosis treatment market in 2023.Pimavanserin and Remlifanserin for Alzheimer's Disease Psychosis (ADP)
The combined market for psychosis in Parkinson's and Alzheimer's disease across the seven major markets (7MM) was approximately USD 1.29 billion in 2023. The U.S. market for this combined indication dominated, generating around USD 868 million in revenue in 2023. An estimated 1 million patients in the U.S. alone suffer from Alzheimer's disease psychosis.Trofinetide (DAYBUE) for Rett Syndrome
The global Rett syndrome market size was valued at USD 380.91 million in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to USD 1090.73 million by 2033, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4% during the forecast period (2025–2033). North America is expected to lead this market. ACADIA Pharmaceuticals estimates there are approximately 6,000 to 9,000 diagnosed and treated Rett syndrome patients in the U.S.Pimavanserin for Negative Symptoms of Schizophrenia
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals does not plan to conduct further clinical trials for pimavanserin in treating negative symptoms of schizophrenia due to a failed Phase 3 study. However, the broader global schizophrenia drugs market was estimated at USD 8.18 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 11.19 billion by 2030. The United States held the largest schizophrenia market in 2024, valued at nearly USD 6 billion.AI Analysis | Feedback
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ACAD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and product advancements:
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Continued Growth of NUPLAZID (pimavanserin) for Parkinson's Disease Psychosis (PDP): ACADIA anticipates sustained growth for NUPLAZID, its treatment for hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis. The company reported strong performance in Q4 2025 and has provided 2026 guidance indicating 10% to 14% growth over 2025 adjusted net sales. ACADIA aims for NUPLAZID to achieve blockbuster status, reaching $1 billion in annual sales by 2028. This growth is supported by underlying volume increases and a significant 30% expansion of its customer-facing sales teams, which were fully deployed in early 2026. Furthermore, the company is expanding its target physician list from approximately 7,000 to 11,000. Favorable patent judgments are also expected to preserve NUPLAZID's market exclusivity, reducing the threat of generic competition.
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Increased Adoption and Expanded Reach of DAYBUE (trofinetide) for Rett Syndrome: DAYBUE, approved for Rett syndrome, is a significant growth driver for ACADIA. The company's Q4 2025 net sales for DAYBUE were strong, and its 2026 guidance projects 18% to 25% growth over 2025 sales. Key to this growth is the expansion into community physician settings within the U.S. and continued contributions from named patient supply programs outside the U.S. The launch of DAYBUE STIX, a new powder formulation, is expected to further broaden uptake and lead to an estimated 400 incremental patients by 2028. While there was a negative opinion from the European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) for trofinetide in the EU, ACADIA plans to seek reexamination, indicating ongoing efforts for international market expansion, although EU commercial sales are excluded from 2026 guidance.
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Advancement of Remlifanserin (ACP-204) for Alzheimer's Disease Psychosis (ADP) and Lewy Body Dementia Psychosis (LBDP): ACADIA's pipeline asset, remlifanserin (formerly ACP-204), represents a substantial future revenue opportunity. Top-line results from the Phase 2 RADIANT study of remlifanserin in Alzheimer's disease psychosis are anticipated between August and October 2026. Remlifanserin has a projected peak sales potential of approximately $4 billion across its targeted indications, which include both Alzheimer's disease psychosis and Lewy Body Dementia Psychosis. The company also initiated a Phase 2 study of ACP-204 for Lewy Body Dementia in the third quarter of 2025.
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Progress of ACP-101 for Prader-Willi Syndrome: The advancement of ACP-101, an investigational candidate for hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome (PWS), offers another potential revenue stream. Enrollment of the last patient in the Phase 3 COMPASS PWS study for ACP-101 is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025, with top-line results expected in the first half of 2026. A successful outcome and subsequent approval would significantly contribute to ACADIA's revenue diversification.
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Share Repurchases
- ACADIA Pharmaceuticals has not conducted any share repurchase programs over the last 3-5 years.
Share Issuance
- Common stock has been issued primarily through the exercise of stock options and units, totaling approximately $1.466 million in the three months ended March 31, 2023.
- The number of shares outstanding increased from 0.16 billion in 2021 to 0.168 billion in February 2026.
- The annual net issuance of stock was $25.777 million in 2023 and $6.845 million in 2024.
Inbound Investments
- No significant inbound investments by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, have been reported within the last 3-5 years.
- The company has maintained a balance sheet with no long-term debt over the past five years.
Outbound Investments
- ACADIA Pharmaceuticals acquired Levo Therapeutics in June 2022, adding ACP-101 for the treatment of hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome to its pipeline.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were approximately $1.12 million in 2021, $0.00 in 2022, $40.05 million in 2023, and $0.523 million in 2024.
- Expected capital expenditures are $4.69 million for 2025 and $6.85 million for 2026.
- Capital expenditures primarily support ongoing operations, including administering clinical trials, marketing products, and investing in technology and facility infrastructure, with manufacturing activities generally outsourced.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.40 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| Rev LTM | 708 |
| Op Inc LTM | -50 |
| FCF LTM | -58 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -95 |
| CFO LTM | -58 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -95 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 49.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 26.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 22.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 26.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -8.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -27.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.8 |
| P/S | 10.3 |
| P/Op Inc | -0.5 |
| P/EBIT | -0.5 |
| P/E | -0.4 |
| P/CFO | -0.5 |
| Total Yield | -1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -75.2% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA219884 | DAYBUE STIX | trofinetide | for solution | 12112025 | -20.3% | -16.0% | -16.0% | -16.0% | -16.0% |
| NDA217026 | DAYBUE | trofinetide | solution | 3102023 | 21.4% | 29.8% | 15.1% | -13.8% | 10.0% |
| NDA210793 | NUPLAZID | pimavanserin tartrate | capsule | 6282018 | 44.7% | 2.5% | 77.4% | 218.0% | 48.6% |
| NDA207318 | NUPLAZID | pimavanserin tartrate | tablet | 4292016 | 14.7% | -30.1% | 6.3% | -49.6% | -30.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $22.40 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/27/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -20.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $21.95 | $23.74 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | 2.0% | -5.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.8% | 45.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Upside Capture | 104.88 | 138.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.8% | 31.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.52 | 1.20 | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | 1.93 | 2.36 | 1.67 | 1.16 | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Down Beta | -2.77 | 0.97 | 1.31 | 0.57 | 0.68 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | 85% | 96% | 114% | 141% | 205% | 93% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 19 | 28 | 58 | 122 | 352 |
| Down Capture | 448% | 185% | 177% | 138% | 132% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 24 | 36 | 67 | 127 | 392 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ACAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACAD | 54.1% | 47.5% | 1.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.9% | 15.4% | 0.30 | 33.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -14.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 22.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.9% | 42.1% | -0.35 | 15.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ACAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACAD | 11.0% | 53.6% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 4.9% | 14.6% | 0.16 | 33.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 33.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 2.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 30.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 11.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ACAD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACAD | 0.6% | 61.4% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.46 | 32.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 31.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 8.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 22.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 5.0% | ||
| 2/25/2026 | -1.3% | -6.3% | -14.0% |
| 11/5/2025 | -3.0% | 8.1% | 19.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | 14.3% | 15.9% | 48.4% |
| 2/26/2025 | 1.8% | -4.8% | -9.5% |
| 11/6/2024 | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| 8/6/2024 | -19.5% | -16.6% | -14.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 6 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.2% | -5.5% | -10.9% |
| Max Positive | 14.3% | 15.9% | 48.4% |
| Max Negative | -19.5% | -16.6% | -46.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue | 1.22 Bil | 1.25 Bil | 1.28 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.25 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 NUPLAZID net product sales | 760.00 Mil | 775.00 Mil | 790.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 775.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 DAYBUE net product sales | 460.00 Mil | 475.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 475.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 R&D expense | 385.00 Mil | 397.50 Mil | 410.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 397.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 SG&A expense | 660.00 Mil | 680.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 680.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenues | 1.22 Bil | 1.25 Bil | 1.28 Bil | 15.5% | Raised | Guidance: 1.08 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 NUPLAZID net product sales | 760.00 Mil | 775.00 Mil | 790.00 Mil | 12.3% | Raised | Guidance: 690.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 DAYBUE net product sales | 460.00 Mil | 475.00 Mil | 490.00 Mil | 21.0% | Raised | Guidance: 392.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 R&D expense | 385.00 Mil | 397.50 Mil | 410.00 Mil | 16.9% | Raised | Guidance: 340.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 SG&A expense | 660.00 Mil | 680.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | 24.2% | Raised | Guidance: 547.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schneyer, Mark C | EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5052026 | 21.79 | 3,506 | 76,396 | 1,441,300 | Form |
| 2 | Kihara, James | PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5052026 | 21.79 | 1,332 | 29,024 | 634,721 | Form |
| 3 | Schneyer, Mark C | EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 4072026 | 22.20 | 2,709 | 60,140 | 1,394,959 | Form |
| 4 | Kihara, James | PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 4072026 | 22.20 | 1,030 | 22,866 | 618,603 | Form |
| 5 | Kihara, James | PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 21.65 | 1,109 | 24,011 | 582,082 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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