Tearsheet

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $26.87 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $26.87
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Key risks
ACAD key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on its two commercialized products, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.9%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
8 Key risks
ACAD key risks include [1] its heavy financial dependence on its two commercialized products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACAD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. FDA Approval of DAYBUE STIX for Rett Syndrome**

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals received U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for DAYBUE STIX (trofinetide) for oral solution on December 12, 2025. This new powder formulation of trofinetide, designed for patients with Rett syndrome aged two years and older, offers increased flexibility in administration regarding dose volume and taste, which is anticipated to improve patient retention and growth. **2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results**

On November 5, 2025, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42, considerably higher than the consensus estimate of $0.15. Quarterly revenue also rose by 11.3% year-over-year to $278.63 million, surpassing analyst estimates. **3. Multiple Analyst Price Target Upgrades**

Following positive developments, several financial analysts increased their price targets for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals. Notably, HC Wainwright & Co. raised its price target from $32.00 to $37.00 on December 15, 2025, while maintaining a 'Buy' rating. Mizuho also increased its price target from $24.00 to $29.00 on December 2, 2025, and TD Cowen upped its target from $35.00 to $39.00 on September 11, 2025. **4. Positive Analyst Consensus and "Outperform" Rating**

The company maintained a favorable outlook from analysts, with a consensus recommendation of "Outperform" from 20 brokerage firms. The average brokerage recommendation was 2.3 on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is a "Strong Buy". MarketBeat also indicated a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for the stock. **5. Perceived Undervaluation of Stock**

Despite its recent performance, analysis from early November 2025 suggested that ACADIA Pharmaceuticals was potentially undervalued. A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis estimated an intrinsic value of $139.87 per share, indicating the stock might be trading significantly below its forecasted long-term value. Additionally, InvestingPro analysis indicated the stock was undervalued with a PEG ratio of 0.18.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACAD Return25%-56%-32%97%-41%46%-37%
Peers Return141%-42%28%-24%-21%-1%8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACAD Win Rate50%50%33%67%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%46%58%44%46%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACAD Max Drawdown-26%-70%-44%0%-54%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-50%-42%-45%-38%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NBIX, AXSM, DNLI, BTAI. See ACAD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACADS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven322.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven205.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven389 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-95.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2080.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1558 days1480 days

Compare to ACT, ARWR, ALKS, OGN, LHI


In The Past

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -76.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -76.3% loss requires a 322.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)

Better Bets than ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACAD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ACADIA Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACADNBIXAXSMDNLIBTAIMedian
NameACADIA P.Neurocri.Axsome T.Denali T.BioXcel . 
Mkt Price26.94141.79148.0416.811.8026.94
Mkt Cap4.514.17.42.90.04.5
Rev LTM1,0472,68356101561
Op Inc LTM94554-195-548-50-50
FCF LTM99593-101-412-58-58
FCF 3Y Avg70473-126-378-103-103
CFO LTM199637-101-398-58-58
CFO 3Y Avg103508-125-364-103-103

Growth & Margins

ACADNBIXAXSMDNLIBTAIMedian
NameACADIA P.Neurocri.Axsome T.Denali T.BioXcel . 
Rev Chg LTM12.7%19.6%65.8%--67.0%16.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg27.8%24.6%296.0%-274.3%151.0%
Rev Chg Q11.3%27.8%63.2%--54.2%19.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.8%6.9%13.4%--13.4%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%20.6%-34.7%--6,708.2%-12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.1%22.1%-63.2%--8,707.9%-32.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.8%7.3%--930.4%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM19.0%23.7%-18.0%--7,741.2%0.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%22.6%-40.3%--8,288.0%-15.8%
FCF/Rev LTM9.5%22.1%-18.1%--7,741.2%-4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%21.1%-40.4%--8,288.0%-17.5%

Valuation

ACADNBIXAXSMDNLIBTAIMedian
NameACADIA P.Neurocri.Axsome T.Denali T.BioXcel . 
Mkt Cap4.514.17.42.90.04.5
P/S3.45.210.8-34.08.0
P/EBIT38.223.9-27.3-4.6-0.5-0.5
P/E13.832.6-26.5-5.0-0.4-0.4
P/CFO18.121.9-60.2-6.3-0.4-0.4
Total Yield7.2%3.1%-3.8%-19.9%-266.9%-3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%3.8%-3.0%-12.1%-2,989.1%-3.0%
D/E0.00.00.00.04.30.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-0.0-0.32.9-0.0

Returns

ACADNBIXAXSMDNLIBTAIMedian
NameACADIA P.Neurocri.Axsome T.Denali T.BioXcel . 
1M Rtn12.2%-1.2%1.7%-3.2%-1.6%-1.2%
3M Rtn11.3%-0.7%26.9%28.7%-37.9%11.3%
6M Rtn17.4%11.4%43.9%19.3%4.0%17.4%
12M Rtn54.7%3.7%58.3%-27.6%-71.2%3.7%
3Y Rtn75.0%21.0%88.8%-41.4%-99.4%21.0%
1M Excs Rtn11.5%-2.0%1.0%-4.0%-2.4%-2.0%
3M Excs Rtn7.5%-4.0%23.4%26.2%-41.5%7.5%
6M Excs Rtn5.0%-1.0%31.5%6.9%-8.3%5.0%
12M Excs Rtn45.0%0.8%53.2%-37.9%-83.8%0.8%
3Y Excs Rtn5.2%-49.8%18.1%-112.0%-167.8%-49.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
NUPLAZID549517   
DAYBUE1770   
Product sales, net  484442339
Total726517484442339


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,911,463
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.7%
Average Daily Volume1,336,272
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.67
Basic Shares Quantity168,836,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-3.0%8.1%19.8%
8/6/20252.5%5.6%6.1%
5/7/202514.3%15.9%48.4%
2/26/20251.8%-4.8%-9.5%
11/6/20248.9%11.4%9.4%
8/6/2024-19.5%-16.6%-14.0%
5/8/2024-11.2%-11.7%-13.1%
2/27/2024-9.9%-9.7%-31.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1068
# Negative121614
Median Positive3.7%9.7%10.8%
Median Negative-5.1%-4.6%-10.0%
Max Positive14.3%15.9%48.4%
Max Negative-19.5%-16.6%-46.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Daly James M11122025Sell22.3730,000670,98390,381Form