Tearsheet

Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $54.65 | Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)


Market Price (12/10/2025): $54.65
Market Cap: $4.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


Our Take: Akero Therapeutics’ acquisition by Novo Nordisk for $5.2 billion, bolstered by FDA approval of EFX for MASH in June 2025, de-risks the investment, despite significant competition from established players and past share dilution.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -48%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Acquisition by Novo Nordisk
Finalized for $5.2 billion in Oct 2025, offering a clear exit valuation.
Significant Share Dilution
Outstanding shares increased from 34.88M (2021) to 81.72M (2025).
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -330 Mil
2 FDA Approval for EFX
Landmark approval in June 2025 for MASH reinforces drug potential.
High Max Drawdown
Stock experienced -79% max drawdown in 2023, indicating substantial risk.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
3 Positive Phase 2b results
EFX showed 39% fibrosis improvement in SYMMETRY study, Week 96.
Opportunity cost vs. peers
3Y return of 27.2% significantly trails peer median of 178.6%.
High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 112%
4 Large Addressable Market
Global MASH market projected to reach $314 billion by 2033.
  Competitor First-Mover
Madrigal's Resmetirom received FDA approval in March 2024 for MASH.

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Valuation, Metrics & Events

AKRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Akero Therapeutics' (AKRO) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 10, 2025:

1. Acquisition Agreement with Novo Nordisk Announced. On October 9, 2025, Akero Therapeutics announced it would be acquired by Novo Nordisk A/S for an aggregate value of up to $5.2 billion. The terms of the merger included $54.00 per share in cash and a non-transferable Contingent Value Right (CVR) for an additional $6.00 per share upon US regulatory approval of Akero’s lead candidate, efruxifermin (EFX), for the treatment of compensated cirrhosis due to MASH. This announcement provided a clear valuation for the stock and was a significant catalyst for its movement.

2. Completion of Novo Nordisk Acquisition and Delisting. The acquisition by Novo Nordisk was completed on December 9, 2025, making Akero Therapeutics a wholly-owned subsidiary. As a result, Akero's common stock was suspended from trading on Nasdaq on December 10, 2025, solidifying the acquisition price for shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AKRO Return16%-18%159%-57%19%96%146%
Peers Return104%1%92%21%26%23%647%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AKRO Win Rate33%33%67%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate35%35%42%41%48%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AKRO Max Drawdown-42%-28%-62%-79%-24%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-16%-32%-35%-28%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDGL, VKTX, LLY, ALT, SGMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAKROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven399.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven467 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Akero Therapeutics's stock fell -80.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/13/2023. A -80.0% loss requires a 399.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)

Better Bets than Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AKRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%10.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.1%-9.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.8%-0.8%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%13.9%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
20.0%20.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Akero Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AKROMDGLVKTXLLYALTSGMTMedian
NameAkero Th.Madrigal.Viking T.Eli LillyAltimmuneSagimet . 
Mkt Price54.65553.9237.28982.225.526.2845.97
Mkt Cap4.512.54.2881.90.50.24.3
Rev LTM0741053,258000
Op Inc LTM-330-307-27522,882-90-64-183
FCF LTM-250-161-225-50-66-45-114
FCF 3Y Avg-195-301-122-156-74-36-139
CFO LTM-250-161-22510,938-66-45-113
CFO 3Y Avg-195-298-1227,230-74-36-98

Growth & Margins

AKROMDGLVKTXLLYALTSGMTMedian
NameAkero Th.Madrigal.Viking T.Eli LillyAltimmuneSagimet . 
Rev Chg LTM-864.2%-36.8%-61.5%-36.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg---23.4%-78.2%--27.4%
Rev Chg Q-362.0%-37.6%0.0%-37.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-43.7%-8.7%0.0%-8.7%
Op Mgn LTM--41.5%-43.0%-452,310.0%--41.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---35.6%-224,761.6%--112,363.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-18.6%-1.8%19,540.0%-18.6%
CFO/Rev LTM--21.7%-20.5%-331,760.0%--21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---17.8%-169,810.7%--84,896.5%
FCF/Rev LTM--21.7%--0.1%-331,760.0%--21.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---0.5%-169,821.4%--84,910.4%

Valuation

AKROMDGLVKTXLLYALTSGMTMedian
NameAkero Th.Madrigal.Viking T.Eli LillyAltimmuneSagimet . 
Mkt Cap4.512.54.2881.90.50.24.3
P/S-13.9-12.916,855.3-13.9
P/EBIT-13.5-38.0-10.738.6-4.0--10.7
P/E-13.3-35.7-12.449.6-4.0-3.9-8.2
P/CFO-15.6-64.2-13.162.6-5.1-5.0-9.1
Total Yield-7.5%-2.8%-8.0%2.7%-24.9%-25.9%-7.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.1%-7.4%-4.9%0.1%-30.9%--7.1%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.1-0.20.1-0.6--0.2

Returns

AKROMDGLVKTXLLYALTSGMTMedian
NameAkero Th.Madrigal.Viking T.Eli LillyAltimmuneSagimet . 
1M Rtn1.1%13.2%1.4%6.3%34.3%-16.5%3.8%
3M Rtn22.5%23.4%47.5%31.0%46.0%-8.9%27.2%
6M Rtn0.2%96.2%27.9%22.1%-18.1%5.7%13.9%
12M Rtn75.6%73.9%-26.0%23.1%-42.7%24.4%23.7%
3Y Rtn27.2%727.9%913.0%178.6%-45.3%-178.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%11.6%-0.3%4.6%32.6%-18.1%2.2%
3M Excs Rtn21.6%24.1%39.4%25.6%45.7%-16.6%24.8%
6M Excs Rtn-13.0%82.9%14.7%8.9%-31.4%-7.6%0.7%
12M Excs Rtn71.4%64.3%-37.9%7.3%-52.2%22.2%14.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.8%523.0%707.1%100.4%-119.1%-100.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of efruxifermin (EFX) for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated580357196273138
Total580357196273138


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,201,550
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume1,061,305
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.96
Basic Shares Quantity82,008,267
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/8/20250.0%-0.7%-11.7%
5/12/20254.2%-2.5%36.8%
1/27/202597.5%106.6%81.3%
11/8/2024-1.2%-14.7%-10.8%
8/9/2024-0.8%-2.4%5.5%
5/10/2024-5.5%-0.3%10.5%
2/29/2024-0.9%10.2%-7.2%
11/13/20230.3%10.3%39.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111110
# Negative111112
Median Positive1.2%4.8%17.2%
Median Negative-3.7%-3.4%-11.2%
Max Positive97.5%106.6%81.3%
Max Negative-31.4%-20.7%-27.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022317202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021