Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)
Market Price (12/10/2025): $54.65 | Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Akero Therapeutics (AKRO)
Market Price (12/10/2025): $54.65Market Cap: $4.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -48% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Acquisition by Novo Nordisk Finalized for $5.2 billion in Oct 2025, offering a clear exit valuation. | Significant Share Dilution Outstanding shares increased from 34.88M (2021) to 81.72M (2025). | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -330 Mil |
| FDA Approval for EFX Landmark approval in June 2025 for MASH reinforces drug potential. | High Max Drawdown Stock experienced -79% max drawdown in 2023, indicating substantial risk. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Positive Phase 2b results EFX showed 39% fibrosis improvement in SYMMETRY study, Week 96. | Opportunity cost vs. peers 3Y return of 27.2% significantly trails peer median of 178.6%. | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 112% |
| Large Addressable Market Global MASH market projected to reach $314 billion by 2033. | Competitor First-Mover Madrigal's Resmetirom received FDA approval in March 2024 for MASH. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AKRO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Akero Therapeutics' (AKRO) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 10, 2025:
1. Acquisition Agreement with Novo Nordisk Announced.
On October 9, 2025, Akero Therapeutics announced it would be acquired by Novo Nordisk A/S for an aggregate value of up to $5.2 billion. The terms of the merger included $54.00 per share in cash and a non-transferable Contingent Value Right (CVR) for an additional $6.00 per share upon US regulatory approval of Akero’s lead candidate, efruxifermin (EFX), for the treatment of compensated cirrhosis due to MASH. This announcement provided a clear valuation for the stock and was a significant catalyst for its movement.
2. Completion of Novo Nordisk Acquisition and Delisting.
The acquisition by Novo Nordisk was completed on December 9, 2025, making Akero Therapeutics a wholly-owned subsidiary. As a result, Akero's common stock was suspended from trading on Nasdaq on December 10, 2025, solidifying the acquisition price for shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AKRO Return | 16% | -18% | 159% | -57% | 19% | 96% | 146% |
| Peers Return | 104% | 1% | 92% | 21% | 26% | 23% | 647% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AKRO Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 35% | 42% | 41% | 48% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AKRO Max Drawdown | -42% | -28% | -62% | -79% | -24% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -16% | -32% | -35% | -28% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDGL, VKTX, LLY, ALT, SGMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/9/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AKRO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -80.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 399.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 467 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 148 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Akero Therapeutics's stock fell -80.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/13/2023. A -80.0% loss requires a 399.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AKRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 10.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.1% | -9.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.8% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.0% | 20.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.8% | 10.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.1% | -9.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.8% | -0.8% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 20.0% | 20.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Akero Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -183 |
| FCF LTM | -114 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -139 |
| CFO LTM | -113 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -98 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 36.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -27.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 37.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -41.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -112,363.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 18.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -21.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -84,896.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -21.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -84,910.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 13.9 |
| P/EBIT | -10.7 |
| P/E | -8.2 |
| P/CFO | -9.1 |
| Total Yield | -7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 27.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 178.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 24.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 14.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 100.4% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/8/2025 | 0.0% | -0.7% | -11.7% |
| 5/12/2025 | 4.2% | -2.5% | 36.8% |
| 1/27/2025 | 97.5% | 106.6% | 81.3% |
| 11/8/2024 | -1.2% | -14.7% | -10.8% |
| 8/9/2024 | -0.8% | -2.4% | 5.5% |
| 5/10/2024 | -5.5% | -0.3% | 10.5% |
| 2/29/2024 | -0.9% | 10.2% | -7.2% |
| 11/13/2023 | 0.3% | 10.3% | 39.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 1.2% | 4.8% | 17.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| Max Positive | 97.5% | 106.6% | 81.3% |
| Max Negative | -31.4% | -20.7% | -27.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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