Tearsheet

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $518.8 | Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $518.8
Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 432%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.0%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.69, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -300 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5%

Key risks
MDGL key risks include [1] its singular dependence on its MASH drug, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 432%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.0%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.69, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -300 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -31%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5%
9 Key risks
MDGL key risks include [1] its singular dependence on its MASH drug, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported a significant miss in its Q4 2025 earnings, leading to negative earnings per share (EPS) revisions. The company announced Q4 2025 EPS of -$2.57 on February 19, 2026, substantially missing the consensus analyst estimate of $0.04 by $2.61. This represented a miss exceeding analyst expectations by 394.23%. Following this, the consensus EPS estimate for the next quarter was revised 52.8% lower over 30 days leading up to March 27, 2026. Analysts are now predicting an annual EPS of -$23.47 for the current year.

2. The stock experienced substantial insider selling activity exceeding $5 million. Over the three months leading to March 26, 2026, insiders collectively sold approximately 55,612 shares, totaling around $28.3 million. A notable transaction was by insider Carole Huntsman, who sold shares valued at approximately $5,482,182.48 on March 6, 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.9% change in MDGL stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)582.34518.58-10.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)74195829.4%
P/S Multiple17.712.4-29.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2223-2.0%
Cumulative Contribution-10.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL-10.9% 
Market (SPY)5.2%7.6%
Sector (XLV)-7.3%7.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.1% change in MDGL stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 85.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020254292026Change
Stock Price ($)458.66518.5813.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)51695885.9%
P/S Multiple19.812.4-37.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2223-3.2%
Cumulative Contribution13.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL13.1% 
Market (SPY)8.0%11.3%
Sector (XLV)3.5%16.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 56.6% change in MDGL stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 432.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)331.23518.5856.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)180958432.1%
P/S Multiple40.312.4-69.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2223-4.4%
Cumulative Contribution56.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL56.6% 
Market (SPY)29.3%24.4%
Sector (XLV)-0.4%29.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 114.1% change in MDGL stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234292026Change
Stock Price ($)242.26518.58114.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)09589.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple12.4 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1723-24.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL114.1% 
Market (SPY)81.5%20.7%
Sector (XLV)16.0%19.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MDGL Return-24%243%-20%33%89%-11%365%
Peers Return-17%57%20%40%218%10%668%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%90%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDGL Win Rate42%50%25%58%58%25% 
Peers Win Rate39%44%44%53%53%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDGL Max Drawdown-35%-34%-59%-26%-13%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-51%-31%-19%-39%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GILD, VKTX, TERN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDGLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven159.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-73.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven272.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,845 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven708.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,425 days1,480 days

Compare to GILD, VKTX, TERN

In The Past

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -61.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2023. A -61.4% loss requires a 159.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutic candidates for the treatment of cardiovascular, metabolic, and liver diseases. Its lead product candidate is resmetirom, a liver-directed selective thyroid hormone receptor-ß agonist, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. The company also develops MGL-3745, a backup compound to resmetirom. It has research, development, and commercialization agreement with Hoffmann-La Roche. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is headquartered in West Conshohocken, Pennsylvania.

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Like Moderna before its COVID vaccine, but focused on developing a breakthrough drug for liver disease.

Like an early-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals (known for specialized drugs), but focused on treatments for liver disease.

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  • Resmetirom: A liver-directed selective thyroid hormone receptor-ß agonist in Phase III clinical trials for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).
  • MGL-3745: A backup compound to resmetirom.

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Bill Sibold, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Mr. Sibold has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals since September 2023, bringing over 30 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Madrigal, he was the Executive Vice President, Specialty Care of Sanofi and President, Sanofi North America from 2017 to September 2023, where he led a global organization of approximately 10,000 employees and was a member of the Sanofi Executive Committee. During his tenure at Sanofi, Specialty Care achieved sustained double-digit growth, and he was instrumental in the launch of Dupixent. His previous leadership roles include Chief Commercial Officer of Avanir Pharmaceuticals, President and CEO of Lycera Corp., and Senior Vice President, U.S. Commercial for Biogen.

Mardi C. Dier, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Dier was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals on March 11, 2024. She possesses over 20 years of experience in executive financial leadership within the biopharmaceutical industry, with extensive expertise in operational and strategic decision-making, capital raising, financial planning and accounting, global supply chain management, investor relations, and business development. Before joining Madrigal, Ms. Dier served as Chief Financial Officer at Portola Pharmaceuticals, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc., and Acelyrin, Inc.

Rebecca Taub, M.D., Founder and Director; Senior Scientific and Medical Advisor

Dr. Taub co-founded Madrigal Pharmaceuticals in 2011 with a vision to address unmet medical needs for patients with serious liver and cardiometabolic diseases. She transitioned to Senior Scientific and Medical Advisor effective April 21, 2025, and continues to serve on Madrigal's Board of Directors. Previously, Dr. Taub served as the company's President, Research & Development from June 2019 and Chief Medical Officer from July 2016. She also held the role of Chief Executive Officer of privately-held Madrigal Pharmaceuticals from its inception in September 2011 until July 2016. Her background includes roles as Senior Vice President, Research and Development of VIA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (2008-2011) and Vice President, Research, Metabolic Diseases at F. Hoffmann-La Roche (2004-2008). Dr. Taub was also a tenured Professor of Genetics and Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania. Under her leadership, Madrigal achieved the development of Rezdiffra™ (resmetirom), the first FDA-approved medicine for MASH.

Mark Barrett, Executive Vice President, Chief Business Officer

Mr. Barrett joined Madrigal Pharmaceuticals in January 2024, bringing more than 25 years of executive leadership and biopharmaceutical industry experience. He has a proven track record of successfully completing a wide range of partnerships and acquisitions to build commercial portfolios and R&D pipelines. Prior to Madrigal, he was a Co-founder, CEO, and Director of Lassen Therapeutics, a biotechnology company focused on novel antibody therapeutics. Mr. Barrett also served as an Entrepreneur in Residence at Frazier Healthcare Partners, where he focused on establishing and financing new biotech companies.

Neil Archer, Executive Vice President, International

Mr. Archer serves as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' Executive Vice President, International. Specific background details for Mr. Archer were not available in the provided search results.

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Key Risks to Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)

  1. Heavy Dependence on a Single Product: Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' business is substantially dependent on the successful commercialization and continued success of its lead product, Rezdiffra (resmetirom), which currently represents the overwhelming majority of its revenue. This creates a significant "single point of failure risk" where any material adverse event impacting Rezdiffra, such as manufacturing or supply chain disruptions, the emergence of superior competitive products, unforeseen regulatory actions, or unexpected post-launch side effects, could severely undermine the company's financial performance and future prospects.
  2. Intense Competitive Pressures in the MASH Market: The market for Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH), formerly known as NASH, is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals faces substantial competition from other pharmaceutical companies, including large players like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, who are developing or have approved GLP-1 agonists with potential applications in MASH. These competitors could introduce alternative or superior treatments, leading to intense pricing pressure, erosion of market share, and lower-than-expected peak sales for Rezdiffra.
  3. Uncertainties in Market Acceptance and Commercialization Challenges: Despite Rezdiffra receiving accelerated approval, there are inherent uncertainties regarding its broad market acceptance by physicians, patients, and third-party payers. Challenges in achieving anticipated market penetration, accurately estimating the potential market size, and securing adequate reimbursement and support from the medical community could limit Rezdiffra's commercial success. These factors pose significant commercialization risks that could hinder revenue growth and profitability.

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The widespread adoption and demonstrated efficacy of GLP-1 receptor agonists (e.g., semaglutide) and multi-agonists (e.g., tirzepatide, retatrutide) for obesity and diabetes. These medications, while not primarily approved for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), have shown significant benefits in weight loss and metabolic improvements, which directly impact NASH pathology. Their increasing use and potential to improve or even resolve NASH as a secondary effect could fundamentally alter the treatment paradigm for NASH, potentially reducing the addressable market or the perceived need for dedicated NASH-specific therapies like Madrigal's resmetirom.

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' primary product, resmetirom (marketed as Rezdiffra), targets the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), now often referred to as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), specifically for adults with noncirrhotic MASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis (consistent with stages F2 to F3 fibrosis).

The addressable market for NASH/MASH treatments is substantial and rapidly growing:

  • Global Market: The global NASH treatment market was valued at approximately USD 2.114 billion in 2023. It is projected to grow significantly, with various estimates pointing to a market size of USD 31.76 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.7% from 2025 to 2033. Other projections suggest the global market could reach USD 55.52 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 28.05% from 2025 to 2032. Some analyses even indicate a potential global market worth up to USD 108.4 billion by 2030.
  • U.S. Market: The United States represented the largest share of the NASH market among the 7 major markets (7MM), valued at approximately USD 1.519 billion in 2023. The U.S. non-alcoholic steatohepatitis treatment market was valued at USD 4.56 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 32.55 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 27.88%. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is focused on approximately 315,000 patients in the U.S. with moderate to advanced fibrosis (F2-F3) who are under the care of liver specialists. For patients with compensated MASH cirrhosis (stage F4c), the estimated market opportunity in the U.S. includes approximately 245,000 diagnosed patients under the care of a liver specialist. The approved drug segment, which primarily includes Rezdiffra as the first approved therapy, reached USD 178.31 million in 2024 and is expected to surge to USD 16.82 billion by 2033. The U.S. NASH market alone could be worth USD 15 billion by 2027.

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MDGL) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven primarily by the continued commercial success and expansion of its lead product, Rezdiffra (resmetirom), the first and only FDA-approved therapy for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis.

Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Continued U.S. Market Penetration and Patient Adoption for Rezdiffra: Since its FDA approval in March 2024, Rezdiffra has demonstrated exceptional launch performance and strong demand in the U.S. market. By the end of Q4 2025, over 36,250 patients were on Rezdiffra therapy. Madrigal anticipates steadily increasing patient numbers and expanding its market presence, with broad first-line insurance access and no step-edit requirements secured for 2026, positioning Rezdiffra as a foundational therapy for F2 to F3 MASH. The U.S. market remains the primary growth engine for the company.
  2. International Expansion with Rezdiffra Launch in Europe: Madrigal is awaiting regulatory approval for Rezdiffra from the European Medicines Agency (EMA), with a decision anticipated by mid-2025. Following approval, the company plans a country-by-country launch in Europe, commencing with Germany in the second half of 2025. The European market for MASH patients with F2/F3 fibrosis is estimated to be larger than in the U.S., presenting a substantial opportunity for revenue growth over the next 2-3 years as the product gains traction across the continent.
  3. Potential Label Expansion for Rezdiffra in Compensated MASH Cirrhosis (F4c): Madrigal is actively pursuing an expanded indication for Rezdiffra to treat patients with compensated MASH cirrhosis. Positive two-year data from the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial in this population suggest Rezdiffra's potential to become the first approved treatment for this advanced stage of MASH. The results from the pivotal MAESTRO-NASH OUTCOMES trial, expected in 2027, could lead to a label expansion, significantly broadening the addressable patient population and establishing Rezdiffra as one of the few MASH drugs with hepatic outcomes data.
  4. Development and Launch of Rezdiffra-Based Combination Therapies: Madrigal is strategically expanding its pipeline through in-licensing deals for additional MASH therapeutics, including an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist (MGL-2086) and a Phase 2 oral DGAT-2 inhibitor (ervogastat). The company's focus is on developing combination therapies, anchored by Rezdiffra, to address diverse patient subtypes and genetic drivers of MASH. The oral GLP-1 combination program is slated to begin in the first half of 2026, offering potential for new revenue streams through enhanced treatment options.
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Share Issuance

  • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' shares outstanding increased by 5.46% in 2025, 13.83% in 2024, and 9.05% in 2023, reflecting ongoing share issuances.
  • The company registered 300,000 shares of common stock for issuance under its 2025 Inducement Stock Plan to grant equity awards to new hires.
  • Equity awards, including options and restricted stock units, were granted to new non-executive employees in March 2026 and to the new Chief Accounting Officer in January 2026 under the 2025 Inducement Plan.

Inbound Investments

  • In July 2025, Madrigal entered into a senior secured credit facility with funds managed by Blue Owl Capital, providing access to up to $500 million. An initial term loan of $350 million was funded at closing, with a portion used to repay a prior loan facility.

Outbound Investments

  • On July 30, 2025, Madrigal signed an exclusive global license agreement with CSPC Pharmaceutical Group for SYH2086, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, which included an upfront payment of $120 million and potential milestone payments up to $2 billion.
  • In February 2026, the company licensed global rights to six preclinical siRNA programs, involving an upfront payment of $60 million.
  • Madrigal expanded its pipeline by licensing a Phase 2 oral DGAT-2 inhibitor, ervogastat, aiming to develop combination therapies with Rezdiffra.

Capital Expenditures

  • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were approximately $467K.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MDGL.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PGNY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312026PGNYProgynyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
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CNC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026CNCCenteneDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
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2.3%2.3%-0.6%
OSCR_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026OSCROscar HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.0%3.0%-2.6%
WAT_3202026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03202026WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.4%-0.4%-3.3%
GILD_3202026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03202026GILDGilead SciencesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%-2.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDGLGILDVKTXTERNMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T.Terns Ph. 
Mkt Price518.58128.8431.3352.9290.88
Mkt Cap11.9159.93.65.28.5
Rev LTM95829,44100479
Op Inc LTM-30011,699-393-110-205
FCF LTM-1909,456-279-82-136
FCF 3Y Avg-3269,061-147-73-110
CFO LTM-19010,019-279-82-136
CFO 3Y Avg-3239,618-147-73-110

Growth & Margins

MDGLGILDVKTXTERNMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T.Terns Ph. 
Rev Chg LTM432.1%2.4%--217.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.6%--2.6%
Rev Chg Q210.8%4.7%--107.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM29.4%1.2%--15.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM39.7%10.4%-160.6%-8.1%1.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-6.9%3.6%-84.5%-24.3%-15.6%
Op Mgn LTM-31.3%39.7%--4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-36.4%--36.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM10.2%1.1%--5.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-19.8%34.0%--7.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-33.7%--33.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-19.8%32.1%--6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-31.8%--31.8%

Valuation

MDGLGILDVKTXTERNMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T.Terns Ph. 
Mkt Cap11.9159.93.65.28.5
P/S12.45.4--8.9
P/Op Inc-39.713.7-9.1-47.1-24.4
P/EBIT-44.814.8-9.1-47.1-26.9
P/E-41.318.8-9.9-53.9-25.6
P/CFO-62.816.0-12.8-63.1-37.8
Total Yield-2.4%7.8%-10.1%-1.9%-2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.1%7.5%-4.3%-14.5%-4.7%
D/E0.00.20.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.10.1-0.2-0.2-0.1

Returns

MDGLGILDVKTXTERNMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T.Terns Ph. 
1M Rtn2.6%-5.5%4.7%0.1%1.3%
3M Rtn4.4%-7.3%3.0%54.5%3.7%
6M Rtn23.0%10.1%-11.0%559.9%16.5%
12M Rtn52.2%26.9%12.1%1,601.6%39.5%
3Y Rtn66.2%73.5%47.0%305.5%69.9%
1M Excs Rtn-9.9%-18.0%-7.8%-12.4%-11.1%
3M Excs Rtn2.2%-9.5%0.8%52.2%1.5%
6M Excs Rtn15.2%4.5%-16.6%552.8%9.8%
12M Excs Rtn27.5%-4.7%-8.3%1,670.9%11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.0%-8.0%-25.6%227.5%-5.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Product revenue, net180    
Total180    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment 641363273287
Total 641363273287


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$518.58 
Market Cap ($ Bil)11.9 
First Trading Date02/06/2007 
Distance from 52W High-14.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$480.41$467.28
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.9%11.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.0%44.9%
Downside Capture0.560.31
Upside Capture92.6487.57
Correlation (SPY)15.4%16.3%
MDGL Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.450.24-0.150.280.570.77
Up Beta-0.730.370.541.320.520.64
Down Beta-1.64-1.90-1.36-1.110.340.67
Up Capture177%155%1%92%100%90%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days12212959121368
Down Capture-109%64%61%51%71%94%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days10213467130380

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL62.8%44.8%1.22-
Sector ETF (XLV)4.9%15.8%0.1222.2%
Equity (SPY)31.5%12.5%1.9315.6%
Gold (GLD)35.2%27.2%1.090.6%
Commodities (DBC)46.7%18.1%1.99-4.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.4%0.6516.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.6%42.1%-0.406.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL33.0%133.2%0.52-
Sector ETF (XLV)4.7%14.6%0.159.5%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.6010.0%
Gold (GLD)20.1%17.8%0.920.9%
Commodities (DBC)14.6%19.1%0.630.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.087.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.1%56.2%0.366.4%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL46.8%117.5%0.64-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.0%16.5%0.4412.9%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7113.6%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.700.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%17.7%0.454.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.237.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.076.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 33120262.6%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity23.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/19/2026-11.1%-11.5%-7.6%
11/4/20257.8%20.3%42.2%
8/5/20258.6%12.0%39.5%
5/1/2025-1.9%-10.5%-17.6%
1/13/2025-10.4%-13.4%-2.1%
10/31/202420.1%56.6%52.0%
8/7/2024-12.2%-8.6%-7.7%
2/28/20246.0%3.6%7.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111112
# Negative121211
Median Positive6.0%11.5%13.6%
Median Negative-5.2%-7.3%-10.5%
Max Positive20.1%56.6%60.1%
Max Negative-12.2%-13.4%-22.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 MGL-2086 Clinic Entry      
2027 MAESTRO-NASH OUTCOMES Topline Data      

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

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Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Dier, MardiEVP and CFODirectSell3062026430.871,982853,9935,381,618Form
2Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell3062026431.941,663718,31669,900,418Form
3Kelley, Shannon TGeneral CounselDirectSell3062026431.94360155,4985,242,888Form
4Huntsman, CaroleChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell3062026431.94419180,9835,482,182Form
5Taub, Rebecca DirectSell3062026431.94491212,083195,328,883Form