Tearsheet

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)


Market Price (6/24/2026): $513.71 | Market Cap: $14.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)


Market Price (6/24/2026): $513.71
Market Cap: $14.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 257%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -314 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%

Key risks
MDGL key risks include [1] its singular dependence on its MASH drug, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 257%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.08, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -314 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -24%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.4%
7 Key risks
MDGL key risks include [1] its singular dependence on its MASH drug, Show more.

MDGL in ETFs

Weight = MDGL's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.25%
VB0.11%
XBI1.3%
IBB0.93%
IWO0.47%
VBK0.25%
+10 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/22/2026

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results Exceeded Expectations. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $311.34 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $301.05 million and representing a 126.8% increase year-over-year. Concurrently, the company reported a GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of -$3.25, notably beating the consensus estimate of -$3.61 by $0.36. This robust financial performance was directly attributed to net sales of its MASH treatment, Rezdiffra.

2. Significant Commercial Adoption and Patient Demand for Rezdiffra. As of March 31, 2026, which marks the end of fiscal Q1 2026, over 42,250 patients were being treated with Rezdiffra, indicating a 2.5x increase from fiscal Q1 2025. This rapid and broad physician adoption and high patient demand underscore the commercial success of Rezdiffra as the first and only FDA and European Commission-approved medication for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Madrigal's CEO noted that Rezdiffra achieved "blockbuster status on a trailing-12-month net sales basis."

Show more
Updated on 6/22/2026

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) stock has gained about 20% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Results Exceeded Expectations. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $311.34 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $301.05 million and representing a 126.8% increase year-over-year. Concurrently, the company reported a GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of -$3.25, notably beating the consensus estimate of -$3.61 by $0.36. This robust financial performance was directly attributed to net sales of its MASH treatment, Rezdiffra.

2. Significant Commercial Adoption and Patient Demand for Rezdiffra. As of March 31, 2026, which marks the end of fiscal Q1 2026, over 42,250 patients were being treated with Rezdiffra, indicating a 2.5x increase from fiscal Q1 2025. This rapid and broad physician adoption and high patient demand underscore the commercial success of Rezdiffra as the first and only FDA and European Commission-approved medication for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Madrigal's CEO noted that Rezdiffra achieved "blockbuster status on a trailing-12-month net sales basis."

3. Favorable Analyst Sentiment and Elevated Price Targets. Analyst sentiment for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals remained predominantly positive, with a "Buy" consensus rating from analysts as of June 2026. The average price target for MDGL stands around $687.93, with some analysts pegging the fair value at $671.07, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to its recent trading price. Notably, Wells Fargo upgraded the stock to an "overweight" rating during this period.

4. Strategic Pipeline Expansion Enhancing Future Growth Prospects. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals strategically strengthened its developmental pipeline with a global licensing agreement for a clinical-stage siRNA asset. This asset targets a mutation in the PNPLA3 gene, a genetically validated driver of MASH. Furthermore, the company's oral GLP-1 therapeutic candidate, MGL-2086, is on track to initiate its Phase 1 trial in fiscal Q2 2026. These advancements demonstrate Madrigal's commitment to diversifying its revenue sources and extending its market presence beyond its initial MASH therapy.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.8% change in MDGL stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266232026Change
Stock Price ($)432.00513.4318.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9581,13218.2%
P/S Multiple10.313.227.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2329-20.9%
Cumulative Contribution18.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL18.8% 
Market (SPY)7.2%10.8%
Sector (XLV)-4.6%22.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.0% change in MDGL stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256232026Change
Stock Price ($)596.98513.43-14.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7411,13252.9%
P/S Multiple18.113.2-27.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2229-22.6%
Cumulative Contribution-14.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL-14.0% 
Market (SPY)8.0%14.0%
Sector (XLV)-2.7%17.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 86.5% change in MDGL stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 256.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120256232026Change
Stock Price ($)275.26513.4386.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3171,132256.8%
P/S Multiple24.413.2-46.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2829-3.3%
Cumulative Contribution86.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL86.5% 
Market (SPY)25.9%14.7%
Sector (XLV)16.8%18.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 84.4% change in MDGL stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120236232026Change
Stock Price ($)278.41513.4384.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)01,1329.2233720368547763E17%
P/S Multiple13.2 
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1829-37.4%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDGL84.4% 
Market (SPY)82.4%21.4%
Sector (XLV)25.1%21.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MDGL Return-24%243%-20%33%89%-12%361%
Peers Return6%64%48%67%12%-3%370%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%99%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDGL Win Rate42%50%25%58%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%46%58%46%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDGL Max Drawdown-47%-43%-61%-32%-25%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-38%-39%-43%-35%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GILD, VKTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/23/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMDGLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-22.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven54 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-17.7%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.5%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven86 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven253 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven13 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-35.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven38 days140 days

Compare to GILD, VKTX

In The Past

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -22.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMDGLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-22.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven54 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-42.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven35 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven253 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-38.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven13 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-35.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven38 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-56.0%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven127.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven1456 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-91.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven1039.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven664 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-95.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven2039.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven720 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-63.1%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven171.2%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven4290 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-36.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven66 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-36.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.8%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven141 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-78.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven373.5%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven679 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-40.0%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven66.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven31 days47 days

Compare to GILD, VKTX

In The Past

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -22.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 28.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of new therapeutic drugs. The company aims to address significant unmet medical needs in patients suffering from cardiovascular, metabolic, and liver diseases.

The cornerstone of Madrigal's pipeline is resmetirom, a liver-directed selective thyroid hormone receptor-ß agonist. This leading product candidate is currently in advanced Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a severe chronic liver disease. Additionally, Madrigal is developing MGL-3745 as a backup compound to resmetirom, reinforcing its commitment to the liver disease market and patients requiring innovative treatments for these complex conditions.

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Like Moderna before its COVID vaccine, but focused on developing a breakthrough drug for liver disease.

Like an early-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals (known for specialized drugs), but focused on treatments for liver disease.

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  • Resmetirom: A liver-directed selective thyroid hormone receptor-ß agonist in Phase III clinical trials for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).
  • MGL-3745: A backup compound to resmetirom.

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Bill Sibold, Chief Executive Officer and Director

Mr. Sibold has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals since September 2023, bringing over 30 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry. Prior to joining Madrigal, he was the Executive Vice President, Specialty Care of Sanofi and President, Sanofi North America from 2017 to September 2023, where he led a global organization of approximately 10,000 employees and was a member of the Sanofi Executive Committee. During his tenure at Sanofi, Specialty Care achieved sustained double-digit growth, and he was instrumental in the launch of Dupixent. His previous leadership roles include Chief Commercial Officer of Avanir Pharmaceuticals, President and CEO of Lycera Corp., and Senior Vice President, U.S. Commercial for Biogen.

Mardi C. Dier, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Dier was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals on March 11, 2024. She possesses over 20 years of experience in executive financial leadership within the biopharmaceutical industry, with extensive expertise in operational and strategic decision-making, capital raising, financial planning and accounting, global supply chain management, investor relations, and business development. Before joining Madrigal, Ms. Dier served as Chief Financial Officer at Portola Pharmaceuticals, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical, Inc., and Acelyrin, Inc.

Rebecca Taub, M.D., Founder and Director; Senior Scientific and Medical Advisor

Dr. Taub co-founded Madrigal Pharmaceuticals in 2011 with a vision to address unmet medical needs for patients with serious liver and cardiometabolic diseases. She transitioned to Senior Scientific and Medical Advisor effective April 21, 2025, and continues to serve on Madrigal's Board of Directors. Previously, Dr. Taub served as the company's President, Research & Development from June 2019 and Chief Medical Officer from July 2016. She also held the role of Chief Executive Officer of privately-held Madrigal Pharmaceuticals from its inception in September 2011 until July 2016. Her background includes roles as Senior Vice President, Research and Development of VIA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (2008-2011) and Vice President, Research, Metabolic Diseases at F. Hoffmann-La Roche (2004-2008). Dr. Taub was also a tenured Professor of Genetics and Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania. Under her leadership, Madrigal achieved the development of Rezdiffra™ (resmetirom), the first FDA-approved medicine for MASH.

Mark Barrett, Executive Vice President, Chief Business Officer

Mr. Barrett joined Madrigal Pharmaceuticals in January 2024, bringing more than 25 years of executive leadership and biopharmaceutical industry experience. He has a proven track record of successfully completing a wide range of partnerships and acquisitions to build commercial portfolios and R&D pipelines. Prior to Madrigal, he was a Co-founder, CEO, and Director of Lassen Therapeutics, a biotechnology company focused on novel antibody therapeutics. Mr. Barrett also served as an Entrepreneur in Residence at Frazier Healthcare Partners, where he focused on establishing and financing new biotech companies.

Neil Archer, Executive Vice President, International

Mr. Archer serves as Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' Executive Vice President, International. Specific background details for Mr. Archer were not available in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL)

  1. Heavy Dependence on a Single Product: Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' business is substantially dependent on the successful commercialization and continued success of its lead product, Rezdiffra (resmetirom), which currently represents the overwhelming majority of its revenue. This creates a significant "single point of failure risk" where any material adverse event impacting Rezdiffra, such as manufacturing or supply chain disruptions, the emergence of superior competitive products, unforeseen regulatory actions, or unexpected post-launch side effects, could severely undermine the company's financial performance and future prospects.
  2. Intense Competitive Pressures in the MASH Market: The market for Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH), formerly known as NASH, is highly competitive and rapidly evolving. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals faces substantial competition from other pharmaceutical companies, including large players like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, who are developing or have approved GLP-1 agonists with potential applications in MASH. These competitors could introduce alternative or superior treatments, leading to intense pricing pressure, erosion of market share, and lower-than-expected peak sales for Rezdiffra.
  3. Uncertainties in Market Acceptance and Commercialization Challenges: Despite Rezdiffra receiving accelerated approval, there are inherent uncertainties regarding its broad market acceptance by physicians, patients, and third-party payers. Challenges in achieving anticipated market penetration, accurately estimating the potential market size, and securing adequate reimbursement and support from the medical community could limit Rezdiffra's commercial success. These factors pose significant commercialization risks that could hinder revenue growth and profitability.

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The widespread adoption and demonstrated efficacy of GLP-1 receptor agonists (e.g., semaglutide) and multi-agonists (e.g., tirzepatide, retatrutide) for obesity and diabetes. These medications, while not primarily approved for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), have shown significant benefits in weight loss and metabolic improvements, which directly impact NASH pathology. Their increasing use and potential to improve or even resolve NASH as a secondary effect could fundamentally alter the treatment paradigm for NASH, potentially reducing the addressable market or the perceived need for dedicated NASH-specific therapies like Madrigal's resmetirom.

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' primary product, resmetirom (marketed as Rezdiffra), targets the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), now often referred to as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), specifically for adults with noncirrhotic MASH with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis (consistent with stages F2 to F3 fibrosis).

The addressable market for NASH/MASH treatments is substantial and rapidly growing:

  • Global Market: The global NASH treatment market was valued at approximately USD 2.114 billion in 2023. It is projected to grow significantly, with various estimates pointing to a market size of USD 31.76 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.7% from 2025 to 2033. Other projections suggest the global market could reach USD 55.52 billion by 2032 with a CAGR of 28.05% from 2025 to 2032. Some analyses even indicate a potential global market worth up to USD 108.4 billion by 2030.
  • U.S. Market: The United States represented the largest share of the NASH market among the 7 major markets (7MM), valued at approximately USD 1.519 billion in 2023. The U.S. non-alcoholic steatohepatitis treatment market was valued at USD 4.56 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 32.55 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 27.88%. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is focused on approximately 315,000 patients in the U.S. with moderate to advanced fibrosis (F2-F3) who are under the care of liver specialists. For patients with compensated MASH cirrhosis (stage F4c), the estimated market opportunity in the U.S. includes approximately 245,000 diagnosed patients under the care of a liver specialist. The approved drug segment, which primarily includes Rezdiffra as the first approved therapy, reached USD 178.31 million in 2024 and is expected to surge to USD 16.82 billion by 2033. The U.S. NASH market alone could be worth USD 15 billion by 2027.

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Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: MDGL) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven primarily by the continued commercial success and expansion of its lead product, Rezdiffra (resmetirom), the first and only FDA-approved therapy for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with moderate to advanced liver fibrosis.

Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Continued U.S. Market Penetration and Patient Adoption for Rezdiffra: Since its FDA approval in March 2024, Rezdiffra has demonstrated exceptional launch performance and strong demand in the U.S. market. By the end of Q4 2025, over 36,250 patients were on Rezdiffra therapy. Madrigal anticipates steadily increasing patient numbers and expanding its market presence, with broad first-line insurance access and no step-edit requirements secured for 2026, positioning Rezdiffra as a foundational therapy for F2 to F3 MASH. The U.S. market remains the primary growth engine for the company.
  2. International Expansion with Rezdiffra Launch in Europe: Madrigal is awaiting regulatory approval for Rezdiffra from the European Medicines Agency (EMA), with a decision anticipated by mid-2025. Following approval, the company plans a country-by-country launch in Europe, commencing with Germany in the second half of 2025. The European market for MASH patients with F2/F3 fibrosis is estimated to be larger than in the U.S., presenting a substantial opportunity for revenue growth over the next 2-3 years as the product gains traction across the continent.
  3. Potential Label Expansion for Rezdiffra in Compensated MASH Cirrhosis (F4c): Madrigal is actively pursuing an expanded indication for Rezdiffra to treat patients with compensated MASH cirrhosis. Positive two-year data from the Phase 3 MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 trial in this population suggest Rezdiffra's potential to become the first approved treatment for this advanced stage of MASH. The results from the pivotal MAESTRO-NASH OUTCOMES trial, expected in 2027, could lead to a label expansion, significantly broadening the addressable patient population and establishing Rezdiffra as one of the few MASH drugs with hepatic outcomes data.
  4. Development and Launch of Rezdiffra-Based Combination Therapies: Madrigal is strategically expanding its pipeline through in-licensing deals for additional MASH therapeutics, including an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist (MGL-2086) and a Phase 2 oral DGAT-2 inhibitor (ervogastat). The company's focus is on developing combination therapies, anchored by Rezdiffra, to address diverse patient subtypes and genetic drivers of MASH. The oral GLP-1 combination program is slated to begin in the first half of 2026, offering potential for new revenue streams through enhanced treatment options.
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Share Issuance

  • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' shares outstanding increased by 5.46% in 2025, 13.83% in 2024, and 9.05% in 2023, reflecting ongoing share issuances.
  • The company registered 300,000 shares of common stock for issuance under its 2025 Inducement Stock Plan to grant equity awards to new hires.
  • Equity awards, including options and restricted stock units, were granted to new non-executive employees in March 2026 and to the new Chief Accounting Officer in January 2026 under the 2025 Inducement Plan.

Inbound Investments

  • In July 2025, Madrigal entered into a senior secured credit facility with funds managed by Blue Owl Capital, providing access to up to $500 million. An initial term loan of $350 million was funded at closing, with a portion used to repay a prior loan facility.

Outbound Investments

  • On July 30, 2025, Madrigal signed an exclusive global license agreement with CSPC Pharmaceutical Group for SYH2086, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, which included an upfront payment of $120 million and potential milestone payments up to $2 billion.
  • In February 2026, the company licensed global rights to six preclinical siRNA programs, involving an upfront payment of $60 million.
  • Madrigal expanded its pipeline by licensing a Phase 2 oral DGAT-2 inhibitor, ervogastat, aiming to develop combination therapies with Rezdiffra.

Capital Expenditures

  • Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were approximately $467K.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDGLGILDVKTXMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T. 
Mkt Price513.43125.0534.81125.05
Mkt Cap14.9155.34.014.9
Rev LTM1,13229,73401,132
Op Inc LTM-31411,901-502-314
FCF LTM-27210,230-340-272
FCF 3Y Avg-3559,325-176-176
CFO LTM-26810,806-340-268
CFO 3Y Avg-3519,884-176-176

Growth & Margins

MDGLGILDVKTXMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T. 
Rev Chg LTM256.8%3.5%-130.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.2%-3.2%
Rev Chg Q126.8%4.4%-65.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM18.2%1.0%-9.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM26.3%9.7%-191.3%9.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-3.9%0.1%-98.4%-3.9%
Op Mgn LTM-27.7%40.0%-6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-36.7%-36.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.6%0.3%-2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-23.7%36.3%-6.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-34.4%-34.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-24.0%34.4%-5.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-32.5%-32.5%

Valuation

MDGLGILDVKTXMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T. 
Mkt Cap14.9155.34.014.9
P/S13.25.2-9.2
P/Op Inc-47.513.1-8.0-8.0
P/EBIT-52.713.2-8.0-8.0
P/E-48.216.9-8.5-8.5
P/CFO-55.614.4-11.8-11.8
Total Yield-2.1%8.5%-11.7%-2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.5%7.2%-4.9%-4.5%
D/E0.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.00.1-0.1-0.0

Returns

MDGLGILDVKTXMedian
NameMadrigal.Gilead S.Viking T. 
1M Rtn-0.7%-6.3%12.7%-0.7%
3M Rtn15.4%-8.9%8.2%8.2%
6M Rtn-14.7%1.1%-4.4%-4.4%
12M Rtn81.4%20.8%40.0%40.0%
3Y Rtn116.0%78.2%70.6%78.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%-2.5%14.5%1.0%
3M Excs Rtn2.8%-20.3%-5.0%-5.0%
6M Excs Rtn-14.4%-4.5%-6.2%-6.2%
12M Excs Rtn56.3%-5.2%10.4%10.4%
3Y Excs Rtn34.5%8.3%-11.4%8.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA217785  REZDIFFRAresmetiromtablet314202413.7%-3.6%43.0%82.6%110.6%
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA217785  REZDIFFRAresmetiromtablet314202413.7%-3.6%43.0%82.6%110.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Product revenue, net958180 
Single Segment  0
Total9581800


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Single Segment641363273287442
Total641363273287442


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$513.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)14.9 
First Trading Date02/06/2007 
Distance from 52W High-14.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$509.44$494.19
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA0.8%3.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.2%46.1%
Downside Capture-67.8820.95
Upside Capture9.0586.28
Correlation (SPY)8.9%15.0%
MDGL Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.671.060.310.530.570.80
Up Beta4.981.551.351.251.230.79
Down Beta3.562.63-0.90-0.87-0.520.66
Up Capture-23%4%42%35%100%70%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days10213357124369
Down Capture73%130%-12%108%51%96%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days10203067125379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL87.0%45.9%1.50-
Sector ETF (XLV)16.9%15.1%0.8317.9%
Equity (SPY)24.6%12.5%1.4814.1%
Gold (GLD)21.8%27.6%0.704.6%
Commodities (DBC)16.7%18.8%0.69-8.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.3%13.8%0.6015.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-38.0%42.5%-1.018.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL38.3%133.3%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.8%14.8%0.219.6%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.5910.1%
Gold (GLD)16.8%18.3%0.741.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%19.4%0.28-0.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.037.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.7%54.1%0.386.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDGL
MDGL46.5%117.4%0.64-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.8%16.6%0.4813.1%
Equity (SPY)15.3%18.0%0.7313.6%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.1%0.610.2%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.253.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.237.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.0%66.5%0.976.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5152026-1.9%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest14.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity29.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares13.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/20267.4%1.6%-1.9%
2/19/2026-11.1%-11.5%-7.6%
11/4/20257.8%20.3%42.2%
8/5/20258.6%12.0%39.5%
5/1/2025-1.9%-10.5%-17.6%
2/26/202515.0%3.8%7.9%
10/31/202420.1%56.6%52.0%
8/7/2024-12.2%-8.6%-7.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131213
# Negative111211
Median Positive7.1%3.7%12.8%
Median Negative-5.8%-7.3%-10.5%
Max Positive20.1%56.6%60.1%
Max Negative-12.2%-11.5%-22.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/6/20267.4%1.6%-1.9%
2/19/2026-11.1%-11.5%-7.6%
11/4/20257.8%20.3%42.2%
8/5/20258.6%12.0%39.5%
5/1/2025-1.9%-10.5%-17.6%
2/26/202515.0%3.8%7.9%
10/31/202420.1%56.6%52.0%
8/7/2024-12.2%-8.6%-7.7%
5/7/2024-7.5%-10.3%0.2%
2/28/20246.0%3.6%7.9%
11/6/20230.3%-5.5%60.1%
8/8/2023-5.8%-3.4%3.3%
5/9/2023-3.0%-6.0%-10.5%
2/23/20235.2%-4.3%-20.5%
11/3/2022-6.3%-10.3%12.8%
8/4/202211.0%13.9%13.9%
5/9/2022-10.1%1.8%13.4%
2/24/20227.1%11.5%10.7%
11/4/20211.7%-3.5%-16.6%
8/5/20215.0%0.1%-0.8%
5/6/2021-2.2%2.4%-22.0%
2/25/20210.2%-8.7%-3.4%
11/5/2020-4.6%-5.2%-10.9%
8/6/2020-3.1%0.6%2.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131213
# Negative111211
Median Positive7.1%3.7%12.8%
Median Negative-5.8%-7.3%-10.5%
Max Positive20.1%56.6%60.1%
Max Negative-12.2%-11.5%-22.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/09/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/24/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/25/202110-K
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K
09/30/201911/06/201910-Q
06/30/201908/07/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 MGL-2086 Phase 1 trial initiation      
Q4 2026 ervogastat/resmetirom drug-drug interaction study initiation      

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 MGL-2086 Clinic Entry      
2027 MAESTRO-NASH OUTCOMES Topline Data      

Insider Activity

Updated 6/18/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Soergel, DavidChief Medical OfficerDirectSell6012026495.741,042516,5614,973,759Form
2Levy, Richard S DirectSell5222026515.445,6822,928,71611,347,359Form
3Soergel, DavidChief Medical OfficerDirectSell5182026515.90844435,4205,713,592Form
4Dier, MardiEVP and CFODirectSell3062026430.871,982853,9935,381,618Form
5Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell3062026431.941,663718,31669,900,418Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Soergel, DavidChief Medical OfficerDirectSell6012026495.741,042516,5614,973,759Form
2Levy, Richard S DirectSell5222026515.445,6822,928,71611,347,359Form
3Soergel, DavidChief Medical OfficerDirectSell5182026515.90844435,4205,713,592Form
4Dier, MardiEVP and CFODirectSell3062026430.871,982853,9935,381,618Form
5Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell3062026431.941,663718,31669,900,418Form
6Kelley, Shannon TGeneral CounselDirectSell3062026431.94360155,4985,242,888Form
7Huntsman, CaroleChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell3062026431.94419180,9835,482,182Form
8Taub, Rebecca DirectSell3062026431.94491212,083195,328,883Form
9Dier, MardiEVP and CFODirectSell3022026427.211,183505,3893,954,683Form
10Huntsman, CaroleChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell1262026493.78910449,3394,504,254Form
11Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell1262026492.421,577776,54673,122,893Form
12Taub, Rebecca DirectSell1262026492.42647318,596222,920,504Form
13Kelley, Shannon TGeneral CounselDirectSell1202026497.36692344,1734,218,110Form
14Taub, Rebecca DirectSell1202026490.772,2381,098,343222,491,070Form
15Friedman, Paul A DirectSell1132026551.24280154,348103,172,545Form
16Friedman, Paul A DirectSell1132026522.3924,52012,808,95797,772,252Form
17Taub, Rebecca DirectSell1132026550.33240132,080250,725,813Form
18Taub, Rebecca DirectSell1132026522.4018,4109,617,312237,997,914Form
19Friedman, Paul A DirectSell12122025552.1824,80013,694,158103,348,926Form
20Taub, Rebecca DirectSell12122025552.1518,65010,297,573254,564,837Form
21Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell12042025575.342,4001,380,81686,343,575Form
22Dier, MardiEVP and CFODirectSell12032025578.344,1732,413,4166,037,879Form
23Huntsman, CaroleChief Commercial OfficerDirectSell11212025553.111,9581,082,9865,548,783Form
24Levy, Richard S DirectSell11142025520.968,5004,428,19811,042,883Form
25Bate, Kenneth DirectSell11072025484.3016,5758,027,3541,272,269Form
26Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell9092025445.637,2793,243,74145,665,489Form
27Sibold, William JohnPresident and CEODirectSell8212025400.187,6163,047,75643,920,746Form
28Baker, Bros. Advisors LP See FootnotesBuy8202025385.1659,90123,071,366750,276,015Form
29Baker, Bros. Advisors LP See FootnotesBuy8202025373.2137,16413,869,831706,523,889Form
30Baker, Bros. Advisors LP See FootnotesBuy8202025364.0468,61824,979,827676,787,021Form
31Kelley, Shannon TGeneral CounselDirectSell8182025367.811,304479,6273,373,940Form
32Bate, Kenneth DirectSell8152025365.2010,0003,652,009959,383Form
33Friedman, Paul A DirectSell8132025370.24129,17247,825,14969,296,336Form
34Friedman, Paul A DirectSell8132025355.6843,60515,509,46966,570,674Form
35Taub, Rebecca DirectSell8132025355.6943,26315,388,279163,989,401Form
36Friedman, Paul A DirectSell8132025350.273,2031,121,91765,558,068Form
37Taub, Rebecca DirectSell8132025350.243,2001,120,753161,473,911Form
38Taub, Rebecca DirectSell7222025350.001,000350,005161,367,705Form
39Friedman, Paul A DirectSell7222025350.031,400490,04465,513,277Form
40Friedman, Paul A DirectSell7182025350.482,700946,30165,597,587Form
41Taub, Rebecca DirectSell7182025350.412,657931,035161,553,634Form
42Friedman, Paul A DirectSell7182025353.4726,1769,252,54366,157,662Form
43Taub, Rebecca DirectSell7182025353.4726,4449,347,063162,963,526Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/23/2026