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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -452310%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16855x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -78%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -331760%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -331760%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
6   Key risks
ALT key risks include [1] the uncertain clinical and regulatory outcome for its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -58%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -120%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -90 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -452310%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16855x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -62%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -78%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is 0.0%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -331760%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -331760%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26%
9 Key risks
ALT key risks include [1] the uncertain clinical and regulatory outcome for its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, Altimmune (ALT) experienced several key developments that likely contributed to its stock movement.

1. Positive 24-Week Data from IMPACT Phase 2b Trial and Scientific Publication: Altimmune announced positive 24-week top-line data from its IMPACT Phase 2b trial for pemvidutide in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), demonstrating statistically significant MASH resolution and weight loss. This data was further highlighted by its publication in The Lancet on November 11, 2025, and presented in late-breaking oral and poster sessions at The Liver Meeting® 2025, which included AI-based analysis showing reductions in liver fibrosis.

2. FDA Fast Track Designation for Pemvidutide in Alcohol Use Disorder (AUD): On August 19, 2025, Altimmune announced that its lead candidate, pemvidutide, received Fast Track Designation from the U.S. FDA for the treatment of Alcohol Use Disorder (AUD). This designation aims to facilitate the development and expedite the review of drugs that treat serious conditions and fill an unmet medical need.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALT Return497%-19%80%-32%-36%-30%166%
Peers Return4%18%78%22%35%28%361%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALT Win Rate42%33%42%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%53%42%50%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALT Max Drawdown-11%-25%-57%-87%-51%-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-15%-26%-30%-10%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VKTX, MDGL, LLY, AMGN, PFE. See ALT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1036.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-76.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven324.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-99.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26762.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-88.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven794.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Altimmune's stock fell -91.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -91.2% loss requires a 1036.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Altimmune (ALT)

Better Bets than Altimmune (ALT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Altimmune

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALTVKTXMDGLLLYAMGNPFEMedian
NameAltimmuneViking T.Madrigal.Eli LillyAmgen Pfizer  
Mkt Price5.0834.26546.351,041.56326.0325.06180.15
Mkt Cap0.53.812.3935.2175.4142.577.4
Rev LTM0074153,25835,97162,78618,356
Op Inc LTM-90-275-30722,8828,67115,4174,290
FCF LTM-66-225-161-5011,53910,376-58
FCF 3Y Avg-74-122-301-1569,0678,927-98
CFO LTM-66-225-16110,93813,12613,0775,436
CFO 3Y Avg-74-122-2987,23010,32212,1273,578

Growth & Margins

ALTVKTXMDGLLLYAMGNPFEMedian
NameAltimmuneViking T.Madrigal.Eli LillyAmgen Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM-61.5%-864.2%36.8%10.6%3.9%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-78.2%--23.4%11.2%-13.2%-1.0%
Rev Chg Q0.0%-362.0%37.6%12.4%-5.9%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%-43.7%8.7%3.0%-1.6%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-452,310.0%--41.5%43.0%24.1%24.6%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-224,761.6%--35.6%25.4%19.4%22.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM19,540.0%-18.6%1.8%0.6%-1.4%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-331,760.0%--21.7%20.5%36.5%20.8%20.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-169,810.7%--17.8%32.7%18.9%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-331,760.0%--21.7%-0.1%32.1%16.5%-0.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-169,821.4%--0.5%28.8%13.9%7.2%

Valuation

ALTVKTXMDGLLLYAMGNPFEMedian
NameAltimmuneViking T.Madrigal.Eli LillyAmgen Pfizer  
Mkt Cap0.53.812.3935.2175.4142.577.4
P/S16,822.2-13.912.94.22.312.9
P/EBIT-4.0-10.7-38.038.513.712.24.1
P/E-4.0-12.4-35.749.621.714.85.4
P/CFO-5.1-13.1-64.262.611.611.13.0
Total Yield-24.9%-8.0%-2.8%2.7%7.9%13.5%-0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%3.3%6.7%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-30.9%-4.9%-7.4%0.1%5.9%5.5%-2.4%
D/E0.00.00.00.10.40.40.1
Net D/E-0.6-0.2-0.10.10.30.3-0.0

Returns

ALTVKTXMDGLLLYAMGNPFEMedian
NameAltimmuneViking T.Madrigal.Eli LillyAmgen Pfizer  
1M Rtn21.2%-10.4%-1.3%1.9%-4.6%-0.1%-0.7%
3M Rtn42.3%48.4%30.9%37.2%19.5%6.0%34.1%
6M Rtn-25.1%30.4%93.2%33.2%14.3%8.6%22.3%
12M Rtn-39.5%-26.6%78.5%34.8%26.6%1.7%14.1%
3Y Rtn-55.7%752.2%756.3%196.4%34.2%-42.0%115.3%
1M Excs Rtn20.5%-11.1%-2.0%1.2%-5.3%-0.8%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn29.9%30.2%22.6%35.4%17.7%4.2%26.3%
6M Excs Rtn-37.4%18.0%80.9%20.8%1.9%-3.8%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-54.8%-38.2%68.3%21.9%13.3%-6.0%3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-120.2%796.7%691.1%122.0%-38.8%-111.3%41.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Developing novel peptide-based therapeutics for liver and cardiometabolic diseases0-048
Total0-048


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,157,756
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.6%
Average Daily Volume3,289,773
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.04
Basic Shares Quantity89,418,028
Short % of Basic Shares25.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20255.1%12.8%49.6%
8/12/20257.1%5.3%8.6%
5/13/2025-4.2%-8.5%8.8%
2/27/20258.1%-3.7%-6.2%
11/12/202429.1%-2.7%18.9%
8/8/202415.1%12.4%12.7%
3/27/20242.8%7.4%-16.8%
11/7/20231.1%-8.6%157.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171111
# Negative51111
Median Positive7.0%7.4%18.9%
Median Negative-8.5%-7.6%-14.3%
Max Positive29.1%33.7%157.7%
Max Negative-12.3%-26.6%-62.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021