Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $34.2 | Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)
Market Price (4/12/2026): $34.2Market Cap: $3.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -393 Mil Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% Key risksVKTX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial setbacks for its lead candidates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -393 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 21% |
| Key risksVKTX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial setbacks for its lead candidates, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Financial Results Offset by Significant Clinical Progress.
Viking Therapeutics reported a wider-than-expected loss for Q4 2025 on February 11, 2026, with an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.38, missing analysts' expectations of -$0.90 by 53.33%. Research and development expenses significantly increased to $153.5 million in Q4 2025, compared to $31.0 million in the prior year, primarily due to higher clinical study costs. For the full year 2025, the company reported a net loss of $358.5 million. However, these financial results were largely counterbalanced by substantial clinical advancements. The company announced plans to advance its oral VK2735 into Phase 3 for obesity in Q3 2026, completed enrollment in the Phase 3 VANQUISH-1 trial in November 2025 and the VANQUISH-2 study by March 26, 2026, and fully enrolled a VK2735 maintenance dosing study with data expected in Q3 2026. This consistent pipeline progress provided support for the stock despite the financial losses.
2. Sustained High Analyst Price Targets Amidst Waiting for Phase 3 Data.
Despite the stock trading largely in the low to mid-$30s since late 2025, analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating with an average price target ranging from $76.68 to $95.46, implying a significant upside (e.g., over 150% from current levels). This discrepancy between the current valuation and high price targets suggests a holding pattern as investors await definitive Phase 3 trial readouts. Top-line results for the VANQUISH-1 and VANQUISH-2 trials, evaluating subcutaneous VK2735, are not expected until around mid-2027.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.6% change in VKTX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.18 | 34.26 | -2.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 114 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VKTX | -2.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 6.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.8% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.4% change in VKTX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.28 | 34.26 | 30.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 114 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 30.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 21.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.3% | 32.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 41.9% change in VKTX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.15 | 34.26 | 41.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 111 | 114 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 41.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 35.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 2.3% | 35.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 105.8% change in VKTX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4112026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.65 | 34.26 | 105.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 77 | 114 | -32.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/11/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 105.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 22.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.1% | 19.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VKTX Return | -18% | 104% | 98% | 116% | -13% | -1% | 521% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 73% | -4% | 4% | 22% | -1% | 148% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VKTX Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 53% | 38% | 48% | 52% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VKTX Max Drawdown | -18% | -54% | -14% | -7% | -50% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -27% | -45% | -19% | -21% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LLY, MDGL, AMGN, PFE, ALT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VKTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -78.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 358.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 132.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 208.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,287 days | 120 days |
Compare to LLY, MDGL, AMGN, PFE, ALT
In The Past
Viking Therapeutics's stock fell -78.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -78.2% loss requires a 358.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. A clinical-stage Eli Lilly, but focused on developing next-generation GLP-1/GIP drugs for obesity and metabolic disorders.
2. A clinical-stage Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, specializing in metabolic disorders, including a lead TRß agonist for NASH.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- VK2809: An orally available thyroid hormone receptor beta (TRß) agonist in Phase IIb clinical trials for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and NAFLD.
- VK5211: An orally available non-steroidal selective androgen receptor modulator in Phase II clinical trials for patients recovering from non-elective hip fracture surgery.
- VK0612: An orally available drug candidate in Phase IIb-ready stage for type 2 diabetes.
- VK2735: A novel dual agonist of the glucagon-like peptide and glucagon receptors in Phase 1 clinical trials.
- VK0214: An orally available thyroid hormone receptor beta (TRß) agonist for X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) is primarily focused on the research and development of drug candidates for metabolic and endocrine disorders. The company's drug candidates are currently in various phases of clinical trials (e.g., Phase I, Phase II, Phase IIb).
At this stage of development, Viking Therapeutics does not have approved products on the market for sale, and therefore, it does not have major customers (neither companies nor individuals) in the traditional sense of selling goods or services. Its primary activities revolve around advancing its drug pipeline through clinical trials.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Brian Lian, Ph.D. President and Chief Executive OfficerDr. Lian co-founded Viking Therapeutics in 2013 and led the company to go public in 2015. Prior to founding Viking, he was a Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at SunTrust Robinson Humphrey and an Executive Director and Senior Biotechnology Analyst at CIBC World Markets, where he covered small and mid-cap biotechnology companies. He also worked as a research scientist in small molecule drug discovery at Amgen and Microcide Pharmaceuticals. Notably, he convinced Ligand Pharmaceuticals to license five drug candidates and invest $2.5 million to kickstart Viking's operations.
Greg Zante Chief Financial OfficerMr. Zante was appointed Chief Financial Officer in January 2021, having previously served as Viking's Senior Vice President of Finance. He possesses nearly 25 years of financial management experience in both public and private biotechnology and accounting industries. Before joining Viking in 2016, Mr. Zante was the Chief Financial Officer at Dance Biopharm, a biopharmaceutical company focused on diabetes, where he managed the company's private financing strategy and prepared it for initial public offering activities. He has also held senior positions at Sangamo Therapeutics, Calyx Therapeutics, and Matrix Pharmaceuticals.
Marianne Mancini Chief Operating OfficerMs. Mancini was appointed Chief Operating Officer in January 2021. She brings over 30 years of experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, specializing in the management and oversight of clinical trials from early to late-stage drug development. Before joining Viking in 2015, she was the Senior Director of Clinical Operations at Ambit Biosciences Corporation. Her prior experience also includes roles as Senior Director of Clinical Operations at Aires Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and Senior Director of Project Management and Clinical Operations at Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc., where she led the project team for the obesity compound BELVIQ®.
Michael Morneau Vice President of Finance and AdministrationMr. Morneau has over 20 years of experience in accounting and finance within public and private companies in the biotechnology and accounting sectors. Prior to his role at Viking, he served as Vice President of Finance and Chief Accounting Officer at Trius Therapeutics, Inc., which became a subsidiary of Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Inc. following Cubist's acquisition of Trius. He also held the position of Director of Lilly Research Labs Finance at Eli Lilly and Company.
Geoffrey Barker, Ph.D. Chief Development OfficerDr. Barker serves as Chief Development Officer and has 30 years of experience in pharmaceutical and nonclinical development. Before this role, he was the Senior Vice President of Pharmaceutical Development at Viking Therapeutics. His prior experience includes serving as Project Director at Pyramid Laboratories and Senior Director of Product Development at Aires Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
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Key Risks to Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)
The primary risk for Viking Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, is the inherent uncertainty and high failure rate associated with clinical trials. All of Viking's drug candidates, including their lead candidate VK2809 for NASH and NAFLD (in Phase IIb), VK5211 for hip fracture recovery (Phase II), and VK2735 (Phase I), must successfully complete multiple rigorous clinical trial phases to demonstrate safety and efficacy before they can be considered for regulatory approval. Failure at any stage of these trials, due to lack of efficacy, unexpected side effects, or other issues, would significantly impact the company's valuation and future prospects.
A significant risk also stems from the regulatory approval process. Even if Viking's drug candidates demonstrate positive results in clinical trials, there is no guarantee that they will receive approval from regulatory authorities such as the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) or international equivalents. The regulatory review process is complex, lengthy, and can involve unexpected delays or requirements that could prevent or postpone market entry for their therapies.
Finally, Viking Therapeutics faces substantial competitive risk within the metabolic and endocrine disorder therapeutic areas. These fields, particularly non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and type 2 diabetes, are highly competitive with numerous large pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms developing similar or alternative treatments. Existing and emerging therapies from competitors could offer superior efficacy, safety, convenience, or pricing, potentially limiting the market potential and commercial success of Viking's drug candidates even if they achieve regulatory approval.
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Viking Therapeutics' VK2735, a novel dual agonist of the glucagon-like peptide in Phase 1, faces a significant threat from the established market dominance and high efficacy of GLP-1/GIP dual agonists such as Eli Lilly's tirzepatide (Mounjaro/Zepbound) and Novo Nordisk's semaglutide (Ozempic/Wegovy). These drugs are already widely approved and adopted for metabolic conditions, setting an extremely high bar for any new entrant in the early stages of development.
Viking Therapeutics' lead drug candidate, VK2809, an orally available thyroid hormone receptor beta (TRß) agonist for NASH/NAFLD in Phase IIb, faces a direct threat from the recent FDA approval of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' resmetirom (Rezdiffra). Resmetirom is also a TRß agonist and is the first and only FDA-approved drug for NASH, establishing a challenging competitive landscape for VK2809, which is significantly behind in development.
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Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) Addressable Markets for Main Products:
-
VK2809 (Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) and Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD)):
- The global NASH drugs market was valued at approximately USD 7.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 78.2 billion by 2035.
- The global non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) drug market accounted for USD 20.97 billion in 2024 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 33.6 billion by 2034.
- In the United States, the NASH market size was approximately USD 1,519 million in 2023.
-
VK5211 (Patients recovering from non-elective hip fracture surgery):
- Approximately 1.6 million hip fractures occur each year worldwide. This number is estimated to grow to 3.9 million worldwide by 2050.
- In the U.S., 285,000 individuals are hospitalized each year for hip fracture, with this number projected to reach 700,000 by 2050.
- The specific market size for drugs targeting hip fracture recovery is not distinctly segmented. However, the global osteoporosis drugs market was valued at USD 16.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 27.4 billion by 2035.
-
VK0612 (Type 2 Diabetes):
- The global type 2 diabetes mellitus treatment market was estimated at USD 57,467.4 million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 91,966.5 million by 2030.
- The global diabetes drug market was evaluated at USD 66 billion in 2023 and is expected to attain around USD 132.36 billion by 2034.
-
VK2735 (Dual agonist of GLP-1 and glucagon for obesity/metabolic disorders):
- The global GLP-1 receptor agonist market size was estimated at USD 66.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 185.32 billion by 2033. North America held the largest global share of 75.46% in 2025.
- The global anti-obesity drugs market size was valued at USD 9.11 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 99.74 billion by 2035. North America led this market in 2024.
-
VK0214 (X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy (X-ALD)):
- The global X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy market size was valued at USD 1.70 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2.94 billion by 2032.
- North America dominated the X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy market with the largest revenue share of 41.6% in 2024.
- The United States accounted for approximately USD 400 million of the Adrenoleukodystrophy market size in 2023.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) over the next 2-3 years:
- Successful out-licensing or partnership agreements for VK2809 in NASH/MASH: Viking Therapeutics has announced positive results from its Phase 2b clinical trial of VK2809 for treating non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), also known as metabolic dysfunction associated steatohepatitis (MASH). The VOYAGE study data, presented in November 2024, revealed significant reductions in liver fat content, NASH resolution without worsening of fibrosis, and improvement in fibrosis without worsening of NASH. The company is actively seeking a licensing partner for its VK2809 MASH program. Such partnerships could generate substantial upfront payments and milestone payments, contributing to revenue growth. Ligand Pharmaceuticals, a partner, is already entitled to a $10 million milestone payment upon the initiation of a Phase 3 clinical trial for VK2809, in addition to future royalties on commercial sales if the drug is approved.
- Milestone payments from the advancement of VK2735 in obesity and metabolic disorders: VK2735, Viking's dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist, has shown promising results in Phase 2 clinical trials for obesity, demonstrating statistically significant reductions in mean body weight. The company is currently conducting two Phase 3 studies, VANQUISH-1 and VANQUISH-2, for subcutaneous VK2735, with VANQUISH-1 enrollment completed and VANQUISH-2 expected to complete enrollment in the first quarter of 2026. As VK2735 progresses through and successfully completes these pivotal Phase 3 trials and moves towards regulatory filings, this could trigger significant clinical and regulatory milestone payments from existing or new strategic partners. Additionally, Viking has signed a multi-year supply chain agreement with CordenPharma to support the development and commercialization of VK2735, which includes prepayments that will be credited against future orders, indicating an early revenue-generating arrangement related to its commercialization strategy.
- Potential commencement of product sales for VK2735 in obesity and metabolic disorders: While most analysts do not project significant product revenue for Viking Therapeutics until 2028, successful and timely completion of the ongoing Phase 3 trials for VK2735 and subsequent regulatory approval within the next 2-3 years could lead to the initiation of product sales. The obesity market represents a substantial commercial opportunity. Both subcutaneous and oral formulations of VK2735 are being developed, broadening the potential market reach. The manufacturing agreement with CordenPharma is a crucial step in preparing for commercial-scale supply, further underscoring the potential for product sales in the specified timeframe.
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Share Repurchases
- Viking Therapeutics authorized a share repurchase program of up to $250 million on April 24, 2025, which remains largely unused as of February 2026.
- Prior to this authorization, the company made smaller quarterly share repurchases, including $5.41 million on June 30, 2023, and $5.62 million on March 31, 2022.
Share Issuance
- On March 4, 2024, Viking Therapeutics completed a public offering, raising approximately $632.5 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 7,441,650 shares of common stock.
- The company also completed a public offering on April 3, 2023, generating approximately $287.5 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 19,828,300 shares of common stock.
Inbound Investments
- Viking Therapeutics successfully closed a $24 million funding round on December 29, 2024, aimed at advancing its research pipeline.
- On April 22, 2025, the company announced a funding milestone of $350 million, intended to further progress its drug candidates through clinical development.
Outbound Investments
- No significant outbound investments, such as acquisitions or strategic investments in other companies, have been identified for Viking Therapeutics in the last 3-5 years.
Capital Expenditures
- Viking Therapeutics entered into multi-year manufacturing agreements with CordenPharma in March 2025, involving prepayments totaling $150 million to be paid between 2025 and 2028. These prepayments secure dedicated capacity for the production of its lead drug candidate, VK2735.
- Research and development (R&D) expenses significantly increased to $345.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2025, up from $101.6 million in 2024, reflecting aggressive investment in its obesity pipeline and clinical studies.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 03312026 | PGNY | Progyny | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 03202026 | WAT | Waters | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.4% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 03202026 | GILD | Gilead Sciences | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.2% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 192.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 82.5 |
| Rev LTM | 18,855 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,493 |
| FCF LTM | 2,948 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 500 |
| CFO LTM | 4,945 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,941 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 44.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 42.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 82.5 |
| P/S | 12.4 |
| P/EBIT | 5.5 |
| P/E | 7.9 |
| P/CFO | 4.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 30.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 73.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 12.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and | 0 | ||||
| Total | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and | 908 | 368 | 169 | 211 | 257 |
| Total | 908 | 368 | 169 | 211 | 257 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $34.26 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/29/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $32.27 | $32.41 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 69.2% | 76.0% |
| Downside Capture | -0.22 | 0.92 |
| Upside Capture | -11.63 | 184.60 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 9.1% | 24.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.86 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 1.09 | 1.44 | 1.55 |
| Up Beta | 2.61 | 3.66 | 3.91 | 1.70 | 1.44 | 1.39 |
| Down Beta | 1.52 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.86 | 1.15 | 1.61 |
| Up Capture | 102% | 128% | -51% | 169% | 274% | 497% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 28 | 60 | 126 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 33% | 4% | -14% | 73% | 137% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 35 | 66 | 125 | 383 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VKTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 73.2% | 77.7% | 1.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 12.3% | 16.8% | 0.52 | 33.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 32.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 5.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -4.3% | 43.7% | 0.02 | 25.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VKTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 40.3% | 101.6% | 0.72 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.3% | 14.6% | 0.25 | 17.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 20.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 4.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 13.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.3% | 56.5% | 0.30 | 14.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VKTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VKTX | 37.2% | 98.9% | 0.71 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.5% | 0.48 | 20.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 21.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 12.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.6% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 10.3% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | 6.8% | 8.9% | 24.8% |
| 10/22/2025 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| 7/23/2025 | 0.3% | 0.9% | -23.2% |
| 4/23/2025 | -0.5% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| 2/5/2025 | -6.1% | -12.5% | -13.1% |
| 10/23/2024 | 21.2% | 18.8% | -14.5% |
| 7/24/2024 | 28.3% | 13.1% | 27.7% |
| 4/24/2024 | 5.8% | 17.5% | -5.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -8.5% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 28.3% | 31.7% | 193.2% |
| Max Negative | -9.4% | -14.3% | -25.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/27/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 VANQUISH-2 Enrollment Completion | Affirmed | Guidance: 0 for Q1 2026 | |||||
| Q1 2026 Amylin Agonist IND Filing | Affirmed | Guidance: 0 for Q1 2026 | |||||
| Q3 2026 Oral VK2735 Phase 3 Initiation | |||||||
| Q3 2026 Maintenance Dosing Study Results | Affirmed | Guidance: 0 for 2026 | |||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 VANQUISH-1 Enrollment Completion | |||||||
| Q1 2026 VANQUISH-2 Enrollment Completion | |||||||
| Q1 2026 Amylin Agonist IND Filing | |||||||
| 2026 Maintenance Dosing Study Results | |||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zante, Greg | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 32.90 | 57,661 | 1,896,969 | 6,247,159 | Form |
| 2 | Mancini, Marianna | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 32.98 | 57,661 | 1,901,405 | 13,493,280 | Form |
| 3 | Lian, Brian | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 32.96 | 233,409 | 7,692,121 | 82,365,495 | Form |
| 4 | Foehr, Matthew W | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 35.11 | 16,000 | 561,694 | 4,635,243 | Form | |
| 5 | Mancini, Marianna | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 10282025 | 35.00 | 6,185 | 216,492 | 13,387,378 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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