Tearsheet

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $34.5 | Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $34.5
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -275 Mil
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
3  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
4  Key risks
VKTX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial setbacks for its lead candidates, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment.
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -275 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
6 Key risks
VKTX key risks include [1] potential clinical trial setbacks for its lead candidates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VKTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Phase 2 VENTURE Trial Results for VK2735 (Subcutaneous Formulation): Viking Therapeutics announced in February 2024 positive top-line results from its Phase 2 VENTURE trial of VK2735 in patients with obesity, demonstrating statistically significant reductions in body weight, with up to 14.7% weight loss from baseline and 13.1% placebo-adjusted mean weight loss after 13 weeks. The study also highlighted VK2735's favorable safety and tolerability profile.

2. Promising Phase 1 Trial Results for Oral VK2735: In March 2024, Viking reported encouraging initial data from its Phase 1 clinical trial of an oral tablet formulation of VK2735, showing dose-dependent reductions in mean body weight up to 5.3% from baseline and 3.3% relative to placebo over 28 days. Further updated data presented in November 2024 at ObesityWeek 2024 reinforced these findings, with reductions up to 8.2% from baseline and 6.8% relative to placebo at higher doses, along with good safety and tolerability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VKTX Return-30%-18%104%98%116%-11%345%
Peers Return109%18%73%-4%4%24%434%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VKTX Win Rate33%42%42%50%50%25% 
Peers Win Rate48%48%53%38%48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VKTX Max Drawdown-57%-18%-54%-14%-7%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-16%-27%-45%-19%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, MDGL, AMGN, PFE, ALT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVKTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven358.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,287 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Viking Therapeutics's stock fell -78.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -78.2% loss requires a 358.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)

Better Bets than Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VKTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viking Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VKTXLLYMDGLAMGNPFEALTMedian
NameViking T.Eli LillyMadrigal.Amgen Pfizer Altimmune 
Mkt Price34.301,041.79546.19326.0125.045.09180.16
Mkt Cap3.9935.412.3175.4142.40.577.3
Rev LTM053,25874135,97162,786018,356
Op Inc LTM-27522,882-3078,67115,417-904,290
FCF LTM-225-50-16111,53910,376-66-58
FCF 3Y Avg-122-156-3019,0678,927-74-98
CFO LTM-22510,938-16113,12613,077-665,436
CFO 3Y Avg-1227,230-29810,32212,127-743,578

Growth & Margins

VKTXLLYMDGLAMGNPFEALTMedian
NameViking T.Eli LillyMadrigal.Amgen Pfizer Altimmune 
Rev Chg LTM-36.8%864.2%10.6%3.9%-61.5%10.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-23.4%-11.2%-13.2%-78.2%-1.0%
Rev Chg Q-37.6%362.0%12.4%-5.9%0.0%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-8.7%43.7%3.0%-1.6%0.0%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM-43.0%-41.5%24.1%24.6%-452,310.0%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-35.6%-25.4%19.4%-224,761.6%22.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.8%18.6%0.6%-1.4%19,540.0%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-20.5%-21.7%36.5%20.8%-331,760.0%20.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.8%-32.7%18.9%-169,810.7%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM--0.1%-21.7%32.1%16.5%-331,760.0%-0.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%-28.8%13.9%-169,821.4%7.2%

Valuation

VKTXLLYMDGLAMGNPFEALTMedian
NameViking T.Eli LillyMadrigal.Amgen Pfizer Altimmune 
Mkt Cap3.9935.412.3175.4142.40.577.3
P/S-12.913.94.22.316,855.312.9
P/EBIT-10.738.6-38.013.712.2-4.04.1
P/E-12.449.6-35.721.714.7-4.05.4
P/CFO-13.162.6-64.211.611.1-5.13.0
Total Yield-8.0%2.7%-2.8%7.9%13.5%-24.9%-0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%3.3%6.7%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%0.1%-7.4%5.9%5.5%-30.9%-2.4%
D/E0.00.10.00.40.40.00.1
Net D/E-0.20.1-0.10.30.3-0.6-0.0

Returns

VKTXLLYMDGLAMGNPFEALTMedian
NameViking T.Eli LillyMadrigal.Amgen Pfizer Altimmune 
1M Rtn-10.3%2.0%-1.3%-4.6%-0.2%21.5%-0.7%
3M Rtn48.5%37.3%30.8%19.5%5.9%42.6%34.1%
6M Rtn30.5%33.2%93.2%14.3%8.5%-24.9%22.4%
12M Rtn-26.6%34.8%78.4%26.6%1.6%-39.4%14.1%
3Y Rtn753.2%196.4%756.1%34.2%-42.1%-55.7%115.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.0%1.2%-2.0%-5.3%-0.9%20.7%-1.5%
3M Excs Rtn30.4%35.4%22.6%17.7%4.2%30.2%26.4%
6M Excs Rtn18.1%20.8%80.8%1.9%-3.8%-37.3%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-38.1%21.9%68.3%13.3%-6.1%-54.7%3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn797.8%122.1%690.9%-38.8%-111.3%-120.3%41.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and0    
Total0    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and368169211257284
Total368169211257284


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,990,072
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.2%
Average Daily Volume2,958,796
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.77
Basic Shares Quantity112,319,770
Short % of Basic Shares20.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/20258.0%12.1%9.1%
7/23/20250.3%0.9%-23.2%
4/23/2025-0.5%11.9%7.5%
2/5/2025-6.1%-12.5%-13.1%
10/23/202421.2%18.8%-14.5%
7/24/202428.3%13.1%27.7%
4/24/20245.8%17.5%-5.4%
2/7/202418.0%31.7%193.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161614
# Negative8810
Median Positive8.3%13.4%10.2%
Median Negative-4.7%-8.5%-14.6%
Max Positive28.3%31.7%193.2%
Max Negative-9.4%-14.3%-25.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021