Tearsheet

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $39.01 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $39.01
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -275 Mil
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
3  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Obesity Treatment, and NASH Treatment.
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -275 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 22%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VKTX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. 1. Positive Phase 2 VENTURE-Oral Dosing Trial Results for VK2735. Although initially reported on August 19, 2025, the results of the Phase 2 VENTURE-Oral Dosing trial for VK2735, an oral weight loss drug, demonstrated statistically significant reductions in mean body weight, with participants losing up to 12.2% from baseline after 13 weeks. This indicated strong efficacy, and the company planned to explore its use as a maintenance therapy, contributing to investor optimism about its potential in the competitive obesity market. 2. 2. Advancement into Phase 3 VANQUISH Trials for Subcutaneous VK2735. Viking Therapeutics confirmed that its Phase 3 VANQUISH trials for the subcutaneous formulation of VK2735 for obesity were proceeding on schedule, with enrollment for the VANQUISH-1 trial being completed ahead of schedule by early December 2025. This rapid progression through clinical stages suggests a quicker path to potential market approval, boosting investor confidence. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VKTX Return-30%-18%104%98%116%-4%381%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%3%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VKTX Win Rate33%42%42%50%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VKTX Max Drawdown-57%-18%-54%-14%-7%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVKTXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven358.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1287 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Viking Therapeutics's stock fell -78.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/5/2021. A -78.2% loss requires a 358.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)

Better Bets than Viking Therapeutics (VKTX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VKTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viking Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VKTXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameViking T.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Price38.57457.36-2.631.17-20.60
Mkt Cap4.3116.9----60.6
Rev LTM011,723-0--0
Op Inc LTM-275-92--5---92
FCF LTM-2253,337--6---6
FCF 3Y Avg-1222,064--10---10
CFO LTM-2253,718--6---6
CFO 3Y Avg-1222,419--10---10

Growth & Margins

VKTXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameViking T.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

VKTXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameViking T.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
Mkt Cap4.3116.9----60.6
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-10.722.4----5.8
P/E-12.427.2----7.4
P/CFO-13.126.9----6.9
Total Yield-8.0%3.7%-----2.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%2.3%-----1.3%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

VKTXVRTXACSBAIXCALPSAPRIMedian
NameViking T.Vertex P.Acesis AIxCryptoALPS Aprinoia. 
1M Rtn11.4%8.5%--23.2%-11.4%
3M Rtn45.4%15.2%----30.3%
6M Rtn42.6%3.1%----22.8%
12M Rtn-24.7%-1.4%-----13.1%
3Y Rtn871.5%44.0%----457.8%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%7.2%--22.0%-10.1%
3M Excs Rtn37.2%9.7%----23.4%
6M Excs Rtn27.2%-12.4%----7.4%
12M Excs Rtn-38.5%-15.2%-----26.9%
3Y Excs Rtn805.7%-28.7%----388.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and0    
Total0    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development of novel first-in-class or best-in-class therapies for the treatment of metabolic and368169211257284
Total368169211257284


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,785,654
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.5%
Average Daily Volume4,589,986
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.40
Basic Shares Quantity112,319,770
Short % of Basic Shares22.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021